A POSSIBLE SELL SET UP ON US 30Hey, Traders, be aware that US30 has broken support and is in a downtrend. A retest of the trend line could offer a favorable sell opportunity.
DJ30FT trade ideas
Dow long term uptrend intact The Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 42980, the previous consolidation zone and the rising support trendline. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 42980 level could target the upside resistance at 43800 followed by the 44080 and 44540 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 42980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 42520 support level followed by 41820 (200 Day Moving Average).
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 43,381.39.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 43,680.64 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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US30 - analysispair is in downtrend lower low and lower highs.
and currently at the
In weekly time frame ,
pair is making double top formation indicates movement downwards
Resistance at 44050 is the potential short point as the MA 200 confluence the same point.
Trade plan short at 44098
SL:44687
TP1:43461
TP2:42926
Bullish :
Double top formation from the support
Fib level 0.5 respected.
since its a bearish trend , 1:1 long trade can be taken from to take a short trade once the price hits the resistance of 44113.
trade plan:long @43646
SL:43336
TP:43967
Will this happen to the Dow Jones symbol?Do you think this could happen?
I think we should see a bearish move today. So for now we should see orders gathering in the marked area.
Dow Jones , daily time frame Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) – Daily Chart Analysis (Feb 28, 2025)
1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis
Recent Downtrend: The price is in a corrective phase after reaching new highs.
Key Support at 41,739: This level has acted as a strong support in the past, making it crucial for price action.
Trendline Support: Below 41,739, there is a rising trendline that aligns around 40,500 - 41,000, which could act as the next demand zone.
2. RSI & Momentum Analysis
RSI at 38.70: The market is approaching oversold conditions, indicating possible exhaustion of selling pressure.
Bearish Momentum: The RSI is still trending lower, meaning further downside movement is possible before a bounce.
3. Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
43,300 (Current price level, where rejection could occur)
44,000 - 44,500 (Stronger resistance if price reverses upward)
Support:
41,739 (Major horizontal support)
40,500 - 41,000 (Trendline support zone)
4. Potential Trade Scenarios
📉 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability)
If price fails to hold 41,739, expect further downside toward the 40,500 - 41,000 zone.
Short Setup:
Entry: Below 41,700
Stop-loss: Above 42,000
Target: 40,500 - 41,000
📈 Bullish Scenario (Lower Probability)
If price finds support at 41,739 and RSI starts reversing, a bounce back toward 43,000 - 44,000 is possible.
Long Setup:
Entry: Above 41,800
Stop-loss: Below 41,500
Target: 43,000 - 44,000
5. Conclusion & Strategy
Short-term bias: Bearish towards 41,739, with a possibility of dropping to 40,500.
Trade idea: Monitor for a break or bounce at 41,739, as it will dictate the next big move.
Risk management: Watch for fake breakouts and confirm trends with volume before entering trades.
US30 SELL NOW!!!!!US30 took out the sell side liquidity forming a bearish rectangular am looking forward to see price continue dump from this point till new low is created
JOIN AND ENJOY
$US30 SHORTS UPDATERocky start, but we look like we could be on road now….
If this holds valid we will be melting straight into 43k flat.
From there, take partials roll stops and leave remains for Tp…
LFG GEES 🫠
It is possible to get a good profit with this position Be prepared to catch the last descending wave to the bottom pivot range
$US30 SHORTSLooking to get this rolling. Have long profile around to handle if we can get through.
LFG 👽
US30 (Dow Jones) Probability Analysis – February 28, 2025
**Current Market Structure:**
- **Timeframe:** 30-Minute
- **Key Levels:**
- **Premium Zone:** 43,800 – 43,900
- **Equilibrium:** ~43,500
- **Discount Zone:** 43,050 – 43,130
- **Previous Day’s High (PDH):** 43,900 (strong high)
- **Previous Day’s Low (PDL):** 43,130 (weak low)
- **Break of Structure (BOS):** Confirmed bearish.
- **Change of Character (CHoCH):** Bearish near equilibrium.
- **Liquidity Levels:**
- **PWL (Previous Weak Low):** 43,360
- **PDL (Previous Day's Low):** 43,130
- **Weak Low at Discount Zone (~43,050)**.
---
**1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)**
**Entry Criteria (Long)**
- **Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,050 – 43,130 (Discount Zone)
- **Confirmations Needed:**
- **Liquidity grab at the weak low (43,050).**
- **Bullish reversal signal** (Pin Bar, Engulfing Candle, or Order Block reaction).
- **CHoCH to the upside, confirming trend shift**.
**Entry Trigger**
- If price **wicks below PDL (43,130) and recovers strongly**, enter long.
