Tariff timeline: how Trump’s shifts hit the Nasdaq 100This chart tracks key US tariff decisions and rhetoric from February to May 2025 and their direct impact on the Nasdaq 100. It highlights the sharp escalation in tariffs against China and other trade partners, followed by market volatility and brief rebounds tied to policy softening. Notable events include the April 2 national emergency, China’s retaliation, and the May 12 tariff pause deal. The Nasdaq’s movements mirror investor reactions to uncertainty, diplomatic signals, and easing measures, showing how trade policy remains a major force behind short-term equity market swings.
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NAS100 trade ideas
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2 RRX2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Nasdaq – Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Play: Breakout or Rejection?US100 is going up and reaching a critical inflection point, the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 21,500 and 21,700.
This FVG is not just any level; it’s the last inefficiency left by aggressive sellers, and the market is now deciding whether to reclaim or reject it.
Key Zones
- Daily FVG (Supply): 21,400 – 21,600
- Major Resistance: 22,400
Trade Scenarios
Bullish Continuation
A clean daily close above 21,600 confirms FVG reclamation.
Could trigger a momentum burst toward 22,250.
Ideal play: wait for consolidation above 21,700 or breakout-retest setup.
Bearish Rejection
Rejection from the FVG could lead to a retracement toward 20,300, where demand and a lower imbalance reside.
Look for rejection in the FVG zone.
Technical Takeaways
The FVG at 21,400–21,600 is acting as both a magnet and a battlefield expect volatility.
The impulsive move leading here lacks a clear retest, which may increase the probability of a short-term correction.
Momentum is strong, but traders should wait for confirmation not emotion.
Summary
The Nasdaq 100 is knocking on a daily FVG door and what happens next will set the tone for the coming weeks.
Above 21,600 = bull trend continuation
Rejection = short-term dip to 20,300 possible
What's your take, breakout or rejection?
Follow for real-time trade updates and educational charts.
NQ: Upcoming Weekly analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Not much to update in comparison to last week analysis.
- Trump deals have had the upper hand; Market took them as a relief and stocks and equities are crumbs away from the pre-tariffs values.
- FED has tied hands:
a) On one hand, FED knows very well the negative impacts of tariffs that both prices and employment are not hit yet by them.
b) On the other hand, economic data are still good which are sufficiently reasonable and rationale to cut rate.
c) Latest data on Consumer Sentiment came undershoot and Inflation Expectations came overshoot which really reflect the tariff impacts.
Hence, it will be very difficult for the FED to cut rates on June meeting.
2- Moody's Rating: Last Friday Moody cut United States ratings to AA1 from AAA
Market will open with a Gap down.
3- Next week is relatively calm in terms of macro-economic data. We might see other Trump's deals.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
NQ Weekly candle provided a strong bullish candle.
Price closed and broke out the monthly Candle (green dashed line).
1- If the opening (gap down) is below the green dashed line, the weekly close should be revised down to the opening.
2- If the opening is above the green line, the weekly close is bullish.
Price should retest both the previous weekly high and low (blue lines) as a sign of Consolidation.
Daily TF:
The last three days show a clear exhaustion.
According to the ST/MT/LT Outlook (i.e., SELL), FED no rate cut in June and Moody's rating, market might start a sell-off.
That's all for this week. Wish you a green and wealthy week!
(Note: This analysis reflects my view and my bias that ST/MT/LT Outlook is Sell. Someone else may argue a complete opposite narrative and it could be a correct analysis. So do your own assessment and make your own decisions!)
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument 36As you all know I am eternally bullish on the NAS100...
What this means is that I trade my Hl's to my HH's.
Whenever there is a a hard retracement like we had over the past month, that is the time I either do the following
1. Wait or it to be over
2. Trade smaller positions to a HL (since the monthly needed the HL)
3. Or just keep testing new retracement theories so that I an expand my overall strategy.
What we have seen is that since Monday April 7, we got a confirmation for the Monthly HL and sine then the market has been working itself back to another ATH.
It is just a matter of patience and understanding that the market will always go back and break every single high that has been created as it continues to be eternally bullish.
Understanding this concept ensures 100% success as long as proper risk management is followed and an understanding that any sells in the market are only temporary retracements towards the HL on a larger timeframe.
With that being said...
All elements of the Auberstrategy remain in tact and working efficiently...
Happy Trading
#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#zigzagtheory
#whywewait
Nasdaq long up to 21,454.57Nasdaq is working on a strong recovery from the US tariffs.
Last Friday we saw a strong liquidity grab, respecting the current bullish trend and breaking the weak highs.
I do expect a little pullback to generate some more liquidity before pushing to higher highs at 21,454.57
US100 4HNASDAQ Analysis – Continuing the Bullish Path
As expected from the previous analysis, NASDAQ continued its bullish move and has now reached a key level.
A short-term correction is anticipated, which may provide a better buying opportunity.
The projected upside target remains at 22,600, where a new ATH could be formed.
Let’s see how the market reacts from here.
US100 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 21,312.4
Target Level: 19,338.7
Stop Loss: 22,625.1
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Reversal Target: 18,800 USD1. Price Action
The price has been trending within an ascending channel.
It recently touched the upper boundary of this channel and entered a resistance/support zone (marked in red at the top).
The blue arrow suggests a projected breakdown from the channel.
2. Support & Target
The target zone is marked around 18,800 USD, with a label and flag indicating this as a key level.
This zone is also aligned with a previous consolidation area and possibly strong historical support.
3. Indicators
EMAs:
50 EMA (red line): 20,762.7
200 EMA (blue line): 19,861.5
The price is currently above both EMAs, typically bullish, but divergence from the channel and potential resistance may imply an upcoming correction.
