NASDAQ: Channel Up to soon initate the new bullish wave.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.876, MACD = 566.960, ADX = 50.516) as it is still holding the Channel Up of almost 1 month back, whose support is the 1H MA200. Right now the price is consolidating around the 1H MA50, approaching the bottom of the pattern. Once it does, we expect it to initate the new bullish wave. With the shortest one of the Channel Up being +5.90%, we remain bullish here and look towards a TP = 22,250 by early next week.
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NAS100 trade ideas
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bounce off a pullback supportNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,898.76 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 20,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 21,471.38 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
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Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Nas100Nas100 1H Analysis
• Peak Formation 1 = Start of the peak reversal cycle (Level 3 confirmed)
• Peak Formation High (PFH) or Low (PFL) = Price has likely reached the extreme zone and is reversing.
So, when you see:
• An M pattern on your chart
• And Peak Formation 1 on DashFix
It means:
The system has recognized a Level 3 stop hunt and shift, and it’s now marking this area as the potential high of the week (start of reversal cycle).
This is your confirmation zone that:
• The market has likely hit a weekly top
• It’s safe to look for short setups (after confirmation)
• It’s too risky to buy unless proven otherwise
⸻
3. What You Should Do (Execution Plan)
If you see M + Peak Formation 1:
Wait for:
• M pattern completion (two peaks, often 2–3 candles apart)
• 5 EMA & 13 EMA cross down on your entry time frame (M5 or M15)
• TDI confirmation (green crossing red downward near overbought)
• Price breaking the neckline of the M
Enter trade:
• Sell after confirmation (engulfing/rejection candle at M peak)
• Place stop loss above the high (trap candle or second leg)
• Target: 50–100 pips depending on ADR or prior support zones
⸻
4. Extra Tips
• Peak Formation 1 usually appears after New York session fakeouts or early Tuesday/Wednesday
• Avoid entering early during consolidation or inside the Asian range
Is NASDAQ ready to correct for a few days?We have a couple of doji candles on the daily chart forming out of a bearish imbalance range in the relative premium. This is the perfect place to test the lows for stops.
We are still bullish but I am going to go neutral for this forecast in anticipation of a slight correction.
Share this with someone who needs a complete top down analysis of where we are staring this week!
NAS100 Bulls Pushing – Will 21,434 Hold or Crack?Price is currently trading just below the 21,434 🔼 resistance zone, after a strong bullish push that followed the reclaim of the 21,000 🔽 support area. The index is forming a short-term range between these two key zones. The overall structure remains bullish with a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Support at: 21,000 🔽, 20,606 🔽, 20,200 🔽
Resistance at: 21,434 🔼, 22,230 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A breakout and retest above 21,434 could open the path toward the 22,230 high. Bulls remain in control while price holds above 21,000.
🔽 Bearish: A rejection at 21,434 or a break below 21,000 could lead to a correction toward 20,606 or 20,200.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ Critical level for short-term.Nasdaq (NDX) is testing a strong short-term Support Cluster, the Lower Lows trend-line and the bottom of the 1H Channel Up. Being below the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), the trend is right now neutral until one of the two levels breaks.
If the index breaks above the 1H MA50, we will turn bullish again, targeting 22200 (+5.70% from the current Low, the minimum % rise in the past month).
If it breaks below the Support Cluster, we will turn bearish, targeting the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 20800.
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NAS100 - Will the Stock Market Reach Its Previous High?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the trend line is broken, I expect corrective moves, but if the index corrects towards the demand zone, we can look for further buying positions in Nasdaq with a risk-reward ratio. Maintaining this trend line will lead to a continuation of the Nasdaq upward trend.
The strong rally in U.S. equities that had pushed the S&P 500 close to record highs for 2025 came to a halt on Friday, following the release of disappointing consumer sentiment data. A report from the University of Michigan revealed a drop in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations to levels not seen in decades—factors that have amplified concerns about the economy’s outlook.
Despite this, some analysts remain hopeful that robust corporate earnings and the temporary suspension of tariffs could provide needed support for the market. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody’s warned that U.S. federal debt is projected to climb to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024.
Moody’s noted that while the U.S. economy and financial system remain strong, the weakening of certain fiscal indicators has diminished the ability of these strengths to offset negative effects. According to their analysis, trade tariffs will not significantly impact long-term U.S. economic growth, and substantial changes in mandatory spending are unlikely in the near future.
Although the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, the country’s long-term domestic and foreign credit ceilings remain at AAA. However, Moody’s has revised the overall credit rating for the U.S. down from AAA to Aa1.
One noteworthy detail is that since April 21, the index has seen only one negative trading day—May 9, which experienced only a slight decline. Falling Treasury yields have reduced some market risks, while Donald Trump’s trip to the Middle East has also helped ease political tensions at home. The market clearly reflects growing investor appetite for risk, though the possibility of a correction at these levels remains real.
Looking ahead to this week, traders will closely monitor preliminary purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data for May on Thursday. They will also pay attention to speeches from several Federal Reserve officials to gauge whether the Fed remains focused on economic growth or has shifted more attention to inflation, especially in light of recent U.S.-China trade agreements.
