RSI and MACD divergence UPS supertradeRSI and MACD divergence UPS supertrade
rsi divergence, then macd divergence, then history.
3h timeframe
UPSI trade ideas
UPS - 1W - trading ideaUPS has reached the bottom of its downtrend channel and solid long-term support.
A probable rebound can be anticipated.
Risk/reward ratio 1:3
UPS - Entry Guide with Max LTF ConfirmationThe key to a sustainable trading career is avoiding early entries that don't have the confirmation we require. I am a huge customer of this fault as are many traders. In order to start taking safer positions, we wait for further confirmations. Now these confirmations aren't just to inhibit us and stop of from taking trades to be more disciplined - we are crafting them specifically to be as helpful as possible across all charts while still being able to maximize the trade when we do get in.
You may find better confirmations on your own and I would love to hear about them - this is something that I've been back testing for my own strategy and works well as long as the higher time frame context is sound and we are truly patient enough to wait for proofs on all sides.
Happy Trading :)
UPS: A Hidden Gem in the Logistics SectorUPS stock has been decimated recently, but this presents a prime opportunity for savvy investors.
If you, like me, believe in the future of e-commerce and global logistics, UPS is a stock you cannot afford to overlook.
As a leader in the logistics industry, UPS is integral to the global supply chain.
The stock is a key component in many ETFs focused on transportation and logistics, alongside giants like FedEx and DHL.
With the growing demand for efficient delivery services, UPS's pivotal role in the supply chain ensures it is well-positioned for substantial long-term growth.
Invest in UPS now to capitalize on the future of global commerce.
Trading at 20% below estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 15% per year
Dividend of 5%. So holding for the long term.
Profit margins down to 6% from 10% :(
UPS looking DOWNSNice head and Shoulders on the United Parcel Service
#UPS and FEDEX are the new dow transport indicator.
An underlying determinant of how the consumer is faring
Since the US is a consumer economy and Online shopping is the majority of retail
if we see new highs on the Indicies, and the home delivery carriers continue to deteriorate
it would give your non confirmation Top
Similar to Dow theory of new High's in the Industrials , but the transports lagging and indeed falling.
UPS - Navigating the Evolving Delivery LandscapeUPS's recent earnings miss exposes a vulnerability in their logistics model. Consumers are prioritizing cost over speed, requiring a multi-tiered delivery system for sustainable profitability.
Catalyst:
UPS's Q2 2024 earnings report revealed a significant decline due to a shift in consumer preference towards lower-cost, slower shipping options offered by competitors. This highlights the need for UPS to adapt its traditional focus on expedited delivery.
Price Movement:
Upside Potential: Successful implementation of a multi-tiered logistics network catering to both speed and cost-efficiency could lead to a stock price recovery.
Downside Risk: Failure to adapt to the changing consumer landscape could lead to continued decline and potential market share loss.
Indicators:
Monitor news and announcements regarding UPS's logistics network restructuring and investments in cost-effective solutions.
Track consumer spending trends related to delivery options, particularly price sensitivity for non-urgent purchases.
Analyze the performance of competitor stocks like FedEx, especially their response to the evolving market.
Conclusion:
The delivery landscape is undergoing a significant shift. UPS's ability to adapt to consumer preferences for cost-conscious options will be crucial for their long-term success. While the transition presents challenges, the successful implementation of a multi-tiered logistics network could unlock significant value for investors. Careful analysis of UPS's strategic moves and market trends is recommended before making any trading decisions.
UPS - Buy the dip at this priceUPS just had earnings and hoping to catch the dip. There is a Weekly demand zone of more willing buyers between 116.61 & 120.30. The area showed a strong rally in price and took out 2 sellers' peak (in black arrows on the left) showing a great breakout and strength. I am predicting price will come down bounce from the demand zone (in green) and rally from there. If I'm wrong, I will get out at a small loss.
Please note that I prefer to use stop losses on all of my trades to prevent myself from gambling.
Entry: 120.30
Stop Loss: 116.61
T1 - 1:1 Reward to Risk (for break even): 124.35
T2 - 5:1 Reward to Risk 139.28
UPS LONG (read why)Hi everyone, I would like to point out that I have this stock in my portfolio and to date, although the price has undergone a significant reversal, I am still making money!!!
Today I would like to provide you with interesting operational advantages:
1 EDGE1: the stock, (YTD) has suffered a retracement of 18% since the beginning of the year. Analyzing history, 18% represents a level reached and exceeded few times in the past. This makes me think that the stock is more likely to reverse the trend, rather than continue the decline. A draw down of this magnitude violates the second standard deviation of the worst-case scenario.
