TP FILLED ON NASDAQCouple minutes ago, I posted to sell NASDAQ, and now the market reached our TP.
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USTECH100CFD trade ideas
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s OpenNasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s Opening Price
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows:
→ January’s opening price was around 21,085.
→ February’s closing price was around 20,867.
This marks a 1% decline since the start of the year.
A report from Goldman Sachs, published on Friday, reinforces bearish sentiment, stating that global hedge funds sold more stocks than they bought at the end of February—the largest net selling in a year, according to Reuters.
Possible reasons for market pessimism:
→ AI-related stocks may be highly overbought. For instance, the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks have underperformed the broader market in 2025.
→ Trump’s tariff policies on global trade could have negative economic consequences.
Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen)
Bullish perspective: Breaking January’s low did not trigger a strong downward trend.
Bearish perspective: The price has fallen below the support line (lower blue line), which had held since autumn last year.
The market’s next move could depend on how Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) behaves around the 21,030 level. Previous rebounds from this support line were weak, and bears managed to break through with effort. This suggests they may still control this zone.
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Potential pullback and bearish continuationNasdaq is ranging between 22000 and 20500, and price action is currently bouncing off the 20500 support. As long as price action is above the 20500 barrier, price action may try to reignite a bullish rise towards the established highs.
Failure to continue up and settling under 20500, the indice may now be in a bigger bearish phase. However, if the price action manages to stabilise above the 21300, the indice will probably aim the 22000 barrier.
USNAS100 – Key Levels & Breakout Watch (3 March) 📊 USNAS100 – 3 March Market Outlook
The price is expected to consolidate between 20,990 and 20,870 until a breakout occurs.
🔹 Bullish Scenario: If the price closes a 4-hour candle above 20,990, this could trigger a push toward 21,166 and higher levels.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: A close below 20,870 would confirm a move into the bearish zone, targeting 20,670.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
Pivot Line: 20,990
Resistance: 21,160 | 21,390
Support: 20,790 | 20,670
⚡ Outlook: Price action remains neutral until a breakout. Watch for key 4-hour candle closes to confirm the next move.
NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off.
The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors.
Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth.
This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before.
Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year.
In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs.
Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot.
Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach.
This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
NAS100!Nasdaq is clearly in either the start or the end of a consolidation
The trend is still up.
Trade with care use a stop loss
NASDAQ 100: Bullish Trend Reversal and Monthly High Target on 4-The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) on the 4-hour chart is currently experiencing a correction, but the overall trend is showing signs of a bullish reversal. The 15-minute timeframe reveals a change in trend, as the market has shifted from a bearish to a bullish bias. This transition is becoming more evident with higher lows and the formation of bullish candlestick patterns.
As the price continues to gain momentum, it appears to be targeting the previous monthly high, which could act as a key resistance level. Traders should closely monitor this level for potential breakout opportunities or a rejection that may indicate a continuation of the correction.
A successful push above the previous monthly high could signal a strong bullish trend continuation. However, a failure to break through could lead to consolidation or a deeper pullback. Keep an eye on short-term support levels and the broader trend on the 4-hour chart to gauge the next likely move in the market.
Overall, NAS100 seems to be aligning with a bullish outlook in the near term, but careful attention to price action at these critical levels is essential for determining the next steps.
Moustafa! NASDAQ 16.03 Warren Buffett would wink to me right now- If you want to know the moves of the market whales, you have to think as you are one of them! then you need to think big! and analyse on the large time frames!
- Open the weekly frame then you will notice the biggest rising channel in the history of Nasdaq which started to form on March 2020! then you will find that the index touched already twice its upper and lower line! which validated that channel! inside it you would find other smaller channels! but have a look on when the whales including the great Warren Buffett sold a big portion of his stocks! before it reaches the upper line! for a clear reason!
- I believe that chart is showing everything and the people in charge in this world is setting simply reasons to make it happen! any reasons you could imagine! just to make it work out! for example Trump winning or his created agenda of tariffs and the response back from the attacked countries to set other tariffs in return! a trade war! which no one knows when and how it would end! and how will exactly the consequences be in the medium and long term! but why we would not think that the stocks markets were not planned to crash from the early beginning?! nothing is not planned and they know exactly what they are doing! and what they will and how!