RSI:
Currently at 65.03, nearing overbought territory (70).
The RSI shows a bearish divergence—price makes higher highs while RSI stays flat or dips slightly.
4. Implications
If the price breaks below the channel and 50 EMA, a move toward 200 EMA or the marked target zone (around 18,800 USD) is likely.
Traders may look for confirmation via a break of lower trendline support, a strong red candle, or declining volume before entering short.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Price Outcomes"This Is For The Record"
Dealing Range(DR) -Previous day High and Low
Seeing that Wednesday sell side liquidity DR swept by Thursday London sweep.
To confirm Thursday sweep, Wednesday high broken by Thursday
Price retraced 61% of Thursday DR to AOI-"iFVG" as support to go higher
Today London open showed support to Asia Low displacing to Asia high and breaking through it
Clear 1hr OB left in London session for NY to retrace and balance price
Now that NY opened and went higher we can still be open to PDH challenged as no Session lows or major key levels PDH-PDL broken
If still bullish price will have to break PDH and sweep internal liquidity lows
If bearish previous day high- PDH to be sweep area of interest AOI in NY and show clear bearish rejection,
NY now at 30min order block -OB in premium area of dealing range-DR, if there is rejection to the OB, Price must displace NY low and respect any form of resistance made to the NY low eg. FVG or OB
I wont participate in sell unless previous day low displaced.
Sit back and wait for the market to show its hand at key levels and AOI.
Bravo Six. Badged member of the SAS. Task Force QT17
NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationTrade Tensions – Trump’s Tariff Plans
Donald Trump said he will set new tariff rates on trading partners within the next 2–3 weeks. China tariffs may remain at 30% through late 2025, according to a Bloomberg survey.
Relevance:
Renewed tariff threats could pressure Nasdaq 100 names with global exposure, especially semiconductors and large-cap tech (e.g., Apple, Nvidia).
Heightened inflation and supply chain risks may weigh on broader risk sentiment.
Geopolitical Risks – Russia, Middle East
Trump is open to meeting Vladimir Putin, though peace talks in Istanbul remain unproductive. Meanwhile, he returns from the Middle East with $200 billion in UAE investment deals.
Relevance:
Limited direct impact on Nasdaq 100, but reinforces broader geopolitical uncertainty, which may influence market volatility and global risk appetite.
Meta Under Pressure – Competition and Regulation
ByteDance, owner of TikTok, is reportedly on track to match Meta’s revenue this year. Meta shares fell on reports of delayed AI development and increasing EU regulatory pressure around user age restrictions.
Relevance:
Meta (META) faces increasing headwinds from both competition and regulation.
Sentiment could spill into other ad-driven or AI-exposed Nasdaq 100 names.
xAI Controversy – Grok AI Glitch
Elon Musk’s xAI chatbot Grok posted controversial content due to unauthorized system tampering. The company has since corrected the issue.
Relevance:
Raises concerns about oversight and content control in the AI space.
May indirectly affect sentiment around AI-related names in the Nasdaq 100, including Tesla and other emerging AI platforms.
Conclusion – Nasdaq 100 Implications
Caution warranted around large-cap tech, especially Meta and AI-focused companies.
Trade war rhetoric and geopolitical risk could add volatility to the broader index.
Watch for market reactions to tariff announcements, regulatory headlines, and key AI developments.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 21540
Resistance Level 2: 21710
Resistance Level 3: 21900
Support Level 1: 20890
Support Level 2: 20730
Support Level 3: 20600
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ100 (US100) Testing Key Supply Zone – Big Move Loading?The NASDAQ100 (US100) is currently testing a major supply zone around 21,380 – 21,400, marked clearly by repeated price rejection and visible range resistance from LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand indicator.
After a strong bullish move from the 20,688.51 demand zone, price is consolidating just below resistance, forming what looks like a potential distribution range. If bulls fail to break this level cleanly, we could see a sharp drop toward the next key supports:
First target: 21,044.29 (Minor support / previous resistance)
Second target: 20,688.51 (Major demand zone, confirmed by volume)
Why this setup matters:
The supply zone has already rejected price multiple times – showing seller strength.
RSI is flattening out, showing momentum loss.
U.S. economic events are coming up (marked on the chart) – these could trigger volatility and confirm direction.
Trading Plan:
Watch for a clean rejection or breakout from the blue zone.
A confirmed rejection + bearish candle pattern = short entry with stops above the zone.
A breakout with volume = bullish continuation above 21,400.
Comment below:
Are you buying the breakout or selling the rejection?
Follow for more clean NASDAQ setups every week!
#US100 #NASDAQ #TradingSetup #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #Forex #Indices #RejectionTrade #Breakout
NAS100 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 21,335.35, an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 20,926.01, a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement
The stop loss will be placed at 21,516.96, above the swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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NASDAQ Potential Bullish Reversal OpportunityNASDAQ price action went through a massive correction during the global tariff war.
However after potential recent developments, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape.
This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the Daily and shorter timeframes.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 20440
Stop Loss @ 19500
TP 1 @ 21380
#NDQ - What does these lines say? Do they work?Hey, hope you are all doing great!
I strongly believe that you are looking at these charts to your advantage. Are the lines marked in these charts make any sense? Do these lines really work? check out these charts at a lower time frames and see. Since these are directionless, how to read?
Current Price: 20061.45
Mid-line: 19927.42
Upside: 20783.90, 21216.80, 21700.31 and 22183.83
Downside: 19072.54, 18638.04, 18154.52 and 17671.00
#NDQ