WAB trade ideas
WAB: balanced risk with long term upside due to California lawBalance Sheet Analysis
Current Assets: $4,855,000,000
Non-Current Assets: $14,133,000,000
Intangible Assets: $11,985,000,000
Current Liabilities: $4,056,000,000
Long-Term Debt: $4,408,000,000
Asset to Liability Ratio
A current ratio of 1.20 indicates that WAB has more current assets than current liabilities, which suggests the company is not at immediate risk of liquidity issues. However, the ratio is relatively close to 1, indicating that while the company can cover its short-term obligations, it doesn't have a substantial buffer.
Income Statement Analysis
Key Figures:
Total Revenue: $10,217,000,000
Operating Income: $1,521,000,000
Net Income: $918,000,000
Operating Margin: 14.89%
The operating margin of 14.89% is just below the 15% threshold, suggesting WAB is operating efficiently but has room for improvement. A margin close to 15% reflects good management of operating expenses relative to revenue.
Statement of Cash Flow Analysis
Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Trailing Twelve Months (TTM): $1,487,000,000
2023: $1,015,000,000
2022: $889,000,000
2021: $943,000,000
2020: $648,000,000
WAB's free cash flow has shown a consistent increase year-over-year, which is a positive sign for the company’s financial health. Increasing free cash flow indicates that the company is generating more cash from its operations, which can be used for expansion, debt reduction, or dividends.
Qualitative Analysis
Brand Recognition:
WAB has strong brand recognition in the rail industry, particularly in providing advanced technologies for freight and transit rail. This recognition bolsters its competitive position.
News:
Recent regulations in California targeting diesel-powered trains present both challenges and opportunities for WAB. The state’s push for zero-emissions technology aligns with WAB's innovation in green technologies. However, the industry faces concerns about the feasibility and costs of transitioning to zero-emission locomotives.
Emerging Industries:
WAB is positioned to benefit from the growth of industries focusing on sustainability and green energy. As governments and companies increasingly prioritize environmental impact, WAB's investments in green technology could drive long-term growth.
Conclusion
WAB appears to be a relatively stable stock with a solid balance sheet, consistent free cash flow growth, and a strong operating margin, though slightly below the desired 15%. The company’s strategic focus on innovation, especially in response to regulatory changes, could position it well for future growth. However, the relatively modest current ratio suggests that the company should continue monitoring its liquidity closely. Overall, WAB presents a balanced risk profile with potential upside in emerging green industries.
Can the recent breakout hold?Wabtec has broken out of the 5 month range and is hovering near the top end of the breakout zone. The question is whether we will see a continuation of the upward trend or a reversal back into range. Given the strength in the overall market it would be safer to bet on the continuation of the breakout. As long as price holds above the 70 area the uptrend is still in tact. Below 70 there might be a further correction back into the range
WABTEC CORP View DailyHey People, WABTEC CORP is in a low volume bullish continuationof purchase, but since we have several purchase volumes then we can go down.Strong likelihood of going uphill on the last previous one higher or maybe even entering the gap, if there is a push buyer and look for the next highest of it.
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3 plays for WAB if we get a down day in the market on Wed 8/14 we could have retracement to low like projection 1, 5 percent% rip possibility with ITM put, or short play.
option 2. we find some sort of reversal in between.
option 3. mixture of both.
yes I know the fib is done upside down. This is a test.
Look over the shoulder of SMART MONEY buying Wabtec (WAB)One of my indicators uncovered a little treasure today.
Hershey's CoCo Volume isolates your symbol volume from another symbol. Here a US equity is compared to the US SPY index.
Look at the three gray bars pointed out with arrows. They show an identical volume percent difference on three occasions. I propose this is SMART MONEY catching this price run!
This is info you can USE, and not available with standard volume. DISCLAIMER, I have a limit order @ $87 in now to catch the next leg up :)
I'll post the indicator later tonight, good trading!
Brian Hershey
A lot of levels, but unique chance for bullsMain signals:
1-breakout of local and monthly short trends
2-double bottom formation
3-ongoing test of 70.00 price level (we hope for the bulls' test)
Now there is a beginning of local consolidation.
We advise waiting and after that buy the breakout of top consolidation's line
or 73.11 breakout of double bottoms' neck.
Stop loss under consolidation's low.
Target 80.00 (Elliots' waves+strong resistance).