A rise in PMI figures may suggest that business sentiment has improved since tensions eased between the U.S. and China, but investors are also eager for clear guidance on the Fed’s next policy steps. Key speakers include John Williams (New York Fed), Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed), Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed), and Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed). If these officials continue to express concerns about elevated inflation risks, the U.S. dollar could continue to strengthen, as markets may price in fewer rate cuts ahead.
As for the equity markets, their reaction remains uncertain. Recently, equities have risen even as expectations for rate cuts have diminished—primarily due to a reduced fear of recession following tariff adjustments. However, with recession fears now less pronounced and a growing narrative around sustained higher rates due to sticky inflation, Wall Street may pull back if Fed officials emphasize upside inflation risks.
In related news, President Donald Trump harshly criticized Walmart’s pricing strategy, stating that the company should absorb the cost of tariffs rather than passing them onto consumers. In a public statement, Trump pointed out that Walmart made billions in profit last year and argued that American shoppers should not bear the burden of higher prices caused by trade tariffs.
Trump also implicated China in the issue, stating that either Walmart or China should take responsibility for these added costs. He warned that both he and consumers are closely watching how Walmart handles the situation.
US Debt Crisis & NAS100Shorting levels reached again.
This time the shorting level is DEBT CRISIS at 13600.
In the today news:
Moody’s downgrade of the U.S.′ credit rating.
The levels was mentioning at
Norges Bank Reveals potential 800 billion dollar loss in stress test scenario.
www.youtube.com
As far is correct.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Approaching an overlap supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,833.76 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 20,100.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 21,763.98 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Nasdaq prepares for the reboundNasdaq index might be supported after AI-narrative getting back to the markets fueled by NVDA’s better than expected earnings for Q1 2025. The position of the price is close to the 20-day moving average, which makes a trade location potentially good for starting the upswing to the target area of $22,000.
Traders will watch the publication of ISM Manufacturing index on Monday, as it has some correlation with S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and might strengthen or weaken the current “AI rebound narrative”.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, never forget to manage your risk at all times!
Upcoming Monthly/Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Recent macro-economic data were good. But they do not reflect the Tariffs impacts.
2- All expected data (i.e., inflation, consumer sentiment) were inline with the projected tariff impacts.
3- Uncertainty is in the driver seat as long as Trump flip flop with his tariffs.
4- The 90-day tariff pause ends by July 4th!!! Surprise...surprise... the liberation day! Definitely, Trump will announce the 2nd Liberation day!
5- From this week and moving forward, data will reflect tariffs impacts.
6- This week, we have many relevant data and probably many Trump tweets.
=) All the above has structural negative impacts on US economy; hence negative impacts on US Stocks and equities.
TA Analysis:
Monthly TF:
NQ monthly close was bullish. From this TF, we should expect a continuation up seeking a new ATH. But I strongly doubt it. The Monthly close was below 21457. If price will be unable to close at least above this level, price should revisit 17236.
In this thread, we do not trade Monthly TF, but it gives us a macro perspective.
Weekly TF:
The weekly close was bearish, even with a green candle. From this TF, we should expect a south move.
In my view, Wave 3 has started last week.
Daily TF:
The chart shows all levels of Wave 3 into 5 mini-waves. The target of this mini-wave 3.1 is the low of May (19594).
Price already broke TL and closed below it. Price from now on it should continue south/down.
Price must close inside the tariff on & off candle (yellow box).
(Note: The chart shows only three waves of 3.1 representing the Initial move, retrace move and impulsive move. But every single move/wave should have 5 waves. I do not represent them to avoid making the chart complex which it's already!).
Hourly TF:
Price might complete the retrace up to 21468-21590. Then resume the down movement as per the chart.
Data will give the ebb and flow to be inline with TA analysis.
That's all for this week/month.
Wish you GL and plenty of green trades.
Nas100 w1.trading I deaHi traders as you can see this market is n uptrend market n since Trump come to the office he started tarrif n tarrif cause big rejection as you can see however he paused it n comes bek up,now they were trying to block him but he managed to put them back again because of his reasons,ok cool you have to understand that all this moves since Trump took the office he is the one in charge and he is moving market soo that's why today things can bebetter n tomorrow you can see spike again we we're nearly recession and he paused tarrif,market comes bek up,soo if you stick to the tre you are in the right side,soo note that we are still trading under tarrif territory meaning you can see spike today n tomorrow then drown down that's why you need to be updated 24/7 knowing what is moving and why I laugh when I see someone draw graph n see spike to their direction n immediately get exited within 1 hour market recovery that spike very fast lol,you need to know what is moving the market soo that you wo the surprised soo this year 99% is trump reports that is moving the market if he can imposes tarrif to Europe on 12 June you gonna see entire market going down for short period,tarrif affect the market globally not only were it raised,that's why if trump n China won't make successful deal we might see a recession and as am seeing China they are ready to fight any kind of war and they are loosing interest in trading deals and this will lead to recession globally,all they want is to end tarrif and trump want better deals in businesses aswell soo this is the main n strong trade war between all countries and it can cost people's money,soo according to my analysis am still bullish am not talking this as a retest noo that's why i explained what makes it to fall and positivity to the deals means rally thats why I stick to the trends till now,until further notice,.make sure you are updated.