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US Dollar Index CFD (USD)

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USDCAD SELLING OPPORTUNITIESIn February, price has shown a large rejection at 1.48000 phycology level. The last time we see price at this level was in March 1, 2000. We see this on the monthly time frame.. We also see some sort of bearish retracement to 61.8% Fibonacci level. If this level holds on weekly that means a new bearish move have started for USDCAD and this will be the first Lower lower.. for this new week, one will need to watch price actions on the lower timeframes(h4,h1) for bearish confirmations for shorting opportunities. however, we are also open to buying opportunities back to 1.48000, should price fail to break 1.43000 phycological level and start giving us more higher highs..
TVC:DXYShort
by akpogumamudi
DXY Potential Reversal from Key Support | Buy SetupThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential bearish trend. After breaking the neckline, DXY has dropped significantly and is now approaching a major demand zone (103.50-104.00), where buying pressure could emerge. Key levels to watch: Support Zones: 103.50 - 104.00 (Strong demand area) Resistance Zones: 105.50 - 106.50 (Previous support turned resistance) Trade Idea: Entry: Around 103.50 - 104.00 Target: 106.00 - 106.50 Stop Loss: Below 103.00 (to avoid further downside risk) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 Impact on Forex Pairs: If DXY moves up, currency pairs with USD as the base currency (e.g., USD/JPY, USD/CAD, USD/CHF) will likely move higher. On the other hand, pairs where USD is the quote currency (e.g., EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD) will likely move lower as the dollar strengthens. Conclusion: If price holds at the 103.50-104.00 support, we may see a short-term bullish move towards 106.00-106.50. However, a break below 103.00 could lead to further downside pressure. Traders should also monitor major USD pairs for potential trade opportunities.
TVC:DXYLong
by ayushpanchal92
DOLLAR GAINS BUYER AMID NFP BAD DATA??Dollar seems on hold in it's 2.618 fibonacci support after NFP data released. Will it go higher next week? I see dollar still waiting next data release. I mention JOLTS Job Opening & CPI which both of them crucial in current context of US macro-economy. Strong job opening & CPI means investor and retail trader must be no worries about US macro-economic despite concern about trade war. Otherwise, weak job opening & CPI means labor market and inflation continue cooling down. It will push THE FED to give clear path about their plan for future Interest Rate. So, dollar could make sideways movement (or even gain buyer) but overall still in bearish momentum. Dollar still driven by concern of trade war and if job opening comes weaker than expected, it could gives more power to seller.
TVC:DXYShort
by vicariuzchrist
DXY - 2025 Yearly Outlook - Bearish..."When" not "If"This is a rough yearly outlook for the DXY. I will be updating this as the year goes on (I'll update this idea monthly as I check it). Right now there is TONS of sell side liquidity open on the DXY, and price may want to attack it. It's important to monitor its behavior around the 110-112 mark. I'm bearish on this index overall (1-4 year outlook), but it could definitely have a semi bullish 2025. SCENARIOS -If we get a strong breach above that would imply a new 10-year high potential. -If we hit the 110-112 mark and reverse down under 108 within 30-days of hitting that mark, we are probably going to make a run for sell side liquidity, with the first target being 99.50. That's all for now. -Gio ... P.S. If anything I say in this sounds like a different language to you, or you want to learn my techniques, give me a follow. I'm launching a community this summer to help new and struggling traders with market techniques and personal development. It will be free. If you follow me now, I'll notify you, or shoot you a message when it becomes available.
TVC:DXY
by elevatedinvestor
DOLLARDOLLAR AT 103,570 is expected to show support ,today economic data are heavy. the Impact of Fundamental Data on DXY and The upcoming data releases, including Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, and Unemployment Rate, can influence the US Dollar Index (DXY) in several ways: Stronger-than-Expected Job Growth: Impact: If the Non-Farm Employment Change exceeds the forecast of 159,000, it could lead to a stronger DXY. A robust labor market might reduce expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, supporting the USD. DXY Reaction: The DXY could rise as investors expect less monetary easing, potentially boosting bond yields and the USD. Weaker-than-Expected Job Growth: Impact: If the employment data is weaker than expected (e.g., fewer than 135,000 jobs added), it might lead to a decline in the DXY. This could increase expectations of a rate cut by the Fed, weakening the USD. DXY Reaction: The DXY could fall as investors bet on potential monetary policy easing, leading to a decrease in the USD's value. Neutral or Expected Job Numbers: Impact: If the data aligns closely with forecasts (around 159,000 jobs added), the reaction might depend on smaller details like revisions to previous data or wage growth. DXY Reaction: The DXY might experience minimal movement if the data is as expected, but any surprises in wage growth or revisions could influence its direction. FOMC Members' Speeches: Impact: Comments from FOMC members, including Fed Chair Powell, can provide insights into future monetary policy decisions, potentially influencing market expectations and the DXY. Consumer Credit Data: Impact: A significant change in consumer credit could reflect consumer spending trends and economic health, potentially influencing the DXY. Current Market Conditions: The DXY is near a four-month low due to concerns about economic growth and tariff policies. Strong employment data could help stabilize or boost the DXY, while weak data might exacerbate its decline. Trading Strategy: Long DXY: If employment data is strong and FOMC members signal a hawkish stance, traders might favor long positions on the DXY. Short DXY: If data is weak or if FOMC members indicate a dovish stance, traders might consider short positions on the DXY.
