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BTC Next Move Toward $150K?Bitcoin recently broke out above a long-standing resistance zone ($110K–$115K), supported by a clean move through the volume profile high node. After testing local highs, BTC is now pulling back to retest the breakout area, a critical level that could act as new support. Key Points: Breakout Retest: Price has pulled back into the breakout zone around $114K, aligning with strong previous resistance that may now flip to support. Volume Profile: A strong high-volume node is visible below ($105K–$110K), which reinforces this area as a major demand zone. EMA Confluence: The 50-day and 100-day EMAs are trending upward and aligning near the retest area, providing additional support. If this level holds, BTC could resume its bullish leg toward the $150K level. Cheers Hexa
Long
by HexaTrades
BTC | Bitcoin - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context: Traders are currently anticipating a potential 0.25% rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, which continues to support the broader bullish outlook. While the market pulled back following weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll data, overall sentiment remains optimistic. Greed has cooled off into a more neutral stance. Historically, August often brings some consolidation or pullbacks — but the structural bias for Bitcoin remains bullish. 🧾 Weekly Recap: • After printing new all-time highs, BTC began a healthy retracement. • Price action closely mirrored the Nasdaq's (NQ) pullback during the week. • We saw a small bounce mid-week, but no strong reversal confirmation yet. 📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan: → I’m watching for price to revisit the long-term bullish trendline. → A slight deviation into the HTF demand zone would be ideal for long entries. → Bonus confluence: This area also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (Equilibrium level), providing a key discount zone. 🎯 Setup Trigger: I’ll be watching for a confirmed bullish break of structure (BOS) on the 1H–4H timeframes to signal a reversal. On confirmation, I’ll look to enter a swing long position. 📋 Trade Management: • Stoploss: Below the 1H–4H demand swing low • Take Profit: → I’ll trail stops and lock in profits aggressively → Main target: $119,820 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
BTC TRADE PLAN 11/07/2025 - Diamond PatternDear traders, Technical Analysis of BTCUSDT (Bitcoin/USDT) – July 11, 2025 🕐 Timeframe: 4H Price has broken above the major resistance at $110,000 and is now trading around $118,000, forming a Diamond Top pattern — a classic reversal formation that may signal an upcoming downtrend or correction. 🔻 Key Highlights: Major Resistance: $118,000 – current top and potential reversal point. Key Support: $110,000 – if broken, next targets may lie around $95,000–$100,000. Diamond Pattern: Typically a bearish reversal signal after a strong uptrend. RSI Indicator: Currently in overbought territory (above 85), suggesting buyer exhaustion. 📉 Possible Scenario: Price may reverse from $118,000 -120,000 and test the $110,000 support. A break below that could lead to a deeper correction in the coming weeks. Regards, Alireza!
Short
by alirezak
Deep Dive Into Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)🗓 The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is one of the most popular momentum indicators in technical analysis. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, understanding how the MACD works can significantly enhance your trading decisions. 📚 Introduction: What Is MACD and Why It Matters The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is one of the most powerful and widely used momentum indicators in technical analysis. It was developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s and has since become a staple in the toolkit of traders and investors across markets — from stocks and forex to cryptocurrencies. At its core, MACD helps traders understand the relationship between two moving averages of an asset’s price, providing insight into both trend direction and momentum strength. By analyzing how these averages converge and diverge, the indicator offers valuable signals for entries, exits, and trend reversals. What makes MACD especially popular is its versatility — it works well in trending markets, can be used across all timeframes, and combines both leading and lagging components. Whether you're a day trader or a long-term investor, understanding how MACD works gives you an edge in making timely and informed trading decisions. 📚 How the MACD Is Calculated: The Components Explained The MACD is built from three core components: MACD line, Signal line and MACD histogram. 🔹 Calculating the MACD Line: The MACD line is the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), typically 12-period EMA (fast) and 26-period EMA (slow). The formula is: MACD Line = EMA(12) − EMA(26) This line captures momentum by tracking how the shorter-term average diverges from the longer-term average. When the MACD line rises, the short-term momentum is increasing faster than the longer-term trend — a sign of bullish acceleration. The reverse implies bearish momentum. 🔹 Calculating the Signal Line: ​ To reduce noise and provide clearer signals, a 9-period EMA of the MACD line is plotted on top. This is the Signal Line, and it acts as a trigger: When the MACD line crosses above the signal line → bullish signal (buy) When the MACD line crosses below the signal line → bearish signal (sell) Signal Line = EMA(9)(MACD Line) 🔹 Calculating the MACD Histogram: ​ The Histogram shows the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line: Histogram = MACD Line − Signal Line It provides a visual representation of momentum strength. The histogram bars expand when momentum strengthens and contract as it fades. It helps you spot shifts in momentum earlier than a basic crossover. 