BTCUSDT ISHS Breakout with Bullish Pennant ContinuationBTC is holding above a clean neckline breakout from a inverse head and shoulders formation, currently consolidating inside a bullish pennant. A breakout from this range offers continuation potential to $136K and possibly to $168K. Bias remains bullish while price holds above the $114K region.
Market Structure
• Trend: Bullish continuation
• Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders + Bullish Pennant
• Price Action: Clean breakout and retest of neckline support, followed by tightening consolidation
Key Zones
• Immediate Demand Zone: $114,000 – $117,000
• Internal Demand Zone: $105,000 – $108,000
• Major Setup Support Zone: $98,000 – $101,000
• Base Support (ISHS Origin): $74,500 – $77,000
• Neckline: $111,700-$113,800 (Confirmed pivot level)
Technical Confluence
• Volume: Strong candle breakout through neckline, followed by low-volume bullish flag
• Price Geometry: ISHS measured move aligns with the final target at $168K
• Momentum: Bullish structure maintained with higher lows and reactive demand
Entry Plan
• Zone: $117,500 – $119,000
• Method: Limit buy on demand retest or breakout retest of $123K
• Execution: Swing entry with invalidation below demand base
Targets
• 🎯 TP1: $136,442 — Pennant measured move
• 🎯 TP2: $168,029 — Final ISHS target
Invalidation
• ❌ SL: Below $110,000
• Reason: Break below ISHS Neckline invalidates bullish thesis in the short term
• RRR: Estimated 1:4 depending on execution
If this structure aligns with your outlook, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
You’re also welcome to drop your preferred altcoins for a quick technical review.
USTBTC trade ideas
Bitcoin BTC price analysis by the end of 2025🕯 July is coming to an end, with 3 weeks of OKX:BTCUSDT consolidation between $117k–121k.
Tomorrow begins the last month of summer — and it promises to be "hot" as, according to our earlier published calendar Trump's administration plans to send letters with new, increased tariffs to "all countries" on 01.08.
💰 Also, take a look at Bitcoin Monthly Returns. In our view, 2025 resembles 2020 the most.
What do you think?
👉 According to this dynamic, the real "hot" may come not in summer, but late autumn.
💰 We've also tried to find a price fractal for #BTCUSD that fits the current structure — and for now, it looks plausible:
◆ In the coming days, CRYPTOCAP:BTC should not rise above $121k.
◆ A low of correction might hit mid-September around $93k.
◆ A cycle top for #BTC could arrive to the end of 2025, near $147k.
📄 Now that you've seen our version — share your forecasts on future #BTCUSDC price action in the comments 👇
BITCOIN: THE PERFECT STORM - MULTIPLE BREAKOUT PATTERNS ALIGNED⚠️ CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVELS
🛡️ Support 1: $115,000 (-3%) - Triangle support
🛡️ Support 2: $110,000 (-7%) - Channel support
🔴 DANGER ZONE: $105,000 (-11%) - Multiple pattern failure
So...
Strategy: Quick profits on pattern completion 🎨
Entry: $115k (Triangle breakout confirmation) 📊
Stop Loss: $114k below (Tight risk management) ❌
Target: $125k (+10%) ✅
Time Horizon: 2-3 weeks 📅
Risk/Reward: 1:6 🎯
________________ NOTE _____________
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Bitcoin is highly volatile and risky. Only invest what you can afford to lose completely. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately 🚨
How to use Free TradingView Indicator to detect Liquidity TrapsPerformance on Shared BTC/USDT Chart
Indicator : Liquidity Trap Detector (LTD)
Timeframe: 15-sec (as per chart)
Observation Period: Full session visible in the screenshot
1. Bull Traps Detected: 4
• Major traps occurred during local tops where price sharply reversed.
• Example: ~19:15 and ~21:00 marked strong reversals after fake breakouts.
2. Bear Traps Detected: 5
• Triggered near local bottoms, followed by short-term rebounds.
• Example: ~22:15 and ~00:30 triggered after sudden downward sweeps.
3. Accuracy:
• Approx. 70–75% of traps correctly led to meaningful reversals.