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
2
DXY filling gaps downward - expect correction soonLooks like the dollar is filling GAPs as the chart shows. Last 2 are at 102.826 and 101.601. Follow Fibs for areas of reaction where we may get a correction.(yes fibs go beyond 1.618) Look for the correction very soon, if we have one, to go as high as 105.5-ish. It should NOT correct higher than that if we are going much lower...according to Elliott Wave I'm assuming we are in the 3rd wave. Watch for the trend(price) to move toward the blue line as an area/direction while it's correcting.
TVC:DXYShort
by rabbitinvestmentsstrategies
Will the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report Be Optimistic?At 8:30 AM EST today, the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report will be released, offering key insights into the U.S. labor market. This report will cover Average Hourly Earnings, Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate, helping investors and policymakers assess the economy’s current state. Let’s break down the expectations and potential impacts. What to Expect from the NFP Report? The U.S. economy is expected to have added 160,000 jobs in February 2025, improving from January’s 143,000. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 4%, signaling stability in the job market. However, wage growth is expected to slow, rising 0.3% month-over-month, compared to January’s 0.5%, the highest since August 2024. On an annual basis, wage growth is forecasted to hold at 4.1%. Despite these stable projections, economic uncertainty is increasing. The election initially brought optimism among investors and major corporations, with hopes that the new government would introduce tax cuts, balance inflation with policy rates, and create an environment conducive to business expansion and job growth. However, the current situation presents a different picture. Unpredictable tariffs, frequent policy shifts, and regulatory scrutiny on functioning organizations are shaking investor confidence. The U.S. dollar is experiencing a decline as uncertainty continues to grow. Trade Policies and Market Uncertainty Concerns over President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs are adding to economic instability, contributing to a decline in the U.S. dollar since the new president officially took office on January 20. Investors are growing wary, as shifting policies create an unpredictable business environment. A recent decision to temporarily exempt Canadian and Mexican goods under the U.S.–Mexico–Canada Agreement (USMCA) from newly imposed 25% tariffs has added another layer of uncertainty. These tariffs, which took effect earlier this week, are raising concerns about their potential impact on economic growth and global trade. Looking Ahead The NFP report will play a crucial role in determining market sentiment and economic direction. Investors, businesses, and policymakers will closely analyze the data to assess the labor market’s strength and the broader economic outlook. With ongoing policy changes and global trade uncertainties, all eyes are on how employment trends unfold and how businesses navigate the shifting economic landscape. Stay tuned for further updates as the data is released.
TVC:DXY
by AfaqKhan111
DOLLAR DXYImpact of Tomorrow's Data on DXY and USD Trade Directional Bias The upcoming data releases, including Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, and speeches by FOMC members, can significantly influence DXY and DXYtrade directional bias. Here's how these data points might impact the markets: Data Releases: Average Hourly Earnings (m/m): Forecast: 0.3% Previous: 0.5% Impact: Lower-than-expected earnings growth could suggest a slowing economy, potentially weakening the USD. Conversely, higher earnings could support the USD by indicating wage inflation and potentially leading to higher interest rates. Non-Farm Employment Change: Forecast: 159,000 Previous: 143,000 Impact: A stronger-than-expected jobs report could boost the USD by indicating economic resilience. A weaker report might lead to a decline in the USD as it could signal economic slowdown. Unemployment Rate: Forecast: 4.0% Previous: 4.0% Impact: No change in the unemployment rate is expected, but any deviation could influence market expectations of future monetary policy. FOMC Member Speeches: Impact: Comments from FOMC members can provide insights into future monetary policy decisions, influencing market expectations and potentially impacting the USD. Consumer Credit m/m: Forecast: $15.6 billion Previous: $40.8 billion Impact: A significant change in consumer credit could reflect consumer spending trends and economic health, potentially influencing the USD. Departments Responsible for Data Releases: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): Responsible for releasing employment data, including Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. Federal Reserve: FOMC members' speeches are part of the Federal Reserve's communication strategy. Federal Reserve: Also responsible for Consumer Credit data. BLS: Average Hourly Earnings data is also released by the BLS. Impact on EUR/USD: Strong US Data: If the employment data and earnings growth are stronger than expected, it could lead to a stronger USD, potentially weakening AUDUSD,USDJPY,GBPUSD,USDZAR,USDCAD,EURUSD Weak US Data: Conversely, weaker-than-expected data might lead to a decline in the USD, supporting EUR/USD,AUDUSD,USDJPY,GBPUSD, Trading Strategy: Short EUR/USD.AUDUSD,GBPUSD ,: If US data is strong and FOMC members signal a hawkish stance, Long EUR/USD,AUDUSD EURUSD: If US data is weak .