📚 How to Use MACD in Trading Strategies ⚡️MACD Signal Line Crossover Buy Signal: MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line from below (bullish crossover) Preferably when both lines are below the zero line (early in the trend) Price closes above the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA Sell Signal: MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line from above (bearish crossover) Preferably when both lines are above the zero line (early in the trend) Price closes below the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. Wait until MACD line crosses over the Signal line from down to up. In our example we use 1D time frame for BITMART:BTCUSDT.P . Open long trade if point 2 will be completed. 2. Price candle shall be closed above the 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend. 3. Close the long trade when the MACD line crosses under the Signal line. This is an approximation that short-term impulse is over and correction is about to start. In our case we have +20% return on this long trade, but, please, notice that we have not used initial stop-loss in this strategy. Trade was closed according to the technical condition, this approach can violate the risk management rules, but also can be applicable if you trade the amount ready to lose using this strategy. We will talk about stop-loss later. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. Wait until MACD line crosses under the Signal line from up to down. In our example we use 1D time frame for BITMART:ETHUSDT . Open short trade if point 2 will be completed. 2. Price candle shall be closed below the 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend. 3. Close the short trade when the MACD line crosses over the Signal line. This is an approximation that short-term impulse is over and correction is about to start. In this case we have +15% return on the short trade. Again, strategy used the technical condition to close the trade and now let's cover how to place the stop-loss. There is no right answer how to use stop-losses. The first and the most obvious way to place stop-loss is using recent swing low/high, but the problem is that all traders are seeing them and do the same. Price tends to reach such levels to collect liquidity. Another one way to place stop-loss is using the signal candle's high/low. This is so-called 1 candle stop-loss. Usually it's very tight and can allow to have the fantastic risk to reward ratio, but we are now recommend to use it if you are not a professional trader because win rate of such strategy decreases. Third approach in placing stop-loss which we often use in our algorithmic strategies is the Average True Range (ATR). ATR is the volatility measurement, it allows to take into account the current volatility. Sometimes it helps to avoid the stop-loss hit when trade finally goes in your direction. You can just simply subtract (in case of long trade) or add (in case of short trade) ATR value to the entry price and obtain the dynamic stop loss based on current market condition. Also multiplier can be used for ATR. You shall choose the approach which is more comfortable for you, backtest all these approached to make your choice. 🧪Important: we used the long signals only below the zero-line and short signals above it in the attempt to catch the beginning of a trend and have large potential move. On the picture below you can see the same BITMART:BTCUSDT.P , but what will happen if we open long on the lines crossover above zero line? This trade will not be profitable because of restricted potential. ⚡️MACD Zero Line Crossover Buy Signal: MACD Histogram crosses above the zero line (momentum shifts from bearish to bullish) Price closes above the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA Sell Signal: MACD Histogram crosses below the zero line (momentum shifts from bullish to bearish) Price closes below the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. Wait until MACD Histogram crosses over zero line. Open long trade if point 2 will be completed. 2. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend. 3. Take profit when price reaches 3:1 risk to reward ratio according to the stop-loss from point 4. 4. Stop-loss shall be placed below recent swing low. This point can be discussed, you can use any stop-loss technique described earlier in this article. We demonstrate the simplest one, the key here is using at least 3:1 RR. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. Wait until MACD Histogram crosses under zero line. Open short trade if point 2 will be completed. 2. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend. 3. Take profit when price reaches 3:1 risk to reward ratio according to the stop-loss from point 4. 4. Stop-loss shall be placed above recent swing high. This point can be discussed, you can use any stop-loss technique described earlier in this article. We demonstrate the simplest one, the key here is using at least 3:1 RR. ⚡️MACD Divergence Strategy MACD Divergence is a strategy that helps traders identify potential reversals in market direction before they become obvious on the price chart. This makes it a favorite tool among swing traders and crypto enthusiasts looking to catch major moves early. But what exactly is a divergence? In simple terms, divergence occurs when price and momentum (MACD) are moving in opposite directions — signaling that the current trend may be losing strength and preparing for a reversal. There are two main types of divergence. 