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DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP

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3/13/25 - $deck - Rental book3/13/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DECK Rental book - ppl ditch their shoes and go homeless chic in a recession, right? - look. of all the shoe names, this is the only one w the best growth, economics etc. etc. - but what's probably SHTF 20% case low? 7-handle. instead of high $5s EPS, you probably end up near $5 and so instead of 20x PE you're at 15x (remember the mkt looks fwd, so you have higher EPS and multiple should re-rate). at that pt we're at $75. - do i think we get there? no. i don't. - is $100 possible? test of high $90s? sure. - is the stock a buy here? yes - do tariffs matter? yes - so i've added it as a 3% size to my rental book. i am comfortable w these products. it's not an AI-risk issue. mgns and ROIC is solid. - so Bot decent size here and am in the process of selling the $115C for june this yr at about 15 bucks. this allows me to breakeven if my $100 call is right. and i would love to own the stock there or below and re-rent or keep. and if we just run... that's about 11% yield for 3 mo of what i consider to be a fairly defensible biz and superior to cash and allows me to sit tight and lock away some likely low vol gains as the market chops on any whim of someone sneezing. so. welcome to the rental book NYSE:DECK :) V
NYSE:DECKLong
by VROCKSTAR
2
DECKERS Death Cross As they say, the trend is your friend. We are witnessing a very strong move down on Deckers, despite it's excellent growth in UGG and Hoka, sales are slowing as inventory has failed to meet demands. This a good problem as the company can fix their supply and demand equilibrium, the management are known for under promising and over delivering. I see Deckers as one of the best run trainer companies out there. They have no debt, a massive cash pile and one of the best management teams in the industry. From a technical perspective, we have a confirmed death cross as the price has fallen below key daily moving averages. I am expecting a bounce to occur between $100-115, so I will not be entering until I see the reaction to key support areas. I expect support at the 200 week moving average and the golden pocket fib retracement. Historically this has proven to be a good time to enter the stock. As long Hoka and UGG continue to remain popular with consumers, and as long as we don't have a recession, this makes it a compelling story. As tech continues to show weakness, I think Deckers offers a very attractive buy over the coming weeks. Keep an eye on this, especially if you're a long term investor looking to diversify your portfolio. Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
NYSE:DECKLong
by NoFOMO_
2/24/25 - $deck - Mmm. Banana time, long.2/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DECK Mmm. Banana time, long. - first. let's give a thank you to mr. analyst at jefferies who's done his best and he decided "NKE was an upgrade to buy". this is what happens when you cover the elephant in the room, and your institutional bag holders keep forcing you to take a look. eventually you throw up your hands and say "it's a buy... hold it for a few years and you'll make $" - FIRST OF ALL. we're in the business of making money today, tmr and ALSO in a few years. - the name of the game is own the best horse. - in shoes, that's $deck. - and guess what, they're having a *laughs* going out of business sale today. - so here i am. playing contrarian after taking the opposite side of what feels like everyone's bags in the last number of days. honestly. it's a bit tiring. but also, it's intellectually challenging. and that's what keeps me going. - So i'm long this thing as a ST trade, even tho it's objectively a LT buy here at sub 24x PE and 4% fcf yield for a great mgmt team, best mgns in town and growth that spits at some of the best meme tech. - long. enjoy V
NYSE:DECKLong
by VROCKSTAR
4
2/12/25 - $deck - LT entry yes, but i'm waiting...2/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DECK LT entry yes, but i'm waiting... - i've been thru the "shoes" names, obviously the 800 lb gorilla NYSE:NKE which remains way too expensive nearly 30x PE for negative growth in this environment, down to NASDAQ:BIRD (which i no longer own bc it's just too nuanced/ complicated and not the right tape to clog up PnL w names) to everything in between. - the in between we have stuff like NYSE:SKX , which probably does okay in a value driven world, but just pours and pours NYSE:S in marketing (b/c the brand, frankly is just not too exciting and needs that push), we have $onon... which is crushing things... and honestly continues to... but i can't do valuation anymore (i've been long this over the last years into prints)... to $birk... again wrong tape and not cheap... $crox... "cheap", throwing of tons of FCF, but brand and these partnerships are getting exhausted so growth is *maybe* +ve... but could even be -ve this year which the mkt doesn't forecast and would substantiate another leg lower if/when and i don't want to play that game. - so there's $deck. - the reasonably priced (mid 20x PE, 3.5% fcf yield, high teens growing) name that is well managed group