Previous idea on the 1hr timeframe NAS traded lower off the evening star 1hr timeframe. Maybe you were early and took that signal to the midline of the Channel.... NASDAQ:QQQ Becase YOU GOT OPTIONS
USTECH100MINICFD trade ideas
First time sharing an idea. Looking at Nas and QQQNas and QQQ , Tech stocks in general while Apple And Amazon had a decent day today we saw NAs and QQQ pull back a tad bit, along with NVDA. The idea is pullback positioning for the possible rally forward during this "melt up." We like the Channel and between that and the fib key levels we see opportunity. YOU GOT OPTIONS
USNAS100 / ATH, CONTINUE OR REVERSING Technical Analysis
The price reached another ATH 21675, and now consolidating between 21535 and 21680 till breaking, stability below 21530 means it will drop to get 21420 and below that will get 21220
Otherwise, stability is above 21675 which means will push up to get 22000, especially if the 4h candle closes above it.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21590
Resistance Levels: 21675, 21820, 22020
Support Levels: 21530, 21420, 21215
previous idea:
NASDAQ consolidation until the CPI.Nasdaq (NDX) hit our 21650 Target that we set exactly 2 weeks ago (November 25, see chart below) and is now entering a consolidation phase (orange Rectangle):
As long as the 4H MA50 holds, the uptrend will stay intact within this 3-month Channel Up. We believe that this consolidation is similar to the September 13 - 19 price action, which also started after a +6.80% rise and with the support of the 4H MA50, it resumed the rally and peaked on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we expect Nasdaq to stay ranged until Wednesday's U.S. CPI report and following that to resume the uptrend, targeting 22300 (just below the 1.5 Fib).
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NAS100USD: Is a Reversal Brewing in Bearish Territory?Greetings Traders!
Today’s analysis highlights a fascinating setup on NAS100USD. While the market remains bearish overall, there are compelling signs suggesting a potential reversal. This could either lead to a minor retracement or evolve into a stronger, extended bullish trend. As always, we let the market confirm its intentions.
Current Market Outlook:
Price is sitting at heavy discount levels, having swept discount sell stops. This movement hints at the possibility of smart money entering buy orders against willing sellers. Remember, the narrative here is simple: buy in discount prices, sell in premium prices.
Key Confluences:
Rejection Block Support: Price is strongly rejecting a key rejection block, establishing a robust institutional support zone.
Discount Level Alignment: Current levels are ideal for buying opportunities, provided confirmation aligns with the broader market narrative.
Trading Strategy:
I am closely watching for confirmation entries at these levels, with the first target being the premium buy stops above the 50% Fibonacci level (fair value). This zone offers an excellent area for profit-taking and aligns with institutional order flow.
Let’s Collaborate!
Have insights, questions, or analysis? Share them in the comments below. Together, we can dissect the market and make informed decisions!
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
NQ Futures Update: Warning Signs Flashinghe Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ) is exhibiting several concerning signs that suggest a potential downturn could be on the horizon. Traders should exercise caution and be prepared for a possible wave of selling pressure.
Resistance Rejection: The NQ has recently encountered strong resistance. Multiple failed attempts to break above this key level could signal that sellers are gaining control.
Breakdown Below Support: A break below the red box support level could trigger a further decline. This would likely be accompanied by an increase in selling volume and negative sentiment.
Rising Volatility: An increase in implied volatility, as reflected in the VIX index, suggests growing uncertainty and fear in the market, which could precede a broader market sell-off.
Potential Downside Targets
If the bearish scenario unfolds, the NQ could potentially drop to the displayed support levels
While the NQ is showing signs of weakness, it's important to remember that markets can be unpredictable. A sudden shift in sentiment or unexpected news could quickly change the outlook. Traders should closely monitor price action, manage risk effectively, and be prepared for volatility in the near term.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
US100AB=CD reversal pattren is complete bearish divergence at top.
entry type is
sell stop: 21330
SL: 21705
TP : 20935
Nasdaq LongNasdaq is on a strong bullish momentum and this correction gives opportunity to join in the trend. The marked zone is very much interesting enough to dive in upon confirmation of entry as we have price create a double bottom already before a BOS.. Fingers crossed..