🐂 Bullish Divergence Price makes a lower low MACD Histogram makes a higher low This suggests that while price is still falling, downward momentum is weakening. The bears are losing control, and a bullish reversal may be near. Trading signal is very simple, when bullish divergence happens wait for the first increasing column on MACD histogram and open long trade. Place stop-loss under recent swing low and take profit at 3:1 RR. 🐻Bearish Divergence Price makes a higher high MACD makes a lower high This suggests that while price is still falling, downward momentum is weakening. The bears are losing control, and a bullish reversal may be near. Trading signal is very simple, when bearish divergence happens wait for the first decreasing column on MACD histogram and open short trade. Place stop-loss above recent swing high and take profit at 3:1 RR. 🧪 Important hint: MACD histogram shall cross the zero line between two lows/high to create the most reliable divergence signals. We are not recommend to use it without zero-line crossover to decrease number of false signals. 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. MACD Histogram shall create higher low. 2. Price shall create lower low. 3. MACD Histogram shall cross the zero line between lows. 4. MACD Histogram shall show the first increasing column. 5. Put stop-loss under the recent swing low. 6. Put take profit at 3:1. 🧪 You can enhance the long signal with the MACD Line divergence. In our case we have both divergences: with MACD Histogram and MACD Line. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. MACD Histogram shall create lower high. 2. Price shall create higher high. 3. MACD Histogram shall cross the zero line between lows. 4. MACD Histogram shall show the first decreasing column. 5. Put stop-loss above the recent swing high. 6. Put take profit at 3:1. 🧪Divergence is extremely strong signal, but when price continue it's move in the direction of a trend and it's not reversing it can also be the signal for the trend continuation. This situation is called "Baskerville Hound" signal, this name was given by famous trader Alexander Elder. We don't recommend to use it for novice traders, but it's useful to know about it. 📚 Conclusion The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is more than just a crossover tool — it's a powerful momentum indicator that offers deep insight into the strength, direction, and timing of market trends. By understanding how the MACD line, Signal line, and Histogram interact, traders can uncover early trend shifts, spot momentum divergences, and time entries and exits with greater confidence. Whether you're a short-term trader using fast crossovers for scalping or a long-term investor watching for weekly divergences, MACD can adapt to your style when used thoughtfully. Like all indicators, it works best when combined with price action, support/resistance levels, and other indicators — not in isolation. Ultimately, mastering MACD is not about memorizing patterns, but about learning to read the story of momentum that unfolds beneath the surface of price. With disciplined application and practice, MACD can become a reliable compass in your trading strategy.
Education
by Skyrexio
14
Bitcoin Enters Correction Mode?Bitcoin is already trading at support in the form of the previous all-time high and EMA55. Bitcoin is down more than 8% since its 14-July all-time high. We can see that a correction is already in, a retrace. This retrace we consider part of the normal workings of the market, price fluctuations which invariably always show up. The end result is a higher high, a rising wave, higher prices on the long haul. Support is strong at current prices but even stronger is the support zone right above $100,000. As long as Bitcoin trades above $100,000, we will continue with a strong bullish outlook. If Bitcoin manages to move and close below $100,000 monthly or weekly, we will consider the short-term, the mid-term and update our map if necessary. For now, the bulls are still in control. When Bitcoin peaked 22-May it went sideways for an entire month. From a peak of $112,000 it hit a low of $100,000. Now we have a peak around $123,000 and prices can easily swing around in this wide range. After a few weeks, or several months, exactly as it happened last time, Bitcoin will go up. So you can expect retraces and corrections, but this is only short-term long-term we grow. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
6
Deep Dive Into Bollinger Bands 🗓This article explores the Bollinger Bands indicator—a powerful volatility tool used by traders worldwide. You'll learn how it works, how to calculate it, and how to use it to detect potential breakouts, trend reversals, and overbought or oversold conditions in the market. 📚 Introduction to Bollinger Bands In the fast-paced world of trading, understanding market volatility is key to making informed decisions. Bollinger Bands, developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s, offer a visual and statistical method to measure this volatility. Unlike simple moving averages, which only tell you the trend, Bollinger Bands expand and contract based on recent price action, helping traders spot overbought, oversold, or consolidation phases. These bands dynamically adjust to market conditions, making them one of the most popular indicators for trend-following, mean-reversion, and breakout strategies. Whether you’re trading crypto, stocks, or forex, Bollinger Bands can help you identify high-probability setups by combining trend direction with volatility. 