of cool brands. - i'd consider this one, the top of the "I'd buy it first, bid comes in first" shoe stock. - but again, we are facing industry headwinds where we pulled forward a ton of demand in 4Q (industry-wide), perhaps #s need to be re-adjusted ST for '25, and where valuation isn't "screaming cheap". - i'd guess an entry here in the $150s is probably a great LT own. if i managed profession money again, my risk committee required position sizing, industry diversification stuff (you know - the things that keep you from making real coin if you're actually good and show up on time and do the work)... then yes, this would be actually, a place to build a position (maybe sell some C's in the 1H to generate yield on what might ultimately be an upside-capped stock. - but tape is tough. i've written in a comment on NASDAQ:NXT today extensively about how i'm sizing, thinking about current environment, notably how i think lower inflation ST is actually risk -ve, not the opposite, how the mkt doesn't seem to care/ hold the same view (and ST anything's possible)... which just leads me to higher cash. more patience and let's see. i don't need another line on my PnL unless it competes on some orthogonal basis for better alpha vs. CRYPTOCAP:BTC (thru OTC:OBTC which is 10% discounted), NASDAQ:NXT (energy), NYSE:UBER (platform/ not tariff exposed), NYSE:TSM (best "semi" growth/ mgns)... frankly we're just "not there" with NYSE:DECK in the $150s. - i'm allowed to have a greedy entry given the above, so i have an alert at the $150 gap fill (from the previous results gap up in late Oct '24), to look again to see if tape/ context has changed on thinking but realistically i'd like to see a $130s before i can get excited. if/ when we do get a risk dump, i think this gets bid first. i don't think there's much downside from that level and perhaps can leverage it up a bit. but to each his or her :) own... just spelling it out for if/when i have the docs to support a quick decision and don't need to remember my thoughts. that's why i'm doing this all... documenting thinking for myself. if you find it useful, great. but this is just for me, ultimately :) be well. stay solvent. stay patient. oppties every day. V
NYSE:DECK
by VROCKSTAR
Deckers Outdoor Corp. The Epic Bullish BreakthroughShares of Hoka-owner Deckers Outdoor rose in after-hours trading Thursday after the company handily beat Wall Street expectations in its fiscal fourth quarter. The stock was recently up 9.4% to $990, following a 1.3% rise at the close. Shares are up about 35% this year as of the close. The Goleta, Calif.-based shoe and apparel company, which also owns the Ugg and Teva brands, said its sales rose 21% to $959.8 million, ahead of the $888.5 million expected by analysts polled by FactSet. Hoka brand sales were up 34% and Ugg rose 15%. Teva brand sales fell 16%. The company posted a profit of $127.5 million, or $4.95 a share, in the three months ended March 31, compared with a profit of $91.8 million, or $3.46 a share, a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected a per-share profit of $3.10. Deckers expects revenue to increase about 10% to $4.7 billion in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025. The company expects $29.50 to $30 in per-share earnings for the period, compared with the $30.74 a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet. Technical graph indicates on strong Bullish momentum in Deckers (DECK) shares, that based on my expectations is able to deliver stocks up to $1400 per share.
NYSE:DECK
by PandorraResearch
Soaring Sales of Hoka & Ugg Shoes Send Deckers to a Record HighsDeckers Outdoor's stock ( NYSE:DECK ) surged 13.56% to reach $1,000 for the first time in Q4, driven by the popularity of Ugg boots and Hoka sneakers among Americans. The company's stock has been up 35% this year, after rising 67% in 2023. In contrast, Nike has dropped 15% this year. Deckers Outdoor's stock is expected to remain bullish as it shows it can maintain a high EPS growth rate. Hoka's net sales jumped 34% in Q4, contributing nearly 56% to Deckers' revenue, while UGG sales were up 14.9%. UGG accounted for nearly 38% of Deckers' overall sales. These strong sales figures have prompted at least 14 analysts to raise their price targets on the stock. Deckers Outdoor ( NYSE:DECK ) reported fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter sales and profit that surpassed analysts' estimates, with earnings per share (EPS) of $4.95, more than $2 above analysts' estimates compiled by Visible Alpha. Revenue increased 21% from a year ago to $959.8 million, also above forecasts. Sales were up 19% to $647.7 million domestically and 25% to $312 million internationally. Direct-To-Consumer (DTC) sales gained 21% to $415.2 million, and wholesale sales climbed 21% to $544.6 million. CEO Dave Powers said Hoka and Ugg "remain two of the most admired and well-positioned brands in the marketplace." Deckers anticipates full-year EPS for fiscal 2025 of $29.50 to $30, up from $29.16 in fiscal 2024. Technical Outlook Deckers Outdoor ( NYSE:DECK ) stock is up 13.41% as of the time of writing. The stock is overbought trading with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 76.94. The stock formed an upside gapping which is a strong Bullish reversal pattern.