EDGE2: as I documented in the image, in the last 10 years, a trade opened on July 19th (i.e. the day I am writing these considerations) and closed on December 31st would have led to profit in 7 cases out of 10 with a gain annualized above 10%.
Edge 3: from a technical point of view the title would appear to be back in distribution with a possible return to POC. This level will be the real watershed between an upward recovery and a pullback towards the lows of the year. A trade now would allow us to enter and place a stop loss at break even (0 loss) upon reaching the POC.
Let me know what you think, and if you like my analysis, give it a boost. Thank you
#ups139 Above trendline breakout possible
if sustain 143/147/150 can test
almost a month range breakout expected
Looking bullish ASAP on UPS!🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
UPS - Update and Trade SetupSince we pointed out the tapering last week, UPS is moving beautifully and preparing us for our entry model 1.
Keeping an eye on this as we continue to confirm tapering and seek to activate buying continuation.
Happy Trading :)
Bullish on UPSFalling wedge into support and earnings around the corner. This could be a good spot to start DCA.
UPS - Preparatory analysis for future swing tradeHere's what I'm looking to see on UPS in the coming weeks. Need to see further buy-side tapering because as of now, it seems as though red and green are in control there while on the sell side we're seeing orange and white holding.
Look for a potential bounce here as this is a strong level of support - but that is not enough for me to go long here. The algos don't lie!
Happy Trading :)
UPS Posts Q1 Profit Beat, Revenue Miss Stock up 2.33%United Parcel Service ( NYSE:UPS ) recently published its first-quarter results, indicating that while the shipping company surpassed adjusted profit estimates, it fell short of revenue expectations. The company affirmed its full-year guidance, with a projected revenue range of $92.0 billion to $94.5 billion and an adjusted operating margin of 10.0% to 10.6%.
NYSE:UPS , along with other shipping companies such as FedEx, have had to make adjustments due to the fall in shipping demand and revenue. This decline comes after record highs during the pandemic. In the first quarter, NYSE:UPS reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.43 on adjusted net income of $1.22 billion. This exceeded analyst expectations of $1.31 per share and $1.12 billion.
NYSE:UPS 's revenue of $21.7 billion came in slightly below the analyst's estimates of $21.89 billion. Nevertheless, UPS has reported a higher profit than estimated after reducing costs, with total operating expenses down 1.4% in the first quarter compared to last year.
As demand for package deliveries has decreased, shipping rival FedEx has also seen a decrease in revenue. NYSE:UPS has affirmed its full-year guidance and expects to return to volume and revenue growth.
In the weeks leading up to the earnings report, NYSE:UPS announced that it would replace FedEx as the primary air cargo provider of the U.S. Postal Service. The change is set to happen once the current contract with FedEx expires in September, but UPS has not disclosed how the contract's impact will affect its finances.
NYSE:UPS shares initially jumped as much as 3% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the report was released. However, they reversed course and were trading about 1% lower an hour before the opening bell. NYSE:UPS closed at $145.36 on Monday, up 1.8%, but the stock is still down more than 7% so far this year and 25% lower in the last 12 months.
The decline in average daily volumes in its domestic segment and a 5.8% drop in its international segment is an indication of the subdued demand for small-package delivery. Besides, the company's profit margins have come under pressure due to higher costs associated with a new labor contract with the Teamsters union. The company reported an adjusted operating margin of 8%, the lowest in 2024. NYSE:UPS is absorbing 46% of the wage and benefit costs of the new five-year contract in 2024 and does not expect business conditions to improve until the second half of the year.
In summary, NYSE:UPS 's Q1 profit beat adjusted estimates, while revenue fell short of expectations. The company is making adjustments in response to the fall in shipping demand and revenue. The change in the air cargo provider of the US Postal Service could have an impact on its finances in the future.
UPS United Parcel Service Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the Double Top on UPS:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PUPS United Parcel Service prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 142usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-4-26,
for a premium of approximately $3.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
UPS ValueUPS looks like heading into a disputing value territory, range looks solid, don't expect below or above for a while.
UPS can go PostalUPS comfortably consolidating on a monthly support level. I’m looking for a breakout to the upside - above level 154.50. I have a 3 month time horizon and looking for a 20 point move back into supply.
