PLTR NEVER disappoints Market Context
NASDAQ:PLTR | Current Price: $120.28
1-Month Move: +50.83% (from $82.30)
1-Year Move: +449.91% (from $22.60)
Options Data
IV Rank: 77.2 (juicy premiums )
Put/Call Ratio: 0.90 (slightly bullish tilt )
Max Pain: $115.00
High OI: $125 calls , $110 puts
Trade Setup
Strategy: Single-leg, naked call (bullish, defined risk)
Instrument: PLTR
Direction: CALL
Strike: $130.00 (premium $0.85, fits $0.50–$1.00 band)
Expiry: 2025-05-09 (first weekly post-earnings)
Entry Price: $0.85
Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close (2025-05-05)
Profit Target: $1.70 (~100% gain )
Stop Loss: $0.43 (~50% loss )
See you after earnings.
BEST Ai Signals on the market :)
PLTR trade ideas
PLTR: Won't be surprised by a 30-40% dipPLTR has been on a rip, but not without periodical 20-30% dips along the way. The way MACD is extended, it will not be surprising to see a somewhat meaningful pullback to start the wave 4 correction. Wave 2 was around 30% and lasted around a couple of months. Wave 4 can be quick and deep or can be a triangle that will take some time to resolve. Either way, I will be looking for $100 - $80 for support.
Palantir Added 40%+ Since April 7. What Does Its Chart Say?Counter-terrorism-software giant Palantir Technologies NASDAQ:PLTR rose more than 500% between April 2024 and its February 2025 peak, sank some 47% from there to its April low, then rebounded 47% intraday between April 7 and April 16. What does technical and fundamental analysis say could happen next?
Let’s take a look:
Palantir’s Fundamental Analysis
PLTR rose sharply last Monday and Tuesday (April 14-15) after the U.S.-helmed NATO military alliance disclosed that it has finalized a deal to buy Palantir’s Maven Smart System.
NATO officials said the contract marked a significant advancement in modernizing the alliance’s warfighting capabilities.
Ludwig Decamps, general manager of the NATO Communications and Information Agency, said he sees the deal as “providing customized, state-of-the-art AI capabilities to the Alliance and empowering our forces with the tools required on the modern battlefield to operate effectively and decisively.”
NATO expects to employ the new technology within 30 days, adding that the procurement process took just six months from defining the requirement to full adoption.
NATO Chief of Staff General Markus Laubenthal said the new system “enables the alliance to leverage complex data, accelerate decision-making and by doing so, adds a true operational value."
Meanwhile, Palantir expects to release first-quarter earnings on or about May 6.
The Street is looking for $0.07 in GAAP earnings per share and $0.13 in adjusted EPS on some $874 million of revenues.
That would represent more than 36% in year-over-year revenue growth and a 62.5% increase in adjusted EPS when compared to the $0.08 that PLTR reported in the same quarter last year. (Management has most recently guided Q1 revenues to an $860 million midpoint.)
A 62.5% year-over-year revenue gain would represent the fifth straight quarter of acceleration in y/y sales growth when compared to the 19.6%, 20.8%, 27.2% and 30% gains Palantir has seen over the past four quarters.
In fact, all 11 sell-side analysts that I found that cover the stock have increased their earnings estimates for Palantir since the current quarter began.
Palantir’s Fundamental Analysis
Next, let’s look at PLTR’s chart going back some three months:
Readers will see that PLTR broke out of a so-called “Falling Wedge” pattern of bullish reversal last week on April 9 (as denoted by the red box in the chart above).
That occurred on the day when President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on some of his tariffs, sending stocks soaring. PLTR gained 19% that day.
The stock also took back its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a green line) on April 9. That probably brought at least some swing traders on board.
However, Palantir initially failed to break its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” denoted by a blue line). Still, the stock managed to take that 50-day SMA last Monday (April 14).
Taking the 50-day SMA was critical technically speaking, as it would have likely forced portfolio managers to increase their Palantir long exposure. The 50-day line then acted as support for PLTR for the next few sessions.
Separately, Palantir’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) has remained stronger than "neutral" since the stock’s big April 9 run-up.
Meanwhile, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” marked with gold and black lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom), is now very close to bullish.
Within that MACD, the 9-day EMA (marked with blue bars) has moved back above the zero-bound, while the 12-day EMA (the black line) has crossed above the 26-day EMA (the gold line). Only the 26-day EMA is still in negative territory.
