Microsoft heading into a correction?Microsoft is another tech play behemoth slowing down and possibly breaking down.
Could lead to a 20-30% correction.
MSFT trade ideas
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT): Approaching Key Resistance in a Consolid🔥 LucanInvestor’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $427.18, targeting $430 and $440. A breakout with strong volume may signal a bullish continuation.
🩸 Short: Below $417.72, aiming for $410 and $400. Weakening momentum increases the risk of further declines.
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $427.18. A breakout could set the stage for a push toward $440.
🩸 Support: $417.72. A breakdown risks testing $410 and lower levels.
Microsoft is navigating a consolidation phase, with MACD suggesting subdued momentum. Traders should monitor key levels closely as the next move could define the medium-term trend.
👑 "In every consolidation lies the seed of the next decisive move." — LucanInvestor
Microsoft LONG Play is NOW!!! NASDAQ:MSFT There is a 2 week bullish time at mode trend active with targets of $475 and $545 by April.
Price has retraced to the 0.5 Fib of the latest impulse and just printed a hammer candle on the 2 week chart which is extremely bullish as it implies higher timeframe bullish momentum behind.
As long as the price remains above $400’s this is a great risk reward entry to dollar cost average sit back and relax!
Microsoft preparing for Q4 earnings - positive outcome?Hi guys , we are looking into one of the Magnificent 7 - and one of the biggest TECH giants - MSFT.
Microsoft had a fantastic 2024 growth wise and stability / expansion wise.
The stock remains a strong investment choice due to its diversified business model, consistent revenue growth, and leadership in key sectors like cloud computing (Azure), enterprise software, and AI innovation. With its robust balance sheet, steady dividend payouts, and adaptability in evolving markets, Microsoft is well-positioned for long-term growth, appealing to both growth and income-focused investors.
I am expecting some great numbers from their Q4 earnings which would lead towards us reaching our targets.
Entry: 429
Target: 456
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Msft H4 Hi traders msft it's still bullish it just breakout bullish pennant n retest for possible buys with the first target 440,you can use 415 as your stop looses however trading is risky n you might loose all your money take responsibility in your hands,I wish all the best I toom the trade aswell yesterday thanks.
Microsoft bullishNASDAQ:MSFT
bounced off of a big support level that has held multiple times over the past 2 years
stop would be weekly close below the wick
that is it
- Key Insights: Microsoft currently reflects a cautious longMicrosoft: Cautious Approach Recommended Next Week
characterized by volatility. The company's strategic $80 billion AI
investment signifies long-term growth potential. Watch for potential
movement within resistance at $440 and support around $400 to $410 as market
sentiment adjusts.
- Price Targets: For next week:
- T1 = 435.00
- T2 = 440.00
- S1 = 410.00
- S2 = 405.00
- Recent Performance: Microsoft has faced difficulty in sustaining recent
breakout levels, indicating bearish tendencies consistent with trends among
major tech stocks. While some tech leaders excel, Microsoft fluctuates
within a cautious trading range.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts view Microsoft's AI initiatives positively, yet
caution surrounds existing market dynamics. The sentiment remains guarded
amidst volatility with expected price corrections, suggesting a wait-and-see
approach for potential buying opportunities.
- News Impact: Microsoft is actively pursuing growth strategies, particularly in
AI, strengthening its position in the tech sector despite current price
pressures. Ongoing discussions with industry peers signal an awareness of
market sensitivities and aim to consolidate its competitive edge.
MICROSOFT Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 010525Trading idea - Entry point > 420/61.80%
Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 420/61.80%
Chart time frame: C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% Resistance
C) 61.80% Support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Looking for a nice bounce on a trendline with MSFT!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #3 - MSFT Major Trend TestI have not been very interested in MSFT for the past several months, but it's coming into a major area so there could be a big move soon. It has been somewhat weak compared to the rest of the mag 7 and has a major support from the November 2023 uptrend.
Looks kind of bearish to me right now after having that failed breakout that almost retraced the entire move already. Will be very important for bulls to maintain the uptrend. I'm neutral on it for now until we see how it reacts from here.
MSFT Annual Outlook Thought I would do some individual tickers, especially ones that lead the market.
This is for MSFT. Will also cover AAPL and NVDA in the future.
Safe trades everyone! Wish you a profitable new year!
MSFT Fib CirclesNASDAQ:MSFT
Microsoft Fib Circles are showing a good high in this current range and then some consolidation.
In the last zone we did see some consolidation before touching that Fib Circle line, which then led to new highs in the new range.
