US30 – Bullish Breakout Retest Play (1H + 15M Confluence)US30 – Bullish Breakout Retest Play (1H + 15M Confluence)
Price has broken out of descending channel and is now retesting the 44,671–723 zone. 1H chart confirms bullish momentum within a broader uptrend. Watching for clean retest → continuation move towards 44,850+. Checklist Score: ✅ 9/10.
#US30 #DowJones #TCBstrategy #BreakoutRetest #SmartMoney #PriceAction
📌 Journal Summary Entry:
US30 Compression Play – July 7
Watching 44,723.1 key supply zone for decision. Price consolidating under zone with descending trendline. Two options: (1) Short on rejection with 2R+ to 44,512.3 demand or (2) Long breakout above 44,723 with target at 44,850–900 zone. Scored 8/10 on TCB checklist. Awaiting confirmation candle during NY session.
DJ30FT trade ideas
US30 Technical Outlook – 07/07/2025📍 US30 Technical Outlook – 07/07/2025
The bulls are holding it down 💪
We’re pushing back near the top of the range — New high at 45,018 tapped!
Price is comfortably riding above both EMAs (20 & 50), showing strong trend continuation 🚀
🧠 Key Observations:
Clear breakout from previous consolidation (44,700 zone)
New higher high → momentum remains intact
EMAs continue to act as dynamic support (especially 44,688 area)
📊 Key Price Zones:
🔼 Resistance: 45,018 → Next psychological level: 45,200
🔽 Support: 44,688 → 44,500 → 44,250
📈 Trade Setup Ideas:
🔹 Long Setup (Primary Play):
Pullback entries near 44,688 EMA zone
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or bounce on 15min/1H
Targets: 45,000 → 45,200
SL: Below 44,500
🔻 Short Setup (Cautious/Counter):
Only if strong rejection from 45,018 with breakdown back below 44,700
Target: 44,500 → 44,250
Lower TF confirmation required
Dow Jones H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The Dow Jones 30 (US30) could fall towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 44,437.85 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 43,850.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 45,046.46 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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US30 (DOW JONES) 4H – Bullish Breakout BUY Setup
US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is pushing higher, breaking through previous resistance levels. Price is now trading at 44,586.48, confirming strong bullish momentum after reclaiming the 44,000 psychological zone.
We remain bullish — looking for continuation of this breakout.
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BUY Trade Setup:
🔵 Buy Limit: 44,500.00 – 44,520.00
🛑 Stop Loss: 44,400.00
🎯 Take Profit 1: 44,750.00
🎯 Take Profit 2: 45,000.00
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Why Buy?
✅ Clear bullish market structure.
✅ Price consolidating after breakout — healthy sign for continuation.
✅ Smart Money likely accumulating for next leg up.
We ride with momentum — no reason to fight the trend.
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Summary:
Bias: BUY ONLY 🔥
Setup: Wait for price to retest 44,500 – 44,520 zone, look for rejection, then enter.
Risk Management: Respect SL — trade with discipline.
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💬 Are you buying US30 too? Let me know your setup below!
#US30 #DowJones #Indices #TradingView #BuySetup #SmartMoney #FrankFx14
US30 Technical Outlook – 07/03/2025📍 US30 Technical Outlook – 07/03/2025
Another day of consolidation at the highs 💼⏳
Price is holding firmly above both EMAs (20 & 50), showing sustained bullish structure—but struggling to break cleanly above 44,700–44,760 🧱
🧠 Key Observations:
Tight consolidation between 44,500 → 44,700
Strong bounce off EMA zones (44,500 area acting as dynamic support)
Still no confirmed breakout of the 44,760 top range
📊 Key Price Zones:
🔼 Resistance: 44,708 → 44,762 → 45,000
🔽 Support: 44,500 → 44,250 → 44,000
📈 Trade Setup Ideas:
🔹 Long Setup (Base case):
Buy pullbacks to 44,500 or EMA zone (20 & 50 EMA support)
Look for a breakout and retest of 44,760 for confirmation
Target: 45,000 psychological zone
🔻 Short Setup (Only on breakout failure):
Look for rejection wicks or bearish engulfing at 44,760
Scalp back toward 44,500 or lower
Only valid if volume drops off or price starts forming LHs/LLs on lower TFs
US30 Technical Outlook – 07/02/2025📍 US30 Technical Outlook – 07/02/2025
The bull train keeps rolling! 🚂 Price smashed through the 44,250 resistance level and is now testing the next major zone at 44,700 → 44,760 🔥
🧠 Key Observations:
Price has extended way above the EMAs ✅
EMAs (44,266 and 44,496) still pointing sharply upward ✅
Market consolidating right under 44,760 resistance 📍
📊 Key Price Zones:
🔼 Resistance: 44,700 → 44,760 → 45,000
🔽 Support: 44,500 → 44,250 → 44,000
📈 Trade Setup Ideas:
🔹 Long Bias (Still favored trend-side):
Wait for pullbacks toward 44,500 → 44,250
Buy dips with bullish confirmation patterns (engulfing, pin bars, EMA support hold) ✅
Target: 44,760 → 45,000
🔻 Short Bias (Countertrend – Only on rejection!):
Watch for rejection wicks or bearish reversal setups from 44,700–44,760
Could target quick flush down to 44,500 → 44,250 support
⚠️ Important: Price has been parabolic, so chasing here is dangerous. Wait for clear setups, either dip buys or high-timeframe rejection.