UPS Plummets 8% Amidst Investor Day ConferenceIn a strategic pivot aimed at driving growth and enhancing efficiency, United Parcel Service ( NYSE:UPS ) revealed its comprehensive vision for the future during its investor day conference. The announcement of the "Network of the Future" initiative signals a bold commitment to optimize and automate UPS's core integrated network, positioning the company for sustained success in a rapidly evolving market landscape.
CEO Carol Tome's unequivocal declaration of UPS's strategic direction underscores the company's unwavering determination to adapt and thrive in the face of challenges. With a keen focus on boosting market share and expanding its addressable market, NYSE:UPS is poised to harness the power of innovation to drive incremental growth and deliver value to shareholders.
Tome's assertion that the small package industry is primed for growth in 2024 and beyond reflects a strategic optimism tempered by a pragmatic understanding of market dynamics. By making bold moves to create a growth flywheel in premium markets while simultaneously driving productivity and efficiency gains, UPS aims to position itself as a leader in the global logistics landscape.
The ambitious financial targets outlined by NYSE:UPS serve as a testament to the company's confidence in its ability to execute its strategic vision. With projected consolidated revenues between $108 billion and $114 billion by 2026, UPS anticipates a substantial expansion of its top line, driven by a combination of organic growth initiatives and operational enhancements.
Furthermore, UPS's commitment to delivering superior financial performance is underscored by its guidance of an adjusted operating margin above 13% by 2026. With a laser focus on driving profitability across its key business segments, including the U.S. domestic package and international operations, UPS aims to unlock new levels of operational excellence and value creation.
Central to UPS's strategic roadmap is the commitment to generating robust free cash flow, with projections ranging between $17 billion and $18 billion by 2026. This emphasis on capital efficiency and disciplined capital allocation underscores UPS's commitment to delivering sustainable long-term value to its shareholders.
Despite the market's initial reaction, characterized by a reversal in UPS's stock price following the investor day conference, the underlying narrative remains one of strategic foresight and operational excellence. While short-term fluctuations may obscure the broader trajectory, UPS's steadfast commitment to its strategic objectives positions the company for success in the years ahead.
As NYSE:UPS embarks on this transformative journey, navigating the complexities of a dynamic global marketplace, stakeholders can take solace in the company's resolute commitment to innovation, efficiency, and growth. With a clear vision and a strategic roadmap in place, UPS stands poised to unlock new opportunities, drive shareholder value, and redefine the future of logistics.
UPS Rides High on FedEx's Soaring QuarterNYSE:UPS (United Parcel Service) stock witnessed a surge today, buoyed by the impressive performance of its competitor FedEx in the third quarter. FedEx's robust results, including earnings that beat analyst expectations by nearly 12%, lifted UPS shares in sympathy.
In its recent quarterly report, FedEx reported earnings of $3.86 per share, exceeding estimates and marking a significant increase from the previous year. Despite slightly missing revenue estimates, the company showcased its confidence by announcing a new $5 billion share repurchase program, with plans for $500 million in share repurchases in the coming quarter.
While FedEx's success may have set the stage, NYSE:UPS has been holding its ground. Although NYSE:UPS reported a 7.8% revenue decline in its fourth-quarter fiscal 2023 results, its adjusted EPS met consensus estimates. With FedEx's strong showing, investors are hopeful for similar resilience from NYSE:UPS in the quarters to come.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:UPS shares is trading with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 58.89 indicating a moderate buying situation. The bulls might continue pushing the share price higher.
In a market where delivery services play an increasingly crucial role, NYSE:UPS 's response to FedEx's success will be closely watched by investors and industry observers alike.
UPS SHORTVery strong resistance ups has just hit. If we also look at the daily timeframe we see a doji candle form a long-legged one to be specific and that can be a good candle stick to identify trend reversals
UPS - LONG ( swing strategy )trying lower timeframes (1h)
enter price -150.06
stop loss -148.88
take profit -153.32
swing 10 high low strategy
DETAILS: the price started the day with a strong gap up , big bullish candle ( that responded well to the ema 200 ) + strong volume the candle broke the swing 10 high
Meditation stock UPS to $137 shortI asked for a stock this morning and like it when things pop in almost before I even finish the thought of asking. This morning it was UPS.
The chart made a lower high (as it currently appears), and I had the number 14 immediately as well. I thought of 14 as a percent and "saw" my symbol for the down direction, and the general impression for down.
I just did some dowsing on it and asked for the target price, which came in at $137. I was very happy to run the calculation of 14% taken from yesterday's close of $160 to find it is also $137!
Earnings are the morning of the 30th and I have this as only a 9 day kind of move with an additional date of 2/12 to keep in mind.
That's all!
