NQ - a short upward movementGiven the LV filling up and the FVG remaining on the high timeframe, as well as the SMT between NQ and SPX, we can expect the price to make a short move upwards to clear the liquidity.
NAS100 trade ideas
Bulls shouldnt fight this fallI have explained everything on the chart....can't be bullish for the time being, except for some rallies in a downfall....Whales will step where JPow said the famous words, Inflation is no longer transitory....Honestly the sooner we get here, the better....but it could take a few weeks or by the middle of this year.....if the market goes again back up for a double top, the fall will be even more painful.....but markets are all about creating maximum pain for bulls and bears....
NASDAQ Will the disappointing PCE today form a Double Bottom?Nasdaq is on a strong 3 day correction that has almost erased the recovery attempt since the March 11th low.
That was a higher Low inside the 8 month Channel Up and the current correction may be a bottom formation attempt like September 6th 2024.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy before the closing market price.
Targets:
1. 23350 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) illustrates the similarities with July-September 2024 in a much better way. Strong indication that the Channel Up is attempting to price a bottom.
Please like, follow and comment!!
NAS - time to go longTeam, i wish i could show you my real account
time to go long on NAS - double bottom - retested
looking at 90-150 points recover
NASDAQ100 D1Very bear day today!
Regardless we are in a support zone, we could still see index testing lower prices.
Let´s wait and see how reacts from here to take action
US Equities Fall Amid Inflationary Pressures and Trade TensionsUS equities closed the week with significant losses, reversing the gains recorded during the previous week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped more than 1%, reflecting a clear deterioration in market sentiment amid multiple adverse factors.
The bearish session unfolded in an environment dominated by worrying signs of inflationary pressures, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, a key gauge followed by the Federal Reserve (FED). The core PCE posted a monthly increase of 0.4%, the largest gain since January 2024, exceeding market expectations. On an annual basis, this measure accelerated to a concerning 2.8%, signaling persistent inflationary pressure that could complicate future monetary policy decisions by the FED.
At the same time, soft data has continued to deteriorate significantly, adding uncertainty regarding the resilience of hard data. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 57, its lowest level since November 2022, due to negative expectations regarding personal finances, unemployment, and inflation. In fact, two-thirds of consumers anticipate a rise in the unemployment rate, reflecting a level of concern not seen since the 2009 financial crisis.
Much of this uncertainty has been fueled by recent policies implemented by the Trump administration, particularly government spending cuts and aggressive trade policies. The latest move came with the announcement of 25% tariffs on imported cars and auto parts, effective April 3. This measure triggered an immediate negative reaction in both local and international markets, anticipating higher costs for US consumers and potential trade retaliation from key partners such as the European Union, Canada, China, Japan, and South Korea.
At the sector level, discretionary consumer goods were the most affected on Friday, while utilities showed relative resilience. This uneven performance supports the case for a defensive market, reflecting a growing risk aversion among investors.
The combination of inflationary pressures, economic slowdown, and rising trade tensions creates a challenging environment for equities. Overall, current conditions point toward a concerning scenario with signs of stagflation: low economic growth coupled with persistent inflation and a rapidly deteriorating economic sentiment.
In conclusion, it will be key to closely monitor the evolution of hard economic data as well as the international response to US trade policies. The big question in the coming months is whether the current fragility in economic sentiment will ultimately translate into hard economic indicators, decisively impacting equities.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
First Presented Fair Value Gap to 1h RELFirst Presented Fair Value Gap to 1h REL. Rejected from the Weekly Mitigation Block.
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KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning,
Hope all is well. We saw some rejection at the 20,288 mark. Volume is still holding in a bearish partner. Trend is now signalling a bearish pattern. I will re-evaluate any accumulation until 19,100 to see if support holds.
Currently my portfolio is 75% SQQQ. I am holding No Crypto at the moment and have 25% in stocks and etfs.
Have a great day!
NSDQ100 INTRADAY bearish reaction to US PCE data US PCE Inflation – Market Impact (NASDAQ Focus)
Headline PCE YoY: 2.5% (steady, in line with expectations).
Core PCE YoY: 2.8% (higher than 2.7% prior, above forecasts).
MoM Figures: Headline +0.3%, Core +0.4% (showing steady inflation pressure).
Market Implications for NASDAQ:
Slightly hawkish as Core PCE remains elevated—could delay Fed rate cuts.
Tech stocks (NASDAQ) may face short-term selling pressure as yields react.
If risk appetite holds, dips could present buying opportunities in growth stocks.
