WHEATUSD - Back to MAR '20 or 2014-2015 ?Wheat has become one of my favourite commodities to trade after the 10:1 win to lose ratio of my positions for SEP '20.
Now I'm puzzled as to what to do next. The trend is clearly bullish but, we are approaching the strong resistance of $5.87-5.92 of MAR '20.
If we break this level then we will see higher prices. Maybe go back to the prices of 2014-2015 where price was ~$7.00 ? Who knows.
On the Montly Time Frame (MTF) the Fib 0.382 is around the price of $5.44 which in my opinion is the next target before price continues higher.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) outlook for non-commercial investors remains stable between SEP 22 and SEP 29 with net LONG positions 26221 and 26358 respectively.
So no indications for surprises expected from there too.
In any case I already openned a small sell position to the support level and I'm prepared to open more in steps as I see the correction comming before price continues to higher levels.
Note: I'm no trading expert nor have the ambition to become one! The above is just an idea that I share with the intention of attracting comments and perhaps become a better trader.
WHEATUSD trade ideas
WHEATUSD - S(h)ort the wheat from chaff #2Wheat reached the resistance and holded after breaking the trendline mentioned in previous comment (see below).
I'm expecting it to drop at first to the Fib 0.382 lvl marked in the white dotted line.
From there on we will see. If it drops further then we are heading to the support of ~$5.45.
I actually took the selling idea mentioned in the chart as I was writting this. Let's see.
Good luck Traders
Note: I'm no trading expert nor have the ambition to become one! The above is just an idea that I share with the intention of attracting comments and perhaps become a better trader.
WHEATUSD - Price at critical levelWheat is once again at a critical point in my opinion.
The trend on the 4h time frame (TF) is strongly bearish for the past week.
However on the weekly TF is bullish showing higher highs and higher lows.
Right now price following the bearish trend (shown in green) reached the strong support and the 200MA (yellow thick and green thin continues line).
What I wait to see is first of all if the price will break the support and drop further. If it does so the next support is around $5.225.
When these lines are written we have a rejection of this level. If price holds we will have a reversal and we will see a bullish move short-term.
So as always in trading, we wait, we monitor closely and have our finger on the trigger!
We will find out soon enough I think.
Good luck traders
Note: I'm no trading expert nor have the ambition to become one! The above is just an idea that I share with the intention of attracting comments and perhaps become a better trader.
Wheat - S(h)ort the wheat from chaffWheat today broke the support level mentioned as DECISION LEVEL on previous published idea (pls see below for link).
As seen on the 4h time frame above, it also just broke the 38.2% Fib level from the weekly time frame of the last impulse.
The trend remains bearhish (MACD confirms the shift) and the weekly resistance now shifted around the $5.34-5.35 level.
I'm monitoring price to see if it makes the pullback (expected, the light blue arrows) and then depending on how and if it does the pullback, I consider taking a nice short position.
The position I look for should give 140+ pip profit to the next support level of ~$5.16.
Note: I'm no trading expert nor have the ambition to become one! The above is just an idea that I share with the intention of attracting comments and perhaps become better at trading commodities.
WHEATUSD waiting price to reach decision levelWheat after our recent profitable prediction (pls refer to previous published idea) is now looking for a direction in my opinion.
It failed yesterday to break the $5.42-5.43 level so now we have a stong 4h bearish candlestick.
Still I'm unsure what the outcome will be. The MACD 4h took a turn and is now approaching the signal line with momentum to go bearish.
However I'm monitoring price at the 4h time frame waiting to see what will happen when/if the price reaches the support lever of ~$5.34.
That's why I named it DECISION LEVEL. Depending where the price will go and how it will go to wherever it goes, I might be able to base my trades.
So let's wait and see what happens.
I just love the markets! :-)
Note: I'm no trading expert nor have the ambition to become one! The above is just an idea that I share with the intention of attacting comments and perhaps become better at trading commodities.
Wheat - Channel DownWheat achieved a high of 590 in early 2020 and has subsequently moved down in 2 waves , within a channel structure .
There may be another wave to the downside ( suggested by the recent 8/13 MAV cross down). The malalignment of the longer term MAVs (30/50) suggests this will only be a short term corrective move.
A suggested short is
1. Enter - around 5.15
2. Target prior range low 4.13
3. Stop - just above prior channel swing high 5.50 ( 3atr)
4. RR - 2 +
Wheat (Smoke Wheat Everyday!)View On WHEAT (20 JUNE 2020)
The selldown on the wheat price may overdone and now we are still the sideway movement on the wheat price.
This may be a clue for the potential return of bullishness. But it may take some time.
I am buying in slowly with the small lot sizing.
Let's see
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment".
Thank You!
Legal Risk Disclosure:
Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors.
The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite.
The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.
You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
DISCLAIMER:
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice.
Sonicr Mastery Team does not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Wheat (“Everyone's a knucklehead at one point or another.”)View On WHEAT (20 JUNE 2020)
Expecting every call/trade analysis to be correct? If you do, you might very well belong to the group that believes unicorns are real.
The previous bullish call didn't work out and it is diving lower for now. It may find some footing near $4.7 region with some decent bullish candle.
Alternatively, you can take a look at CORN too.
Let's see
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment".
Thank You!
Legal Risk Disclosure:
Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors.
The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite.
The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.
You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
DISCLAIMER:
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice.
Sonicr Mastery Team does not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
WHEAT (A Bullish trend in a making?)Updated View On WHEAT (2 APR 202)
A recent strong bullish movement is met with a strong pullback. I suppose it(the pullback) shall end soon, and we can consider it as another chance for us to go in.
5.30-5.35 regions shall act as good support regions.
Let's see
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment".
Thank You!
Legal Risk Disclosure:
Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors.
The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite.
The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.
You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor.
DISCLAIMER:
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice.
Sonicr Mastery Team does not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Uptrend in wheat with clear targetBit of a longer term idea. We see a clear support line, heading up. Forms a decent basis for wheat prices. It shows a few high's over the last years, which form a clear target.
Take length with your own preferred SL/TP.
Trading is not about copying but about forming your own opinion.