If all three components move above the zero-bound and the 12-day line stays above the 26-day line, that would be historically positive from a technical perspective.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long PLTR at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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Can AI Forge America's Next Shield?Palantir Technologies finds itself strategically positioned at the forefront of a potentially transformative U.S. defense initiative, the "Golden Dome" missile defense system. As a crucial partner in a consortium reportedly led by SpaceX and including Anduril Industries, Palantir is a leading contender for significant involvement in this multi-billion-dollar project. Golden Dome aims to establish a next-generation, networked shield against advanced missile threats, emphasizing rapid development and integration of space-based sensors and diverse defensive capabilities, moving beyond traditional procurement timelines.
Within this ambitious framework, Palantir's role leverages its core expertise in AI and large-scale data analytics. The company is anticipated to provide the essential software platform required to process and interpret data from potentially hundreds or thousands of tracking satellites, creating real-time situational awareness and enabling coordinated responses across the complex defense network. This involvement could also benefit from innovative procurement approaches, such as SpaceX's proposed subscription model, potentially securing stable, long-term revenue streams for Palantir.
Recent successes underscore Palantir's readiness for such a demanding role. The rapid adoption of its Maven Smart System by NATO validates its AI capabilities in high-stakes military environments, while its partnership with Vatn Systems demonstrates the utility of its platform in scaling and modernizing defense manufacturing. Securing a key position in the Golden Dome would represent a major strategic victory, solidifying Palantir's ascent as a disruptive force in the defense technology sector and signaling significant growth potential as it helps shape the future of national security.
$PLTR LongNASDAQ:PLTR higher lows, 50-sma reclaim, had obeyed the 50-sma for multi-month move with few undercuts and reclaims, relative tightness up the right side, RS 99, extra rocket fuel with recent news catalysts, 49% institutional ownership
Potential resistance on the earnings gap up to be aware of
PLTR: Fibonacci Fractal MappingA quick work on identification of key pattens and Mapping its intrinsic rhythm with Fibonacci Ratios.
Pattern I
Fib Mapping Pattern I
Validation of Pattern I: Match in frequency of cycles within patterns
Pattern II
Validation of Pattern II: Match in frequency of cycles
PLTR: Testing Key ResistancePrice has reached a meaningful resistance area near the March highs, which may trigger renewed selling pressure. If confirmed, this could open the path toward a deeper move into the macro support zone around 60–50.
Until price is closing bellow 100, my operative scenario is one more wave down to a macro support.
Thanks for your attention and best of luck with your trading!
PLTR Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:PLTR PLTR Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16)
Below is the integrated analysis of all the model reports:
──────────────────────────────
SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS
• Grok/xAI Report
– Technical indicators on both short‐term (5‑minute) and daily charts are bullish.
– The price is trading above all key EMAs and has recently made higher highs/lows.
– Although the 5‑minute RSI is overbought and MACD shows a slight negative reading, the daily chart is strongly bullish with a bullish MACD crossover.
– Options data shows a max pain at $92.00 (well below the current price), and Grok recommends buying a naked call at the $99 strike for the weekly expiration at an estimated premium of $0.55.
• Llama/Meta Report
– The short-term chart reveals a near-term consolidation: recent closes are mixed with a cooling RSI and a negative MACD histogram, hinting at possible short-term pullbacks.
– The daily picture remains upward with bullish trend indicators, though the report notes conflicting evidence about overbought conditions.
– Their overall bias is “moderately bullish” but they tilt toward caution by suggesting—in an alternate scenario—a naked put near $95 if the price reverses.
• Gemini/Google Report
– The daily trend is strongly bullish with price well above moving averages and positive MACD/histogram readings.
– The 5‑minute chart, while bullish, shows signs of consolidation near current highs (observed in Bollinger Band touches and slight RSI cooling).
– Despite the max pain level ($92.00) that could impose later headwinds, Gemini remains moderately bullish and recommends a naked call strategy at the $100 strike — with the plan to enter at the open but with strict risk measures.
• DeepSeek Report
– On short-term charts, DeepSeek notes bullish fundamentals but also flags very high recent gains (+27% in five days) and the pressure from a max pain level far below current levels.
– The s
hort-term indicators (MACD on the 5‑minute chart) even hint at a near-term pullback, making the overall picture mixed.
– Their conclusion is to hold off (“no trade”) given the conflicting signals; if forced, they would consider a bearish put (again near $95) rather than a call.
──────────────────────────────
AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
• Agreement
– All models agree that PLTR has been on a strong recent rally; technicals on the daily chart show a marked upward bias.
– Every analysis notes potential near-term caution: the fast rise, signals of consolidation on shorter timeframes, and the fact that the max pain level ($92.00) is far below the current price.
