AMZN Not Showing Signs of Strength YetAMZN is trying to fill the gap between 131 and 135. The gap has not been completely filled. When a gap is not filled in a downtrend, it is a sign of weakness. AMZN is also not able to break above 50 SMA, which is hovering in the area of the gap.
When AMZN reached 123 on 28 September, it was testing 38.2% retracement of the 1-2-3-4-5 Motive Wave. This level was retested on 6 October. However, AMZN is showing signs of weakness since, as I said, it is unable to fill the gap so far. If AMZN goes down to the 38.2 percent level again and bounces, it may fill the gap and continue upwards. However, I think this is a less likely scenario since we are in a weak market.
The more likely scenario: AMZN is forming an A-B-C Corrective Wave. AMZN will lose the 38.2 percent retracement and retrace up to 115, which is the 50 percent retracement level of the 1-2-3-4-5 Motive Wave. The C Wave will be completed here. There is also strong support at this level - the peak of 2 Feb 2023.
The uptrend that will begin at 115 will go up to 155, which is the 61.8 percent projection level of the large Motive Wave (taking the low as 115 - end of A-B-C Corrective Wave).
