Bearish Momentum Builds Below pivot zone USNAS100 Analysis
Price has reversed from its ATH and now shows bearish momentum.
Below 22705, downside targets are 22615 and 22420.
Bullish scenario only valid if price breaks and holds above 22815.
Pivot: 22710
Support: 22615, 22420
Resistance: 22815, 22910
NAS100 trade ideas
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Swing-low support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,509.40 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,250.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 22,921.84 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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NAS100 (Cash100) Double Top H8Potential short on NAS100.
Risk/reward = 5.4.
Entry = 22 956
Stop loss = 23 059
TP level 1 = 22 473 (50% of position)
T level 2 = 22 303 (50% of position)
RSI divergence.
Waiting for closure of current H8 candle to close in range.
Looking for lower volume on H8 closure, however, will make exception id higher since top 1 was on Thursday the 3rd and markets closed early.
NASDAQ100 continue its strength due to the strong earning seasonFundamental:
USTEC (NASDAQ100) continues its strength, propelled by robust Alphabet (GOOG) earnings that buoyed technology companies. Cloud services recorded the largest growth at 32% YoY, primarily driven by AI. Concurrently, the company plans to allocate $85 bln to capital expenditure in 2025 for AI, an increase from $75 bln, signaling continued surging demand for AI infrastructure.
In addition, recent US economic data indicated strong consumption and optimism, with the July Services PMI expanding to 55.2 from 52.9 in the previous month. Initial Jobless Claims also fell to 217k, the lowest in 14 weeks, reinforcing optimism regarding the labor market, alongside stronger-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls from early July.
Inflation data showed a minor impact from tariffs, and tariff negotiations have progressed favorably. Trade deals have been secured with Vietnam, Indonesia, Japan, and the Philippines, and potential trade agreements with the Eurozone and India are anticipated before the deadline.
Major earnings releases are slated for next week, including MSFT, META, and QCOM on July 30. AMZN and APPL's results the following day could provide a clearer picture of USTEC's overall earnings.
Meanwhile, USTEC's forward P/E currently stands at 27x, aligning with its 5-year average despite reaching a new record high, suggesting further upside potential.
Technical:
The index is trading above its EMAs, which are extending, signaling a continuation of the rally.
If USTEC sustains its momentum, the index may reach 24000 upon breaking above the potential resistance at 23400.
Conversely, a pullback near the swing high may suggest a retest of the support at 23000.
Nasdaq Bullish Flow | 5M OB Execution PendingPair: NAS100
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 30M / 5M
Price remains heavy bullish — structure aligning perfectly across the board. Ever since the 30M OB was mitigated, I’ve been following Nasdaq’s order flow step-by-step.
I was watching for full-bodied confirmations inside the 30M zone, but instead, price gave clarity through the lower timeframes. That 5M flip gave away smart money’s intent — showing me exactly where accumulation is happening.
Now waiting for price to tap into the 5M OB to shift into execution mode. This setup has been mapped with precision — no guessing. Once entry presents itself, I’ll follow through.
Entry Zone: 5M OB
Target: 5M highs
Mindset Note: Still in analysis mode — patience until price hits my zone. Smart money doesn’t rush, it accumulates. So do I. 💼
Bullish continuation?USTEC has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistancewhihc lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 22,997.77
1st Support: 22,639.22
1st Resistance: 23,703.56
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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Will USTEC Continue Its Rallies Amid Better Market Sentiment?Macro approach:
- USTEC advanced modestly this week, supported by upbeat corporate earnings and resilience in economic data amid ongoing policy uncertainty.
- The index benefited from strong expected results in major tech firms such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia (NVDA), as top giant AI leadership, helping to bolster sentiment despite lingering concerns about tariffs and Fed policy direction.
- US macro data showed sticky inflation in key categories, robust retail sales, and falling jobless claims. This prompted the Fed to retain its cautious stance on rate cuts while markets reassessed policy expectations. Policy-related headlines and manufacturing sector developments also partly drove market volatility.