**Stop Loss (SL)**
- **Below 43,000 (strong low).**
**Take Profit (TP)**
- **First TP:** 43,360 (PWL & previous structure resistance).
- **Final TP:** 43,500 – 43,600 (Equilibrium).
📈 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:3 or higher**.
---
**2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)**
**Entry Criteria (Short)**
- **Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,360 – 43,500 (PWL & Equilibrium).
- **Confirmations Needed:**
- **Price must fail to break above 43,500 (Equilibrium).**
- **Bearish BOS on lower timeframes (15M, 5M).**
- **Liquidity grab above PWL (43,360) before a drop**.
**Entry Trigger**
- If price **retests PWL (43,360) and rejects strongly**, enter short.
**Stop Loss (SL)**
- **Above 43,550 (Previous CHoCH area).**
**Take Profit (TP)**
- **First TP:** 43,130 (PDL).
- **Final TP:** 43,050 (Discount Zone).
📉 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:4 or higher**.
---
**3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)**
- If price consolidates **between PDL (43,130) and PWL (43,360)**, avoid trading.
- Wait for a **liquidity grab or CHoCH before making a decision**.
**Trading Plan Summary**
| Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R |
|--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----|
| ✅ Long | 43,050 – 43,130 | Below 43,000 | 43,360 | 43,500 | 1:3+ |
| 🚨 Short | 43,360 – 43,500 | Above 43,550 | 43,130 | 43,050 | 1:4+ |
---
**Final Thoughts**
- **Bullish Bias:** If price sweeps **weak low (43,050) and shows strength**.
- **Bearish Bias:** If price **rejects equilibrium (43,500) and PWL (43,360).**
- **Avoid trading in the range (43,130 – 43,360)** until confirmation.
US30USD - PositionHere's what I have open on US30.
Shorts and Long waiting to break resitance level down or explode up.
I think we are long for now.
:)
US30-trend reversalUS30 is changing is trend as it has made a bullish reversal pattren triple bottom with bullish divergence on a good retracment of 0.5%.
"US30 / DJI" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (44200) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 42200 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"US30 / DJI" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🟣Fundamental Analysis
Earnings: Q4 2024 EPS growth strong (e.g., 16.9% for S&P 500 proxies)—bullish, but US30 firms face tariff uncertainty.
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, no cuts signaled—real yields ~1% (10-year Treasury 3.8%) pressure equities—bearish.
Inflation: PCE 2.6% (Jan 2025)—persistent inflation supports Fed stance, bearish for stocks.
Growth: U.S. consumer spending wanes (Schwab)—mixed, neutral impact.
Geopolitics: Trump tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—short-term volatility, long-term bullish for U.S. firms.
🟤Macro Economics
Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates to combat inflation, which has led to a strengthening of the US dollar.
US Economy: The US economy has been showing signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rates decreasing.
Global Economy: The global economy has been experiencing a slowdown, with many countries experiencing recession.
⚪Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~55,000 contracts (down from 65,000)—cooling bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in gains.
Open Interest: ~125,000 contracts—steady global interest, neutral.
🔴Market Sentimental Analysis
Bullish Sentiment: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Sentiment: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42200.
Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets.
🔵Positioning Analysis
Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in US30, expecting a breakout above 45,000.
Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in US30, expecting a correction.
🟠Quantitative Analysis
Technical Indicators: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45, indicating a neutral sentiment.
Moving Averages: The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 44,404, providing resistance for US30 prices.
🟡Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00—USD softness aids equities—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—gold rise signals risk-off, bearish for US30.
NDX: ~20,000, tech softening—correlated pressure on US30—bearish.
Bonds: U.S. 10-year 3.8%—yield stability neutral.
🟢News and Events Analysis
Federal Reserve Meeting: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet on March 15-16, with investors expecting a potential rate hike.
US Economic Data: The US economic data, including the Non-Farm Payrolls report, is being closely watched for its impact on US30 prices.
🟣Next Trend Move
Bullish Trend: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Trend: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42,200.
🔴Overall Summary Outlook
Bullish Outlook: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Outlook: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42,200.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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DJI - Dow Jones Industrial Target 40000sChart analysis can be simple.
We take our tools, surround them with rules and follow them.
The rules and the framework of the Medianlines are simple, but not easy to follow every time.
The Shiff-Fork catches the resistance and support very nicely. Especially at the Center-Line.
Above the Upper-Medianline-Parallel, at the extreme where the stretch became clear, price had a job to to do, to trade up to the Warning Line. But it failed twice so far.
When price fails to trade to the next line, comes back into the Fork, Chances are >90% that we go to the Center-Line. The first time, it failed (10% fail). The second time, with these market sentiment, I'm even more convinced to follow the rules.
