NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationUS-China Trade Talks:
The Trump administration is considering cutting tariffs on Chinese goods to below 60% during upcoming talks. China may reciprocate. Chinese exports to the US have already dropped sharply following earlier steep tariffs.
Global Market Reaction:
Germany's DAX index hit a new high, recovering losses from the trade war. European stocks are rising on hopes of lower tariffs and potential rate cuts from the European Central Bank.
US Tax Policy:
Trump is urging Congress to raise taxes on the wealthy, proposing a 39.6% rate for individuals earning $2.5 million or more (or $5 million for couples).
Panasonic Job Cuts:
Panasonic plans to cut 10,000 jobs to improve profitability by focusing on growth areas and reducing operations in weaker sectors like TVs and industrial devices.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20530
Resistance Level 2: 20730
Resistance Level 3: 20950
Support Level 1: 19640
Support Level 2: 19325
Support Level 3: 19030
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NAS100FT trade ideas
Staircase seen in real chartsFor the most part OANDA:NAS100USD has exhibited a near perfect staircase up so far.
It does appear fairly extended right now, but with rotation out of safe havens into risk on assets again, what remains to be seen is how much fuel is in the tank, and how far can the tailwind take it.
Understanding the Crab's Potential Ascent Before the DescentCurrent market analysis suggests a potential temporary surge in the Nasdaq index, colloquially referred to as a "crab walk," possibly reaching a level of 20.4 before a significant correction.
While this upward movement may present short-term opportunities, it is crucial to recognize its potential transience.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USTEC is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 20,418.65
1st Support: 19,265.30
1st Resistance: 21,137.24
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NASDAQ (NDX) Market OutlookCurrently, the NASDAQ is trading around 19,723. We're anticipating a short-term pullback toward the 19,462 level, where a significant pool of liquidity awaits. This zone could act as a magnet for price in the near term. Once price reaches this area, we’ll closely monitor the lower timeframes for a potential bullish reaction or accumulation, which could signal the next leg higher.
Stay patient and let price confirm at key levels.
NASDAQ Weekly Outlook - Potential ShortsPrice pushed up on Friday 25 May into an area of imbalance at 20170 and closed.
Then we have Monday which pushed up through out the day and failed to break and close above Friday 25th Hi, ending the day inside of Fridays candle followed by Tuesday being bear and failing to break and close above Monday hi candle but managed to break and close below Mondays candle close.
By this creating the high of the week, on a weekly time frame, reason for the short is to fill the daily volume imbalance highlighted in yellow. As price always needs to fill gaps in the market left behind by inefficient price action.
Only then I assume one could start looking for longs, as all sell side liquidity has been cleared.
The Nasdaq 100’s rally may be coming to an endThe Nasdaq 100 has staged an impressive rally over the past two weeks, climbing more than 12% since Monday 21 April to close at roughly 19,970 on Monday 5 May. However, if there were a point at which the advance might pause, it could be near current levels. The index has risen to a key area of technical resistance in the 19,900 to 20,200 range, which could prove challenging to break through, especially given the uncertain outlook.
One driver behind the Nasdaq 100’s rise has been the fall in implied volatility, as indicated by the VXN. While the better-known Vix measures expected volatility in the S&P 500 over the next month of trading, the VXN measures volatility on the Nasdaq 100. It has recently dropped to a reading of 25.7, down from more than 50 in April, as shown on the chart below. This decline in implied volatility probably triggered significant unwinding of put positions in the options market, allowing market-maker hedging flows to provide a tailwind for stocks. But with the VXN now back at levels last seen on 2 April, this tailwind may no longer be available to support the market.
Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 has returned to the 61.8% retracement level, a significant Fibonacci level that frequently acts as strong resistance and could help determine whether the recent rebound is genuine or merely a short-term blip. Just above this 61.8% retracement lies the 200-day moving average, another level that typically provides strong resistance. Furthermore, the 19,950 region has consistently acted as both support and resistance, dating back to June 2024. With these three resistance areas converging, it may be challenging for the tech-heavy index to sustain its upward momentum. Should stocks begin to reverse lower, initial support may be around 19,300, followed by a gap at 18,240.
That said, if the Nasdaq 100 somehow manages to overcome all these hurdles, it could rise to 21,100 – though such a move appears unlikely at this stage.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
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The same repeat as 4 April 2022The market seems to be recovering and more and more positive ideas are emerging. However, on a weekly timeframe, the NDX appears to be forming a pattern very similar to what we saw at the end of 2021. Even the RSI shows remarkably similar levels.
Personally, I’m staying cautious. I haven’t taken a position yet, but I’m ready to buy in on the next significant dip. I’ve set my alert around 14,500 – let’s hope we reach that level again. 😉
What are your thoughts on this? Feel free to share your opinion!
