DXY – Key Level Broken, More Downside Ahead?Hello Folks , Long time no see .
The US Dollar Index (DXY) just broke below 106.5, and things are getting interesting. The trend has been weakening, and price is now sitting at a crucial zone.
📌 Here’s what I’m watching:
107.66 is the big resistance. If price can reclaim it, bulls might have a chance.
105.48 & 104.46 are the next major support levels.
👀 My Take:
If we stay below 106.5, I expect more downside towards 105.4 and maybe 103.3. If price bounces and reclaims 107, I’ll reconsider.
What’s your view? More downside or a bounce coming? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
🚨 Disclaimer:
Just sharing ideas here—this isn’t a trade advice . Everyone sees the market differently, and the goal is to improve our analysis, not tell anyone what to do. At the end of the day, your trades are your call, your responsibility. Trade smart! 🚀📊
USDX trade ideas
Daily DXY The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently indicating the likely direction after closing below 106.965. I anticipate a move back to the 107.200-250 range before continuing its bearish swing. Several confluences support this, including the reversal point, an ascending trendline, a descending trendline, a rejection candlestick, the daily 0.382 Fibonacci level, the 4-hour 0.5 Fibonacci level, and a 4-hour order block. My target for the DXY is 106.083. As for gold, it has reached a new all-time high of 2954.944. I expect a pullback before it heads higher, potentially towards the 3000 level.
4hr DXY Chart
1hr DXY Chart
30m Gold Chart
DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on the Dollar Index (DXY) with you.
Based on the chart, if DXY breaks below 106.879 in the 15-minute timeframe, I expect it to drop further toward 106.517.
However, if this level holds and does not break, I anticipate DXY to push back up toward the range high, as we are currently at the range low in the monthly timeframe. Additionally, a price imbalance has formed, which I’ve highlighted in the chart. If 106.879 remains intact, I expect DXY to climb toward the range high around 110.160.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: A break below 106.879 could lead to a drop toward 106.517.
Bullish Scenario: If 106.879 holds, DXY may rise toward 110.160 (range high).
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 110.160
Support: 106.879, 106.517
💬 What’s your outlook on DXY? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
DXY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 106.963.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 106.002 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DOLLARWE have seen that dollar is rejected on daily by a supply structure,but its coming to a strong demand floor and if that is respected we could be seeing some push in price upward due to the demand floor potency and such bullish move will affect ,,,AUDUSD,USDJPY,USDZAR,USDNZD,GBPUSD,EURUSD,USDCAD,
DXY: Bullish ABC Pattern AnalysisDXY Bullish ABC Pattern Analysis
On February 14th, the DXY (US Dollar Index) completed a Bullish ABC pattern.
The price is already reacting, indicating that the USD is still resilient despite the challenges posed by President Trump's tariff policies.
The DXY is expected to rise to a minimum of 107.30, which corresponds to a strong resistance zone. If the price moves above this initial zone, it could push further towards the next targets of 107.80 and 108.40.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
DXY Bearish Setup: Shorts Triggered, Targeting 106.000The US Dollar Index (DXY) is presenting a compelling short setup. After price tested the bearish breaker block yesterday we formed a channel that i see price is going to break out of and move lower with the current resistance level it is at, the DXY is showing signs of weakness.This breakdown suggests further downside momentum is likely. We are initiating short positions targeting the 106.000 level, which represents a key prior support zone. Look for continued dollar weakness towards this target.
Short swing trade set up developingI can see a good short trade opportunity developing.
1)The price sharply dropped below the major support/resistance zone around 107 area and retraced up gently within the ascending parallel channel to fill the fair value gap.
2)The current 4H candle is moving below the bottom parallel channel. (developing)
3) MACD is in the bear zone and it looks like it is about to cross to the downside (but not confirmed).
4) RSI is also in the bear zone and it is starting to cross to the downside.
SELL DXY (USD) for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 107.61SELL DXY (USD) for bullish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 107.614
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
DXY is ready to fall again, trade accordingly The chart I analyse the most is DXY.
Why you may ask?
Because it encompasses all pairs, get the direction right and you're already right on almost other currency pairs too. There are exceptions tho, but that is for another day
DXY is forming a textbook rising wedge pattern on a downtrend and the bias is sell. (Rising wedge breaks downwards). Keep it simple
I'm posting it for you to find buy entries on cross pairs.
I've already shown you one on EUR.
I want to post on USDCHF and USDCAD but I will take it you get the gist.
Buy XXXUSD and sell USDXXX, you can wait for volatility in the morning.
Fun fact, I've never hit sl on DXY this year
DXY at the Crossroads: How the 108–110 could reshape the market
Key Highlights
The U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY is currently near an important resistance level of 108–110.
A potential reversal of the dollar at this level could lead to further growth in stock markets and strengthen cryptocurrencies, while a break above 110+ would continue to put pressure on risk assets.
If CAPITALCOM:DXY surpasses 110 and holds above it, there is a possibility of reaching as high as the 120 mark. A rejection from the 108–110 zone would indicate a downward trend developing, possibly pushing the index toward the 98 area or lower.
Future outcomes will depend on Federal Reserve monetary policy, global demand for the dollar and other safe-haven assets, as well as overall economic stability.
What about crypto?
There are serious risks for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
A long-term perspective on ICEUS:DXY suggests that “alt seasons” tend to occur during periods of dollar weakness. Currently, the 108–110 zone and the MA50-W are pivotal. A potential DXY reversal here may act as a catalyst for another major altcoin rally in the coming months, while continued dollar strength could postpone any such “alt season.”