– There is consensus that if a trade is to be attempted, one must trade with a strict, short‑term (weekly) setup and disciplined risk management.
• Disagreement
– Grok and Gemini lean toward an intraday bullish play with a naked call, while Llama (and DeepSeek’s alternative scenario) bring up the possibility of a trade in the bearish direction (naked put) due to short-term pullback indicators.
– DeepSeek ultimately suggests sitting out rather than initiating a trade given the asymmetry between a bullish trend and the potential risk imposed by max pain; meanwhile, Grok and Gemini are prepared to buy call options if conditions hold at the open.
──────────────────────────────
CONCLUSION
Overall Market Direction Consensus:
While the daily trend is clearly bullish, all models signal that the stock is now extended and vulnerable to a short-term consolidation or pullback. In our integrated view, the directional bias is moderately bullish but not without risk.
Recommended Trade:
Based on the majority—especially the Grok and Gemini reports—and provided that the market opens in line with recent momentum, a cautious bullish play is recommended. We will trade weekly options only and use a naked call strategy. To keep our premium in the ideal range, we choose a strike that is close to t
he current price yet slightly out‐of‐the‐money.
• Trade: Buy a naked call option
• Strike: $99.00 (as recommended by Grok, and a reasonable compromise between the $99 and $100 levels)
• Expiration: Weekly options expiring on 2025‑04‑17
• Premium: Approximately $0.55 per contract (within our target range)
• Entry Timing: At the open
Risk & Considerations:
– There is a significant risk that—given the recent 27% rally and short‐term consolidation indicators—the stock could pause or pull back toward the max pain near $92.00.
– In the event of a sudden intraday reversal (for example, a move below key M5 support levels around $98.16–$98.29), the position should be exited promptly.
– The intraday volatility remains high (VIX around 30 but falling), so close monitoring is essential.
• Confidence Level: Approximately 75% based on the integrated view
──────────────────────────────
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{
"instrument": "PLTR",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 99.0,
"expiry": "2025-04-17",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 0.83,
"stop_loss": 0.37,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.55,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
INTC Trade LevelsPLTR has a clear swing trading range for us: 66.41 to 100.45 to 120.
While this might seem wide- remember, I'm saying a swing trade. I'd buy LEAP's with a hold of 100.
Earnings 5/5 with an increase in IV. If you plan to swing, make sure your expir is at least 30 days past the Earnings Report date.
Earnings is expected to be above 110 or below 85
Quantum's PLTR Trading GuideSentiment: Bullish. AI and government contract hype drives enthusiasm, though valuation risks noted. Chatter lean bullish, citing growth momentum.
Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $88, with $85 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $86-$88 buys to $92 if $86 holds. Bearish below $86 risks $80.
Influential News:
Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts aid growth stocks, positive for $PLTR.
Earnings: Q1 due early May; no update today.
Chatter: Bullish on AI/contracts, some warn of pullback.
Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): No confirmed NASDAQ:PLTR M&A; partnership expansions rumored.
Other: Tariff volatility hit tech; NASDAQ:PLTR resilient.
Indicators:
Weekly:
RSI: ~75 (overbought).
Stochastic: ~85 (overbought).
MFI: ~80 (overbought).
SMAs: 10-day ~$86 (above, bullish), 20-day ~$85 (above, bullish).
Interpretation: Overbought, bullish SMAs suggest pullback risk.
Daily:
RSI: ~72 (overbought).
Stochastic: ~80 (overbought).
MFI: ~75 (overbought).
SMAs: 10-day ~$86 (above, bullish), 20-day ~$85 (above, bullish).
Interpretation: Overbought, bullish SMAs but caution warranted.
Hourly:
RSI: ~70 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~75 (overbought).
MFI: ~70 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$86 (above, bullish), 20-day ~$85 (above, bullish).
Interpretation: Overbought, bullish momentum fading.
Price Context: $88.55, 1M: +2%, 1Y: +303%. Range $80-$92, testing $88 resistance.
Options Positioning (May 2025):
Volume:
Calls: $90 (10,000, 60% ask), $95 (8,000, 55% ask). Bullish bets on $90+.
Puts: $85 (7,000, 70% bid), $80 (5,000, 65% bid). Put buying grows.
Open Interest:
Calls: $90 (30,000, +5,000), $95 (20,000, +4,000). Bullish positions.
Puts: $85 (18,000, +3,000), $80 (15,000, +2,000). Hedging. Put-call ~0.7.
IV Skew:
Calls: $90 (45%), $95 (47%, up 3%). $95 IV rise shows upside bets.
