LLY - Bullish Momentum BuildingLLY appears to have support holding. And a minor resistance trend line breakout.
See chart for target and stop loss
LLYC trade ideas
Ely Lilly: Testing the Bear Algorithm (Entry 1)I've developed a bearish algorithm/screener that screens for stocks with identified selling pressure / trend followed by a dead cat bounce that is likely to fail - which we will attempt to short. I'm trying to combine trend following and VFI trading principles for the coming bear market.
Components:
1. 200 EMA: below current market price (this is so we don't get stuck in short squeezes and such)
2. 50 day moving average above current market price (we want past clearly identified weakness over a sufficiently long period)
3. 10 day moving average below current price (we want a stock that has attempted to rally from the lows)
4. CMF<-0.1 (we want to screen out bottoming patterns such as Inverse Head and Shoulders whenever we can)
5. Moving Averages Ratings: Buy, Neutral, Sell - we don't anything with strong MA momentum indicators, and we don't want to be short squeezed.
6. Market Cap, Price, volume requirements
#LLY: Fractals and Future ZonesExamining the 1 Day chart, I found a potential fractal in the making. If the recent vaccine news and contracts are motivators for upward motion, then I’ve marked out zones for potential option strikes that could work their way into the money.
With confirmations off key fib areas, and the RSI about to backtest the 50% zone, this could be a runner over the next couple of weeks. Key support and resistance is clear and consistent.
Not financial advice chumps.
Traditional|LLY|Long and shortLong and short LLY
Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken.
The author recommends the use of anchoring fixed the blue zone, this variation is less risky.
If there is increased volatility in the market and the price is held for more than 2-3 minutes behind the activation zone after the breakdown, then the activation of the idea occurs at the prices behind the activation zone.
Working out the support and resistance levels of the consolidation zone.
* Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone. The author can close the deal for subjective reasons, this does not completely cancel the idea and is not a call to the same action, you can continue working out the idea according to your data, but without the support of the author.
+ ! - zone highlighted by the ellipse is a zone of increased resistance, in this area there is a possible reversal for a correction, please take this factor into account in this transaction.
The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %.
The breakdown of the upper blue zone - long.
Breakdown of the lower blue zone - short.
Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone.
Blue zones - activation zones.
Green zone - take zone.
Red zone - stop zone.
Orange arrows indicate the direction of the take.
Red arrows indicate the direction of the stop.
Priority - The value of the priority parameter implies the author's subjective opinion about the more likely activation zone on this idea, this does not mean that this idea will be 80% activated by this parameter, the purpose of the parameter is to provide for the risk of the inverse of the zone parameter.
Example: "Priority Long: So the author inclines more in the direction of the activation zone open long trades, in this case, when reaching the activation zone in short you should be very careful, because this area may be highly likely to be punched about the breakdown/do not get to take/activate transaction from go to stop."
Please consider this parameter if you use my ideas.
SUM PNL: This parameter displays the total % of all closed ideas of the "new" format (according to the author) for this sector at the time of publication of the idea. The calculation is very "clumsy" just the sum of the profits of all the ideas, based on this indicator, you can more accurately assess the risks when working with my ideas of this sector. I present you the construction of the idea, you can use it yourself as you like based on your subjective view and risks, the calculation of the PNL indicator is carried out only on transactions that the author closed on TV in manual mode or by take.
P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
Bearish flagI always try to present the charts in a simple comprehensive format to prevent any confusion.
This is just my technical view, neither a fundamental comment,nor a recommendation to trade..!
Please review my track record and calculate the odds for yourself..!
You’re likes and comments encourage me to continue this.
Stay tuned great live stream and quality content videos coming soon..!
Big Gains Coming up in March for LLYEli Lilly has two press releases coming up next month, and considering the stability of this company, this could probably the easiest 10-20% you've ever made. The first press release is a phase 2 trial update for their drug, Donanemab (TRAILBLAZER-ALZ) for Alzheimer's. The second release is a meeting to schedule a PDUFA approval on the 24th. I will be selling after this meeting. Good Luck!
11:30 InflectionsYears ago when I was learning to trade and studying under my mentor he told me that day trading was best done in just the 90 minutes from 10:00am EST to 11:30am EST. This makes a lot of sense.
The 9:30am to 10:00am opening time is very volatile for stocks. Traders are rushing to open or close positions before many have made their decisions to put orders into the book so price can swing wildly. This could present opportunities if one were on the right side of them but finding consistency within this time gap is more challenging.
Around 11:30am is getting close to lunch hour but more importantly when the European markets close. The logic is that trading is about to decrease as traders take a break. More importantly though with the close of Europe there will be less volume coming from across the pond.
In my Discord I have often been asked "when should I take profit???" which is a question I always avoid. Every trader is responsible for their own trades. When this question comes up though I will share the wisdom of my years which is "look for an exit around 11:30am". "Not always" but "often enough" this is where price will tend to do an inflection. It is a simple timing mark to watch and it does in fact work as a good guideline.
NYSE:LLY was a good example of this. The 11:30am timing element was amplified by the fact that it was also a Friday meaning not only was Europe closed for the day but also closed for the week. LLY is an international company so there was undoubtedly international trading going on with the stock.
Now that you've seen it remember to take note of this timing element in your own trading!
Another 50% ExampleThe beauty of studying price action is that a trader can apply their skills to ANY instrument, timeframe, and market. Just as the 50% retracement works in cryptocurrency it of course works in stocks. This happens to be a trade that I was able to catch. It took more than a day to trigger when NYSE:LLY pulled back to the 50% retracement for a 4th time. A very clear level for an entry and set point of risk makes for a great trade off the level!