Watch Treasury yields & Fed commentary for further market direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20000
Resistance Level 2: 20350
Resistance Level 3: 20650
Support Level 1: 19,440
Support Level 2: 19,140
Support Level 3: 18880
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US100 SELL OPPORTUNITY Price is showing a strong sign of sell off from the current market Price as we see price moving on a bearish flag pattern. A break below the lower board will further increase the probability of price dropping to 19200
NAS100 TRADE IDEALooking for buying opportunities on nas100 since on monday we gap and we came back to fill in that gap now im looking for buying pressure to take place
Price is at a Buy Zone - Bulls to push prices higher...Price is currently at support levels of a consolidation channel
Waiting for price to breakout and retest my trendline
before riding along with the bulls...
#NDX - 28 MarSimilar to SPX, NDX flushed down to make a new lows. However, if this holds, look for a move back to yesterday's high.
Nasdaq100 Update: Another Leg Down Likely After Recent Reversal?For quite some time, I have been highlighting the possibility of a strong correction in the Nasdaq 100 ( TRADENATION:USTEC ), with the 17,500 level remaining a realistic downside target.
In my more recent analyses, I argued that while a reversal from the 19,100 support zone was likely, it was merely a dead cat bounce , and the index could decline further from the 20,300-20,500 resistance zone. The lower boundary of this range was tested, and as expected, the index has started to fall again.
Although a temporary rally above 20,000 cannot be ruled out, my overall outlook remains unchanged—I still anticipate another leg down.
In conclusion, selling into rallies continues to be my preferred strategy, with 17,500 as the medium-term target.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Nasdaq analysis: 28-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
Nasdaq - When Rebound? There is a possibility that another major wave 5 is possible here, just like on SPX
20323.3-20647.3 The key is whether it can rise above this level
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Let's talk about the NAS100 chart.
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(NAS100 1M chart)
I think the stock market is fluctuating due to the rapidly changing situation and various economic issues.
Therefore, I think it is not easy to analyze index charts such as NAS100 and US30.
However, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1M chart is newly generated and is showing a downward trend, if it does not rise above 20647.3 when the competition starts, it is likely to eventually fall.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is necessary to check for support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5 (15898.2) ~ 0.618 (17130.8).
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 19598.6, the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart, and rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
If not, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
Currently, the price is being maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, so it is maintaining an upward trend in the medium to long term.
Therefore, when the competition starts, you should respond depending on whether the price is being maintained above or below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Currently, the short-term support zone is 19269.9-19598.6, and the medium to long-term resistance zone is 20323.3-20647.3.
Even if it is supported and rises in the short-term support zone, if it fails to break through the medium to long-term resistance zone, it will eventually fall.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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NQ: End of day analysis!We got another bearish day, but NO change in the structure! Price is making a HL. As long as there is no LL, we can expect anytime a move up to create a new HH.
Tariffs noises are weighing a lot and restraining the move up to 50%.
Tomorrow we have Core PCE.
1- An overshoot, cancel the 50% and price go south;
2- Inline and undershoot, the 50% is reachable and price goes north.
Monday is end of Month and Quarter. Rebalancing portfolios large hands and corporations is in play.
Good evening/night!
NASDAQ Supercycle — Welcome to the Age of Global DistributionOn the long-term chart of NASDAQ:NDX IG:NASDAQ , we are likely in Wave IV of the Supercycle, which appears to be unfolding as a running flat (rFL). The current decline may not be a mere correction, but a motive Wave C, potentially retesting the 2021 ATH zone (around 16,500–17,000) before a powerful new bullish wave begins.
Volume spikes at the top confirm the phase of global distribution, with institutional players gradually locking in profits and reducing exposure.
🧩 Base Scenario:
- We are in the final Wave C within the rFL structure.
- Once complete, a strong Wave V rally may follow.
- Key support zone: around the 2021 all-time high.
🧪 Alternative Scenario:
- This could be part of an extended Wave III of the Supercycle.
- Even so, a significant correction is expected in the near term before the next leg higher.
Structural Drivers for Long-Term NASDAQ Growth:
- 📉 Monetary policy easing from the Fed
- 💵 Fiat currency devaluation
- 🤖 Tech innovation boom — AI, biotech, semiconductors, Big Tech
- 🌍 Global digital transformation
- 🏦 Asset repricing amid structural macro shifts
📌 In conclusion, NASDAQ CME_MINI:NQ1! is entering a period of heightened volatility and capital redistribution — but its long-term upside potential remains intact.