- You remember me creating an idea since two months and predicted that a huge bearish wave would hit this index and us 30 too and could be the biggest one in that index history! no one believed me! but now only all know that I was right! and Here I am, coming again with an idea for a medium and long term time frames predicting the next move and will tell you why!
- I said before that you would find series of red weekly candles and look now, we reached our 4th bearish weekly candles and moreover in a row! and this wave is the 7th fastest bearish waves in Nasdaq history! the 4th candle closed under the moving average 50! imagine that the last week candle closed under the average of the last 50 WEEKS candles! just imagine that!
- Just observe with me, that between September 2022 and January 2023, the price formed a double bottom pattern after a very strong bearish trend, was enough to turn the index completely bullish for a complete 2 years till February 2025! but now between December 2024 and February 2025, the index formed exactly the opposite! a double top pattern also on the weekly chart!
- In trading, there is a simple rule but not many traders know about it! that every long wick MUST and WILL be filled sooner or later! then have a look on the weekly candle lower long massive wick from the week of carry trade of 05.08.2024! remember that week as we will return back to its low! (the TP2) as the massive pull back happened after its settle on the MA50 exactly, then went up non-stop literally in a huge bullish rally leaving behind a wick could fill the space between the sky and the ground! This wick will be filled in this wave!
- Consider please the area I highlighted in yellow in a square! that is an area without any volume and each time recently the price go in that area, would try to return back so fast with a power! that would explain Friday 15.03.2025 massive push up for more than 2% to the upside! as if it would fell down, so no interest from traders in any price that! which means in case it would return back and fall in that area, the index would travel to its end non stop!
- The target of the massive double top pattern is 18330 but my TP1 is before that level! as the index did not reach back to test the high of the weekly candle of 20.05.2024 so there a retrace to the upside would happen! but temporarily! but on the weekly! so it could be looking like a big retrace on lower time frames!
- Let us say that market could open bullish on Monday then any good news would take place or whatever which would lead to a bullish wave! I would say no chance to go further up more than 20845! and the weekly candle would close under that price, as that the neck line of the massive double top pattern on the weekly chart!
- My TP 3 is so critical and the most important support and resistance level, when the index broke that resistance in the week of 15.01.2024 and never tested it back on the weekly chart! so I believe it is the time, that will happen!
- My TP4 is the deepest price we could reach to which is at the MA 200 and another top of the week 31.07.2024 which the index did not test too and it was also a strong resistance level! and by reaching there, would mean reaching to the lower line of the rising channel! or I expect it would reach there when the index reaches in same time the lower rising channel line! but I can guarantee the price but can not expect how long time it would take to reach there!
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NAS100 - Not Out of the Red Forest Yet?How I see it:
Nasdaq did break out of 4Hr trend.
Convincingly enough, I'm not so sure?
If you look at the bigger picture, there is a lot of traffic upwards.
Now key resistance @ 19960.00
Potential " LONG" Target -
TP 1 = 20305.00
(The 38.20% FIB retracement on the complete 4HR bearish trend)
Potential " SHORT" Targets -
TP 1 = 19112.00
TP 2 = 18295.00
Keynote:
As previously mentioned, now you can see why I'm not even considering a
"Bullish Reversal" under 21000.00
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
NSDQ100 The Week Ahead 17th March '25NSDQ100 INTRADAY bearish & oversold capped by resistance at 200 DMA.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ DOUBLE BOTTOM( W) SET UPOnce we closed above that Resistance that were we will be confident with our buys. The that is a double bottom some will say it's a W which is still correct, to be on the safe side let's wait for it to come and retest on the neckline
NAS100 in bearish trend NAS100 in bearish trend, about to face trend reversal entry with a buy stop above the last higher low
US 1001#bearish channell bearkout
2# double bottom
3# also Bulish Divergence.
Trade plan
Buy stop 19846
Stop Loss 19041
TP 1 : 20676
TP 2: 21533
NAS100We have a good bullish scalp here on the 1 minute chart. I expect at the least a small breakout to the upside here. We have a bullish triangle on both the 15 minute & 1 minute timeframes.