Looks like we are going to enter into a new range.
Comment what you think about this chart.
Comment any tips or suggestions.
NASDAQ:MSFT
Microsoft IDEAL ENTRY IS NOW!NASDAQ:MSFT
There is a 2 week time at mode bullish trend active with bullish targets of up to $550 by March.
Price is currently at the perfect entry.
As long as $406 is respected price will trend higher.
On the other hand, lets do keep in mind that the monthly chart might be telling a different story as RSI keeps making lower lows and the December monthly candle closed with a HUGE selling wick. Lots of indecision in price action. But hey, worth the RR
Microsoft earningsMicrosoft earnings is on Wednesday, 1/29/25 at 4:05pm. MSFT is showing 3x buy signals. MSFT touched it's SMA200 at $417 yesterday. Also, it's trading inside it's green support zone area of a 1 year uptrend channel. Plus, there's a bullish reversal printing on the stochastic indicator.
Q2 Dec 2024 Consensus:
P/E = 34.8
EPS = 3.14
Revenue = 68.90 B
Trade idea:
Long = 417
Stop = 407
Profit = 447
1) buy 100 shares
2) buy 417.5 call
or OTM call
3) long call spread
buy 417.5 call
sell 447.5 call
4) long put spread
sell 447.5 put
buy 417.5 put
Options data:
1/10/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 15,109
Call Volume Total 32,380
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.47
Put Open Interest Total 18,841
Call Open Interest Total 35,261
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.53
1/17/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 39,224
Call Volume Total 30,158
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.30
Put Open Interest Total 361,384
Call Open Interest Total 345,132
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.05
1/24/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 3,565
Call Volume Total 4,740
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.75
Put Open Interest Total 29,823
Call Open Interest Total 30,947
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.96
1/31/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 2,671
Call Volume Total 4,105
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.65
Put Open Interest Total 16,197
Call Open Interest Total 13,347
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.21
MSFT Analysis and Price Projections for 2025 Analysis and Price Projections for 2025 (3-to-5-Month Outlook)
Below is my analysis for each chart with a focus on Elliott Wave patterns, Fibonacci levels, and potential buy-the-dip opportunities.
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)
Current Price: $421.50
Key Levels:
Resistance: $456.16 (0.853 Fibonacci extension).
Support: $332.24 (1.618 retracement).
Outlook: MSFT has completed a potential Wave 5 and may enter a corrective phase. A deeper pullback towards $332.24 (1.618 Fibonacci) is possible, with $360.00 acting as intermediate support.
Projection:
After the correction, MSFT could rebound and target $440.00-$450.00 by Q2 2025 and maybe $475.00 by year end.
Microsoft Major Peak In?I think there is a reasonable chance the peak for microsoft is in and the market will make a lower high over the next few weeks. (could also continue lower without that lower high)
Monthly candle is a pin bar which is bearish.
Weekly structure has shifted bearish.
The return move back up to the highs has been slow and choppy and has not sustained the pace of the prior trend.
There is a break of the ascending pink trendline - though it is not a clear break just yet - would prefer to see further displacement through it. But still a bearish sign.
The economic data in my view supports the idea of an upcoming recession / already in a recession.
We could see a 72-80% correction.
Dot.com bubble saw approx 75% correction.
The green zone down there highlights a probable area for the market to return to, those are levels seen only 4 and a bit years ago so it is not unreasonable to see a nasty correction like this if a bad recession comes a long which I think is likely.
I don’t think the US indices have peaked yet. Possible the Dow Jones has but I see the SPX500, NAS100 and Russel 2000 making new highs first over the next 2-6 weeks before I expect the crash to likely begin.
MSFT About to Break after 4 Month ConsolidationMicrosoft has yet to reclaim all time highs after it peaked in July at $468. Forming a symmetrical triangle as price is being compressed towards the breakout zone.
Recently price bounced off the support, into the 0.618 and into resistance. Looking for a potential break although there is strong resistance above, or a break down and continuation of the downward trend.
Let's see where this goes.
Overtrading: The Fast Track to BurnoutThere was a day in my trading journey that I’ll never forget—and not for a good reason. It started like any normal day. I had my plan, and the first few trades went well. But then, I saw what I thought was another good opportunity. Without thinking it through, I jumped in.
The trade didn’t work out, and I got frustrated. Instead of stepping back, I started trading like crazy, trying to get my money back. One bad trade led to another, and before I knew it, I had made over 30 trades in a single day. Each one was worse than the last. By the end, I had lost thousands of dollars.