📚 How Bollinger Bands Are Calculated Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: Middle Band – This is a simple moving average (SMA) of the price, typically over 20 periods. Upper Band – The middle band plus two standard deviations. Lower Band – The middle band minus two standard deviations. Middle Band = SMA(n) Upper Band = SMA(n) + (k × σₙ) Lower Band = SMA(n) - (k × σₙ) Where σₙ is the standard deviation of the price for n periods and k is the multiplier, typically set to 2, which captures ~95% of price action under normal distribution. The middle band shows the average price over the last 20 candles. The upper and lower bands adjust based on how volatile the price has been — expanding in high volatility and contracting in low volatility. 🤖 For those traders who want to implement Bollinger Bands into algorithmic strategy we provide formula it's calculation in Pine Script: basis = ta.sma(src, length) // Middle Band (SMA) dev = mult * ta.stdev(src, length) // Standard Deviation × Multiplier upper = basis + dev // Upper Band lower = basis - dev // Lower Band 📚 How to Use MACD in Trading Strategies ⚡️Bollinger Band Squeeze (Volatility Contraction and Expansion) The idea is pretty simple, а squeeze indicates low volatility and often precedes a breakout. The squeeze is the situation when the Upper Band and Lower Band contract, and BB width is at a local minimum. In this case you shall be prepared for the high volatility after the period of low volatility. This strategy doesn’t predict direction — it prepares you for volatility. Long setup: Price is in long-term uptrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be above it. Bollinger Bands is narrow in comparison to the previous period. Price usually is in sideways. Open long trade when candle shows a breakout and closes above the Upper Band. Set a trailing stop-loss at the Middle Band. Short setup: Price is in long-term downtrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be below it. Bollinger Bands is narrow in comparison to the previous period. Price usually is in sideways. Open short trade when candle shows a breakdown and closes below the Lower Band. Set a trailing stop-loss at the Middle Band 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Bollinger Bands shall be narrow in comparison with the previous periods. 3. Open long trade when candle closes above the Upper Band. 4. Close trade when price touched the Middle Band. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Bollinger Bands shall be narrow in comparison with the previous periods. 3. Open short trade when candle closes below the Lower Band. 4. Close trade when price touched the Middle Band. ⚡️Mean Reversion (Rebound from the Bands) This is the most common approach to use Bollinger Bands. The idea is also very simple, we just want to open long if price touches Lower Band and short if price reaches Upper Band. Price tends to revert to the mean (Middle Band), especially in range-bound markets. It's very important to trade in the direction of the major trend to reduce the probability of the large move against you. Long setup: Price is in long-term uptrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be above it. Open long trade when price touches the Lower Band. Set the initial stop-loss at the fixed percentage below entry price. Choose this percentage number with your personal risk/money management, you shall be comfortable to lose this amount of money in case of stop-loss hit. If price reached Middle Band set stop-loss at breakeven. Close trade when price reached the Upper Band. Short setup: Price is in long-term downtrend, you can use 200 EMA as a major trend approximation - price shall be below it. Open short trade when price touches the Upper Band. Set the initial stop-loss at the fixed percentage above entry price. Choose this percentage number with your personal risk/money management, you shall be comfortable to lose this amount of money in case of stop-loss hit. If price reached Middle Band set stop-loss at breakeven. Close trade when price reached the Lower Band. 🧪 Important: the most common approach to close trades is the Middle Band touch, this is classic mean reversion. We experimented multiple times with different approached and revealed that usually it's better to take profit at the Upper/Lower band for long/short trades and use Middle Band only for setting stop-loss at breakeven. This approach provides better risk to reward ratio. 📈Long Trading Strategy Example 1. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Open long trade the Lower Band. 3. Put Initial stop-loss 2% below the entry price. 4. When price reached Middle band place stop-loss at the breakeven. 5. Close long trade at the Upper Band. 📉Short trading strategy example 1. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. In our example we have BITMART:BTCUSDT.P 4h time frame. 2. Open short trade the Upper Band. 3. Put Initial stop-loss 2% above the entry price. 4. When price reached Middle band place stop-loss at the breakeven. 5. Close short trade at the Lower Band. 