USTECH100MINICFD trade ideas
NAS100USD: Is this a False Break?Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bullish volatility, indicating that the institutional order flow remains decisively bullish. As such, our objective is to align with that momentum and seek opportunities to position ourselves accordingly.
Current Market Context:
Now entering the New York session, we can anticipate continued upward movement. A key technical development is the recent liquidity sweep—price action took out a set of sell stops, creating the appearance of a potential bearish break of structure. However, this movement aligns with a classic “Turtle Soup” scenario, where a false break is engineered to trap liquidity before the market resumes in its dominant direction.
Institutional Insight:
This sweep suggests that institutions have likely order paired against willing sellers, using their stops as entry liquidity. With that liquidity now absorbed and price rejecting lower levels, we look for bullish confirmations to join the smart money narrative.
Trading Focus:
We are now monitoring for lower-timeframe confirmation entries to validate bullish setups, ideally supported by institutional arrays or bullish order blocks that hold as support.
Let the market reveal the footprints of smart money—our role is to read and respond with discipline.
Regards,
The Architect
Prices are entering critical battleground between bulls & bears(The following is solely personal opinion and not investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions.)
Last week, the market was driven by positive news and continued its upward breakout, now surpassing the 200-day moving average.
This week, attention should be paid to price and volume performance. If prices fail to break higher convincingly, a pullback may begin. However, if positive sentiment continues to dominate, the upward trend could persist.
Key resistance levels are at 20,700 and 21,070. If the price breaks above 20,700 this week without showing signs of significant retracement, the market may test higher levels.
On the downside, the key support zone lies between 19,978 and 20,255. If the price struggles to maintain upward momentum and consolidates below the 200-day moving average, the likelihood of a downward reversal increases. The first target on the downside would then be in the 18,277 to 18,588 range.
Last week’s performance serves as a reminder that when most expect the Fed’s FOMC decisions to trigger a market drop, prices often behave contrary to expectations. In the current market environment, it’s crucial to recognize that the market won’t rise or fall indefinitely. At critical price levels, risk control and timely position adjustments are essential.
3 Consistent Winner Beliefs. Do you check off all 3?> Every trader comes to the charts with a story.
Mine is one of obsession, resilience, and belief.
This is what I tell myself every single day before I take a trade — my inner code.
1. Money can be made in markets
I’ve seen the charts. I’ve seen the proof.
Every day, money moves — and the ones with eyes to see take their slice.
Markets aren’t random. They aren’t chaos.
They’re an ocean of opportunity.
The consistent winners?
They’re locked in the present and spot opportunity moment by moment —
then strike when it’s worthwhile.
2. I can make money in markets
Not someone else. Me.
I study. I adapt. I execute.
I’m not here to gamble or guess.
I’m here to observe human behavior and act with precision.
I’ve trained my mind to see what others miss.
And that edge? It’s mine.
> “It’s so incredible how rich one can become without being perfect.”
3. I deserve to make money in markets
This one’s the hardest — and the most powerful.
Because without it, we self-sabotage.
I’ve put in the work.
I’ve sacrificed.
I’ve endured losses, frustration, and silence.
But I never stopped.
So when profit comes, it’s not luck — it’s alignment with who I’ve become.
> I post this not just as motivation — but as a mirror for others walking the same path.
If you’re obsessed with mastering yourself through the charts, then we’re already on the same team.
A belief is any thought you get attached to.
The more you attach, the more you become it.
When Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction - Its implicationWhen Stocks & Bond Move Opposite Direction what does it mean?
We have observed a divergence between the stock and bond markets since 2020. While U.S. Treasury bonds entered a bear zone, the stock markets continued their upward climb. What are the implications of this decoupling?
Will the stock market resume its uptrend and hit new highs? Or is this merely a retracement before further downward pressure?
Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures and Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 13 May 2025- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 21500.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 20220.00 (which has been reversing the index from March) and the resistance trendline of the Ascending Triangle from April.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active short-term ABC correction 2 from last month.
Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 21500.00 (target price for the completion of the active wave 2).
NDX - NOW IT IS ALMOST READYMorning,
I was a bit gun shy this morning for that trade - there was no rejection of resistance and it kept going, luckily without confirmation I never entered. However we are now seeing the start of a potential confirmation to retest down to previous support.