Puts: $85 (40%, up 2%), $80 (38%). Rising $85 IV signals downside fear.
Probability: 60% $80-$92, 20% <$80.
Karsan’s Interpretation:
Vanna: Positive (~200k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $88.
Charm: Positive (~100k shares/day). Pins $88.
GEX: +80,000. Caps upside.
DEX: +4M shares, bullish.
Karsan view: High GEX limits $92+; pullback to $85 likely.
ICT/SMT Analysis:
Weekly: Bearish at $88 OB, targets $85. Bullish > $92.
Daily: Bearish at $88 FVG, targets $85. Bullish > $90.
1-Hour: Bearish < $88, $85 target. MSS at $90.
10-Minute: OTE ($87-$88.50, $87.75) for sells, NY AM.
Trade Idea:
Bullish: 45%. ICT/SMT buys $86-$88 to $92. Options favor $90 calls. AI hype supports.
Neutral: 30%. $80-$92 range, balanced options.
Bearish: 25%. Below $85 likely with overbought signals. $85 put volume rises.
PLTR Tightening in the Apex – Breakout Imminent?Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
PLTR has been coiling tightly within a symmetrical triangle, pressing into the apex, with price currently hovering around $88.50. It rejected higher highs after touching $93.32, showing signs of compression between trendlines.
* Trendlines: A descending resistance from the FWB:93S and an ascending support from the GETTEX:73S have been holding firm.
* Current Price: $88.54 (Ask), right at a confluence zone.
* Support Zones:
* First support: $84.26 (mid-range support).
* Second support: $73.79 (prior base breakout zone).
* Resistance Zones:
* First resistance: $90.07 (local top).
* Second resistance: $93.32 (breakout pivot).
🧭 RSI is flatlining near 50 — a classic equilibrium in a triangle squeeze. Volume is fading, which is normal before a breakout.
Options GEX Analysis
PLTR's GEX map is one of the most balanced of the group — but it’s sitting right on a Gamma Wall at $88 with serious implications.
* Gamma Wall (Resistance): $88.00 – Highest NET GEX zone, making it a tough ceiling unless there's volume acceleration.
* Key CALL Walls:
* $90 – Moderate resistance (40.7% GEX7)
* $93 – Larger resistance (78.84% at 2nd CALL Wall)
* $100+ – Overhead gamma unwind potential if breakout occurs.
* Key PUT Walls:
* $84 – Weak PUT support.
* $75 – Stronger defensive gamma zone.
* $70 – Ultimate protection (3rd PUT Wall).
📊 Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 80.4 (Very High – traders are betting on volatility)
* IVx avg: 102.2
* Call Flow: 27.8% bullish
* Signal: ✅🟢🟢 (Moderate bullish with gamma support)
Trade Ideas
🔼 Bullish Scenario (If price breaks $90):
* Entry: Above $90.10 breakout candle with volume
* Target 1: $93.33
* Target 2: $95–100 gamma chase if volume surges
* Stop: Below $86.50 (below ascending trendline)
🔽 Bearish Scenario (If it breaks below $84):
* Entry: Below $84 breakdown zone
* Target 1: $80 zone
* Target 2: $75 strong PUT wall
* Stop: Above $88 zone
💭 My Thoughts:
PLTR is coiling for a breakout. The gamma wall at $88 is acting like a magnet, but it can't hold forever. With high IVR and a massive buildup around $90–93, the next breakout could be fast and aggressive. If bulls take control above $90, it could ignite a squeeze into $95+. On the flip side, if it slips under $84, we could revisit $75 quickly.
📉 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage your risk properly.
Focus names for this week $PLTR $IONQ $BROS $FTNT $OKLO etcWatchlist for this week. Most have two tight days and higher lows
Above $20, ADR of 3%+:
NASDAQ:PLTR NYSE:IONQ NYSE:BROS NASDAQ:FTNT NYSE:OKLO NYSE:RBRK NYSE:TOST NYSE:SNOW
Below $20, ADR of 3%+:
NASDAQ:RKLB NYSE:QBTS
Thematic:
NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AAPU NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:NVDL AMEX:SOXL
$NASDAQ:PLTR Bearish ThesisNote: Testing the Supply and Demand Basis for Trading
Based on the 1-d chart, the recent bullish move following Trump's tweet has not yet broken through the Supply Zone. Expected pullback back to Demand Zone. Reward/Risk Ratio = 2.78 using these zone.
If another bull-run breaks past Supply Zone will close short position and wait until bounce from ATH Supply Zone to re-enter.