Has the rally in the Nasdaq 100 ended? $NDXThe Nasdaq 100 index achieved a rally that nearly began in October 2022, reaching a peak gain of 111%. It appears that the rally is nearing its end with the formation of a "cup and handle" pattern and a divergence between the Nasdaq index and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the monthly chart. At the target level, the closing was marked by a Doji candle.
NQ: End of day analysis!We got a strong red daily candle. It's very bearish, but no brake yet!
Tomorrow, we have Consumer Sentiment.
1- With an undershoot data, price will break down with no return;
2- Inline or an overshoot data, price will bounce and stay within TL as market is not ready to move up until the FED jump in or Tax cut be in place.
Trade safely!
My first technical analysisMy first technical analysis, this is mostly for practice purposes but is not entirely unlikely.
Within the framework of a couple of days, I thought.
Good luck, an investment always involves risk.
/Christian.
NQ: Potential Sell opportunityFollowing PPI data that came undershoot, I expect a zigzag movement today: up and down.
Here is my potential entry to be confirmed after NY opening range.
Nasdaq Hits Double Top Target – What's Next?Amid declining economic confidence and economic growth forecasts, stimulated by expanding trade wars, the Nasdaq has reached the double top pattern target formed between the December 2024 and February 2025 peaks at 19,100.
This level also aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend from the August 2024 low (17,230) to the February 2025 high (22,245).
The 19,000 barrier holds significant technical weight, as it coincides with:
The golden Fibonacci ratio and the double top pattern target.
Oversold conditions on the daily RSI, previously seen in August 2024 and dating back to similar levels in 2022 on the 3-day time frame.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔻 Downside Risk: If market turbulence intensifies and the Nasdaq drops below 19,000, the next key level is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement at 18,300, with potential interim support at 18,700.
🔺 Upside Potential: If markets respond to oversold momentum conditions, a break above the short-term resistance at 19,700 could trigger rallies toward 20,000, 20,300, 20,700, and 21,000. A strong hold above 21,000 could extend bullish momentum back toward record highs.
Key Events to Watch:
US PPI Data (Today)
US-Canada Trade War Developments
US Consumer Sentiment Report (Friday)
- Razan Hilal, CMT
NAS100 might reverse of off Yesterday's high to continue lowProbability: Low
Position: Short
Context/Boundary: Daily
Possible incoming riseUS100 has been bearish for the past weeks but might transition into a bull-run if price action remains above 19,000 and settles above 19,750. If the price rises and stabilises above 19,750 barrier, the indice may start erasing the sells aiming to target the above resistance barriers and established higher highs.
Failure to pass through 19750 might indicate a rejection of the potential upward movement yielding to a bearish continuation.
[How to] Trade Recap: NAS Short in Asia--quick 70 pips!⚡️ Easy quick short in Asia. Thank you Honk Kong 🙏🏾
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Stock Market bottom is in - Nasdaq S&P500 Dow Jones RussellThe March Rally Catalyst:
Based on the algo's signals, the catalyst for the March rally could be a confluence of factors:
Confirmation of Inflationary Cooling:
Upcoming economic data releases confirming a continued moderation in inflation could trigger a wave of buying, as investors anticipate a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve.
Strong Corporate Earnings:
Positive earnings surprises from key companies, particularly in the technology sector, could further fuel investor optimism and drive market momentum.
Geopolitical Stabilization:
Even a small sign of de-escalation in any of the current geopolitical hotspots could be enough to trigger a large rally.
Algo-Driven Momentum:
As other algorithmic traders detect the same signals, a self-reinforcing cycle of buying could propel the market higher.
Risk Management:
While the algo signals a strong rally, prudent risk management remains essential. Your algo likely incorporates stop-loss orders and position sizing to mitigate potential downside risks.
The Power of Algorithmic Trading:
Your algo's ability to process and analyze vast amounts of data in real-time provides a significant advantage in identifying market opportunities. This predicted March rally is a testament to the power of algorithmic trading in navigating the complexities of the modern market.