US100 – Bullish Continuation Setting Up Inside the ChannelUS100 remains firmly bullish, showing consistent strength after breaking out from the prior consolidation range in mid-April. Price action has been moving cleanly within a well-defined ascending channel, supported by strong impulsive moves followed by shallow retracements. Each pullback so far has been relatively controlled, and buyers have been stepping in aggressively from clearly defined zones, which aligns with the current risk-on sentiment across tech-heavy indices.
Consolidation Structure
We’ve now had two solid retests of prior fair value gaps (FVGs), both of which acted as demand zones and helped fuel continuation. The first pullback dropped into a previously formed imbalance, consolidated briefly, and then launched a strong bullish leg. The second did the same, creating a layered structure of bullish continuation through efficient retracements. Each of these reactions confirms that price is respecting areas where institutional orders may have been left behind, which adds confluence to the trend’s strength.
Currently, price is working on forming a third FVG within the upper half of the channel. This is developing just below recent highs and has not yet been retested, which makes it a key area of interest. If the market pulls back into that imbalance with proper structure, it could offer the next high-probability opportunity to join the trend.
Bullish Scenario
If price retraces into this newly forming FVG and holds, especially with a wick or lower timeframe rejection candle inside the zone, it could mark the start of the next impulse. The overall trend remains intact as long as we stay within the channel and each FVG continues to serve as valid support. Given the strength of the previous bounces and the orderly nature of this structure, any retest into this new FVG would likely lead to another push into fresh highs and a move toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if price fails to respect this new FVG and breaks below with momentum, especially if the channel support fails at the same time, it would be a sign that buyers are losing control. In that case, we’d want to see how price interacts with the last confirmed FVG below before making any bearish assumptions. A deeper pullback into that area could still provide another long opportunity if structure holds, but any sharp momentum break through both imbalances would put the bullish trend on pause and shift focus to downside levels.
Price Target and Expectations
Assuming the bullish structure continues to play out, the next projected move would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel. There’s enough space left between current levels and the upper trendline to justify an entry on the next pullback, provided it lands inside the newly created FVG. The setup is fairly straightforward, let price come back into the imbalance, confirm with lower timeframe strength, and ride the continuation leg.
Current Stance
There’s no need to chase price here. The best scenario is waiting for a patient retest of the fresh FVG forming now. If it pulls back cleanly, holds the zone, and gives confirmation, that would be the entry. Momentum, structure, and market context are all aligned for continuation, but the trade needs to be built off a level that shows actual commitment from buyers.
Conclusion
US100 is holding its bullish structure well, forming clean legs within an ascending channel, and repeatedly respecting fair value gaps as demand zones. With a new imbalance forming beneath the most recent high, the setup is shaping up for another continuation play if price rotates back and holds. It’s a wait-and-see moment for now, but if the FVG gets tagged and buyers show up, this could be the next leg higher in an already strong trend.
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Nasdaq Pending Short: previous wave 4 as resistance This idea is complementary to the S&P500 pending short idea. I've labelled the waves slightly differently but it doesn't impact the forecast for it's still the same expectation of a last wave. I purposely left it as a different count as comparison.
I would start building a short position around 20300. Stop above purple Fibonacci extension level.
NASDAQ YEARLY CHART Chart done on 03.05.2025
Nasdaq market conditions are very similar to the 2020 market conditions
as we can see for both years we had a drop in market price for the first few month, then the recovery happened as markets started to stabilize.
this looks to be the same with 2025 as trumps appointment into the white house has caused a similar effect
for the next year nasdaq looks to be bullish so that the US economy can adapt to the new changes.
this is a very basic analysis. if a more in depth analysis is needed. Please feel free to comment
US100 - Perfect Long Opportunities Unfolding?This chart illustrates a high-probability bullish setup based on a combination of market structure shifts, fair value gaps (FVGs), Fibonacci retracement confluence, and order block interaction. We are analyzing the US Tech 100 on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on recent price action development and a potential reversal scenario forming after a corrective move.
Context and Market Structure:
Price action has been in a corrective downtrend after printing a local high near the 19,950–20,000 range. This move led to a break in short-term bullish structure as sell-side liquidity was swept. A series of bearish candles followed, confirming a shift in momentum to the downside.
However, the retracement stalled upon entering a prior area of imbalance—highlighted here as a larger fair value gap (FVG) zone. This FVG zone acted as a significant demand area, with price reacting strongly upon entry. The zone is marked with a light blue shaded rectangle and aligns with a 1-hour bullish order block.
Price created a swing low in this FVG area before forming higher lows, suggesting the possibility of a short-term reversal.
Golden Pocket & Liquidity Sweep:
A key zone of interest is the "Golden Pocket downtrend" area, which is derived from the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels of the last impulse down. Price previously respected this zone, leading to a rejection and continuation lower. This makes it a notable supply area. Price may revisit this zone as a target or potential reaction point on the next bullish leg.
Note how the initial reaction from the FVG brought the market back into a smaller 1H FVG, situated just beneath the 0.5 retracement level. The internal structure within this zone supports a bullish outlook due to the formation of a higher low followed by a bullish engulfing candle.
