MC trade ideas
LVMH - Bearish Wolve Wave in the D+1 Chart?Since the ATH LVMH has been decreased round about 20%. From the Fibonacci point of view, we have a classical 50% consolidation. The consolidation pattern is includes a Wolve pattern where the 5 is made and we now have to observed the activation of the pattern. If active, 10% potential is possible. The APEX is in the middle of October.
A movement to the top is possible, the RSI is close to oversold.
LVMH (MC) -> Buy The Stock Right Herey name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitaliz e on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on LVMH.
For the past 7 years LVMH stock has been trading in a decent rising channel and just recently retested and rejected the upper resistance trendline at the psychological 900€ level.
Also considering that this is a simple break and retest of the previous all time high from January I am just waiting for bullish confirmation before I think that another push higher will occur.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
LVMH CRASHLVMH in parabolic and overextended trend in MONTHLY.
- TD9 overshoot.
- RSI hardcore divergence
- Exaggerated narrative in the medias
==> BUBBLE about to pop.
Enjoy life, i'm back to business.
Reminder : I'm not a financial advisor i'm doing it for my personal entertainment. Invest safely.
LVMUY -- shortI am looking for a short entry to LVMUY based on the double top pattern.
Louis Vuitton Moët Hennessy (LVMH) presents with two conflicting chart patterns, which are drawn using @LonesomeTheBlue's excellent HPP indicator at the default settings. Based on the statistics provided by that same indicator the Anti-Gartley is the slightly more compelling one with an 80% win rate (4/5) and a profit factor of 23.44, while the double top has a 71% win rate (5/7) and a profit factor of 12.48. So, why then do I want to go short?
For three reasons:
Per LVMH's last quarterly earnings release, the company derives 34% of its revenue from Asia ex-Japan. The bulk of that presumably from China. Given the widely reported problems within the Chinese economy, I believe that many Chinese consumers will choose to avoid spending on the conspicuous luxury products that LVMH is famous for.
LVMH has a very close correlation (81%, over the trailing 2 years) with FEZ, the SPDR Euro Stoxx 50 ETF. This ETF has outperformed the US market in 2022 and through mid-July, 2023, but has since started to lose traction.
I expect that the dollar strength of the recent weeks will continue, unless tomorrow's speech by chairman Powell offers clear indications that the Fed hiking cycle is concluded. This dollar strength is ultimately bearish for US listed equities. This point also hints at one reason I might choose not to activate the trade. If the reaction to the Jackson Hole speech tomorrow is very bullish, I may reassess.
For the purpose of this idea, my price target will be the level suggested by @LonesomeTheBlue's HPP indicator, i.e. 154.32. Stop loss will be around 180, roughly corresponding to the 23.6% retracement level of the run from September 27, 2022, to April 21, 2023.
LVMH MC - 1M - Utopian idea of a return to the mean Hi guys,
What if LVMH corrected all its excesses since 2017 ?
It's simply an idea based on the fact that we could see a sharp fall in equities. It may never happen.
That would take us to this black median line. Two major supports are shown in red
NFA
Luxury Fashion Stocks: LVMH Pushing Industry to New HeightsThe luxury fashion industry is looking to experience more growth in 2023. According to the latest reports, the sector is projected to grow a further 5-10% until the end of the year. This growth can be attributed to a number of factors, including an increase in disposable income among luxury consumers, an even bigger shift towards online shopping. In terms of annual revenue, the American luxury goods market significantly outperforms other countries, amassing approximately 65 billion U.S. dollars in 2020. Coming in second place is the Chinese luxury goods sector, which generated nearly 39 billion U.S. dollars. Japan, France, and Germany trail behind these two market leaders. Projections suggest that revenue in these markets will persist in growing. In the U.S., it is anticipated that revenue will climb to approximately 81.5 billion U.S. dollars by 2025.
How do Fashion Stocks Perform?