🧪 Important tip: notice that initial stop-loss is needed only to avoid disaster in case of price moves strongly against you. This percentage shall give enough space to avoid its reaching too often. Mean reversion strategy provides fast trades with the small average gain, so you shall maintain the high win rate (perfectly above 70%). You have to choose stop-loss based on particular asset volatility. ⚡️Combined Approach: Mean Reversion + Trend Following Skyrexio made multiple researches about Bollinger Bands strategies and we found that we can receive better gains in combination of different approaches. Mean reversion gives you great entry with discount but you don't need to exit that early. Use the trading stop and allow to gain profit while market is moving in your direction. This approach you can find in our advanced strategy Bollinger Bands Enhanced Strategy which we shared in 2024. Click on the link to read about it and understand how you can combine best features of this popular indicator. 📚 Conclusion Bollinger Bands are more than just a volatility indicator — they provide a flexible framework for understanding price dynamics and market conditions. By visualizing the relationship between price and standard deviation around a moving average, traders can gain valuable insights into whether an asset is consolidating, trending, or preparing for a breakout. The real strength of Bollinger Bands lies in their versatility. They can adapt to different trading styles — whether you’re a short-term scalper, a swing trader, or a long-term position holder. From identifying squeeze setups to riding strong trends or capturing mean reversion moves, BBs offer a strategic edge when used correctly. However, Bollinger Bands should never be used in isolation. Like any technical tool, they work best when combined with momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, volume analysis, and price action signals. Context is key: a signal that works well in a ranging market may fail during high momentum trends. Ultimately, Bollinger Bands help traders make more informed, disciplined decisions by clarifying where price stands relative to recent history. When paired with sound risk management and broader market awareness, they become a powerful ally in navigating market uncertainty.
Education
by Skyrexio
1
Could this be the end of Bitcoin’s trend?The Current State of Bitcoin’s Trend: Has the Uptrend Come to an End...? Based on recent analyses, Bitcoin has exited its 4-hour channel over the past few days, and there is still a possibility for further correction. However, this does not mean that the uptrend for Bitcoin is over. My targets for Bitcoin remain the same as before: 123,700 and 129,710. It’s even possible that we might see a wick above these prices. For those with more capital who are looking to buy Bitcoin, there are two good entry levels: 110,880 109,770 Everything else is clearly shown on the chart. Please be cautious, as there will likely be high volatility once the market opens. Be sure to open the analysis link and boost the analysis with your likes.
Long
by DarkAnalyzer
BTC HUGE DROP TO 113,400$ - BIG CRASH !*Sorry for posting to late as I am between a trip in Malaysia.* Details: Entry: Now - 117,000 $ Target Price: 113,410 $ Stop loss: 119,460 $ Trade Ideas: Market creating a flag pattern here. Though its not only the logic we have some secret logics here and indicators which I shared in the VIP. What is required to Join VIP? - Nothing just you have to share 10% of your profit with us at the end of the month which you earned from our signals. Yeah this is just the requirement, trade where ever you like your favorite broker or else you don't need to pay fees first or create account thru our link. Trade Signal: I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis regarding BITCOIN. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
Short
by rayhanrafi7
23
BTC/USDT: Bitcoin Blast to New Heights?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is gearing up for a breakout on the 2-hour chart, with an entry zone between 113,520-112,590 near the 50-day EMA support. First target at 117,190 , with a second target at 119,750 aligning with key resistance. Set a stop loss at 111,060 below the recent low to manage risk. A break above 114,000 with volume could ignite this rally. Watch BTC sentiment and market liquidity shifts. Ride the wave! Do you see this BTC breakout coming? Drop your thoughts! #BTCUSDT #BitcoinTrading #CryptoSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #DayTrading #MarketAnalysis
Long
by Master_Hunter
Bitcoin stop loss hunting end, entry for Long is now!!Hi on this chart that may happen with more than 70% possibility we have one of the easy setups and strategy which i call it FAKEOUT&LIQUIDTY this happen usually near trendline support or range zone support or even resistance and after a possible fakeout usually market kick sellers or Buyers and then with high volume market reverse. I saw High volume and Fake breakout in my mind and i think it can be one of those times so we open long and lets now wait for this 1:2(Risk:Reward) signal to play. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Long
by MMBTtrader
15
Bitcoin Could Accept bearish TrendBitcoin is currently testing a key resistance zone between 120,000 and 121,000. While price action is attempting to break higher, market conditions suggest the possibility of a false breakout rather than a sustained bullish continuation. BTC has approached a significant resistance band, and early signs of exhaustion are visible. Unless the price decisively holds above 121,000, any breakout may lack conviction. Given the broader unresolved downtrend, a corrective move remains likely. If the breakout fails to sustain, we anticipate a pullback toward the 117,000 to 115,000 range. This would align with a retest of previous support zones and continuation of the short-term bearish structure. Ps: Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks.