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
DXY Trading Journal March 7 Analysis DXY Trading Journal March 7 Analysis Price has shown strong willingness to seek lower prices. Showing a willingness to come to the FVG pointed out by ICT which it rebalanced in Thursday’s delivery. Take aways from tape reading this were when there is a liquidity run in play Price showed no signs of retracement to the session 50 level. It shouldn’t if the underlining premise is bearish. I suspect the FVG failed. Today is NFC. Will Price seek lower after 3 strong days of dropping. I will wait to see what price does at the previous days session 50 level. We coming up to the .70 level on the HTF. On the HTF this looks like it could be a measured move. Price broke out of the tight range bound after trading in it for a few years, so will it break sept lows and go lower. We are 3 months into a seasonal trend of bearish conditions. I note the timing of this drop the week Trump spoke to congress. HMMM
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
Falling towards overlap support?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 103.53 1st Support: 102.36 1st Resistance: 105.62 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
The US Dollar Index is Decreasing - Positive for Cryptocurrency#DXY #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + The Dollar Index has breached its support level and is now trading below it, moving toward the next support zone around $100. + This development is positive for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, as the US Dollar Index typically declines during a bull run. + In the long term, I anticipate further declines, potentially reaching the $90 range. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
TVC:DXYShort
by VectorAlgo
DXY at a Critical Level – Reversal or Continuation?Welcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic, and let’s break down the DXY. If you’ve been following my previous analysis, I mentioned that we are currently in a secondary downtrend, and that still holds true. However, it’s wise to gradually reduce risk and secure profits earlier for two key reasons: 1️⃣ We are approaching a critical support zone – the 60% Fibonacci retracement, which aligns with multiple key support levels. 2️⃣ The weekly candle structure – Looking at the weekly chart, we’ve already hit the four-week pivot point, meaning the market could either range here or even start a price reversal. Interesting stat: So far, this weekly candle is the largest since November 202 2 and the second-largest since March 2020, which signals significant market movement. 4H Timeframe Breakdown In my last analysis, I mentioned: 🚨 The main short trigger is at 106.188, but depending on momentum, we could potentially enter even earlier on lower timeframes. Now, 104.250 has already been broken, and the next key support sits at 103.398. 🔹 If you’re holding short positions, this 103.398 level is a great zone to secure profits. 🔹 No new triggers for now – I don’t expect immediate continuation, and as mentioned, we could see a range formation or even a reversal from here. Let’s see how price action develops. See you in the next analysis! 🔥📉
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
1
USD index $DXY to 100In this blog space we have discussed the FX:EURUSD and TVC:DXY index on 9th Feb. We said it looks like the FX:EURUSD is forming a local bottom, and the chart was showing lot of resilience. And we said that the next stop on FX:EURUSD will be 1.062 which it has recently surpassed. We also prophesized that because 60% of the TVC:DXY is EUR we might see more weakness in USD. And now we see the TVC:DXY is below its 0.612 Fib retracement level @ 105. In the short term it is heading to 0.5 in the short term @ 102. We have seen that the index always bounced back when TVC:DXY is @ the psychological level of 100. If the TVC:DXY breaks below the support level @ 100 then it might go to 99 and eventually to 95. But this USD weakness is not bringing any good news to the Stocks and Crypto. We have to wait until we see a final capitulation in $DXY. If TVC:DXY goes to 95 then FX:EURUSD above 1.15.
TVC:DXYShort
by RabishankarBiswal