Does the Nasdaq keep dropping after approaching the nearby high?I have 2 zone that are coded as a "no close above" that should have held no issue
The reason why I am short mainly is because we haven't visit 50% of the New Week Opening Gap and we have rejected from 50% of the bearish gap above the range. As well as volumetric divergence after the rally.
I want to see this gap at least partially filled before anything else this week can happen.
NAS100 trade ideas
NASDAQ100 - Trade Idea 10 April 2025📌 Key Points on the Chart:
Bullish Engulfing Daily (Orange Circle)
This is a candlestick pattern that suggests a possible trend reversal from downtrend to uptrend.
A big green candle fully engulfs the previous red candle → a strong sign that buyers are taking control.
Strong Low & Swing Low (Lowest Points)
These areas are considered strong support zones.
Price previously dropped to this level and quickly bounced back up → seen as a “cheap” price by Smart Money.
High Volume Spike
Notice the high volume bar when the bullish candle formed – this shows strong buying interest.
Likely that big players (institutions) are stepping in to buy.
Projected Price Movement (White Zigzag Path)
The chart suggests price may continue to rise (possibly toward the 20,000+ zone).
But first, there may be a slight pullback (cooling off) before continuing upward.
FVG (Fair Value Gap)
This is a price gap that hasn't been filled yet – price often returns to fill these gaps.
In ICT, FVG is treated as a discount or premium zone for potential entries.
50% Level (Fibonacci Retracement)
This line shows the midpoint between a previous swing high and swing low.
It often acts as a reaction zone for price – either support or resistance.
🔍 Simple Summary:
The chart is showing a potential bullish reversal.
A bullish engulfing pattern + high volume = signs of institutional buying.
Expectation: price may pull back slightly, then continue rising.
Strategy: traders might wait for a pullback into the FVG or 50% zone to look for buy entry opportunities.
NASDAQ Black Monday or a Massive Rally??Nasdaq (NDX) opened on early Monday futures trade below both its August 05 2024 and April 19 2024 Lows. All technical Supports have been broken and the market made new 12-month Lows. The market sentiment is extremely bearish, technically oversold, even the 1W RSI is below the 30.00 oversold barrier and the prevailing fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth Tariffs between nations don't leave much room for encouragement.
The index is more than -25% off the February 17 2025 All Time High (ATH), technically Bear Market territory, and the last time it dropped more this fast is during the lockdowns of the COVID crash (February 20 - March 23 2020). The market dropped by -32%, below also all known technical Supports (including its August low) before finding support and forming a bottom just above the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
The two time events are virtually identical with the only notable difference is that Nasdaq is about to form the 1D Death Cross now while in 2020 it did about 1 month after the low.
The only technical development that leaves room for encouragement is that the 1W RSI during COVID got oversold just a day before the eventual market bottom.
Does today's 1W RSI drop into oversold territory mean that we are about to form a bottom? Unknown. But what we do know is that on March 03 and 16 2020 on two urgent, out-of-schedule meetings, the Fed stepped in to save the market from the free-fall (and save they did) by cutting the Interest Rates to near zero (first to 1.25% and then to 0.25% subsequently from 1.75% previously).
Perhaps that is the only thing that can restore investor confidence (certainly the only action that the Fed can do) and avoid a Black Monday below the 1W MA200, which would be catastrophic. On the other hand, if the U.S. government reach indeed trade deals with the rest of nations and the Fed do what they can from their end, we may even hit new ATH by August!
So what do you think it's going to be? Black Monday or Massive Rally?
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Nas100 - Huge bear trap or further downside?The Nasdaq 100 has recently broken a critical rising trendline that has supported its bullish trajectory for an extended period. This break signifies a potential shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the prior uptrend may be losing steam. When an established trendline is breached, it often signals a change in the market's direction, indicating that buyers are losing control and sellers are starting to assert dominance.
In addition to the trendline break, the Nasdaq 100 has now fallen below all of its key moving averages—namely, the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages. These moving averages are widely followed indicators of trend strength, and their loss is typically a bearish sign. When prices drop below these averages, it signals weakening momentum, and it becomes harder for the index to regain upward traction without strong buying pressure.
The weekly timeframe shows a beautiful support level if the bulls fail to reclaim all the key moving averages.
Together, the break of the rising trendline and the loss of key moving averages suggest that the Nasdaq 100 could be entering a phase of increased volatility and downward pressure. Traders should closely monitor the index for potential further declines or a failure to reclaim these key technical levels, as they could signal deeper market corrections.
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Nasdaq what to expect next?The Nasdaq has declined approximately 23% from its all-time high, positioning us near a notable discount on a global timeframe. In my professional assessment, this presents a compelling opportunity to begin constructing a diversified portfolio. However, I anticipate further downward movement in the near term, so I recommend a measured approach—allocate capital gradually rather than deploying all available cash at once. Consider initiating positions through Contracts for Difference (CFDs) or Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), focusing on high-quality, blue-chip equities such as Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), NVIDIA (NVDA), Nike (NIKE), and Walmart (WMT), among others.