PALANTIR. THE STOCK THAT BEATS S&P 500 INDEX, 11 MONTHS IN A ROWSomewhere in another Galaxy, in late December, 2024 (yet before The Second Coming of Trump), @TradingView asked at it awesome Giveaway: Happy Holidays & Merry Christmas!
1️⃣ What was your best trade this year?
2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025?
Here's what we answered:
1️⃣ What was your best trade this year?
- Surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR 💖
I followed Palantir all the year since January, 2024, from $16 per share, watch here.
Current result is 5X, to $80 per share.
Also I added more Palantir after SP500 Index inclusion in September 2024 watch here.
Current result is 2.6X, from $30 to $80 per share.
2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025?
- Once again, surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR 💖
It's gone three months and a half or so... (Duh..? Haha.. 3 months, really? 😸😸😸)
Let see what's happened next at the main graph PLTR/SPX
First of all, let me explain in a few words what does this graph mean.
Rising (Blue) candle means Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR monthly return is better vs SP:SPX
Falling (Red) candle means Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR monthly return is worse then SP:SPX
Conclusion
👌 PALANTIR. THE STOCK THAT OUTPERFORMS S&P 500, 11 MONTHS IN A ROW.
👌 WERE WE RIGHT ON CONTEST AND WON IT? EXACTLY!
--
Best wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
PLTRPublished an idea the other day showing PLTR In a trend channel that was clean.
Looking like a clean break out of that channel signaling potential BULL MOMENTUM as the US market recovers from the FUD over the last week.
A close and hold above $86 to end the week would get me to consider a DCA entry beginning Monday.
For now I wait
Research: Retracement VS Exponential GridIn this research idea I'll test which of those two tools would be a more effective way for projecting future key levels to which price may react best.
While both of them are chart-based and run on fibonacci with progression rate 0.25 showing exponential spacing between levels, there are differences:
TradingView's Fibonacci Retracement (2 chart points)
Levels are derived from distance 0-1 which measures the -86% decline.
Exponential Grid (1 chart point)
Levels are derived just from the historic lowest price.
Historically, in both cases price movements have respected these exponential levels.
This experiment is essential for various reasons:
Understanding better parabolic growth patterns.
Improving the indicator for a better performance and user experience.
ENDGOAL
Accurately map support, resistance, and market reactions ensuring better predictive accuracy for future price action.
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) - Bearish IdeaPalantir is currently breaking down from a clear distribution pattern, failing to reclaim previous highs and showing signs of a macro-driven top. The chart highlights a series of lower highs, breakdown of rising trendline support premarket, and increasing downside momentum.
From a fundamental standpoint, Palantir is still trading at an exceptionally high valuation:
P/E (TTM): ~350
Forward P/E: ~130
Valuation far exceeds even the average Nasdaq tech stock
In the context of a shifting macro environment:
Trade war escalations and tariffs are increasing pressure on the tech sector, particularly AI-driven companies like Palantir that depend on high-performance chips.
Rising inflation risk, combined with persistent interest rates, is likely to continue pushing investor sentiment away from overvalued growth stocks.
Broader market rotation from risk-on to risk-off suggests capital will exit speculative names.
From a technical perspective:
Trendline support has broken premarket
There is a deeper demand zone between $14–18, which coincides with volume shelf and pre-hype accumulation range
This is not a call for an immediate collapse, but rather the beginning of a macro-level revaluation process. Short-term bounces are to be expected, but the overall trend appears to be decisively down unless strong macro or fundamental catalysts reappear.
Target zone: $14–18
Stop invalidation: Weekly close above $103
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content reflects a personal market view and is intended for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
$PLTR will see $36.05 in the next 3 monthsNASDAQ:PLTR
Based on my analysis, we are one day away from the close of the January quarterly candle, it is clear that it will close in the form of a Topping tail. In the last three months we have witnessed heavy manipulation in this stock to accumulate as much optimism in this stock as possible. With such a Long top wicked candle, usually the distribution candle which will open on the 1st of April, has an aggressive push to the opposite side of the range.
The lower end of the range is $36.05 and the mid point is $60.42. $60.42 is partials on profits and full profits can be taken at the Target low of $36.05.
I have already started to accumulate Longs on puts at $50 strike at a pretty good price($0.03-$0.05), end of April expiry, when this established its latest intermediate high at around $99.00.
I will continue to accumulate puts as well as date stagger them between 20-60 day ranges. This is to accumulate cash on the incoming projected down period in markets. This company is one of the glaring few that presents good vertical price movement due to incredibly high valuations.
None of this is trading advice, however, trade how you see fit.