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Watchlist Breakdown 22/12/2024A quick breakdown of my TOP6 in preparation for next week. This is not Mark's or the Coaches analysis, so take it with a little distance but I still hope you took value from it and it helped you in preparing next week. As we move into the festive period a lot of banks will reduce their exposure resulting in much lower liquidity over all asset classes so I'm not too eager to get involved in trades. Let price and the DXY settle over the next couple of days, stay in your routines, keep the momentum high and be prepared when 2025 starts.
TVC:DXY
by Nico_Lochte
10 Tips to Succeed in Forex Trading in 2025"Did you know the global forex trading market processes over $6 trillion in daily transactions?" With such immense liquidity, forex trading remains one of the most appealing avenues for traders worldwide. However, success in forex trading isn't about luck—it’s about mastering strategies, staying disciplined, and preparing for market challenges. Whether you're an experienced trader or just starting, these 10 tips will help you navigate the fast-paced forex market in 2025. 1. Develop a Comprehensive Trading Plan Trading forex without a plan is like setting out on a road trip with no map. Before executing your first trade, make sure your plan includes: Clearly Defined Setup: Understand what criteria signal your entry. Entry, Exit, and Management Rules: Set clear guidelines for every stage of the trade. Consistency: Stick to one or two strategies, and refine them through repetition. A solid plan is your foundation for consistency and growth. 2. Harness the Power of Journaling Journaling is one of the most underrated tools in trading. By keeping detailed records, you can: Track Progress: Pinpoint what works and what doesn’t. Analyze Mistakes: Avoid repeating past errors. Understand Emotional Patterns: Identify how emotions like fear or greed influence decisions. Foster Discipline: Create a routine that encourages consistency. Reflection on your past trades is an essential step toward improvement. 3. Prioritize Risk Management Successful traders prioritize protecting their capital. To manage risk effectively: Limit risk per trade to 1–2% of your account balance. Set stop-loss orders to safeguard against unexpected market movements. Calculate lot sizes carefully to avoid overexposure. Risk management isn’t optional—it’s essential for longevity in trading. 4. Make Backtesting a Habit Backtesting allows you to apply your strategies to historical data and assess their effectiveness. It helps you: Validate Strategies: Confirm they perform well under various market conditions. Spot Weaknesses: Address flaws before putting real money at risk. Build Confidence: See proof that your approach works. Consistent backtesting transforms theory into actionable insights. 5. Commit to Continuous Learning Forex trading is an evolving journey. Staying informed ensures you stay ahead. Focus on: Market Operators: Understand key participants and their impact. Critical Levels: Learn the interplay between high-timeframe and low-timeframe price action. Mastering Strategies: Choose a few models and refine them over time. By deepening your understanding, you’ll adapt to changes with confidence. 6. Keep Emotions in Check Trading success often hinges on emotional control. To manage your mindset: Avoid revenge trading after a loss. Refrain from over-leveraging trades out of greed. Take breaks to maintain mental clarity. Reflecting on emotional patterns through journaling helps you stay disciplined. 7. Diversify Your Portfolio Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Diversification helps reduce risk and stabilize returns. Consider: Trading major pairs with high liquidity (e.g., EUR/USD). Exploring cross pairs for alternative opportunities. Balancing manual and automated trading methods. A well-rounded portfolio is better equipped to handle market fluctuations. 8. Leverage Advanced Tools Technology can streamline your trading process. Use advanced tools to: Automate trades with predefined criteria. Analyze trends with precision. Backtest strategies to refine them. The right tools free up your time and enhance your efficiency. 9. Practice Patience and Consistency Forex trading isn’t a get-rich-quick scheme. Sustainable success requires: Setting realistic, incremental goals. Reviewing and refining strategies regularly. Celebrating small milestones to stay motivated. Patience and consistency are the keys to long-term growth. Conclusion The forex market in 2025 offers immense opportunities for traders who are prepared. By following these tips, staying informed, and committing to consistent improvement, you can enhance your skills and position yourself for success. Remember, success doesn’t come overnight—it’s built through disciplined efforts and continuous learning. Stay focused, trade wisely, and make this your trading year yet! Dave FX Hunter
TVC:DXYEducation
by Dave-Hunter
Focus Shifts to Greenback and the 10-year TreasuryThe Federal Reserve triggered violent drops in stocks yesterday and two key charts could be attempting important breakouts. We first consider the U.S. Dollar Index with weekly candles. There’s a falling trendline along the peaks of October 2023 and late April. DXY rallied through that resistance and turned it into support earlier this month. That may be consistent with an uptrend. Second, DXY has advanced in 11 of the last 12 weeks. That could also suggest direction is accelerating higher. Third, some traders may now eye the October 2022 high around 114 as the next key level. Next is the 10-year Treasury Yield with 3-day candles (to clearly display almost 2 years of history): A falling channel began in late 2023 at the same time stocks began their latest rally, but TNX didn’t reach the lower end of the channel. That was the first sign that yields might still be rising. TNX also failed to reach its March 2023 low and refused to stay below its December 2023 low. The index dipped last month but held its mid-July low above 4 percent. Next comes the historically important long-term peak of 4.34 percent from the start of the Global Financial Crisis. After that, TNX closed above its November daily high. Each of those points additionally suggest that that yields are moving higher. They also shift attention to the next big level near 5 percent from October 2022. Given the importance of DXY and TNX for risk appetite, some traders may find potentially useful intermarket signals on their charts. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
TVC:DXY
by TradeStation
DXY Trading plan Here’s a more detailed CAPITALCOM:DXY DXY Trading Plan: - **Buy Entry:** Enter a buy position around **107.800**, watching for price action confirmation at this level. - **First Target:** **108.000** – This is the immediate resistance and serves as a safe partial profit-taking level. - **Second Target:** **108.300** – A key resistance level, ideal for booking the remaining profits. Risk Management: - If **107.800** fails to break out or shows signs of reversal, **close the trade immediately** to minimize potential losses. Look for candlestick patterns, rejection wicks, or bearish momentum as warning signs. Additional Notes: - Monitor DXY momentum and overall trend direction on the 1-hour timeframe. - Keep an eye on related macroeconomic data or news events that could impact dollar strength.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
