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Market Alert: Potential Downside Ahead! The S&P 500 (SPX) just closed with a strong bearish candle, dropping -104 points (-1.71%), signaling a possible shift in momentum. The index is now testing a key support level near 6,000, and if this level breaks, we could see a sharper pullback. 📉 What’s Happening in the Market? 1️⃣ Rising Interest Rate Concerns – The Federal Reserve remains cautious about inflation, and recent economic data suggests they may keep rates higher for longer. This puts pressure on equities, especially high-growth stocks. 2️⃣ Earnings Season Uncertainty – Many companies are reporting mixed earnings, with some missing expectations. Weak guidance from major corporations could fuel more downside. 3️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions & Market Volatility – Ongoing global uncertainties, such as geopolitical conflicts and supply chain disruptions, are adding risk-off sentiment to the market. 4️⃣ Technical Breakdown Risks – The SPX is currently sitting near critical support at 6,000. If this level fails, we could see further selling pressure toward 5,920 - 5,880 and possibly as low as 5,773. 🔥 What to Watch Next? ✅ Can the market hold 6,000 and bounce? Or will sellers push prices lower? ✅ Watch for reactions around 6,068 - 6,100—if the index struggles here, more downside is likely. ✅ Increased volatility means risk management is key—stay cautious, and don’t chase trades! ⚠️ Bottom Line: The market is at a turning point. If downside momentum continues, we could see a bigger correction. Stay alert and manage risk accordingly!
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the most recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 surpassed our completed Outer Index Rally threshold of 6120, rendering the Key Resistance at this level obsolete. Nevertheless, following a significant price reversal, the index breached the Mean Support level of 6049 and is approaching the critical support level established at 5995. The index could decline further, potentially reaching the Mean Support level of 5939 and the Key Support at 5827. Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current position or the Mean Support level of 5995, it may ascend to the newly established Mean Resistance level of 6082, potentially extending toward the Key Resistance level of 6143.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Hurry Up and Wait - The Markets Favourite GameHurry Up and Wait – The Market’s Favourite Game | SPX Market Analysis 21 Feb 2025 These kangaroo markets just won’t quit. Every time we break out of one range, the Bollinger Bands pinch again, locking us into another one. Meanwhile, other indexes fell out of bed, but SPX? It’s clinging on by "the Bulls". When will it finally open up and run? Who knows—but until then, I’ll keep finding new ways to say ‘hurry up and wait’. --- Markets Keep Bouncing, But Not Breaking It’s like watching a kangaroo on a trampoline—lots of movement, no real progress. SPX tries to push out of one range 🏋️‍♂️ Bollinger Bands pinch again, trapping price in a new range 🔄 Other indexes have fallen, but SPX refuses to follow This makes trading tricky, as every potential breakout is quickly absorbed into another consolidation. The Bollinger Band Pinch – What It Means When Bollinger Bands tighten, they signal: 📌 A period of low volatility 📌 A potential breakout coming – but direction unknown 📌 Traders getting frustrated waiting for a real move Normally, I’d switch to Tag ‘n Turn setups during breakouts, but with volatility still tight, I’ll stick to my 6 money-making patterns instead. For now, it’s all about waiting for a clean break—no fake moves, no forced trades. Final Thoughts – When Will the Market Open Up? 📌 The big move is coming—we just don’t know when. 📌 SPX is clinging on, but other indexes are weakening—watch for cracks. 📌 Bollinger Bands are tightening—when they expand, volatility will return. Until then? It’s back to ‘hurry up and wait’. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2015, the New York Stock Exchange halted trading for nearly four hours—and the official reason? A “technical glitch”. 💡 The Lesson? Even the biggest, most advanced markets can freeze up, just like we’re seeing with these tight, choppy conditions.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
1
$SPY $SPX Pullback to Gap Fill? I've been waiting for a rocket to AMEX:SPY $630 but my monthly tells me that February wants to close red. Here is my daily with a fib that we cant seem to hold above although today we did close above once I have been waiting patiently in this box unlike others, I have constantly reiterated, don't try to be a hero inside of the box. Now that the Box seems to be pushing towards the upside, I can't help but notice we continue printing bearish candles regardless of direction. Today we closed with a Hangman, which begs the question, could we perhaps lean bearish for two of the most bearish weeks of the year in comparison? I'd like to think I'm not wrong here and we will get a spill before anyone gets an expected blow off top. Be careful out there, volatility remains present and the VIX was above the 50DMA last time I checked. If we can get this gap fill and start moving back up, I will be confident in the gap fill being bottom. Seeing as $593 AMEX:SPY alert for bottom never filled, I will have to assume it's still a possibility. Taz out.
