Long entry set up Now that’s the 1 hour FVG wasn’t broken, but BoS has been established, looking at the OB on the 15 min TF as the next long entry. Entry at 21,765 with SL at 21,690 and TP1 of 21,890.
USTECH100CFD trade ideas
NASS1001. Nasdaq 100 (NASS100) Performance
As of mid-June 2025, the Nasdaq 100 index is around 21,600 to 21,700 points, showing moderate volatility with recent declines amid geopolitical tensions and trade concerns.
Technology stocks, including semiconductor giants like NVIDIA and Broadcom, remain influential on Nasdaq movements.
Market sentiment is cautious due to escalating Middle East conflicts and US-China trade uncertainties.
2. US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y)
The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering around 4.3% to 4.4% in June 2025.
Yields have edged up recently, reflecting inflation expectations and Federal Reserve monetary policy stance.
Rising yields often pressure growth stocks, including tech-heavy Nasdaq components, due to higher discount rates on future earnings.
3. US Dollar Index (DXY) Dynamics
The DXY has been relatively stable but showed some weakening in 2025 despite rising Treasury yields, reflecting complex market dynamics including geopolitical risks and shifts in capital flows.
A weaker dollar can support Nasdaq by boosting earnings of multinational tech firms through favorable currency translation, while a stronger dollar can weigh on exports and earnings.
4. Interplay Between NASS100, US10Y, and DXY
Rising US10Y yields tend to put downward pressure on Nasdaq 100 due to increased discount rates and borrowing costs for growth companies.
DXY movements influence Nasdaq via currency effects on multinational revenues and investor risk appetite.
Recent geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties have increased market volatility, occasionally decoupling typical correlations.
Softer inflation and weak labor data have temporarily boosted investor sentiment, supporting modest Nasdaq gains despite yield pressures.
Conclusion
the Nasdaq 100 faces pressure from rising US 10-year Treasury yields, which increase discount rates on tech stocks, while geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties add volatility. The US Dollar Index’s relative weakness provides some support to Nasdaq earnings, partially offsetting yield headwinds. Market participants remain cautious, balancing inflation data, Fed policy, and global risks in their outlook.
#NASS100
Sell US100 Now US 100 made the equal highs and wait till reach the OB and rejection confirmed then can sell the SL is above the OB and the TP is 21690 and second TP is 21660
Triple Top Trouble? NAS100 May Be Losing SteamThe NAS100 has formed a potential triple top, and key trendlines are starting to break to the downside. This could signal a short-term correction before bulls attempt another push for new highs. A temporary drop might offer a better long setup if momentum resets.
Nasdaq continuation sellsH4: STILL BULLISH INTERNALLY WITH OUR LAST SIGNIFICANT HL AT 21000
-Possible major chOch on H4 is very possible due to the HTF major zone we at
-Wait for proper H1 & lower tineframe confirmations before jumping in any trades
H1: BEARISH MARKET STRUCTURE STARTING TO PLAY WITH LAST LH AT 21925
-Potential continuation of sells all the way down to take out H4 hl a 21000
-We recently broke below a buying range on H1 & created a selling range
-Possible pullback buys before sells within that range are imminent
M15: We have a nice supply+fvg for sells at 21835
-Wait for price to pullback in there then M1 chOch then attack
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USTEC is rising toward the pivot, which serves as a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could indicate a double top pattern, potentially leading to a price drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 22,270.83
1st Support: 21,142.23
1st Resistance: 23,070.85
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2 Scenarios1) You close above that weekly to make a 1,2 for the weekly elliot.
2) You close below that March 31st weekly, making the corrective wave not just 3), but a),b),c).
But no matter what, at the end of the day I am still eyeing for a close above the historic high during 2021 November/December zone.
Great set up from crazy low DXY, very overvalued Eurozone equities, and also a corrective wave for the global index including the US equities.
Nasdaq-100 (NDX) daily analysis Distribution & Accumulation Zone🧭 CAPITALCOM:US100
Market Interpretation & Scenarios
🟢 Accumulation Zone (Demand / Buy-Side Liquidity)
21,640–21,720 region
• Strong buying reaction post-CHoCH + bullish BOS.
• Green FVG + “Long” entry = Smart Money likely accumulating.