In terms of stock performance, EURONEXT:MC and EURONEXT:CDI are two of the top luxury fashion stocks that you should consider investing in 2023. LVMH has seen steady growth over the past few years and is expected to continue its upward trajectory due to its strong brand recognition and customer loyalty. The company has also made strategic investments in digital marketing and e-commerce platforms which have helped it remain competitive in a rapidly changing market. The company thrives on the growing population of millionaires and billionaires. It is a highly regarded business characterized by robust and expanding profit margins, minimal debt, insider acquisitions, rising dividends, and increasing revenue.
EURONEXT:CDI has also seen positive returns over the past few years but has been more volatile than LVMH due to its smaller size and lesser brand recognition. However, CDI's focus on innovation and new product development could help it gain market share in 2023 as customers become more open to trying new products from lesser-known brands.
A recent meltdown in May where luxury stocks suffered a $30 Billion loss in a single day due to demand worries has not dampened spirits. The impressive surge in luxury goods stocks throughout the year, driven by global demand and especially from China, experienced a serious setback, erasing over $30 billion. Most luxury stocks have bounced back since.
Overall, both EURONEXT:MC and CDI are well-positioned for success in 2023 given their strong financials, customer loyalty, innovative product offerings, and strategic investments in digital marketing and e-commerce platforms. You should consider both stocks as they offer different levels of risk/reward potential depending on individual investor preferences. Elon Musk, the founder of Tesla, and Bernard Arnault, the CEO and majority stakeholder of LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE, enjoyed a midday meal together at Cheval Blanc, the upscale hotel chain that operates under the LVMH umbrella. What they discussed is private, but LVMH is a major social media advertiser and Twitter of which Mr Musk is the owner, is in need of a lot of advertising revenue. However, you choose to perceive this news I am very bullish on $EURONEXT:MC.
$LVMHF Hit the the trend line OTC:LVMHF Hit the the trend line today with a huge gap down on volume, on no specific news is very negative but we need to see if it can hold or is going to break. Also at Fibonacci support.
#LVMH Moet Hennessy
Don't let the temporary drop in sales scarce you.....read article here
394.74 is a crucial resistance level and it must be broken upon in order to see the bullish move.
As soon as cities worldwide start to re-open, more people would be able to go out and do their shopping. The rich and wealthy would still want the latest fashion bags and shoes , so the demand is not dwindling but being suppressed.
Louis Vuitton approaching 1000I show you this chart to demonstrate how you can make an informed decision with just one indicator - namely the 200-week ma.
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The power of INFLUENCERead these articles here , here and here
The last article was a worthy read having compared the difference between a celebrity and an influencer. For an established brand like Nike, Pepsi, LVMH , I think they are likely going to stick to their advertising agency but are exploring using metaverse influencers to tap into the Gen Z markets. Times have changed and the once upon a time famous celebrities are facing competition from the other spectrum, the online social media influencers.
In my opinion, Live streaming is a big game changer and CHINA is at the forefront of this trend years ago and it slowly spreads globally. Now, you can find all sorts of things and services being sold via live streaming. And this is powerful. Like the platform business of Food Panda and Grab,etc, it creates job opportunities for many especially during the Covid-19 seasons.
You need not have a degree or special skills and still able to rake in a decent income if you put in the hours. Luxury goods did not suffer much during the pandemic , see their strategies here . In marketing, we call this stickability. That means the consumers are so stick to your brand that the major part of the budget goes to your brand and unlikely to shift to another brand in the foreseeable future. And which brand owner wouldn't want that?
LVMH is one such great company. I covered this stock back a few years ago and it has seen rocketed more than 135% in profits thus far. I will accumulate more when there is a price retreat.
LVMH - What Recession? LVMH is closing in on Tesla for the world’s ninth-biggest listed firm. It surpassed EURONEXT:500 billion, a first in Europe. Their leaders have switched places on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, with Bernard Arnault now the world’s richest person with FWB:213 billion; Elon Musk is at HKEX:164 billion.
