DJ30 trade ideas
US30 Footprint Update | May 29, 2025We're witnessing a clear shift in order flow dynamics on the 1H footprint chart.
🔻 Earlier in the session, sellers were firmly in control with heavy negative delta and large sell imbalances between 42,280–42,120.
🔄 Key Change: Around 42,088–42,177, aggressive selling was absorbed, followed by a strong bullish delta of +125 and increasing buyer interest in the following candles. Volume has flipped in favor of buyers.
📈 Current Price: Holding around 42,191.50, just below the key resistance zone of 42,231. A clean break and acceptance above this level could confirm a bullish shift toward 42,280–42,300.
🧠 What I’m Watching:
Break and hold above 42,231 = long continuation
Failure to sustain = possible retest of 42,177 or lower support
🎯 Volume and delta are aligning in favor of bulls — let’s see if they can take control.
Long US30Long to POC 1 or 2
Exit if Renko prints opposite direction
Enter if Renko prints long position again
US 30 Technical Analysis US30 Monthly, Weekly, and Daily Technical Analysis
Note: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Monthly Timeframe:
In April, the US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) posted a high of 42,548 and a low of 36,483. The April candle closed within the range of the March candle, signaling strong buying interest, likely driven by fundamental data. The key takeaway from the monthly chart is that April’s close within March’s range highlights buyer strength and the potential for continued bullish momentum.
Weekly Timeframe:
The bullish channel remains intact on the weekly timeframe. Although price briefly broke below the trendline, it quickly rebounded and re-entered the channel in the first week of April.
There has been no break of structure on the weekly chart. Last week's high at 42,858 swept the previous week’s high but closed within the previous week’s range, ending precisely at the prior week’s low. This indicates unclear price action and potential indecision.
If the upcoming week closes above the 43,100 level, this week’s low could be considered a weekly inducement, adding confluence for a potential bullish move. Until then, it remains just a weekly low without significant structure.
Daily Timeframe:
On the daily chart, price action remains indecisive, with no valid break of structure to confirm an upward trend continuation. However, there is a key support zone between 40,800 and 40,660, which aligns with a confluence of a daily trendline—potentially forming a buy zone, but only upon confirmation on lower timeframes.
Interestingly, the price has ranged between the same levels during the periods from March 13 to March 27 and from April 1 to May 20, reinforcing the range-bound nature of the market.
Outlook:
Given the lack of clear directional bias, scalping opportunities may be more appropriate in the upcoming week, especially if the market continues to range. A strong breakout and close above 43,150 could signal a bullish continuation, in which case we would look for a pullback and hold of long positions, targeting the 44,500 level.
Possibility of uptrend Wave c is expected to end at the green support zone and start an uptrend. A break of the support zone will invalidate the above scenario.
US30Correlation Between US30, 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, and DXY
1. Bond Prices vs. Yields
Inverse Relationship: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When bond prices rise, yields fall, and vice versa.
Example: If the 10-year Treasury bond price drops (due to selling pressure), its yield rises to attract buyers.
Current 10-year yield: 4.54% (as of May 21, 2025).
2. 10-Year Yield vs. DXY (US Dollar Index)
Typical Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into USD-denominated assets, strengthening the dollar (DXY↑).
Recent Divergence:
A rising 10-year yield paired with a weakening DXY may signal market skepticism about Fed policy or risk aversion (e.g., investors favor Treasuries as safe havens despite lower yields).
Example: If yields rise due to inflation fears without economic growth, DXY may weaken as traders doubt the Fed’s ability to sustain rate hikes.
3. DXY vs. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
Inverse Correlation: A weaker dollar (DXY↓) often supports equity indices like US30, as multinational companies benefit from cheaper exports and higher overseas earnings.
Exceptions:
In risk-off environments, a stronger dollar (DXY↑) may coincide with equity sell-offs as investors flee to safe-haven assets.
4. 10-Year Yield vs. US30
Mixed Relationship:
Negative: Rising yields can pressure equities (US30↓) as higher borrowing costs reduce corporate profits and make bonds more attractive.
Positive: Yields rising due to growth optimism may lift stocks (US30↑) if earnings expectations improve.
5. Yield Curve Dynamics (30-10 Year Spread)
Current Spread: 0.51% (30-year yield: 4.94%, 10-year yield: 4.43%).
Implications:
A widening spread (30-year > 10-year) suggests long-term growth/inflation expectations.
A flattening/inverted spread signals economic uncertainty or recession fears.
Summary Table of Relationships
Factor Relationship with DXY Relationship with US30
10-Year Yield ↑ Typically ↑ (if growth-driven) ↓ (if rate-driven) / ↑ (if growth-driven)
Bond Prices ↑ ↓ (yields fall, USD less attractive) ↑ (cheaper borrowing)
DXY ↑ — Typically ↓ (hurts exports)
30-10 Spread Widens Neutral ↑ (growth optimism)
Key Scenarios
Risk-On Environment:
DXY↓ + US30↑ + Yields↑ (growth optimism).