Shaka
Profit and Learn: Is the U.S. Dollar Still Money?In this episode of Profit and Learn, we dive into the future of the U.S. dollar. Is it still the undisputed king of global finance, or is its dominance fading? With rising competition from alternative assets, central bank policies, and global de-dollarization efforts, we explore whether the dollar remains the ultimate store of value, medium of exchange, and unit of account.
Join us as we break down market sentiment, policy threats, and the role of crypto and commodities in shaping the dollar’s future. Is the dollar “too strong” for its own good, or are we seeing the early signs of its decline?
💰 Is the dollar still money? Tune in to find out!
Trade Idea for U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Feb 19, 2025📌 Current Market Context
DXY is trading at 107.023 , slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (106.344).
This level is a key golden ratio support, where strong reversals often happen.
The uptrend from Sept 2024 suggests that bulls are still in control unless this retracement turns into a full reversal.
📈 Bullish Trade Idea (Buy Setup)
✅ Entry: Look for bullish price action (rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or a strong bounce) near 106.344 - 106.500 .
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 108.035 (78.6% Fib)
Target 2 : 110.189 (previous high)
📍 Stop-Loss: Below 105.800 (just under 61.8% retracement to avoid stop hunts).
📊 Risk/Reward: ~1:2 or better.
📉 Bearish Trade Idea (Sell Setup)
❌ Trigger: If DXY closes below 106.344 on a daily candle , it could signal further downside.
📉 Entry: Sell below 106.200 after confirmation.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 105.156 (50% Fib)
Target 2 : 103.968 (38.2% Fib)
📍 Stop-Loss: Above 107.000 (to avoid fakeouts).
📊 Risk/Reward: 1:2 minimum.
🛠️ Risk Management Notes
Watch for fundamental news (FOMC, inflation data, rate decisions) that could cause volatility.
Use partial take profits to secure gains along the way.
If entering a buy trade, consider trailing stops once price reaches 108.035.
DXY short idea dxy has been bearish
price broke out of a strong area of support around the 107.480 region
we could anticipate a retest of 107.480 to go lower
or if price decides to respect current price of 107.070 which is aligned with H4 structure looking left, we could see her falling from that specific price
DXY – A Deep Decline Ahead? (Aggressive Bearish Scenario)📉 DXY – A Deep Decline Ahead? (Aggressive Bearish Scenario)
Analysis:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is at a critical point. According to the aggressive bearish scenario, we might witness a significant correction or even a strong continuation of the downtrend in the coming weeks.
🔹 Elliott Wave Structure:
✅ Wave A has formed as an impulse, and there is a possibility that Wave C will develop into an ending diagonal, signaling a sharp decline.
✅ If a complex zigzag pattern emerges, the decline could extend further into the 100.83 – 95.03 range.
🔹 Key Levels:
📌 A break below 105 – 106 would be an early confirmation of this bearish scenario.
📌 A drop below 100.19 could indicate significant weakness in the dollar, leading to the next major downtrend.
🔹 Fundamental Factors to Watch:
📉 Federal Reserve policies and key U.S. economic data, such as inflation and employment reports, will play a crucial role in confirming this move. If the DXY declines, risk assets like gold and equities could benefit from the shift.
💡 Conclusion:
This scenario remains valid, but if different corrective patterns form, I also have a conservative bullish scenario, which I will share at the right time.
📊 What do you think? Are there more signs of dollar weakness ahead? 🤔
Hashtags:
#DXY #DXYAnalysis #Forex #ElliottWave #USD #TechnicalAnalysis #DollarIndex #BearishScenario #MarketTrends #TradingView
✅ TradingView Short Description:
📉 Is the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the verge of a major drop? Elliott Wave analysis with key support and resistance levels. 📊💡
Daily Market Outlook: BTC, DXY & Gold – Key Trade Setups (#5)The market still seems indecisive , but I’m here to find the best trade triggers for BTC and Forex. Let’s break it down.
📊 DXY – Breaking Key Support
DXY has entered a corrective phase after breaking below the 107.335 support.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
105.656 (Aligned with the 30% Fibonacci retracement)
103.367 (Aligned with the 60% Fibonacci retracement)
💡 106.602 could act as a short-term support, and if it breaks, it might be time to focus on USD pairs for potential setups.
🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Retesting ATH?
Gold rejected its all-time high at 2937.91 and now seems to be retesting this major resistance.
📊 What’s happening?
Gold is still in an uptrend, but momentum is fading.
Smaller bullish candles vs. larger bearish candles indicate possible exhaustion.
A correction could be healthy, but shorting remains risky in an uptrend.
📌 Trade Triggers:
✅ Long Entry: After a confirmed breakout above 2940
❌ Short Entry: Below 2879.74 (High risk due to trend direction)
📉 BTC – 95K Support Breaking?
BTC is attempting to break below the 95K support. If this level is lost, we could see a move toward 92K, 85K, and even 82K.
📌 Strategy:
✅ Short Trigger (Activated): 95245 (Yesterday’s signal)
✅ If You Missed It: Wait for a pullback or a new structure before entering.
Final Thoughts
⚠ This is a highly volatile market – avoid chasing trades and wait for confirmations.
⚠ If you’re not using risk management, these setups may not be suitable for you.
I’m Skeptic , see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! <3