- USTEC could remain sensitive to incoming tech earnings, the 29-30 Jul Fed meeting, and potential US tariff announcements in early Aug. Persistent inflation and any surprises in central bank communication may drive volatility in the sessions ahead.
Technical approach:
- USTEC trended higher and created a new record high. The price is above both EMAs, indicating a strong bullish momentum.
- If USTEC stays above the support at 22900, the price may continue toward the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at around 23867.
- On the contrary, breaking below the support at 22900 and EMA21 may prompt a deeper correction to retest the following support at 22000.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
NASDAQ100| - Bullish Bias RemainsPrice didn’t give me the deep candle retrace into my 30M OB — just a wick tap — but that was enough. That wick shows me smart money touched in.
Dropped to the LTF and got my shift in structure confirming bullish intent.
Now I’m locked in, watching for price to sweep a 5M sell-side liquidity pocket into a clean LTF order block for the next entry.
🎯 Target: Short-term 5M highs
🚀 Bias: Still bullish unless structure breaks
This is a patience game now — execution only after confirmation.
US100 Analysis Report (15m Chart)1. 🔍 Liquidity Grab (Sell-side taken)
Price swept below 23,040 and sharply reversed from 22,978, clearing out weak sellers.
2. 📈 Break of Structure (BOS)
A bullish BOS occurred after price broke above 23,162, confirming short-term bullish intent.
3. 🟪 Rejection Zone
Price is now testing 23,287.42 — a supply/resistance zone. Watch for signs of rejection or breakout.
4. 📊 Bullish Scenario
If price breaks 23,287 cleanly, expect next moves towards 23,387 and then 23,482.
5. 📉 Bearish Setup Possibility
Rejection from 23,287 could pull price back to 23,162 or 23,040 before the next move.
NSDQ100 another bullish flag developing ?Donald Trump has agreed a new trade deal with Japan, setting 15% tariffs on US imports like cars and launching a $550 billion fund to boost investment in the US. This is lower than his earlier 25% tariff threat. Other allies saw mixed outcomes—the Philippines got a small tariff cut, while Canada’s talks stalled. Goldman Sachs now expects the US baseline tariff rate to rise to 15%.
Trump also suggested that Fed Chair Jerome Powell may not stay in his role much longer, and he’s considering removing capital gains tax on home sales, which could affect the housing market.
Separately, a Chinese-linked cyberattack breached the US nuclear weapons agency, though no classified data was stolen. Meanwhile, SpaceX’s investor documents flagged Elon Musk’s political activity as a potential risk as the company targets a $400 billion valuation.
Conclusion for Nasdaq 100:
The Nasdaq 100 faces short-term uncertainty due to rising trade tariffs, Fed leadership questions, and geopolitical risks. While some US-focused investments could benefit, traders should stay cautious as policy and global tensions evolve.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23265
Resistance Level 2: 23670
Resistance Level 3: 23480
Support Level 1: 22953
Support Level 2: 22840
Support Level 3: 22740
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,818.27 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,590.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 23,274.42 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SELL USTEC 22.7.2025Confluence trade order: SELL at M15
Type of entry: Limit order
Condition:
- If the price break down THE LAST TOP confirming the down trend into H1.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of bottom (23,146)
Set up entry:
- Entry sell at 23,184
- SL at 23,212
- TP1: 23,146
- TP2: 23,080
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
US 100 (NDQ) : Stay Heavy on PositionsApril Fear & Buy Signals
In early April, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a sharp sell-off, triggering extreme fear sentiment across the market.
At that point, scale-in buy signals appeared—classic "buy the fear" conditions.
Markets swing between greed and fear—unless the whole country collapses. Right now, greed is taking the lead, but the real blow-off top volatility hasn’t even started yet.
Stay Heavy on Positions
Despite short-term uncertainty, I’m maintaining an overweight position on the Nasdaq 100.
As long as we don’t see a major breakdown, the bias remains bullish.
NAS100 - Bullish Setup BuildingPair: NASDAQ (NAS100)
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview: 1H structure holding bullish after recent break of internal highs. Price pulling back toward a key demand zone.