• A few signals occurred during trend continuation, indicating strong momentum rather than a trap.
4. False Signals:
• Some Bull Trap signals appeared during minor pullbacks that continued trending up.
• Filtering with cooldown periods or trend filters (e.g., EMA alignment) can reduce noise.
⸻
Key Takeaways
• Best Use Case:
• Short-term scalping and identifying liquidity sweeps before reversals.
• Works well in ranging or high-volatility conditions.
Caution:
• In strong trending markets, some signals may mark pause points, not full reversals.
• Combining LTD with higher timeframe trend confirmation improves reliability.
BTCUSDT | Key Trend Channel Breakdown & Major Support AheadBitcoin has broken below a key trend channel on the 4H chart, currently trading around $113,891. Price is reacting after a sharp drop, approaching a major demand zone located between $107.5K and $109K, which previously acted as a strong support.
📉 Downside Potential:
Main Demand Zone: $107.5K – $109K
A possible bullish reaction is expected here if buyers step in aggressively.
📈 Upside Targets if Price Rebounds:
First Target: Upper boundary of local channel – ~$117.5K
Second Target: Full bullish recovery – ~$135K
⚠️ Note: This move comes after an extended consolidation and a sudden breakdown. Pay close attention to the lower boundary zone, as failure to hold could trigger a deeper correction.
📊 Chart Type: BTCUSDT – 4H (Binance)
🔧 Tools Used: Trend Channels, Support/Resistance Zones
📅 Date: August 3, 2025
BTCUSDT: Elliot Wave AnalysisAs you can see in the chart, the fourth wave has ended and there is a possibility of an increase in the next stage to the level between 128,000 and 131,000, followed by a correction for a larger fourth wave and finally the last leg of the increase to the fifth wave, which has the possibility of reaching 139,000 to 140,000.
BTC Retracement Loading.....Bullish Bounce Ahead?Bitcoin is showing signs of a short-term pullback after tapping into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, triggering a potential short setup. Price is likely to retrace toward the bullish order block and retracement zone around 105,000–110,000. If that area holds, we could see a strong bounce back toward the 123,000 level.
BTC - Cleaned up the lows!Bearish momentum is starting to stall here at the lows.
New month, and we started it by cleaning up the previous month's bad lows.
If we can hold here I'm looking for a trendline retest and VAL retest soon. Maybe we get one more sweep of the low, giving us a three drive pattern.
Reclaim VAL then it's back to VAH, maybe take out all the bad highs.
If we start bleeding into the lower demand zone (green box), I will start paying attention for a potential bearish retest into 110k, which we be our last area of imbalance to fill.
Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is:
What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here?
Let’s dive into the technicals.
🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure
May–June Range:
BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C:
✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE)
✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE)
Full Bull Market TBFE:
➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected
➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone
Pitchfork (log scale):
➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting.
Previous Bear Market Fib Extension:
➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit.
2018–2022 Cycle TBFE:
➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped.
Macro Fibonacci Channel:
➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) →
1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K.
✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance.
Daily Timeframe
➡️ FVG / Imbalance:
Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low.
BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely.
Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook
We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting.
The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C.
➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K
➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326
➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Entry: $120,300–$121,000
Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300)
Target: $113,500
R:R ≈ 1:2.3
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000
Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500)
Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes
When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools.
Here’s why:
➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings.
➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves.
➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone.
In short:
When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry.
That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes.
⚡ Final Thoughts
Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase.
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BTC is just beginning its correction🌐 As always, people like to find meaning in everything to make life seem simpler and more meaningful. So, once again, Trump has been blamed for the market crash.
Probably, if it weren't for geopolitics, Bitcoin would have grown indefinitely, and no one would have taken profits, but simply admired the numbers in their accounts 😁
But this is the real world, and BTC has long been asking for a correction along with the entire market, which I have been talking about for a long time in my ideas.
That is why this is not just a dip, but the likely beginning of a full-scale correction:
➡️ Last week's decline was expected because there is a GAP at $117,000 - $111,245 at these levels. Now that it is almost closed, a new GAP has formed during the decline at $118,403 - $115,245.