US NAS 100 / US TECH 100 - SHORTQuick trade on the basis of just price action.
You don't need any indicators. Only clean chart with levels.
It doesn't work every time, but works most of the time
NAS100 - Nasdaq will welcome Santa Rally?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zones, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward.
In recent days, financial markets have experienced a notable influx of capital. According to a report by Bank of America, capital flows amounted to $8.2 billion into equities, $4.9 billion into bonds, and $3.0 billion into cryptocurrencies. This marks the largest four-week inflow into cryptocurrencies, totaling $11.0 billion.
Capital inflows into U.S. equities continued for the ninth consecutive week, totaling $8.2 billion. Additionally, a $4.6 billion investment in small-cap U.S. stocks pushed the 2024 inflows to record highs.
Over the 12 months ending in November, an average of 186,000 new jobs were created each month. On a monthly basis, the highest job growth was observed in healthcare, leisure, and government sectors. Employment in the transportation equipment manufacturing sector also saw a boost following the resolution of labor strikes.
Recent economic data continues to highlight contractionary pressures and their effects on the U.S. economy. At first glance, November’s NFP employment report indicates a resilient and strong labor market, with the U.S. economy adding approximately 227,000 jobs. This growth was largely due to the recovery of jobs lost to recent hurricanes in the Southeast and the resolution of Boeing labor strikes, both of which had reduced employment figures in October. The October report was also revised upward to 36,000 jobs.
Unemployment rose to 4.2%, while labor force participation declined. Despite this, unemployment remains relatively low, though it may rise in the coming months if contractionary pressures persist.
This week, major events in global central bank policies are expected to take place. Dubbed by some as the “central banks’ decisive week,” it begins with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision. Key U.S. economic data, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI), will play a pivotal role in shaping Federal Reserve policies.
Investors are primarily focused on inflation data. The November CPI report is set to be released on Wednesday, followed by the PPI report on Thursday. These figures will serve as a precursor to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision next week.
Projections indicate that annual CPI may rise from 2.6% to 2.7%, while core CPI is expected to remain steady at 3.3%. If no stronger-than-expected data emerges, the Federal Reserve is likely to lean toward reducing interest rates, with the possibility of halting monetary easing in the January meeting.
The December 2024 global economic outlook report by Fitch highlights rising inflation risks in the U.S., driven by stronger-than-expected consumer spending, upcoming tariff increases that raise import prices, and slowed labor force growth due to reduced net migration.
Fitch forecasts that global growth will decline to 2.6% in 2025, a figure largely unchanged from its September report. However, this global stability masks significant shifts in the economic growth forecasts of major countries. U.S. economic growth for 2025 has been revised up by 0.5% to 2.1%, while the Eurozone’s growth forecast has been reduced by 0.3% to 1.2%. Similarly, China’s growth forecast for 2025 has been lowered by 0.2% to 4.3%.
The persistent inflationary trends observed in recent months are unlikely to change significantly with the November CPI report. The CPI data, due on Wednesday, is one of the final and most important indicators ahead of the December 18 Federal Reserve meeting. It may influence FOMC members’ decisions on whether to reduce or halt interest rate cuts.
Currently, there is a strong probability of a 25-basis-point cut in the upcoming meeting.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump, the U.S. President-elect, stated in an interview with NBC’s “Meet the Press” that he has no plans to request the resignation of Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chairman. Trump emphasized that he does not intend to replace Powell and will continue to work with him.
In recent years, financial and tech markets have witnessed remarkable shifts. One such change is the shift in focus from semiconductor companies to AI-related software firms. After a significant rally in semiconductor stocks like NVIDIA and AMD, market enthusiasm has now shifted toward software companies such as Snowflake and Palantir. This reflects a growing realization that AI’s true potential lies in its applications across industries, rather than solely in the hardware enabling it.