NYSE:DECKLong
by DEXWireNews
5/23/24 - $deck - looks like a +ve setup into EPS print5/23/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:DECK - expensive but not a short, at >30x PE, 5% fcf yield. great brands, esp play across the affordability spectrum. don't have the NASDAQ:LULU curse per se is the point. NASDAQ:CROX is good omen, NYSE:ONON too etc. i'd be tempted to go long this into the print, but i'm currently focused on a few other swings and this seems like more of a distraction. let's see how it looks right before the close. the fact that this is up and robust in a down tape is also a big plus, someone knows. gl to the holders. i'll probably just be on the sidelines cheering you on.
NYSE:DECKLong
by VROCKSTAR
DECK, NVDA - what am I missing?DECK, NVDA is flying up nicely (in FIAT terms), quite FOMO, however in a five year period both trying to stick with bitcoin. NVDA is even slightly better, but I can't actually own it, transfer it anywhere, send it, pay with it, etc. So now is not a good time for me to even buy NVDA, I think it is overrated just like DECK. Plus, in the upcoming cycle, it's going to have a very hard time with the hard meter. What will the next 5 years bring? I bet on bitcoin. Start measuring value with the world's hardest asset - bitcoin (sats). Filter out a lot of the dirt and misinformation caused by monetary policy. When you build a house, you don't use a rubber tape measure. Take the same approach to building your financial freedom. Study bitcoin. DECK with rubber tape measure: NVDA with rubber tape measure: NVDA with hard tape measure:
NYSE:DECKShort
by liborbtc
Deckers Outdoor Corporation ($DECK) Soars to New HeightsFew stories captivate investors as profoundly as that of Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:DECK ). The company's recent third-quarter financial results have set a new standard for excellence, propelling its stock to unprecedented heights and leaving a trail of excited investors in its wake. Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:DECK ) Reported a stellar earnings performance, boasting an impressive $15.11 per share and generating a substantial $1.560 billion in revenue for the third quarter of 2024. Buoyed by this success, the company has boldly projected an adjusted earnings guidance for the full year, anticipating a range between $26.25 and $26.50 per share, with estimated revenue soaring to approximately $4.15 billion. Maintaining a gross margin of around 54.5%, Deckers (NYSE: NYSE:DECK ) demonstrates not only robust financials but also a strategic and sustainable business approach. This outstanding performance has not gone unnoticed by Wall Street analysts, who have revised their price targets in response to Deckers' (NYSE: NYSE:DECK ) triumph. Telsey Advisory Group, Wedbush, and Wells Fargo have raised their price targets to $930, $895, and $775, respectively. The consensus among 12 Wall Street analysts now stands at an average price target of $792.09, with a high estimate of $850 and a low estimate of $540. With 9 buy ratings and 4 hold ratings, the company holds a Moderate Buy consensus, reflecting a positive outlook for Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:DECK ). The surge in stock performance on February 2, 2024, paints a vivid picture of investor confidence and enthusiasm. Deckers' shares experienced a remarkable 13.30% rise, reaching new heights near the top of its 52-week range and trading above its 200-day simple moving average. Starting the day at $832.89, a substantial $60.04 higher than its previous close, the opening price underscored the eagerness of investors to capitalize on the positive momentum surrounding the stock. Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:DECK ), renowned for its popular footwear brands including UGG, Teva, and Hoka One One, has strategically positioned itself in the market through innovative product offerings and successful marketing strategies. The company's adaptability to changing market trends and its ability to tap into diverse consumer segments have undoubtedly contributed to its remarkable financial performance. Trading near the top of its 52-week range is a promising indicator for investors, signaling consistent and robust performance with the potential for further growth. The fact that the stock is trading above its 200-day simple moving average reinforces the positive trend over a more extended period, instilling further confidence among investors. The surge in Deckers' (NYSE: NYSE:DECK ) stock can be attributed to a combination of factors. Positive market sentiment, a strong financial performance, and favorable industry conditions have all played a role in propelling the stock's upward trajectory. Additionally, investor optimism regarding future growth prospects and potential expansion into new markets has further fueled the surge in stock price. Deckers' impressive financial performance is underscored by the significant growth in both revenue and net income. With a total revenue of $3.63 billion over the past year, representing a 15.34% increase compared to the previous year, and a net income growth of 14.35%, investors have ample reason to celebrate. The second quarter of the fiscal year witnessed even more staggering figures, with revenue growth of 61.6% and net income growth of 180.95% since the previous quarter. The company's earnings per share (EPS) figures tell a similar story of triumph, with an EPS of $19.37 over the past year, exhibiting a growth of 19.08% compared to the previous year. The second quarter of the fiscal year witnessed an EPS growth of 182.48% since the previous quarter. Deckers' success can be attributed to its prowess in the footwear and apparel industry, effective marketing strategies, expansion into new markets, and a strong brand presence. The positive investor response to Deckers' financial performance indicates not only current market strength but also bodes well for the company's future prospects. As investors celebrate the significant rise in Deckers' (NYSE: NYSE:DECK ) stock value, those contemplating an investment in the company should take note of its remarkable performance. However, as with any investment decision, thorough research and analysis are essential. Deckers (NYSE: NYSE:DECK ) Outdoor Corporation's journey to the top serves as a testament to the potential rewards that come with strategic vision, innovation, and a commitment to excellence in an ever-evolving market landscape.