Fibonacci Confluence & Execution Levels:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the recent move aligns closely with the midpoint of the bullish FVG, providing confluence for a potential re-entry or continuation point. This level is annotated on the chart and highlighted with a horizontal line labeled "0.618 - Entry." This suggests it may act as a magnet for price before further continuation to the upside.
The 0.786 retracement level, also plotted on the chart, indicates the deeper end of the retracement spectrum and lies just above a major structural low. This region, though aggressive, would represent a final line of defense for bullish continuation.
Projection and Price Path:
Based on the current structure and bullish reaction from the FVG zone, a potential price path is drawn on the chart. It suggests one more liquidity grab into the FVG area followed by an impulsive move to the upside.
The blue projection line outlines a potential retracement to fill the nearby FVG (which remains partially unmitigated), followed by a resumption of bullish momentum that targets a revisit to the previous high area around 19,875.
Additional Notes:
* Multiple FVGs are actively interacting in this region, giving layered confluence for demand zones.
* The reaction from the FVG zone is coupled with a bullish engulfing pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling aggressive buying.
* Price remains above the internal bullish structure despite the earlier rejection from the Golden Pocket area.
Conclusion:
The chart setup represents a textbook example of FVG demand zone reaction, supported by Fibonacci confluence and market structure shifts. As price consolidates above this key FVG, a continuation to the upside becomes a strong probability if the internal structure remains intact. Traders should monitor price behavior on lower timeframes as it interacts with the 0.618 and FVG zones for confirmation of bullish continuation.
NAS100 1H | Major Rejection Zone – Time to Sell?NAS100 is trading inside a key supply zone, showing clear rejection signs near 19,825, with a potential downside move on the table.
Watch These Levels:
Resistance (Rejection Zone): 19,825
First Support: 18,328
Major Demand Zone: 16,948
Bearish Bias if price fails to break and close above 19,825.
A break below 18,328 could trigger a deeper drop toward 16,948.
Trade Plan:
Sell near 19,825 with SL above zone
Target 18,328 → 16,948
Bullish reversal only above clean breakout
What do you think—pullback or breakout?
#NAS100 #NASDAQ #Indices #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #US100 #CFD
NAS100 BUY Trade ideia. 1-10RRNAS100 BUY Trade ideia. 1-10RR. After the TP hit from yesterday Im still expecting more bullish momentum so Im waiting to see if I can get this 1-10RR or at least 1-5RR from this. Remember we need confirmations to enter the trade. It has to brake structure in 5min before we enter.
Lets see
Nasdaq - Printing The Obvious Bottom!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) already finished the correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we witnessed a minor "crash" of about -25% over the past couple of weeks, the bottom might be in on the Nasdaq. We simply saw another very bullish all time high break and retest and depite the possibility of a second retest, I am (still) extremely bullish at these levels.
Levels to watch: $17.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nas100 Diamond BottomAt the 16400 gap down the play was simple, buy, fill the gap and bullish engulf this puppy.
So it happened, and the 10 percent pump is the middle of the diamond. Then what was left to be bullish on the final retraces onto the right side of the diamond.
Now we are in. I expect exponentiaal growth, but first target is the magic average plotted on this chart.
Good luck and remember, no guarantees. I play the chart and trust it, but if it backfires thats my risk im willing to take.
NASDAQ: Rebounding on the 4H MA50. New High for the Channel Up.Nasdaq is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.883, MACD = 127.320, ADX = 37.197) and is rebounding today on the 4H MA50, right before the HL of the Channel Up. This is a technical bottom that calls for a buy. We aim for a new +6% bullish wave (TP = 20,800).
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5 May Weekly NAS100 Forecast USTECH: Trade Talks and Fed Decision in Focus
Analysis:
Markets are at a pivotal juncture as investors monitor two critical developments: the potential resumption of U.S.-China trade negotiations and the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision.
Trade Negotiations: Renewed dialogue between the U.S. and China could alleviate tariff pressures, stabilize global supply chains, and bolster investor confidence, thereby reducing recession risks.
Federal Reserve Decision: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet on May 6–7, 2025. While the Fed is widely expected to maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%–4.50%, market participants are keenly awaiting Chair Jerome Powell's commentary for insights into future monetary policy directions.
Market Bias: Cautiously Bullish
The confluence of potential trade resolutions and a steady monetary policy stance supports a cautiously optimistic outlook. However, market volatility may persist pending concrete developments.
Key Levels to Watch:
USTECH (NASDAQ 100):
Resistance: 20 531
Support: 19 481
Conclusion:
Investors should remain vigilant, monitoring both geopolitical developments and central bank communications, as these factors will significantly influence market trajectories in the near term.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
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X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Break Out at 19980
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19890
We are watching this zone closely.
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Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level
➗ 20050 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 19900 – Equal lows
• 19980 – Equal highs