Semiconductor firms were the initial beneficiaries of this AI boom, but the market is now gravitating toward companies implementing AI in practical and operational ways.
US100: SELL US100 is at it's Highest Point. And It's also cross the weekly VWAP. It's now might be possible that it will be a good sell from here
NASDAQ - Technology Leads Amid Challenges and OpportunitiesNASDAQ - Technology Leads Amid Challenges and Opportunities
The NASDAQ index continues to capture investor interest, buoyed by the strength of technology and artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, while navigating regulatory, economic, and geopolitical hurdles. The latest macroeconomic updates and Federal Reserve signals add further dimensions to the narrative shaping the index’s performance. Here’s an expanded analysis, incorporating fresh data and insights.
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Key Macroeconomic Updates Influencing NASDAQ
Inflation and Sentiment
- University of Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations: Actual 2.9% (Forecast 2.7%, Previous 2.6%)
This slight increase in inflation expectations signals that consumer inflation concerns remain elevated, despite Federal Reserve efforts. Persistent inflationary pressure could temper optimism around rate cuts.
- University of Michigan Sentiment Index: Actual 74.0 (Forecast 73.2, Previous 71.8)
The stronger-than-expected sentiment reading reflects consumer confidence in economic resilience, which could support continued spending on technology and digital services, bolstering the NASDAQ index.
Labor Market Insights
- US Unemployment Rate: Actual 4.2% (Forecast 4.1%, Previous 4.1%)
A modest uptick in the unemployment rate suggests a cooling labor market, potentially reinforcing the case for monetary easing.
- US Nonfarm Payrolls: Actual 227k (Forecast 220k, Previous 12k, Revised 36k)
Strong job growth underscores economic stability but adds complexity to the Federal Reserve's inflation battle.
- US Average Earnings YoY: Actual 4.0% (Forecast 3.9%, Previous 4.0%)
Wage growth remains steady, indicating ongoing consumer spending power but also signaling potential inflationary pressures.
Federal Reserve Dynamics
- Fed's Bowman: Progress on inflation seems to have stalled.
This commentary reinforces market expectations of a more accommodative monetary stance to counter economic headwinds.
- Short-Term Interest Rate Futures: A sharp rise post-jobs report indicates an 85% chance of a rate cut in December, up from 67%.
Lower borrowing costs would directly benefit the tech-heavy NASDAQ, as growth stocks typically outperform in low-rate environments.
---
Seasonal and Sentiment Factors
Historical Seasonality
December has historically been favorable for the NASDAQ, driven by:
- **Seasonal Consumer Spending:** Electronics and digital services see a surge, supporting revenue for tech companies.
- **Portfolio Rebalancing:** Institutional investors often position portfolios for growth into the new year.
- **Optimism Around Innovation:** End-of-year announcements and advancements in technology further fuel investor enthusiasm.
Investor Sentiment
- The **Fear & Greed Index** remains at 53, leaning toward greed, signaling potential for continued short-term market gains.
---
Revised NASDAQ Outlook
Positives:
1. **Tech Momentum:** The AI-driven rally continues, with companies like Microsoft and Meta capitalizing on innovation and demand.
2. **Federal Reserve Support:** Increasing odds of rate cuts and gradual disinflation expectations create a favorable macro backdrop.
3. **Resilient Economic Indicators:** Strong labor market and durable goods data point to economic stability.
Risks:
1. **Regulatory Headwinds:** Scrutiny over AI and antitrust issues may weigh on tech giants like Microsoft and Meta.
2. **Inflation Uncertainty:** Stalled progress on disinflation could delay aggressive monetary easing.
3. **Geopolitical Tensions:** Ongoing global supply chain disruptions pose risks to the tech sector.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ index is well-positioned to close the year on a strong note, underpinned by robust demand for technology, favorable monetary conditions, and consumer confidence. However, vigilance is essential as regulatory, geopolitical, and inflation-related risks remain prevalent. Key developments, including Federal Reserve decisions and corporate earnings, will be pivotal in shaping the index's trajectory into 2024.