Short
by MrMartin_11
8
#BTCUSDT – Healthy Correction, Not the End!Bitcoin is currently experiencing a healthy pullback after an impressive run, testing the neckline of the Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on the 1D timeframe. 🔹 Current Market View: BTC is retesting the neckline of the IHS pattern, which now acts as a strong support zone. Price is holding near $113K–$115K, which is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. This dip is a healthy correction, flushing out over-leveraged positions and preparing for the next leg up. 🔹 Key Levels: Support Zone: $113,000 – $115,000 Immediate Resistance: $120,000 – $122,500 Breakout Target: $165,000+ on the next bullish wave 🔹 Market Sentiment: Holding above the neckline keeps the bullish structure intact. If the support holds, we can expect continuation to new highs once buying pressure returns. A daily close below $112K would signal caution and delay the next rally. 💡 Tip: Don’t panic on these red candles. Healthy corrections are part of a sustainable uptrend.
Long
by CoreCrypto1
Market StructureIf we look at the underlying market structure, Bitcoin's structure isn't fully formed yet. There are still unsolved puzzles around 135,000. I believe Bitcoin will finalize its final structure around 135,000, which will be its expansionary structure. The final candle on this weekly timeframe will determine Bitcoin's direction. This August, Bitcoin will either continue its bullish structure or continue its minor retracement. Disclamer: Any information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
by dokterTrader
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave AnalysisWelcome back to another Elliott Wave Analysis for Bitcoin! :) In this analysis we want to focus on the short term. We have been in a correction displayed as pink ABC and it seems that this correction is coming or has come to an end in the pink Wave C. It is hard to say if the pink Wave C has finished yet. The last low at 111'850 USD is the 1 to 1 ratio of the pink Wave A to the pink Wave C which is a common target for Wave C. Looking at the sub-count in white we think another low in white Wave 5 would look cleaner but it is not given to happen. For now we added the white Wave 4 resistance of which we touched the 0.5 FIB retracement at 115'830 USD which is a rather deep but valid Wave 4. We also added the 0.618 FIB at 116'213 USD which would be the invalidation for the white Wave 4. If we hit it the probabilities shift to the case that the low at 111'850 USD is already the end of pink Wave C. If we get white Wave 5 the first target would be at the 1 to 1 FIB at 111'319 USD which is right below the last ATH of which we bounced recently but that seems a bit shallow. The next target would be at around 109'700 USD where we got some confluence between the 1.38 FIB target for white Wave 5 measured with the white Wave 1 as well as the 1.618 FIB target if we measure of the white Wave 4. It is also close to the 0.5 FIB of a bigger support area. Be aware that the bigger support area below goes down to 103'000 USD which is the 0.786 FIB of the support area. Due it looking likely that pink Wave C is finished we also added the support area for the potential Wave 2 in the bullish scenario. It is between the 0.5 FIB at 113'640 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 112'616 USD. From this area we would like to see a bounce if the low is already in. Thanks for reading. We would appreciate a follow and boost if you like the analysis! :) NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Long
by KanashimiBro
Important Volatility Period: August 2nd - 5th Hello, fellow traders! Follow us for quick updates. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M Chart) Let's take a moment to check the trend before the new month begins. There have been two major declines so far, and a third major decline is expected next year. For the reason, please refer to the "3-Year Bull Market, 1-Year Bear Market Pattern" section below. - My target point for 2025 is around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92). However, if the price surges further, it could touch the Fibonacci range of 3 (151018.77) to 3.14 (157296.36). If it rises above 133K, it's expected that prices will never fall below 43823.59 again. Since the HA-Low indicator hasn't yet been created on the 1M chart, we need to monitor whether it appears when a downtrend begins. Based on the current trend, the HA-Low indicator is expected to form around 73499.86. More details will likely be available once the movement begins. - The basic trading strategy involves buying in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and selling in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises above the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a step-up trend is likely, while if the price falls below the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a step-down trend is likely. Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach. The further away from the HA-High indicator, the more likely it is that the DOM(60) indicator will act as a strong resistance when it forms. Therefore, if the current price and the HA-High indicator are trading far apart, and the DOM(60) indicator forms, it is expected to face significant resistance. - Looking at the current trend formation, the high trend line is drawn correctly, but the low trend line is not. This is because the StochRSI indicator failed to enter the oversold zone. Therefore, the low trend line is marked with a dotted line, not a solid line. Therefore, what we should pay attention to is the high trend line. We need to see if the uptrend can continue along the high trend line. - (1D chart) If we use the trend lines drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to predict periods of volatility, the periods around August 5th and August 13th are significant periods of volatility. By breaking this down further, the volatility periods are around July 31st, August 2nd-5th, and August 13th. Therefore, trading strategies should be developed based on the assumption that the volatility period extends from July 30th to August 14th. The current price is moving sideways in the 115,854.56-119,177.56 range. This range, the HA-High ~ DOM (60), is a crucial area to consider for support. This will determine whether the price will continue its upward trend by rising above 119,177.56, or whether it will turn downward by falling below 115,854.56. If the price falls below 115854.56, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and reestablish the trend. The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 99705.62, and the DOM (60) indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 119086.64. Therefore, when the price declines, it is important to check where the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart forms and determine whether there is support near that point. - The On-Board Value (OBV) indicator within the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing a downward trend. If the OBV falls below the Low Line, the price is expected to plummet. Therefore, it is necessary to closely monitor the movements of the OBV indicator. The Trend Check indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the StochRSI, PVT-MACD Oscillator, and On-Board Value (OBV) indicator. The TC (Trend Check) indicator interprets a rise from the 0 point as a buying trend, while a decline indicates a selling trend. In other words, a rise from the 0 point is likely to indicate an uptrend, while a decline is likely to indicate a downtrend. Currently, the TC (Trend Check) indicator is below the 0 point, suggesting a high probability of a downtrend. However, if the TC (Trend Check) indicator touches a high or low, the trend may reverse. In other words, touching a high increases the likelihood of a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend, while touching a low increases the likelihood of a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. When such movements occur, it's important to consider the support and resistance levels formed around the price level to determine a response. In other words, consider the support and resistance levels formed at the current price level. As a significant period of volatility approaches, prepare to transition from box trading to trend trading. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - Here's an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin - Will the liquidity at $122K be the next target?Bitcoin is currently trading within a defined corrective channel, which has been developing over the past few weeks. Price action within this structure has been characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a mild downtrend. However, these movements lack strong momentum, indicating that the market is consolidating rather than entering a deeper correction. This kind of structure often precedes a significant breakout, and given the nature of the current price action, a retest of previous highs remains a realistic possibility. Bullish Scenario Looking at the overall structure of the channel, a bullish breakout seems increasingly likely. For this scenario to unfold, BTC needs to hold the midline of the channel as support. If this level is respected, it could pave the way for a push towards the upper boundary of the channel and a potential break above the lower high structure near $120,000. A successful breach of that level could trigger a move toward the $122,000 liquidity zone, with the potential to challenge the all-time high (ATH) in the near future. Holding the midline and breaking above key resistance would provide confirmation of strength and continuation to the upside. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold the midline as support and starts closing below it on the 4H timeframe, we could see a renewed move toward the lower boundary of the corrective channel. This could lead to a test of the unfilled 4H fair value gap (FVG) highlighted in the chart, located around the $112,000 – $113,000 area. This zone also coincides with a strong historical support level, making it a logical area where buyers might step in and provide the momentum needed for a more sustainable bullish reversal. Final Thoughts While both scenarios remain valid, the price structure within the corrective channel currently leans slightly more toward a bullish outcome. The lack of aggressive selling and the potential for liquidity above the previous highs support this view. However, trading is never about certainty but about preparing for various possibilities. Being aware of both bullish and bearish setups allows traders to react with flexibility and discipline depending on how the market unfolds in the coming sessions. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by Youriverse