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 1 July 2025
- Dow Jones broke the resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 45000.00
Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance zone located at the intersection of the resistance level 44000.00 (former top of wave iv from March) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from May.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave (3) – which is part of the multi-month upward ABC correction 2 from April.
Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 45000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C)).
#DJI - Pivot is 42582.31 | Target 38374.12 or 46790.50?Date: 27-06-2025
This is in continuation with the previous post of 8000 points target. We have a new pivot point for the next move.
#Dow Jones Current Price: 43880.
Pivot Point: 42582.31 Support: 41771.23 Resistance: 43399.40
#Dow Jones Upside Targets:
Target 1: 44193.19
Target 2: 44986.99
Target 3: 45888.75
Target 4: 46790.50
#Dow Jones Downside Targets:
Target 1: 40974.43
Target 2: 40177.63
Target 3: 39275.875
Target 4: 38374.12
US30: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 44,041.6 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 44,013.0..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DowJones key trading level at 43220Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 44520
Resistance Level 2: 44930
Resistance Level 3: 45280
Support Level 1: 43220
Support Level 2: 42830
Support Level 3: 42460
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US30 Technical Outlook – 07/01/2025📍 US30 Technical Outlook – 07/01/2025
Monster rally continues! 🚀 Price exploded off the 42,100–42,200 demand zone and has now pushed deep into the 44,150–44,250 major resistance area.
🧠 Key Observations:
Trend remains extremely bullish ✅
Price is consolidating just under 44,250 resistance 📍
EMAs (43,894 and 44,052) still showing strong upward momentum ✅
📊 Key Price Zones:
🔼 Major Resistance: 44,150 → 44,250 → 44,400
🔽 Key Support: 43,800 → 43,600 → 43,400
📈 Trade Setup Ideas:
🔹 Long Bias:
Pullbacks into 43,800 → 43,600 support
Look for bullish continuation setups if price stays above EMAs
Target: Breakout toward 44,250 → 44,400
🔻 Short Bias (Countertrend / Caution):
Only look for short scalps if price gives clear rejection (wicks, bearish engulfing, etc) from 44,250–44,400 zone
Possible downside target: 43,800–43,600
US30lets look at the Correlations between US30, US10Y, DXY and fed Interest Rates
us10y and dollar are like react in a similar way, when the US10Y is rising ,it attracts foreign capital into us economy and the dollar benefits from capital inflow and strengthens in the process
US10Y and DXY (US Dollar Index):
the current tariffs and geopolitical events caused temporary decoupled this correlation but the correlation has reverted to positive alignment as of June 2025. Higher yields now signal renewed confidence in the US economy, lifting both yields and the dollar.
US30 (Dow Jones) and DXY,they have inverse correlation in such a way that when the dollar is weak it causes a boost of US30 by enhancing multinational corporate earnings as cheaper export brings in higher overseas revenue
there are Exception when we experience Simultaneous strength in DXY and US30 during "risk-on" global confidence
US10Y and Interest Rates (Federal Funds Rate):
Direct Link: US10Y reflects market expectations for Fed policy. Anticipated rate hikes lift yields; expected cuts lower them.
Current Context: With the Fed holding rates at 4.25–4.50%, US10Y (4.26%) remains sensitive to inflation data and future cut expectations.
US30 and Interest Rates has Inverse Pressure when rate are Higher it increases borrowing costs, potentially dampening corporate profits and stock valuations. Lower rates support equity rallies.
2025 Dynamic: Despite elevated rates, US30 trades near record highs due to resilient growth and tariff-related sector rotations.
Critical Drivers
Yield-Dollar Sync: US10Y and DXY realignment signals market confidence in US assets, but geopolitical/trade risks can disrupt this.
Equity Sensitivity: US30 benefits from dollar weakness but faces headwinds if the Fed delays rate cuts amid sticky inflation.
Interest Rate Outlook: Fed patience (no cuts until September) sustains US10Y-DXY positivity but caps explosive US30 gains.
watch my supply roof and demand floor for reaction.
#us30