DXY - Can Get To $108DXY This is now a very strong bounce and a bullish morning star candle pattern is printing on the month chart still with half the month to go. I think this may be first major bounce from the market topping slump back in 2022... From the crash low I see it as an AR "Automatic Rally" (short covering) into a 3 wave correction... And now the real bounce which may end up being a higher time frame 3 wave correction that Elliott Wavers might call a WXY. This is starting to look like it will be the obligatory minimum 0.618 @ $108.7 retracement as per crash structure ratios and it can of course explore into the Golden Window up to 0.786 @ $111.3 overshoot ratio and even a little beyond. This is great for currency trades long dollar and as you know I posted a short GBPUSD trade (see linked idea) a while ago. That trade should have some legs if dollar gets to the Golden Window, which I think it will if the month closes here or above. Pull backs along the way of course. Not advice
TVC:DXYLong
by dRends35
2
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: USD Still Bullish? YES! Buy It!This forecast is for the week of Dec. 16th - 20th. The USD INDEX is indicating strength, continuing from last week going into this week. The economic calendar has red folders for every day this week. THe xxxUSD pairs are looking bearish, while the USDxxx pairs are looking bullish. The USD Index closed last week very bearish, trading through the previous week's low. A pullback makes sense for this week, at least for the beginning of it. With NFP coming on Friday, trading up until Wed may be the safest way to go. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. Transcript
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
dxy drops to $88Gm. It has taken us a while to get to where we are today, and I’m excited to share an update on the DXY this fine morning as I sip the tastiest coffee in all the lands. Two years ago, around this time, I called the top on the DXY via: We have yet to surpass that high, and today I bring you an exciting update. The DXY has officially confirmed the drop that is to come by rejecting a target we've been eyeing for the last quarter of the year. While there’s always a chance it could go slightly higher, I’ve included one target above the recent rejection. If my primary theory plays out, the DXY will see a sharp decline below $90 by the end of 2025. This will also coincide with the creation of a "top" in the global liquidity index.
TVC:DXY
by notoriousbids
5
DXY Is Going Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 106.958. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 109.013 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
DXY ANALYSISWe are focusing on the 4-hour time frame chart to analyze the potential moves and changes in DXY's price. Based on my bias, I am expecting a sell in the market today. Let's see what kind of opportunity the market provides. It is very important to get confirmation before taking a trade, so always wait for confirmation. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. #DXY 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
TVC:DXYShort
by TradeTacticsreal
DXY Bullish trend continue**Monthly Chart** The Sept 24 candle formed an inside candle after it swept the liquidity from the previous candle low and tested the low of the July 2023 monthly candle at the midpoint of April 22 Fair Bullish Value Gap (IPA). The Oct 24 candle closed as a bullish engulfing candle, suggesting a strong bullish move for DXY in the next few months. This month's candle (which is still active) continued the strong bullish move for the DXY and took the liquidity above 106.49 and 107.34. I am still expecting DXY to at least move to test 110.00 before looking for any bearish structure. **Weekly Chart** Last week's candle closed bullish after swept liquidity above 107.348 level. Since DXY already took the liquidity. For Now, for DXY to continue the upward trend, it needs to form a bullish structure on smaller time frames for one more bush higher at least to test the low of 24 Oct 2022 weekly candle at 109.535 level. **Daily Chart** I would like to see DXY retrace lower at least to test 0.50 or 0.618 Fibs levels and FVG on the daily chart and form bullish confirmation for another push higher this week. This means a bearish continuation for opposite pairs to USD. Such as GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD..etc. Note: I don’t trade DXY but I use it as an indication when analyzing other currency pairs linked to USD.
TVC:DXYLong
by PropSignals
The DXY is extremely important. **“In my opinion, the Dollar Index (DXY) has always been the key determinant of market sentiment and direction, and it still is. Today, with the distance created from China, everything is more tied to the DXY than ever before. I truly can’t tell you whether the drop will start from the 106-107 range, because my mind is intensely occupied with the 111-112 range. However, I can say with certainty that in 2025, the 103-104 range will be touched first, and then we’ll move toward two other specified levels. This aligns perfectly with an explosion in cryptocurrency and altcoins. You just need to stay on the field, as wrestlers say — eventually, you’ll strike a winning blow somewhere.”**
TVC:DXY
by DPRTRADE
DXY SELL US Dollar rises after Fed's cut and hawkish outlook DXY trades rose above 107.80, reacting to the Fed’s anticipated rate cut. Markets parse new rate projections for 2025 and 2026. Traders assess Powell’s cautious yet hawkish remarksThe US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000). US Dollar Index on Wikipedia Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time. More about the basics of the Dollar index! ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people: Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis. The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index. The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.” US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative. WANT TO LEARN MORE ON US DOLLAR INDEX? The US Dollar Index Steve Misic Steve Misic Online Trading Academy When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events. The Dollar Index – It Makes Sense Until it Closes Don Dawson Don Dawson Online Trading Academy Have you watched the US Dollar Index (USDX) Futures contract trade during the day? Do you notice that with each price change the intervals are always a minimum tick of .005? And then at the end of the day when you look at your daily candle of the USDX you see a closing price like 97.197. A Look at the US Dollar Index Sam Evans Sam Evans Online Trading Academy Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board. Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over
TVC:DXYShort
by KingForex078