NYSE:DECKLong
by DEXWireNews
Momentum Stock: Deckers Outdoor CorporationDeckers Outdoor Corporation is a global leader in designing, marketing, and distributing innovative footwear, apparel, and accessories. With popular brands such as UGG, Teva, Sanuk, and HOKA ONE ONE under its banner, the corporation has positioned itself prominently within the retail and consumer goods sector. Notably, the company's commitment to innovation, quality, and sustainability has been instrumental in attracting a loyal customer base and in expanding its global retail footprint. As of the 15th May 2023, from a financial perspective DECK's recent performance has been promising. The stock has made significant gains over the past year, with its price appreciating by 107.66%. This trend of robust growth has continued across the last six months (49.07%), three months (16.81%), and one month (5.24%). However, the stock has slipped slightly over the past five days, decreasing by -1.08%, which might be a momentary correction in an otherwise upward trend. An examination of DECK's moving averages, which smooth out price fluctuations and provide a clearer trend picture, indicates positive momentum. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at $462.47, and the 200-day EMA stands at $389.52. Both are significantly lower than the current closing price of $491.52, suggesting a bullish trend. The volume of shares traded, another important indicator of momentum, stands at 368,527, slightly above the 14-day average volume of 312,794.79. This increased trading activity could indicate heightened investor interest in the stock. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, stands at 63.34. This figure suggests the stock is nearing overbought territory (an RSI above 70 indicates overbought conditions), but it's not there yet, leaving some room for further price appreciation. In terms of valuation, DECK's Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is 26.64, and its forward PE, which is based on predicted earnings, is 16.56. These figures suggest that the stock is currently fairly valued or slightly overvalued, depending on the market comparison. Moreover, DECK has a solid market capitalization of $13.09 billion and a decent EBITDA of $678 million, contributing to its strong financial standing. It's also worth noting that the company has a healthy profit margin of 13.83% and a return on equity of 29.63%, indicating efficient management and profitable operations. The analysts' average target price for DECK is $506.5, which indicates a potential upside of about 3% from the current closing price. The majority of analysts rate the stock as a "Strong Buy" or "Buy," with only a few recommending a "Hold" and none advising "Sell" or "Strong Sell." This suggests a generally positive outlook from the analyst community. However, it's essential to note that despite DECK's strong performance and positive indicators, the stock does not offer a dividend, which may deter income-focused investors. Plus, as with any investment, DECK's performance should be viewed in light of the investor's individual financial goals, risk tolerance, and investment horizon. It's always advisable to diversify investments and not rely too heavily on one stock or sector. Risk Management - A Trailing Stop Loss of 15% would have kept you in most of this trade. If it broke below that it could have been a good sign to exit and look for a new entry when the trend resumed. Might be one to watch.
NYSE:DECK
by zAngus
ABC/DATH/518.40. I am not sure but I do not think this company actually turns a profit. This pattern reverses at D. Question being here is D? Possible stop below C or here u see support. No recommendation. Deckers Outdoor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, markets, and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories for casual lifestyle use and high-performance activities in the United States and internationally. The company offers premium footwear, apparel, and accessories under the UGG brand name; footwear and apparel for ultra-runners and athletes under the Hoka brand; and sandals, shoes, and boots under the Teva brand name. It also provides relaxed casual shoes and sandals under the Sanuk brand name; and casual footwear fashion line under the Koolaburra brand. The company sells its products through domestic and international retailers; international distributors; and directly to its consumers through its direct-to-consumer business, which includes e-commerce websites and retail stores. Deckers Outdoor Corporation was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Goleta, California. 52 Week Range 238.43 518.49 Day Range 505.15 514.48 EPS (FWD) 21.94 PE (FWD) 23.07 Div Rate (TTM) - Yield (TTM) - Short Interest 2.16% Market Cap $13.24B
NYSE:DECK
by lauralea