Example: Weaker dollar boosts equities despite rising yields.
Risk-Off Environment:
DXY↑ + US30↓ + Yields↓ (safe-haven demand for bonds and USD).
Policy Divergence:
Yields↑ + DXY↓ (markets doubt Fed’s ability to sustain hikes despite inflation).
Conclusion
The interplay between US30, bond yields, prices, and DXY is dynamic and context-dependent:
Yield-DXY Link: Normally positive but can diverge during policy uncertainty or risk aversion.
DXY-US30 Link: Typically inverse but influenced by macroeconomic drivers.
Yield Curve: A widening 30-10 spread supports growth optimism, while flattening signals caution.
Traders must monitor Fed policy, inflation data, and risk sentiment to navigate these correlations effectively.
Sell us30 Key Observations:
Market Structure:
Choch (Change of Character) marked → suggests a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
BOS (Break of Structure) below recent lows confirms bearish pressure.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
H1 FVG and IFVG (Internal FVG) have already been touched and price reacted bearishly.
H4 FVG above is unmitigated, acting as a potential supply zone.
Weekly FVG above current price – could be a long-term draw on liquidity but not immediate.
Trendline (Support):
Price is approaching an ascending trendline acting as dynamic support around 41,890 area.
If this trendline holds, a bounce is possible before any further drop.
Price Action:
Strong bearish candles breaking through the H1 FVG.
Sell-side liquidity beneath equal lows and trendline may be the target.
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🧠 Bias Summary:
✅ Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Reason: BOS + Choch + strong downside momentum + fair value gap fills.
Expectation: Price may seek liquidity below the trendline (41,800–41,600 zone).
⚠️ Watch for a Potential Bounce:
At the trendline zone (41,880–41,900), possible reaction or retracement.
If a strong bullish reaction forms here with displacement, we could see a move back up to fill the H4 FVG.
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📍 Bias = Bearish, with potential for short-term retracement or liquidity sweep before continuation
US30: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 42,126.0 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30US30 Daily time frame analysis
Inverted Head/shoulder pattern formed also facing downtrend resistance
Take entry after break of neckline
Targets mention
Long Us30 UpdateUS30 long TP 1 hit I've closed the trade
waiting for Pullback to show its hand to the upside for another push higher
New POC developed this is not to be ignored
Understanding Market StructureIn this video, I break down market structure in a simple and easy-to-digest way, helping you understand how to identify whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.
Recognizing market direction is a key skill for any trader, it allows you to trade in alignment with price action and make more confident, higher-probability decisions.
✅ If you're new to trading or want to sharpen your edge, this video will give you the insights needed to read market trends more clearly.
📈 Hope you find value in this breakdown!
👉 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe to support the channel and stay tuned for more educational content.
Dow Jones (US30)The Dow Jones is due to see weakness as the US Dollar finds its footing seeking high prices and attacking 4Hour Resistance structures.
We expect a Bullish US Dollar which supports our Bearish notion on US30.
DowJones INTRADAY corrective pulback supported at 41470Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42920
Resistance Level 2: 43300
Resistance Level 3: 43620
Support Level 1: 41470
Support Level 2: 41160
Support Level 3: 40890
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 - At Resistance? Holds or not??#US30 #DOWJONES - market just reached near to his current resistance region.
And if market hold it in that case we can expect a drop from here.
So don't be lazy here and only short below that.
Note: we will go for cut n reverse above region on confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Us30 sellKey Elements:
Price: 41,579.16 (at the time of the screenshot), showing a drop of -343.51 points (-0.82%).
Zones:
Weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap): Around 42,750–43,000.
Daily FVG: Around 42,100.
Daily High/Low: Marked around 42,095.82 (high) and 41,147.61 (low).
Market Structure:
CHoCH (Change of Character): Several CHoCHs marked, indicating shifts in market sentiment and structure.
BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates previous bullish momentum was broken.
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Prediction Path (Orange Arrow):
Suggests a possible retracement upward into the Daily FVG zone (~42,000+), then a reversal downward, breaking the Daily Low (~41,147).
Final target seems to be near 40,500 or lower, with another CHoCH noted at that level—implying further bearish continuation potential.
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Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bearish bias:
Retracement to fill the Daily FVG.
Then continuation downward, breaking key structural levels.
DJI 1920/30 - 2020/30Ok I'll let her go I'll let her go lyrics meaning ok I just wanted her go I'll let her go lyrics to I can do it on my to do it again next year is it on Netflix or Amazon and they have her number and they
DowJones INTRADAY Key trading zone retestKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42,920
Resistance Level 2: 43,300
Resistance Level 3: 43,620
Support Level 1: 41,470
Support Level 2: 41,160
Support Level 3: 40,890
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Eyes 42,800 Resistance – Key Breakout Ahead?The Dow is currently holding near the neckline of a double-top formation that developed between December 2024 and February 2025, possibly buoyed by ongoing tech and Nasdaq optimism. The broader rebound from the 2025 lows is also forming a diagonal structure, setting up the following scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
With weekly RSI holding above the 50 neutral zone after rebounding from oversold levels last seen in 2020, a sustained move above the 42,800-resistance level could extend the rally toward 43,800 and 44,800. A breakout above the all-time high near 45,000 would open the door toward the next major resistance at 46,800.
Bearish Scenario:
If the diagonal formation breaks to the downside—below 41,400 and 41,000—selling pressure could resume, forming a diagonal correction targeting support levels at 40,400, 39,700, and 39,000.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
USA30 next possible moveMorning traders,I decided to share few I deas in smaller time frame as you can see dj open higher this week soo you need to generate liquidity in to position,am expecting market to pull a bit lower however it's been selling for past hours as you can you meaning it might continue with the trend before that I didn't mention but shown in the chart,make sure you are updated in everything soo that you wont be surprised when you see spikes understand them when the occur ls thank you I wish you all best n profitable week.
US30 potential long setupsMulti-Timeframe Market Analysis — Bullish Continuation Potential
3-Month Timeframe
• October 2023: Price broke all-time highs.
• Bullish order block established at $37,250; price rallied to $45,000.
• Strong retracement followed to the $39,000 region—bullish orders filled.
• Current trend: Structure remains bullish with institutional support evident.
Monthly Timeframe
• Post-ATH liquidity collected at $41,750; retested in January with insufficient momentum.
• Price returned to $45,000 before retracing to $38,000.
• Strong bullish response from $38,000 leading into April and May.
• Price now trades above $41,750. A monthly close above this level signals further upside.
• Watch for a three-pin pattern—if confirmed, high probability of a break above previous monthly highs.
• Next target: $45,000 liquidity zone.
Weekly Timeframe
• Double bottom formation aligned with higher timeframes.
• Bullish accumulation at $41,250 drove price to $42,000, followed by a close above that level.
• Immediate resistance at $44,000, where previous bearish orders were concentrated.
• Last week ended with a bearish candle; this week opened with strong bullish momentum from $41,250.
• This timeframe supports a bullish bias, contingent on follow-through above key levels.
Daily Timeframe
• Bullish structure in alignment with monthly and weekly.
• Strong order flow noted at $41,250, enabling a break and close above $42,000.
• Next daily target: $42,800; key resistance: $42,881.
• Anticipate a possible retracement to $42,000 for further accumulation before continuation higher.
4H Timeframe
• Intraday price action highlights Friday’s retracement to $41,250 during NY session—bullish orders filled.
• Monday opened bullish; momentum slowed at $42,000 with brief retracement.
• Tuesday's NY session: 3-pin bullish pattern at $42,000, followed by a bullish close.
• Current price movement appears to be a retracement for more long orders.
• No actionable setup at the moment; monitoring for a clean 4H close above $42,350.
1H Timeframe
• Price encountered resistance at $42,350, a known liquidity region.
• Break and close above $42,300–$42,350 range confirms short-term bullish pressure.
• Awaiting next 4H candle to assess validity of long setup.
• Maintaining a neutral stance short-term; prepared to act on bullish confirmation.
________________________________________
Conclusion:
Very mindful of FOMC meeting minutes today and I am waiting to see what price action will occur after. Market structure across all major timeframes remains bullish. Pending a monthly close above $41,750 and a potential three-pin formation, the technical outlook favors continued upside. Patience remains key—await confirmation for optimal long entries.
Dow Jonas - Elliot wave📉 DJI — Elliott Wave Top in Sight?
🔍 A long-term analysis with serious implications...
I've been diving deep into the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), using Elliott Wave principles — and what I see may signal the end of one of the longest bull markets in history.
Elliott was right — the massive bull cycle did arrive and extended well into the 2000s. But now, that journey looks to be nearing its final destination.
Currently, I believe we're witnessing the development of an Ending Diagonal pattern — a structure often seen at the end of a major impulse. This formation appears to be completing a set of blue sub-waves, which in turn cap off the larger green primary impulse wave.
📍 The box marks my anticipated top for the DJI. From this point, I expect a strong reversal and the beginning of a major correction.
Now here's the shocking part:
If this correction plays out in time and reaches the Fibonacci 0.382 level, that would suggest a retracement spanning up to 86 years — yes, 86 years.
This isn’t just about markets anymore — such a scenario could carry massive consequences for the global economy and society as a whole.
If, however, we see a strong breakout above the box, then the ending diagonal thesis would be invalidated, and we might instead be witnessing an extended wave 5 — complete with five internal sub-waves.
But either way — the top is coming. It’s just a matter of when, and how hard we fall.
💬 What are your thoughts? Could we really be on the edge of a generational peak?
DOW JONES Inverse Head and Shoulders starting new rally.Dow Jones/ US30 has found support today on its 1day MA50 despite the strong correction.
The long term pattern is an Inverse Head and Shoulders and today's 1day MA50 hold may complete its Right Shoulder.
Go long and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 50000.
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US30: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 41,589.0 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