That said, I advise against overcommitting capital at this juncture. The potential for an economic recession remains, and the market could trade sideways for an extended period—potentially one to two years. Prudence is warranted.
Additionally, the Fear and Greed Index for U.S. stocks currently stands at 6, a level strikingly close to the 5 recorded during the COVID-19 market crash. Those familiar with market history will recall the significant rebound that followed. This historical parallel suggests a potential inflection point.
Personally, I am actively participating in this market, incrementally rebuilding long-term positions within my investment account. Opportunities of this magnitude are infrequent, occurring perhaps once every few years. However, this does not preclude further declines—markets can always test lower levels. From a statistical perspective, though, the current environment supports initiating long-term investment positions with a disciplined strategy.
Let me know if you’d like a deeper analysis of specific assets or portfolio allocation tactics!
NOT FA!
THOUGHTS ON NAS100NASDAQ 1W - As you can see above this is my higher timeframe outlook on this pair, I want to see price correct itself now trading us up and into the area of Supply I have marked out above.
In doing so we ought to see strength in the USD. This will only be temporary just to clear any remaining orders that may be left before we can have a larger move to the downside.
Once price does eventually trade us higher up and into the Supply Zone above, this is when we can begin looking to take this market short. Using this as an area to enter in from.
We want to see price trade in, clear orders and then begin showing signs of a distribution, this is removing those buy orders and introducing sell orders, giving us the S&D flip we want.
NAS100 - Potential TargetsDear Fellow Traders,
NASDAQ is in a sell-off phase - Extreme bearish behavior!
I have indicated a "Potential Reversal" Zone.
I am personally not looking for any potential entry at this stage.
(If I was scalping, I won't even consider buying - although they do look very inviting)
PLEASE HAVE A LOOK AT MY HIGH TIME FRAME ANALYSIS: Posted on March the 4th
Feel free to ask if anything is unclear.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Possible move for nasdaqI had to redraw my channels from my last view. Sometimes we really have to zoom out to get the bigger picture.....I believe we may have entered a bear phase for the market. I have noted the important levels on the chart. I have outlined the possible path the market might take...There are plenty of untested levels below where massive buy orders are sitting. Of course it will not get there in a day or 2. But it is very clear where bears are sitting. Bear market bull rallies are also quite strong and might give an impression that we will go to ATH. But there is a reason why channels work most of the time at least from a long term perspective. This is merely a conjecture, but if you view the larger time frame as a 5 min chart, you know what moves might take place. I'm not advocating a full blown market crash, but we might get to see lower highs and lower lows over the next few months.....I could be completely wrong on this....For investors these are the best levels to enter big, for day traders...well...vix is still elevated and we trade the day whether it is bullish or bearish...So keep your position size smaller than usual as you will need a wider SL. Trade small, trade safe....Investors can start accumulating good stocks bit by bit and average out with every 10-15% dip, of course in smaller amounts....As we don't know when a bottom will happen...
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 17550 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 16880
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 16350
Strong Rejection from 16350 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 16890 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 16890 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 17000 – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bullish Run After Break That level
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
NQ: ST consolidation is expectedGood day!
After the 90-day pause of the tariffs, NQ should consolidate in the ST (2-3 days) before resuming the fundamental downtrend.
The effect of CPI and PPI will be very limited whatsoever the data. However Consumer data will trigger the downtrend if this data is undershoot. Otherwise, consolidation will prevail.
The blue box should delimitate the consolidation area.
QQQ FORECAST Q2 FY25: 13% RECOVERY APRIL FOOLSlike comment follow all the signals here are lit
comment your instrument below ill analyse it bonds crypto etf reits all dat paperwork
The recovery was swift exactly at our $16811 price level (great bargain) if you watched last call
now im calling bluff on this 90 day hype stop loss above entry targets set
there might be a bullish continuation by the mid point narrated by the path line
$17709 if confluence presents itself and necessary events present themselves im hopping out and longing these tariff games can go anyway in a heartbeat
NQ: End of Day Analysis!1- We got a Red daily close but inside the previous 2 days. A continuation has the least resistance. If you're not in already, it's too late; unless quick in and out.
2- Tariffs enter in play from mid-night tonight (NY time). Asian and European sessions will be very active.
3- China retaliation via additional tariffs and/or selling US treasuries. This will make the whole market in a dangerous situation. I added a new key level from October 2023 that is reachable in this scenario where the FED continues being death.
4- FED intervention and just delaying the entry in play of tariffs for later (e.g., 90 days rumors), price might jump up to 18800 within minutes.
So, it's very risky environment. Quick in and out with Stop loss is the only way to trade it.
Take care and see you tomorrow!
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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