• Price made a new HH and is now retracing into the gray FVG & BB zone.
• 🔍 If 21,800–21,775 holds, price may push higher and retest or break 21,960.
• 🎯 Upside Targets: 22,000–22,050 (next liquidity grab).
🔴 Distribution Zone (Supply / Sell-Side Liquidity)
21,920–21,960 region
• Premium zone where HH formed, followed by retracement.
• Red FVG + rejection = Smart Money potentially distributing.
• Failure to close above suggests a temporary distribution range.
• ❗️ If gray FVG breaks down, expect a drop toward green FVG (~21,680) or lower.
• A CHoCH near 21,775 would confirm a bearish shift in structure
NQ Buy setupi personally like this demand zone with hanging swing lows just above it. Looking to buy off this zone and target 3R taking partials on the way. Can also wait for lower timeframe confirmation.
Corto en nasdaq
**"I simply waited for it to rise to the moving averages to go short and follow the trend down to a high-liquidity zone, where I bought."**
NAS - ACTIVE TRADE COMMUNITY - PLEASE BRING TO THE MOONTeam, we have successfully trade both LIVE trading on UK100 short yesterday and LONG both NAS AND DOWN yesterday.
Today we are entry small portion LONG for NAS.
WILL DOUBLE LONG if market drop low at 21650-21600
Target 1 - at 21850-21875
TAKE 50-70% volume on profit and bring stop loss to BE once target 1 hit
Target 2 remaining at 21900-21950
GOOD LUCK AND LET KILL THE BEAST TOGETHER
NADSDAQ BULLISH SETUP FOR THE WEEKTrade Idea: NASDAQ100 Long Bias (Weekly Setup)
Market Narrative:
The NASDAQ remains bullish across the quarterly, monthly, and weekly timeframes, supported by a strong market structure and ongoing macro sentiment. On Monday, we observed significant bullish displacement, confirming institutional interest and directional intent.
Tuesday Outlook:
A retracement is expected on Tuesday, potentially forming the weekly low. Ideal entries will form around liquidity runs on Asia session lows, offering a high-probability long setup if price reacts bullishly from that zone.
Entry Zone:
Optimal Buy Zone: From 21,700 and below, ideally after a liquidity sweep below Asia session lows or into a previous demand block.
Watch for bullish order flow or market structure shift confirmation around this zone before entering.
Stop Loss:
21,525 (below the liquidity run and protected low)
Take Profit:
Open Target: The market is poised to break all-time highs, so targets should trail based on structure. Consider:
TP1: 22,150 (Previous swing high)
TP2: 22,400+ (Discovery zone / ATH breakout)
Use trailing stop or structure-based exits beyond TP1.
Confluences:
Bullish displacement on higher timeframes
Weekly low likely to form Tuesday
Asia session liquidity below current price
Strong institutional flow into tech
Risk Management:
Risk only 1% of account equity per trade
Position sizing based on entry and SL distance
USTECH Long Opportunity USTECH is currently on a break out to the upside, resuming the bullish trend. Price broke out above $21820 and is currently on a retracement where it could potentially provide a break and retest level at $21820.
Price is trading above the 50 SMA and is currently showing bullish momentum coming out of the RSI.
There is bullish structure amidst the consolidation present thus its important to trade cautious. Looking to the ride the bullish wave from the $21820 to the resistance at $22050.
Sells On Nas100 We are heading for the Friday settlement price, being the 1614hrs candle then Weekly opening gap
sell to buystructure narrative.
order flow; weak swings and failed zones.
liquidity; sweeps and inducements.
point of interests: order blocks(+/-)
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (Part 41)We are entering week 12 since the market signaled it's lowest point of 2025...and the 2nd week of the upper level consolidation between the last Daily Low and the current daily High...
This was confirmed by the the daily consolidation point created by the lowest point of last week on Thursday at 9:49 am... (See M1 Chart)
The market then bought 4,700 for a nice consolidatory trend move in favor of the bulls.
This was followed up with a quick hard sell which is expected in consolidated market such as we have.
There will be lot's of great opportunities favoring buyers and sellers, however the main moves for me are always the buys from my largest HL and the market has proven that over the last 11 weeks the lows have been intact.
