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DJ30 trade ideas

Dow to drop into bear market but first bounce at 36k H&S patternBearish case Dow to drop 20% from ATH to be into a bear market 20% from ATH = weekly 200 EMA so banks will try and hold the price at 36k I think it bounces here and then eventually fails and we get a big equity bear market We have two H&S patterns that together take us below 36k if their targets are met be a nice trade if it bounces at 36k off the 200 EMA to get in and out and add to short again without being slapped in the face. At which max bounce point off the (36k) look for the rest of the equities to go short on of stocks that have broken their key levels of support. Or look for dow stocks that are leading the way down because they already broke their weekly 200 EMA and are the weaker members of the pack.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by William_Playfair
Is another big crash coming ?This chart displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) monthly candlestick data alongside its 200-month simple moving average (SMA), highlighting significant historical declines and their characteristics. Here's the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Bearish Phases (Highlighted in Blue Boxes): Major drawdowns over the years are shown, with the percentage drop, the number of bars (months), and the trading volume involved. These events align with historical financial crises or economic downturns: 2000-2003 (-36.94%): Reflects the Dot-Com bubble burst. 2007-2009 (-52.12%): Represents the Global Financial Crisis. 2020 (-37.58%): Associated with the COVID-19 pandemic shock. 2. Recovery Time: The recovery periods vary significantly: Dot-Com Bubble: Took 37 bars (1,127 days). Financial Crisis: Longer with 18 bars (548 days) of drawdown and prolonged recovery beyond the charted downturn. COVID-19 Crash: Shortest at 2 bars (58 days) due to rapid monetary intervention. 3. Trends and Momentum: The 200 SMA provides a clear indicator of long-term trend stability: Downturns saw temporary breakdowns below the SMA, followed by robust recoveries. Overall, the index reflects an upward trend over the decades. RSI (14) Indicator: RSI peaks correlate to market highs; lows often match oversold conditions in major bear markets. 4. Market Volatility and Volume: A noticeable spike in volumes coincides with large bearish moves (e.g., 2007-2009 and 2020 crises), signifying panic-driven trading activity. Recent periods (2020 onwards) show high volatility, accompanied by strong rebounds. --- Conclusions: Historically, even severe bear markets have seen the DJIA recover and continue its long-term uptrend, which aligns with the principle of compounding returns and economic growth. The market tends to break its long-term SMA during extreme crises but eventually recovers. Current RSI values suggest the market may not yet be overheated, but caution is advisable given previous patterns. Would you like a deeper technical analysis or possible forecasting based on this data?
DJ:DJIEducation
by AnkurDasTrader
Is another big crash coming ?This chart displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) monthly candlestick data alongside its 200-month simple moving average (SMA), highlighting significant historical declines and their characteristics. Here's the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Bearish Phases (Highlighted in Blue Boxes): Major drawdowns over the years are shown, with the percentage drop, the number of bars (months), and the trading volume involved. These events align with historical financial crises or economic downturns: 2000-2003 (-36.94%): Reflects the Dot-Com bubble burst. 2007-2009 (-52.12%): Represents the Global Financial Crisis. 2020 (-37.58%): Associated with the COVID-19 pandemic shock. 2. Recovery Time: The recovery periods vary significantly: Dot-Com Bubble: Took 37 bars (1,127 days). Financial Crisis: Longer with 18 bars (548 days) of drawdown and prolonged recovery beyond the charted downturn. COVID-19 Crash: Shortest at 2 bars (58 days) due to rapid monetary intervention. 3. Trends and Momentum: The 200 SMA provides a clear indicator of long-term trend stability: Downturns saw temporary breakdowns below the SMA, followed by robust recoveries. Overall, the index reflects an upward trend over the decades. RSI (14) Indicator: RSI peaks correlate to market highs; lows often match oversold conditions in major bear markets. 4. Market Volatility and Volume: A noticeable spike in volumes coincides with large bearish moves (e.g., 2007-2009 and 2020 crises), signifying panic-driven trading activity. Recent periods (2020 onwards) show high volatility, accompanied by strong rebounds. --- Conclusions: Historically, even severe bear markets have seen the DJIA recover and continue its long-term uptrend, which aligns with the principle of compounding returns and economic growth. The market tends to break its long-term SMA during extreme crises but eventually recovers. Current RSI values suggest the market may not yet be overheated, but caution is advisable given previous patterns. Would you like a deeper technical analysis or possible forecasting based on this data?
DJ:DJI
by AnkurDasTrader
DOW JONES: Ignore the pullback, this is a new bullish wave.Dow Jones turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.280, MACD = -138.420, ADX = 33.278) as it failed to hold the 4H MA50 as support today and crossed under it. The 1D MA100 is coming in as the next level of support, which formed the Dec 18th-19th low. According to the 4H MACD, the index formed during those 2 days a bottom similar to of August 5th. As long as the 1D MA100 holds, it is more likely to see a bounce above the 4H MA50 again like August 13th. Our goal is a wave, so we're targeting the R1 level (TP = 45,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
1
DOW JONES What signals the top of this Cycle?Dow Jones (DJI) has been on a highly systematic pattern ever since the 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis and this chart on the 3W time-frame depicts very accurately the symmetrical nature of the Cycles that the index is going through in the past 15 years. As you see, ever since the October 2011 bounce on both the 3W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 3W MA200 (orange trend-line), Dow started a hyper aggressive Bull Cycle, which after making a Top on each phase, it broke below the 3W MA50 to become a buy opportunity again but has never yet broken below the 3W MA200. So far we have completed three such phases and we are currently on the 4th. In the three that have already been completed, the Top of the Phase was signaled by the RSI. At a certain point that it broke above the 70.00 overbought barrier, it started a Channel Down comprised of 4 legs (a through d). On the (d) leg, it gave a signal that Dow had (or is very close to) topped. That was the ultimate long-term Sell Signal. Similarly, when the index broke below its MA50 and the RSI double bottomed, it has been the ultimate signal to buy. Right now it appears that the RSI has completed Leg (a) and is starting the rise to Leg (b) of its newly emerged Channel Down. That means that the market has around another 12 months before it Tops again. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
1
US30/USD 4H ChartOur Preferance The index shows signs of weakness amid ongoing market uncertainties and potential macroeconomic headwinds. Price has retested resistance at 43,780, forming a bearish rejection. A support area has been identified at 41,708. Potential short setup with SL above 43,780 and TP1 at 42,753, TP2 at the support level. Monitor key economic data releases for further confirmation. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe
OANDA:US30USDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
1
DOW JOENS 1469 Points Secured on Risological BUY SELL IndicatorDow Jones Industrial (DJI) on a 15-minute timeframe captured significant profitable movements using the " Risological BUY SELL Indicator ". The tool effectively identified both bullish and bearish entries, allowing traders to secure impressive gains. Highlights of Captured Trades: 584 Points captured in a downward move. 244 Points secured in a bullish retracement. 331 Points caught during a short trade. 310 Points profited in the final bullish rally. The Risological BUY SELL Indicator demonstrated precision in marking key entry and exit points for high-confidence trading decisions. Comment " FREE Trial " to get 7 days unlimited FREE trial of this indicator.
TVC:DJILong
by ProfitsNinja
US30 BULLISH SWING IDEA So US30 hit a beautiful double bottom creating a 4HR Divergence pushing price back up 1st breaking a 1hr trendline propelling it all the way back up from the news drop now we’re slowly making higher lows looking like we will break to the upside BUT keep in mind Bearish scenario #2 (drawn in RED) is possible since we still are under the daily/weekly trendline/resistance level in Bearish territory UNTIL we break 43.400 to the upside.. if that happens expect a beautiful Bullish Rally going into January.. May the markets be on our side !!
THINKMARKETS:US30Long
by jcatchinpips
4
US30 King of Pips Strategy Overview The King of Pips strategy is a technical analysis-based trading approach focusing on identifying trend reversals and continuations. This strategy combines multiple indicators and chart patterns to gauge market sentiment and predict price movements. Bull Forecast for US30 Based on the King of Pips strategy, we anticipate a bull outlook for US30: Bull Candlestick Patterns Trading Plan 1. Entry: Bull US30 at $42,908 2. Stop-Loss: $42,684 3. Take-Profit 1: $43,010 4. Take-Profit 2: $43,112 5. *Position Sizing*: 2% of account balance. Please note that this forecast and strategy are hypothetical and not investment advice. Trading carries risks, and you should consult your financial advisor before making decisions.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by ForexGroup101
2
DJIA H4 | Potential bearish reversalDJIA (US30) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 43,058.41 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 43,850.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 42,139.85 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US30Short
by FXCM
3
US30USDUS30USD Based on Technical and Fundamental Analysis The chart shows a clear rejection from the resistance zone at 44,500, confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern (highlighted in orange). This aligns with weakening market sentiment and the potential for continued downside movement. A short entry is justified below the 43,200 level, targeting TP1 at 42,000 and TP2 at 41,600, as marked on the chart. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data or geopolitical factors that may further strengthen the bearish trend. Risk management is crucial—set a stop loss above the key resistance zone Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by David_Josh_Trader