Nasdaq Analysis: 09-DEC-2024Good morning, trading community! Today's Nasdaq analysis is for you. Share your thoughts, ask questions, and let me help you grow.
NASDAQ ONE MONTH FORECASTAfter breaking so many levels and reaching such a high price, nasdaq should stop soon to correct ;
we think it could go up to 22K max, then come back to the red KL, which are the ones that never were corrected ;
not exactly sure when or how, but this round top seems like a realistic way to end the year for US100.
NAS100 Poised for Growth Amid Heavy Selling PressureHello,
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is positioned for further bullish growth, with all indicators aligning for an upward trend. However, sellers are currently stepping in with significant activity.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
NADAQ100 D1Nasdaq100 is in a bullish trend, we could see after a change of structure many BOS ( Break of Structure) has confirmed. So the strategy is simple, wait for price revist a proper lower zone in which we could enter long.
If case price fall down deeper, we marked a zone to consider a Choch or structure change for short oppty.
Good Trading!
a clear long buy held with no emotions,let your wins runthe market is in a bulish trend,all the short positions are small pull backs
NAS100: FUTURE PIVOT POINTSTry to catch these pivot points
TacTic Time Traders is here to predict TIME for you.
NAS100 - A Small Inkling of a Ceiling?20SMA - Blue
200SMA - Pink
Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines
Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines
Dear Friends:
If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service.
How I see it:
1HR TF is showing development of a bearish order block
Possible re-test of key confluence, now support
Keynote!
The bull trend rapidly changed angle to almost vertical previous sessions.
Short sellers are circling on sideline...
Institutions are hunting liquidity and/or maximizing profits for
year-end closing of long positions.
The FED (Powell) mentioning further rate cuts:
(Only for above mentioned purpose naturally!!)
I have made a note on these promises exactly at this time of year,
which will also drive US stocks up far beyond overbought prices.
Since 2022, rate cut promises @ year end never materialized
until second half of the following year, or only the last quarter of the following year.
With new administration taking over in January,
this time It might be different, and I might be wrong!
I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
NASDAQ, setup for 25k (20% potential)Hello everyone,
based on the major wave 3, we can make a projection to imagine where the global markets could form a major top. In my view we are entering the last stages of the bull run, with a potential of 20% gains to come. After reaching the top, a major bear market could start, but I don't expect the top to be in before at least Q1 of 2025.
What I also want to point out is that we are about to test the very significant last swing high from where wave 4 started. I should be a good zone to start buying again, as we are in a strong bullish trend. If you need confirmation observe this level closely.
Nasdaq may retrace to support/trendline, before it continues itsNasdaq may retrace to support/trendline, before it continues its uptrend.
USNAS100 / New ATH Historical Price, and Still To 21590Technical Analysis
The price has successfully reached a historic all-time high (ATH) at 21500 and continues to gain momentum, targeting the next resistance at 21,590, and then it's possible to trade with a bearish trend after 21590.
So now any stability above 21485 will get the price toward 21590, and then should break the resistance zone to get 21900,
Otherwise, stability below 21450 by closing the 4h candle under it, means will drop to get 21290 and 21220
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21480
Resistance Levels: 21590, 21670, 21800
Support Levels: 21290, 21150, 20990
previous idea:
NAS 100 BUY OPPRTUNITIES CAN BE GRABBED!!
DESCRIPTION
Trade is analysed in line with the overall swing of the market structure . Atm we can see the price has dropped down to strong area of demand on 4hr. ( a strong demand zone we can confirm as with the strong wick rejection seen on the earlier candles . )
Price has also shown a change of character on 4hr by breaking the fractal structure and giving us a idea on possible future entries .
As of now i am awaiting the price to drop further on 1hr demand zone and if does reach there we could look for possible entries on coming days for buy .
Trend analysis
MArket Structure
Supply and demand
Liquidity
Premium n discount.