Just remember any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to another HL on the largest timeframe.
I do not react to news as the market only trades the defined structure...any craziness that happens in the world only creates volatility within an already established market structure.
So for this week...it's business as usual...I wait for my next entry at the HL just below 21449.0 or at the next confirmed HL.
Happy trading...
My strategy is and will always be:
HL's to HH's Guaranteed!
#oneauberstrategy
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 19 June 2025- Nasdaq-100 reversed from long-term resistance level 22000.00
- Likely to fall to support level 21000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed down from the major long-term resistance level 22000.00 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of last year).
The downward reversal from the resistance level 22000.00 will form the weekly Shooting Star candlesticks reversal pattern if the price closes this week near the current levels.
Given the strength of the resistance level 22000.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to fall to the next support level at 21000.00.
NAS - ACTIVE PROFITABLE SET UP TRADETeam, tonight the US rate will announce.
I will wait for my set up to entry, if NOT I will not trade tonight
Please carefully review the chart
REMEMBER if it not hit your setup , DO NOT TRADE. simple as that
today we already hit our target for NAS, DAX AND DOW.
An update on my NAS100 trade idea I shared over the weekend.I analyzed over the weekend and ended up breaking down a weak high, my mistake was not considering some of the information the chart was communicating at that time.
I ended up not getting any entry opportunity on the POI I was targeting. As I was waiting, I noticed I was looking for entry on the push of a weak high which was now acting as an inducement then reevaluated my analysis and noticed price was going to look for liquidity above that weak high.
NASDAQ Weekly Trading Strategy: Bullish Opportunities Amid Secto- Current Price: 21631.04
- Key Insights:
- NASDAQ’s mixed performance suggests an ideal opportunity for selective
trading, with robust long-term bullish trends juxtaposed against short-term
volatility.
- Traders should focus on support levels for entry and utilize resistance
targets for profit-taking. Technology stocks exhibit vulnerabilities but may
rebound if key supports hold. Tesla's relative strength over peers offers
additional momentum within the sector.
- Price Targets:
- Next Week Targets:
- T1: 22,000
- T2: 22,600
- Stop Levels:
- S1: 21,200
- S2: 20,800
- Recent Performance:
- The NASDAQ saw a -0.63% decline last week, performing better than the Dow
(-1.32%) but lagging behind the S&P 500 (-0.39%). Technology sector divergence
dominated trading, with weakness in Nvidia and Apple contrasting Tesla’s
resilience.
- Expert Analysis:
- Despite short-term challenges, investor sentiment remains optimistic based
on institutional data, provided that support levels hold firm. NASDAQ’s position
above crucial long-term moving averages suggests sustained bullish interest.
However, short-term signals warn of possible pullbacks due to broader risk
aversion.
- News Impact:
- Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East contributed to increased
market volatility. Risk-off sentiment pushed investors toward safer assets like
gold and oil, impacting equity flows. As tensions persist, the market may face
heightened challenges next week.
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices
1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues.
Current Data (June 13, 2025):
10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases.
Term Premium:
The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed.
2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation
Negative Correlation Generally Observed:
The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities.
Recent Trends:
In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies.
Risk Sentiment:
The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety.
3. US100 and Bond Prices
Indirect Relationship via Yields:
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling).
Safe-Haven Demand:
In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline.
4. Yield Curve and Market Implications
The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks.
A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100.
Conclusion
The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par.
The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks.
The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs.
The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities.
#NAS100 #DOLLAR
NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP 16 - 20 JUNI 2025📉 NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP – STRATEGY OUTLOOK 📉
The NASDAQ has rejected Magnet Area (SpH4) 21767.00 – 22067.00, signaling potential downside movement.
As long as price stays below Magnet Area (dmD) 21736.00 – 21863.00, the market is likely to continue its decline toward Magnet Area (dmH4) 21136.00 – 21020.00, especially if price breaks through Magnet Area (dmH4) 21524.00 – 21445.00.
📌 Roadmap Summary:
🔻 Rejection confirmed from (SpH4)
⬇️ Bearish bias valid while below (dmD)
🚨 Breakout trigger: (dmH4) 21524.00 – 21445.00
🎯 Target zone: (dmH4) 21136.00 – 21020.00
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