SP:SPX
by TazmanianTrader
SPX Long Trade Setup Analysis (3H Timeframe - Vantage)🔹 Current Setup: - 🦈 The Bullish Shark Pattern has completed at D (5912.17), indicating a potential reversal zone. - 📉 Price is currently bouncing off the 1.001 Fibonacci extension level. - 📍 Key Resistance Levels (Take Profit Targets): - 🎯 TP1: Fibonacci 27.2% extension (~6201.66) - 🎯 TP2: Fibonacci 61.8% extension (~6286.52) - 📍 Key Support Levels: - ❗ Critical Stop Zone: 5889.73 (inside the previously broken channel) - 🔻 Deeper Bearish Target: 5782.41 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup) - 🟢 Entry: Above 5945 (current market price) - 🎯 Take Profit 1: 6201 (27.2% Fibonacci extension) - 🎯 Take Profit 2: 6286 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) - 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 5890 (to avoid whipsaws) ✅ Justification: - 🔹 Price has bounced from a strong Fibonacci support level - 🔹 Harmonic pattern suggests a potential bullish reversal - 🔹 TP targets align with Fibonacci extension levels and previous structure resistance 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup) - ❌ Invalidation Level: Below 5880 - 🔻 Downside Targets: - 5820: First support area - 5782: 161.8% Fibonacci extension ✅ Justification: - ❗ If the price breaks below 5890, the harmonic pattern fails, signaling more downside - ❗ 5782 aligns with channel equilibrium, meaning a further drop could happen ⚡ Key Takeaways - 🔹 Bullish bias above 5912, bearish below 5890 - 🔹 A break above 6000 will confirm the uptrend - 🔹 A break below 5880 could lead to 5782 or lower
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by Who-Is-Caerus
S&P 500 Trade Idea – Bullish OutlookS&P 500 Trade Idea – Bullish Outlook The S&P 500 has been ranging since November 11, 2024, consolidating within a well-defined structure. A Wyckoff Spring occurred on January 13, confirming a strong demand zone and establishing a firm floor for price action. Currently, price is trading above a key level at 6,100, signaling bullish momentum. As long as price holds above this level, any bullish pattern presents a strong buy opportunity with a long-term target of 6,400. Trade Plan: 📈 Bias: Bullish 🔹 Entry: Look for bullish confirmations above 6,100 🔹 Target: 6,400 🔹 Invalidation: Breakdown below 6,100 This setup aligns with the larger trend and market structure. Let’s see how it plays out!
FX:SPX500Long
by LeeNasdaq
S&P 500 Trade Idea – Bullish OutlookS&P 500 Trade Idea – Bullish Outlook The S&P 500 has been ranging since November 11, 2024, consolidating within a well-defined structure. A Wyckoff Spring occurred on January 13, confirming a strong demand zone and establishing a firm floor for price action. Currently, price is trading above a key level at 6,100, signaling bullish momentum. As long as price holds above this level, any bullish pattern presents a strong buy opportunity with a long-term target of 6,400. Trade Plan: 📈 Bias: Bullish 🔹 Entry: Look for bullish confirmations above 6,100 🔹 Target: 6,400 🔹 Invalidation: Breakdown below 6,100 This setup aligns with the larger trend and market structure. Let’s see how it plays out!
FX:SPX500Long
by LeeNasdaq
2025 Market Outlook - Cautiously Bullish (Important Bar Counts)Hey Everybody, Thanks for checking out the video. I'm reviewing all major instruments, US and Non US. US has carried the financial markets since 2020 and 2022 and this year out of the gate we're seeing big runs in "uninvestable" spaces like Europe and China. I say that jokingly because of how bad everything thought non US assets were, but here we are watching DAX, FTSE, and HSI running to double digit gains while the US lags behind. Will the US catch up and the global economy tide rise to lift all boats or are we truly seeing a catch up trade that will have headwinds uncertainties a plenty? Time will tell. This week is a holiday shortened trading week, RBA and RBNZ expected to cut rates, Europe and US printing PMI on Friday. BABA and BIDU earnings this week (China related), and NVDA earnings next week (#2 market cap in US). I discuss the big bar counts that I'm watching closely on SPY, SPX, XSP, RSP, NDX, QQQ, DIA, NVDA, META, NFLX, and others that I believe technically will matter for limited upside momentum without a bigger pause, snapback or correction ahead. Cautiously optimistic is a perfect play for 2025. I'm off to a good start for the year and intend to keep that way without chasing or doing anything silly. Thank for watching.
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 10.2-14.2 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 5th week of the base cycle (average of 20 weeks). Monday opened with a traditional gap down. Unfortunately, the gap was too brief to close the short position with a profit. On Wednesday, the extreme forecast on February 11 pushed the market upward after a brief dip on inflation data. Two long cycles remain open, as I have discussed in previous posts. ⚠️ By Friday’s close, there are signs of a triple top forming at the December 9 and January 29 extreme forecast levels. The next pivot forecast is February 24. The most interesting part is expected at the extreme forecast on March 3, coinciding with the start of the retrograde Venus period, which I mentioned in early December.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
SP500 vs. US intrest rateInterest rate hikes correlated with SP500 growth. Recent growth from the bottom of the March 21' COVID crash was financed by printing trillions US dollars. It allowed to mitigate unemployment rate spike. Inflation started to rise rapidly and interest rates are expected to grow. Will SP500 growth continue? Or is it overpriced by now? Maybe, Shiller P/E ratio for SP500 is now around 39 with median at 16 and maxiumum at 44 on Dec 1999. But how similar is current economics to previous decades? What to expect with unprecedented money supply and modern technologies? Is it time of Modern Monetary Theory? Maybe I would be able to answer any of the questions if I had any formal economic education ;) tradingeconomics.com www.multpl.com
SP:SPXLong
by greater_fool_
Market SnapshotHow do you see the economic future of America? www.youtube.com www.saferbankingresearch.com "As such, as of Q3 2023, the total equity of the banks participating in the 2024 stress test was already lower than their loans to shadow bankers. Given that on-balance sheet loans to shadow bankers have increased by nearly 20% since Q3 2023, and assuming off-balance sheet loan commitments have grown at the same rate, total loan commitments to shadow bankers from the largest banks are now even higher. This makes shadow banking lending one of the largest segments—and, for some, already the largest—of these banks' credit books."
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading