US30 scenario 11/03/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a BEARISH scenario.
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna US30 antsanaw lhboot
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
DJ30FT trade ideas
Its Been A Long Time Hasn't It?I see a possible horrible set up coming. But also an incredibly easy set up for the current US Administration to revert policy at a certain level.
I start to wonder if they are actually not looking at the market like they said. Its not like you need to look at the market for more than 5 minutes a day after doing a SINGLE in depth analysis on a longer time frame.
We will se what happens.
bullish movement aheadnice setup we looking for bullish movement. Three touches on the trendline and support level.
Edbullish Trading Live our US30 scenario NFP DAY 07/03/2025Hello Traders!
In this video, we break down a short position on the Dow Jones (US30) using the 1-minute timeframe.
As we expected yesterday The NFP will be Negative for us Dollar you can see our scenario day before.
Don't forget to boost, and Follow for more trading tips and real-time analysis!
US30 Technical Analysis: Potential Decline Towards 44,182In this detailed market analysis provided by Brokerir, the US30 index has recently exhibited a strong bullish trend but is now showing signs of exhaustion, with price action suggesting a potential retracement. Utilizing technical indicators and key support/resistance levels, we anticipate a potential decline in price from the 44,600 level toward 44,378 and ultimately 44,182.
Market Structure & Price Action
• The price is currently trading at 44,585, showing initial signs of rejection from the 44,600 resistance zone.
• The market structure indicates a lower high formation, suggesting a weakening bullish trend.
• A break below 44,585 would confirm further downside pressure, targeting the next support zones.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Level Type Expected Reaction
44,600 Resistance Price rejection & potential pullback
44,378 Support Short-term reaction, potential consolidation
44,182 Major Support Critical level, potential trend shift
If price breaches 44,378, the probability of reaching 44,182 increases significantly, given the lack of strong liquidity zones between these levels.
Technical Indicator Analysis
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
• The MACD histogram is turning bearish, with decreasing momentum towards the zero line.
• The MACD line is crossing downward below the signal line, further confirming bearish sentiment.
• If this bearish divergence persists, price action is likely to follow with increasing sell pressure.
Volume & Liquidity Considerations
• Current trading volume is declining at resistance, indicating a lack of strong buying interest.
• If selling pressure intensifies, we could see an acceleration in downward movement once key levels are breached.
Conclusion & Trade Outlook
Given the technical factors at play:
• A confirmed break below 44,585 would signal further downside movement.
• The 44,378 level is expected to provide some short-term support; however, if price breaks below this zone, a retest of 44,182 becomes highly probable.
• The MACD trend shift supports this bearish outlook, reinforcing the expectation of further downside.
Brokerir will continue monitoring price action for confirmations before committing to a definitive bearish scenario. It is crucial to observe how the market reacts at key support levels to validate further movements.
U.S. Stock Market Hits Extreme Fear: Understanding the Decline aThe U.S. stock market has reached an extreme fear level, with the Fear and Greed Index plunging to 24, signaling heightened uncertainty and risk aversion among investors. This sharp decline coincides with a notable drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), which fell by 427.51 points (-0.99%) to 42,579.09.
Why Is the Market in Extreme Fear?
1. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy
Investors remain on edge about the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. With recent economic data showing persistent inflationary pressures, the Fed might delay anticipated rate cuts. Higher interest rates for longer could hurt economic growth and corporate profits, driving fear in the markets.
2. Weak Corporate Earnings and AI Stock Sell-Off
Some major technology and AI-driven stocks, previously market leaders, have shown weaker-than-expected earnings. For example, Marvell Technology reported disappointing revenue guidance, raising concerns about a slowdown in AI infrastructure investments. This led to a broader sell-off in the tech sector.
3. Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policy Uncertainty
The announcement of new U.S. tariffs on key imports has reignited fears of a global trade war, affecting investor sentiment. Small-cap stocks in the Russell 2000 Index have been hit particularly hard due to their reliance on domestic manufacturing and global supply chains.
4. Bond Market and Recession Signals
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has fallen from 4.8% to 4.2%, reflecting a shift towards safer assets. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Tracker has adjusted its real GDP forecast to -2.4% for Q1 2025, reinforcing concerns about an economic downturn.
5. Technical and Psychological Market Factors
The Nasdaq Composite has entered correction territory, down more than 10% from its recent peak.
The S&P 500 is testing its 200-day moving average, a crucial technical level.
The Fear and Greed Index at 24 indicates extreme pessimism, often associated with oversold market conditions.
Investor Advice in the Current Market
1. Stay Calm and Avoid Panic Selling
Extreme fear can create attractive long-term buying opportunities. Historically, markets recover from corrections, and selling out of fear may lead to missed gains when the market rebounds.
2. Focus on Quality Stocks with Strong Fundamentals
Look for companies with durable competitive advantages, strong balance sheets, and consistent cash flows.
Defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples may offer stability during market uncertainty.
3. Diversify and Hedge Risks
Consider increasing exposure to bonds or dividend-paying stocks for more stable income.
Holding gold or other safe-haven assets can provide downside protection.
4. Use a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy
Instead of trying to time the market, gradually invest in tranches to reduce the impact of short-term volatility.
5. Watch Key Economic Indicators and Fed Signals
Pay attention to upcoming CPI inflation reports, job data, and Fed meeting outcomes for clues on interest rate direction.
A clear signal of rate cuts could trigger a market rebound.
Final Thoughts
While extreme fear in the market reflects investor anxiety, it also presents potential opportunities for disciplined investors. Understanding the driving factors behind the sell-off and taking a strategic, long-term approach can help investors navigate this period of uncertainty. As Warren Buffett famously said, "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."
US30 Setup: 50% Fib & Imbalance in Focus for a Potential Short.The US 30 Dow Jones index is under pressure 📉 but is currently hovering around a significant previous support level. I’m watching for a retracement into a four-hour imbalance as a potential opportunity to go short. Additionally, I’m looking for the retrace to align with the equilibrium point, which is the 50% Fibonacci level of the current price swing from high to low 📊. For this trade, the price must stay within the imbalance zone and avoid breaking the high. If there’s a clear break of structure near the imbalance point of interest, I plan to sell 🔻. This is not financial advice. 🚨
Order Block @43200 | Sell SignalPrice created a break of structure and then created Inducement which was later mitigated. Waiting for price to tap order block then I enter bearish
Bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 43,026.07
1st Support: 42,138.59
1st Resistance: 43,672.97
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Disclaimer:
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US30 Short IdeaPrice action should go above to rest above the liquidity and take it to go back all the way down to daily support zone
US30| BEARISH PRESSURE HOLDS AS MARKET AWAITS BREAKOUT DECISIONHi
US30 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
The market is currently consolidating within a tight range, as seen in the red-circled area, reflecting indecision between buyers and sellers. This phase typically precedes a breakout, and given the prevailing descending channel, the likelihood of a bearish move remains strong. The inability to push beyond the resistance zone reinforces the expectation of further downside movement.
A break below 43,360 would signal the start of the next leg down, opening the path toward 42,730. If selling pressure persists, the price is expected to continue its decline, targeting 42,292. A more significant drop could bring the market to the lower boundary of the support zone around 41,755. The overall structure suggests that as long as the price remains contained within the descending channel, bearish momentum will dominate.
For a bullish shift, the price must break above the descending channel and hold above the resistance zone. A confirmed breakout beyond 44,090 and sustained movement above 44,470 would indicate a trend reversal.
US30 Still Under Tariff Uncertainty Pressure, Below 43,212US30 Analysis & Market Impact – March 6, 2025
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed and still continues trade at the same area
📉 Bearish Momentum will persist as long as the price trades below the pivot zone at 43,212.
🔍 Technical Outlook
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price remains below 43,212, it is expected to drop toward 42,920 and 42,770.
A 4H candle close below 42,770 would confirm further downside, targeting 42,588.
🔹 Bullish Recovery:
For buyers to regain control, US30 must close a 4H candle above 43,350, signaling a potential recovery. A sustained move above 43,350 would shift momentum toward 43,590.
🌍 Market Sentiment & Trade Impact
Investors are currently facing increased pressure due to the tariffs imposed by former President Trump on Canada, Mexico, and China. This development is anticipated to further exacerbate the downward trend in the U.S. index.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔸 Resistance: 43,350 | 43,590 | 43,770
🔹 Pivot: 43,212
🔻 Support: 42,920 | 42,770 | 42,588
⚠️ Directional Bias: Bearish as long as US30 remains below 43,212.
However, geopolitical developments and market reactions to tariffs may drive increased volatility.
Dow jones Us30 scenario 21/02/2025Morocan Darija : kanchof price BEARISH
English : there is possibility of a BEARISH scenario.
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
Dow Jones about to crash to "41k" in the coming weeks
Dow Jones (US30) Faces Heavy Selling Pressure! Are we likely to see a drop to 41k zone or will it still hold its bullish momentum ?
Dow INTRADAY NFP, US Employment data to drive the next moveMarket Context:
After a period of heightened volatility, the Dow Jones (US30) has undergone a corrective pullback. Investor sentiment is now focused on the upcoming US jobs report (8:30 a.m. Washington time, 13:30 London time) as a key catalyst for the next move in equity markets.
A weaker-than-expected jobs report could raise concerns about a slowing economy, potentially fueling recession fears and triggering another leg lower in equities. Conversely, signs of resilience in the labor market may reinforce risk appetite and support a continued recovery in the index.
Technical Outlook:
Current Price Action: Sideways Consolidation
Resistance: 43145
Support: 42303
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 43145 would signal renewed upside momentum, with initial resistance at 43337, followed by 43636 and 44026 as extended targets.
Positive labor market data or market resilience post-jobs report could provide the necessary catalyst for a bullish continuation.
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed loss of 42303 support would shift the bias bearish, increasing the likelihood of further downside toward 42000, with a deeper retracement potentially testing 41650.
A significant deterioration in job market data could heighten recession concerns, amplifying risk-off sentiment and weighing on equity markets.
Conclusion:
The US jobs report will be the key driver of market direction. A breakout above 43145 could confirm bullish continuation, while a breakdown below 42303 may open the door for deeper losses. Traders should closely monitor price reactions around these levels for confirmation of the next trend move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Reading marketsTried retail, volume, order foot prints, you name the strategy and I’ve tried it however the case, I have found success in ict trading , why? Not because of order blocks or fvgs or all that, but because of context. The single most differential factor in trading between being a good trader and a mechanical average trader is context, that’s your key, that’s your answer.
Short position on the Dow Jones indexI think this is the best situation for Dow Jones, After the break of the daily trend, the price returns to the previous ceiling and the inability to break the floor, strong bearish candles, in my opinion, indicate a decline.
DOW JONES: 1D MA200 and Channel Up bottom. Bullish.Dow Jones is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.722, MACD = -181.150, ADX = 58.438) as it is running the bearish wave of the 16 month Channel Up. Being so close to the 1D MA200 has been a buy signal since November 2nd 2023. Additionally, the price just hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the last consolidation phase. If that's confirmed, then the index is about to complete the new consolidation phase. The target on the previous one has been at least the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. The trade is long, TP = 50,500.
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US30 Running Flat Pattern Spotted- Look for buysHello,
The US30, commonly referred to as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a key benchmark index that tracks the performance of 30 of the largest blue-chip companies in the US.
Currently, the US30 is trading at the bottom of a running flat correction — a highly reliable Elliott Wave pattern that often signals the continuation of an upward trend. To further strengthen this bullish outlook, we are closely monitoring the zero crossover signal, which will serve as final confirmation that bullish momentum is about to kick in.
Additionally, bond yields remaining at their lows are providing further confluence, indicating that investors are shifting back into risk-on assets like equities.
Our first upside target is the previous February 2025 high, with potential for further gains if bullish momentum persists.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Good luck and happy trading!
sell dow again...its a correction upward...big trend is down nowi think wave 1 of C or 3 has just ended here and the correction wave has started in the us market morning...so i will sell it again at the level i mentioned in the chart and my sl is the last ceiling in 4H timerame...TP manually setup
US30USDI took a long/buy on US30 because I saw an opportunity after the market made a Break of Structure (BOS) and took the minor low (L) to be a lower high (LH). This caused the market to flip and change direction after it reached the lower high (LH), making the market target the Resistance Level (R LEVEL) where there is unswept liquidity. Our major target is the Quasimodo Level (QML), and this is where we will take our sell again. The QML mitigated on the IFC. Entry price: 42389.3, Stop Loss (SL): 42253.0, Take Profit (TP): 42991.8.
Possible bottom for Dow JonesDow Jones has made 0.786 retracement and reached the bottom of the channel. There is a positive 4h divergence on RSI. I think we will at least see a bounce from here tomorrow.