Target at the Center-Line around 40'000ish.
US30 BUY ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Us30 price form a supply around area of 43345.95 and is likely to continue moving up so trader should go for long with expect profit target of 44040.59 and 44541.65 . Use money management
buy and sellIt is possible to get a good profit with this position and the market will get out of the range
US30 (Dow Jones) Probability Analysis – February 27, 2025
Current Market Structure:
- Timeframe: 30-Minutes
- Key Levels:
- Premium Zone: 43,800 – 43,900
- Equilibrium: ~43,550
- Discount Zone: 43,260 – 43,340
- Previous Day’s High (PDH): 43,900 (near weak high)
- Previous Day’s Low (PDL): 43,260 (strong low)
- Change of Character (CHoCH): Bullish near equilibrium.
- Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed downside moves.
---
1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)
Entry Criteria (Long)
- Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,340 – 43,420 (Discount Zone)
- Confirmations Needed:
- CHoCH to the upside**, confirming shift in market structure.
- Liquidity grab at PWL (Previous Weak Low).
- Bullish rejection pattern** (Pin Bar, Engulfing, or Order Block reaction).
- Price must stay above PDL (43,260) and Discount Zone.
Entry Trigger
- If price **retests PWL (43,340) and holds**, enter long.
Stop Loss (SL)
- Below PDL (~43,250).
Take Profit (TP)
- **First TP:** 43,700 (Equilibrium zone).
- **Final TP:** 43,850 – 43,900 (Premium Zone & PDH).
📈 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:3 or higher.
2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)
Entry Criteria (Short)
- **Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,800 – 43,900 (Premium Zone).
- Confirmations Needed:
- Liquidity grab above PDH (~43,900).
- Bearish rejection (Engulfing candle or BOS to downside).
- Price must fail to hold above PDH.
Entry Trigger
- If price *breaks PDH (43,900) but fails to hold*, enter short.
Stop Loss (SL)
- Above 43,950 (Strong High).
Take Profit (TP)
-First TP: 43,600 (Equilibrium).
- Final TP: 43,340 – 43,260 (Discount Zone & PDL).
📉 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:4 or higher
3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)
- If price **remains between Equilibrium (43,550) & Premium Zone (43,800)**, avoid trading.
- Wait for **clear BOS or liquidity grab before executing trades**.
Trading Plan Summary
| Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R |
|--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----|
| ✅ Long | 43,340 – 43,420 | Below 43,250 | 43,700 | 43,900 | 1:3+ |
| 🚨 Short | 43,800 – 43,900 | Above 43,950 | 43,600 | 43,260 | 1:4+ |
Final Thoughts
- **Bullish Bias:** If price holds above **PWL & Discount Zone**.
- **Bearish Bias:** If price **fails at PDH & Premium Zone**.
- **Avoid Choppy Market:** Wait for clear **BOS or liquidity grab**.
US30 sellOverall Trend:
The overall trend has been bullish, but there has been a breakout below the ascending trendline.
The price is currently retracing towards support zones.
Key Levels:
Main Resistance: Range between 45,208 - 45,300 (upper red zone)
Main Support: Range between 44,300 - 44,500 (lower red zone)
Important Mid-Level: Around 44,866
Trading Scenario:
After hitting resistance, the price has started a correction.
The highlighted green area marks a potential entry zone.
📉 Trading Signal:
🔹 Enter Short Position:
If the price pulls back to the 44,600 - 44,700 area and shows signs of bullish weakness, a short position could be considered.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Above the resistance zone at 45,208 (e.g., around 45,300)
🔹 Take Profit:
First level at 44,300
Second level at 43,663 (shown on the chart)
Third level at 43,140 if the downtrend continues
🔹 Risk Management:
The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade seems reasonable. Reassess the trade if the price breaks above 44,866.
✅ Conclusion:
Currently expecting a bearish correction, but if reversal candles or weakness in sellers are observed at support levels, there might be a chance for a trend change.
US30 shortsThe daily market is in a downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe. We have an equal high, with confirmation on the 15-minute timeframe indicating a continuation to the downside
DOW pullback triggered by weak US consumer confidenceThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 42980, the previous consolidation zone and the rising support trendline. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 42980 level could target the upside resistance at 43800 followed by the 44080 and 44540 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 42980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 42520 support level followed by 41820 (200 Day Moving Average).
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES Cup and Handle completed and eyes a new ATH.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Inside this pattern, four Cup and Handle (C&H) formations have occurred with the most recent one, about to complete its Handle this week.
All such C&H patterns, rebounded to at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back. As a result, our Target before May remains 46400.
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