➡️ Volume - The volume of purchases at this price is simply negligible; no one wants to buy the dip even at $112,000. In addition, a divergence has been forming since last week in the volume of purchases, which has been declining for a long time.
➡️ Money Flow - very little liquidity entered on the rebound. This signals a lack of interest in buying the dip. The indicator is firmly in negative territory.
➡️ The price has also returned to the boundaries of the descending flag. Technically, this means a probable rebound to $118,000, the upper boundary of the flag, where the GAP is practically ending.
📌 Conclusion:
The main question now is: what next? Either we go higher and close the GAP from above, or we go down to retest the bottom from Sunday and close the GAP.
So far, everything points to the second scenario being more likely.
✍️ What do you think will happen next for BTC?
BTC accumulates, slightly adjusts down💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE – START OF THE WEEK (04/08)
🔍 1. Current Technical Structure
Price Pattern: The chart shows BTC is forming a falling wedge pattern, with converging support and resistance lines.
False Break: There was a false break below the strong support zone around ~112,000, followed by a sharp rebound. This indicates buyers are actively defending this level, showing potential buying pressure.
Fibonacci Retracement: From the recent low to high, the 0.5 (115,559) and 0.618 (116,361) Fibonacci levels are acting as key resistance zones.
Key Price Levels:
• Strong support: 111,800 – 112,300
• Near resistance: 115,500 – 116,500
• Next resistance: downtrend line and previous high around 118,000 – 119,000
🔄 2. Possible Trend Scenarios
✅ Main scenario (bullish):
BTC made a false break below the wedge → rebounded toward Fibonacci resistance → potential:
• Continue rising to the 115,500 – 116,500 zone
• If it breaks and holds above this zone, BTC could break out of the wedge pattern and target 118,000 – 120,000
• A longer-term target could be the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension around ~123,159
❌ Alternative scenario (bearish):
If BTC fails to break above 116,000 and gets rejected:
• It may retest the 112,000 support zone again
• A breakdown below this support would bring back the downtrend
🔄 3. Bullish Supporting Factors:
• The false break signals a shakeout of weak sellers.
• A potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is forming, supporting a bullish reversal.
• Moving Averages (MA): Price is nearing the 200 MA (red) – a possible bullish crossover with shorter-term MAs may occur, signaling a buy.
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy
• Safe buy zone: Around 113,500 – 114,000 if there’s a pullback.
• Take profit in stages: 116,500 – 118,000 – 120,000
• Stop-loss: Below 112,000 in case of a confirmed breakdown
Bitcoin Analysis (3D)Bitcoin is currently trading in a very specific zone that resembles a classic bull flag continuation pattern, similar to the one we saw during last year’s rally.
Back then, a slow-forming bull flag broke to the upside, pushed to new all-time highs, and then retested the top of the same flag before continuing higher.
Now, we are witnessing a similar setup, but this time the formation has developed much faster.
The key difference:
While last year’s bull flag took a longer time to mature, the current one is more compressed, indicating a potentially sharper move if confirmed.
The $108K daily level is critical.
As long as Bitcoin remains above this level, the structure favors a new rally.
This could be the start of another impulsive leg, targeting the $128K Area.
Bitcoin Price Flow From Liquidity Grabs to Structural BreakoutsBitcoin Price Action Analysis:
In recent sessions, Bitcoin has been consistently making Breaks of Structure (BoS) to the upside, indicating a strong bullish trend. Most recently, after forming another BoS, the market retraced downward and precisely tapped into a previously established Bullish Order Block (OB). This reaction led to a temporary upward movement; however, during this process, the market also created a zone of internal liquidity.
Currently, Bitcoin is showing signs of a downward move again, potentially aiming to capture Internal Drawdown Market (IDM) liquidity. Just below this level lies another key Order Block, which could serve as a strong support zone. If the price reacts positively from this region, we might see the market initiate another upward leg, potentially forming the next Break of Structure to continue the bullish narrative.
Note: Always perform your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.