57
BTC – Still looking heavy below key resistanceDespite a short-term relief bounce after Monday’s drop, BTC remains below the critical 1D MSS + S/R (red box). Structure is weak until this level is reclaimed. Bears remain in control as long as price can’t close above 115.7k. Plan: Maintain bearish bias while below the red box — expecting new lows, targeting the green demand/OB cluster around 108.3k. Flip the red box (close above 115.7k) and the outlook shifts to neutral or bullish.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
Still Losing After Backtesting? This Fixed It.Let’s get straight to it. If you’ve gone through the "nerd arc" and the "backtesting arc" but still aren’t profitable... What’s the fix? In this short write-up, I’ll walk you through 3 brutal truths that made me finally see green. Is it hard? UH—Damn right. But let’s go 👇 1. Market Understanding This isn’t something you "learn" from a course. It’s something that clicks after dozens of stop losses and live trades. Here are a few ways I got more comfortable with it: 1. Don’t fear opening trades or hitting stop loss. Each trade gives you data. More trades = more experience = better market feel. What’s the requirement? Capital and risk management. Without that, you won’t even survive long enough to "get" it. 2. Journaling every single trade. Write everything: your thoughts, screenshots, feelings — before and after. Too lazy to do it? Left trading. Simple. 3. Be the detective. Read the chart like a story. No, seriously. Think of Bitcoin as a character with real moods. Every candle tells you something. That 5% pump? Buyers pushing up. Then bears smacked it down — candle closed red. Now price is bleeding again. Why? 🔍 Be the detective. 4. Analyze the market every day — even without trading. The more you observe, the more you see. Structures. Patterns. Behavior. Easy? Nah. It takes discipline — like posting one story text to Insta for 1,000 days straight. Still wanna try? 2. Personal Trading Plan Remember how I said "don’t fear opening trades"? Well — after you’ve opened a bunch, you can start tailoring your own trading plan based on you. This isn’t a PDF you can steal off Google. Only after seeing how you behave in trades, you’ll know what rules make sense. Maybe: "I don’t trade when I’m emotionally off." "This setup gave me the best results over 100 trades." Just don’t copy-paste someone else’s rules. Make a flexible structure, then let the details emerge from the market and your own experience. Now — Take a deep breath. When was the last time you enjoyed your coffee? More than a day ago? Go make one now. Might not get to taste it tomorrow. Not everything in life is trading :) 3. Psychology Ah, the final boss. Still my weakest area, honestly. But here are a few real things that helped: Tip 1: WRITE. Just write whatever you feel. Telegram saved messages? Notebook? Or if you're like me (🧠nerd), Notion. Do it for 60 days straight — then feed that journal to ChatGPT and analyze yourself. Takes time, but the patterns you'll see are... magical. Tip 2: Money & Risk Management. When you know your stop loss means only -0.25% of your capital… why should you panic? For me: I place the SL, set a TP alert, and leave the screen. No emotions, no fear. Why? Because when capital is protected, so is my psychology. Truth is, trading emotions aren’t just during the trade — they live in your head all day. When your mental energy’s drained? You’ll miss A+ setups. Fall for BS ones. Lose focus. It’s complicated. Because humans are complicated. Our brains are the most tangled system known. And somehow, out of all that noise, consciousness emerges. A miracle. So don’t expect to always feel calm. Just aim to get better. That’s it. Thanks for sticking around. These are just my thoughts, from one tired trader to another 🧠 I’m no expert—just sharing what’s worked (and what hasn’t). If it helped, a boost would mean a lot. 🚫 Don’t FOMO ✅ Manage your capital Until tomorrow — Peace out. ✌️
Education
by SkepticLab
From Fakeout to Takeoff: How the V-Pattern REALLY WorksEver seen a support level break, only for the price to rocket back up in a V-shape? That’s the V-Pattern in action! In this post, Skeptic from Skeptic Lab breaks down the step-by-step mechanics of this powerful setup. From the fakeout that traps short sellers to the surge of buy orders from liquidations, you’ll learn exactly how buyers flip the script and create explosive reversals. Perfect for traders looking to spot high-probability setups. Join me to decode the markets—check out the steps and level up your trading game!
Education
by SkepticLab
1