LTF Confirmation: Waiting for price to mitigate the 1H Order Block, then drop to lower timeframes (15M → 5M) for confirmation entries.
Entry Zone: Watching for bullish reaction within OB, ideally paired with inducement or liquidity sweep before shift.
Targets: Short-term target is the next 1H high — extended targets align with overall bullish momentum continuation.
Mindset Note: Patience over prediction. Let price tap into the zone and confirm — don’t chase, just position smart.
Bless Trading!
NAS100 - Stock Market Awaits Tariffs!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. The target for this move will be the channel ceiling, but if it corrects towards the indicated support area, it is possible to buy Nasdaq with better reward to risk.
In a week once again clouded by trade tariff threats, the stock market reacted cautiously at times. However, what truly captured investors’ attention was growing concern over potential political interference in Federal Reserve policymaking—a development that influenced market sentiment and shifted the focus away from geopolitical tensions.
Despite political headwinds, U.S. economic data continued to show signs of resilience. Investors this week were more focused on corporate earnings and inflation data than on trade war rhetoric or speculation about Jerome Powell’s possible dismissal. While betting markets such as Polymarket raised the odds of Powell being removed to 40%, legally, the president cannot dismiss the Fed Chair without a valid cause—and allegations like “lying to Congress” lack legal standing.
Still, the greater danger lies not in Powell’s dismissal itself but in the potential erosion of the Federal Reserve’s independence—something that could unsettle investors in stocks, bonds, and currencies alike. Analysts expect Trump may soon appoint an ally as an informal or “shadow” Fed Chair, a move that would elevate political risk in financial markets.
Nevertheless, markets are continuing to operate along familiar lines: equities focus on corporate profits, the bond market on inflation and growth, and the currency market on relative returns. For now, the takeaway is clear: Trump is winning—but perhaps only temporarily.
Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer at BlackRock, noted that despite trade tensions and inflation concerns, tariffs have had limited impact so far. Following the June CPI report, he pointed out that inflation ticked up slightly—core CPI rose by 0.23% monthly and 2.93% annually, while headline inflation was up 0.29% monthly and 2.67% annually—but the broader trend still reflects easing price pressures.
Rieder attributed this to companies acting preemptively, managing inventory and adjusting supply chains to avoid passing on costs to consumers. He also cited easing wage pressures and a weakening labor market as factors contributing to the decline in inflation.
As such, Rieder believes the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates in September, though a cut in July is less likely, as the central bank would prefer to assess the impact of tariffs first.
According to the Wall Street Journal, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant privately urged Trump not to remove Jerome Powell. Besant warned that such an action could cause unnecessary turbulence in financial markets and the broader economy, and would also face legal and political hurdles. He emphasized that the Fed is already signaling potential rate cuts later this year, and confronting Powell now would be unwarranted.
A source noted that Besant reminded Trump the economy is performing well, and markets have responded positively to administration policies—another reason to avoid drastic moves.
On another front, rising long-term bond yields have become a concern for Besant, as they increase the government’s borrowing costs.He has been working to keep yields in check and believes firing Powell could further escalate them—hence his conversation with Trump aimed at dissuasion.
The coming week will begin with market attention on the European Central Bank’s rate decision, which could set the tone for Eurozone monetary policy in the second half of the year. Meanwhile, a series of key U.S. economic data will be released, providing a clearer view of conditions in employment, production, and housing.
On Tuesday, Jerome Powell will deliver an opening speech at an official event in Washington. While he is unlikely to directly address Trump’s recent verbal attacks, investors will be listening closely for any subtle references to Fed independence or interest rate direction.
On Wednesday, the June existing home sales report will be released, which could indicate whether housing demand remains steady or is weakening.
Thursday will be a packed day on the economic calendar. The ECB’s rate decision will be announced—an event under heavy scrutiny amid Eurozone stagnation. In the U.S., preliminary PMI data from S&P, weekly jobless claims, and new home sales will also be published.
Finally, the week will wrap up on Friday with the release of U.S. durable goods orders—an important gauge of capital investment in the manufacturing sector.