Even worse than the money, I felt drained, frustrated, and embarrassed. That’s when I realized: I was overtrading, and it was destroying both my account and my mindset.
What Is Overtrading?
Overtrading is when you make too many trades, often because you’re emotional. Maybe you’re trying to chase every small market move, recover a loss, or just avoid feeling bored. Whatever the reason, you’re not sticking to your plan—you’re just clicking buttons and hoping for the best.
How to Spot Overtrading
Here’s how you can tell if you’re overtrading:
- Too Many Trades: You’re constantly jumping in and out of the market without thinking it through.
- Ignoring Your Rules: You forget your plan and take trades that don’t fit your strategy.
- Trading on Emotions: You’re trading out of frustration, boredom, or desperation.
- Feeling Exhausted: By the end of your session, you’re completely wiped out.
- Losing More Money: Your account keeps shrinking because your trades are rushed and sloppy.
What Overtrading Does to You
Overtrading isn’t just bad for your account—it’s bad for you, too:
- You Lose Money: Bad trades add up fast, and your account takes a hit.
- You Burn Out: Staring at screens all day and trading on emotions will leave you mentally drained.
- You Lose Confidence: Watching your mistakes pile up makes you doubt yourself.
- You Break Discipline: Once you’re out of control, it’s hard to stick to your strategy.
- You Feel Tired and Unhealthy: Long hours and no breaks make your body and mind feel worse.
How I Fixed It
After that awful day, I knew I had to change. I took a break for a few days to clear my head. When I came back, I made some rules for myself:
-Only trade setups that match my plan.
-Set a limit on how many trades I can take in a day.
-Take regular breaks so I don’t burn out.
-Journal every trade so I can spot my mistakes and improve.
It took time, but these small changes helped me stop overtrading and focus on making smarter decisions.
Are You Overtrading?
If this sounds familiar, you’re not alone. Overtrading happens to a lot of traders, but you can fix it with the right approach.
If you’re feeling stuck, frustrated, or burned out, send me a DM. I’m here to help you figure out what’s going wrong and how to turn things around. You don’t have to do it alone!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
MICROSOFT ahead of an expansion similar to the Internet BubbleMicrosoft (MSFT) has been practically neutral for half the year (last 6 months) as since the July 2024 High, it has been trading sideways, unable to catch a rally for a new All Time High (ATH).
This consolidation is technically no different that the July - December 1995 sideways sequence (green circle). As you can see, the two fractals since their September 2014 and September 1987 starting points respectively, have been virtually identical, especially in terms of 1M RSI.
The reason for these striking similarities is simple. The market is currently unfolding the A.I. Bubble just like it did with the Internet (Dotcom Bubble) in the 1990s. The two technological revolutions are not the same but the A.I. has the capacity to change the socioeconomic market structure just like the Internet did.
Based on that analogy, the current 6-month consolidation technically serves as a Re-accumulation Phase following the first part of the A.I. Bubble just like July - Dec 1995 was after the first past of the Internet Bubble up to the 0.382 Time Fibonacci level. If those similarities are extended until the end, then we should not see such a long consolidation again until the 0.618 Fib, when the final past of the Bubble will begin.
This chart comparison doesn't serve at giving us a specific Target for this Cycle but rather encourage investors that despite the seeming lack of direction these past 6 months, Microsoft is a strong buy opportunity long-term.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Microsoft (MSFT) Found a Bottom - Long Trade Setup🖥️ Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - 15-Minute Chart
🚀 Trade Setup:
- Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): Watching for a bullish reaction near the current support at $428.00 - $426.26.
- Entry Plan: Waiting for confirmation of a bounce from the support zone.
Targets:
- Target 1: $432.92
- Target 2: $435.83
- Stop-Loss: Below $426.26 to protect capital.
📈 Key Notes:
Expecting a potential ABC correction to complete, followed by an upward move toward the targets.
The risk-to-reward ratio aligns well with this setup.
Watch for bullish candles or a volume increase to confirm the entry.
⚠️ Risk Management: Trade responsibly and adjust position size to maintain proper risk based on your account balance.
#Microsoft #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MSFT #TradingView
post 2/2... MSFT Microsoft levels of worry or Cheer?Microsoft has some interesting Fib Channel levels going back to the 90s...Those pure vertical trends turned into flatness in the 2020's..shows you how parabolic it went
post 1/2... MSFT Microsoft parabolic to flatMicrosoft has some interesting Fib Channel levels going back to the 90s...Those pure vertical trends turned into flatness in the 2020's..shows you how parabolic it went
Next post is todays action...notice line angles between 90s and now.