LONG LVMH. Bullish in the long run. - Reopening of Chinese economy could save the luxury producers from dumping too low.
- Strong revenue and P/E ratios.
- Will enter the long at levels shown in the diagram, based on S/R and trend lines.
- Will hold the stock from mid to long term. This is not a short term trade.
LVMH BEARS ARE WAKING UP !"Companies like LVMH have high quality businesses, they compound profits over long periods of time and deliver great returns for shareholders," said Mark Denham, head of European equities at French asset manager Carmignac.
"It is true that the ratings of these companies have risen so it becomes slightly more asymmetric, but over the long term earnings compounding is the dominant factor.”
Aside from all above the ticket ti get into this market is getting way higher than it's value therefore a drope is both likely and possible.
My own personal trade set up is shown on the chart , please feel free to share your comments .
SHORT LVMHShort on lvmh price target below 750.
Has been where mms have been manipulating to hold prices. As seen recently with aritzia etcetc way overvalued.
LVMH, retesting supports before a bounce?LVMH stock rallied and gained momentum after forming the Rounding Bottom pattern, now it is been trading in a downtrend channel, and, seems like it is forming it precisely because the price has been rejected by the upper side, so, if it confirmed to be valid, it will continue its way in the channel until the channel tests the last support, and when so, we'll see a great bounce to the previous levels before making new highs.
NOTE: DYOR, stay cautious to place STOP LOSSes, and trade your own personality.
LVMH in a flag.LVMH - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 713 (stop at 695)
The primary trend remains bullish.
Posted a bullish Flag formation.
A break of 714 is needed to confirm the outlook.
712 has been pivotal.
The measured move target is 760.
Our outlook is bullish.
Our profit targets will be 758 and 768
Resistance: 705 / 713 / 730
Support: 689 / 680 / 670
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Trading Idea - #LVMHMy trading idea for LVMH - long / buy
Target: 690.00 EUR (approx. 10% profit potential).
LVMH with continuous growth in Europe and a recovery in the Asian market allow a positive outlook for the company.
Management is focused on the long-term development of the brands supported by strong sales data from the Q3 report.
On the chart, the EUR 610.00 support line was successfully tested this month. In the short term, a further upward movement is expected.
LVMH to extend it's losses temporarily.LVMH - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 592.8 (stop at 611.1)
Short term momentum is bearish.
A break of the recent low at 594.7 should result in a further move lower.
540 continues to hold back the bears.
A break of support at 600 should lead to a more aggressive move lower towards 540.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Our profit targets will be 544.4 and 534.4
Resistance: 620 / 640 / 670
Support: 600 / 570 / 550
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
LVMH France SSI Live Trading Series
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Spending on Luxury goods continues will decline for yearsmight take a few years to reach the bottom of the parallel channel. I'm looking for a retest of the .236 fib line... Rising food prices, gas prices, and a steady uptick in inflation will cause Americans and others to spend less. However, I like the company just for the Hennessy aspect. Alcohol is Recession proof. There actually was a shortage here in the USA at one point. I like the company long term, but at a much reduced level
💎Resurrection of Risk 👑 Join the MC House of LV🕊️Old Money Never
Goes Out Of
Style
www.lvmh.com
LVMH is home to 75 distinguished
Houses rooted in six different sectors
True to tradition, each of our
Brands builds on a specialty legacy
While keeping an unwavering focus on
The exquisite caliber of its products.
In The Words
Of
Chairman Bernard Arnault
"Our objective to strive for solid financial performance and our relentless drive for excellence remind us of our daily commitment to act in such a way as to make the world a better place.
The Group and its Maisons carried out numerous actions in 2021 to promote biodiversity, protect nature and to preserve skills and craftsmanship, and will continue to do so in the years to come."
www.lvmh.com
EURONEXT:MC
MIL:LVMH
🎇
MC, LVMH,CAC40 [be prepare to short] Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton MC be prepare to sell this action from your portfolio
