GILD trade ideas
GILD - Valuation bargain, but technically awful. Future BUY NASDAQ:GILD has been a great investment and I believe it will continue to be a good company to own long term. The valuation using multiple methods is outstanding compared to it's peers. Fundamentally, the question has been regarding future growth. GILD will have to find new ways to generate future sales growth to replace the expected slower growth from it's hep C blockbusters. Investors are concern GILD could be a value trap. Even with the questions about future growth, this stock seems crazy low compared to it's peers.
From a trader's perspective. Price action is awful and it may stay bearish for awhile. I don't see a favorable long swing trade entry at this time, but this sell off will get over done.
I plan on also evaluating my "investment options". One possible option to consider is a buy-write around $80 - 78. Options are currently selling at discount, so ideally I would like to IV go up to sell them a a premium.
Double Bottom Perfect Doji Trigger for ProfitsGILD has tested $81.70 during the start of 2015 and has retesting this 52-Week Low again last week. This week GILD is forming a perfect doji based on investor's indecision as to whether or not this is new support forming from this double bottom or if GILD will go lower and retest some old support areas before bouncing higher.
My thoughts are that long term investors are bullish on this stock and have been waiting to see if it would retest this low again in order to accumulate more shares. I think the indecisiveness and lack of volume that has contradicted my thoughts thus far is based on the recent FOMC. Now that the Fed have released the minutes, the stock will either begin to bounce of this new support level and trigger our trade or it will retest old support and allow us to setup another trade.
As a result, I will use this current perfect doji to place the trade since tomorrow will be the telling of which way the stock is headed.
I will setup this trade:
Trigger: Buy-Stop Order @$84.24
Stop: Stop Order @$81.48
Target: Limit Order @$101.43 (100 SMA o the Weekly)
This trade has a Reward:Risk ratio of 6:1
Due to the SMAs on the Weekly this trade also appears to be a good setup for an Iron Condor by getting in to the Bull Put Spread now and legging into the Bear Call Spread as it approaches the Target
Possible Long SetupIt looks like we have a double bottom in hand with NASDAQ:GILD at $82.76. It has held this level pretty good despite the market turmoil in the past three days. RSI indicates oversold and a gap up tomorrow can be a signal for a potential rebound to fill the gap at $96.91 or more likely retest the previous support at $93.3. I will consider getting in tomorrow depending on the market conditions.