Hourly:
Oversold RSI with two tops forming.
Volume is starting to dip and has rejected higher volume profile.
Momentum is starting to top out just waiting to see if it wavers downwards.
Just waiting on that candle to close lower on the hourly and will continue following if our RSI crosses the EMA point.
I know being patience sucks but its better than loosing money!
Enjoy
NASDAQ Fall? US100 AnalysisHello everyone.
We had a volatility at stock market last 2 month, it looks like market had good correction and found new buyer. BUT I DON'T THINK LIKE THAT.
After MR. Trump inauguration we saw bear market signals, it was like hedge funds dumped stocks, but after strong sell new buyers came at market and show us pretty good market correction but what will be next? The last 2 months brought intense volatility post-Trump’s inauguration. Hedge funds sold off heavily (S&P 500 dropped ~8% from its December high), but buyers stepped in, pushing a 5% retracement. RSI on SPY shows oversold conditions fading, yet I’m skeptical of this bounce.
Why? Bearish signals linger. VIX remains elevated (>20), and volume on up days is weaker than selloffs. Plus, geopolitics could derail this rally. Over the weekend, Ukraine and Russia discussed a 30-day ceasefire. If talks fail, the West’s new sanctions could spike oil prices (Brent crude already testing $80) and hammer energy-heavy indices like XLE or European markets (DAX).
I’m watching SPY’s 200-day MA (~510) as key support. A break below could signal a deeper pullback to 480. Energy and tech (QQQ) look vulnerable if sanctions hit. What’s your take—buying this dip or bracing for more downside?
Here is my 2 scene what i am expect from market, for me Scene and technical view scene 2 is more logical bur we will see what will be next step for stock market.
For collaboration text me in DM!!!
Always make your own research!!!
NASDQhe image shows a daily chart (1D) of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) on TradingView, with a detailed technical analysis suggesting a possible continuation of the long (bullish) trend, supported by various price levels, trendlines, and visual cues. Here's a description based on the chart:
🟦 Current Context
The price has recently broken above a key resistance area around 20,016 – 20,038, which may now act as support.
The current candle is bullish (green) and closes above this range, showing buyer strength.
There is a clear upward trend starting mid-April, with higher lows and consecutive bullish candles.
📈 Key Technical Elements
A target is marked at 21,009.5, highlighted by an orange horizontal line.
A light blue rectangle represents a potential projected move range, starting around the 20,000 zone and aiming toward 21,000.
A red box below the current price likely indicates the invalidation area or stop-loss zone.
Intermediate support levels include:
19,756.0 (blue line)
19,226.9 (orange line)
18,304.8 (deeper support)
🔁 Potential Long Continuation Scenario
If price holds above the 20,000 – 20,038 zone, we may see an acceleration toward the 21,009 target.
The overall pattern suggests a breakout from a consolidation phase, followed by a retest of the broken level (now support), and a potential upward continuation.
The diagonal trendlines indicate the formation of a broad ascending channel.
📅 Timing
The projected target may be reached within the coming weeks: a vertical black line is marked on May 21, 2025, possibly indicating the expected timeframe for the move.
✅ Conclusion
There is a clear bullish market structure, with a resistance breakout and well-defended supports. Unless there’s a false breakout or negative macro news, the long projection toward 21,009 appears technically valid.
Technical Breakdown on US100 (1H) TIME FRAMETechnical Breakdown on US100 (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 21,280
Value Area Low (VAL): 21,190
Point of Control (POC): 21,259.75
High-Volume Nodes: Dense volume between 21,200–21,260 indicating consolidation and potential distribution.
Low-Volume Gaps: Below 21,100 down to 20,800 — fast movement zones with limited participation.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters:
Above 21,300 (recent swing high zone and consolidation top)
Below 21,190 (VA Low, likely stop cluster from long positions)
Absorption Zones:
Strong absorption near 21,000 and again around 20,800 (marked by reversal attempts with high delta volume)
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing Highs: 21,291 (confirmed by peak CVD and high rejection)
Swing Lows: 20,060 (prior major volume base and support)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Bearish Bias emerging (CVD divergence at highs, falling structure)
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20 + DI- > DI+ → Confirmed downtrend in progress
CVD Confirmation:
Falling CVD + Bearish Price Action = Clear supply dominance
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 21,190
Lower POC: 20,060.91
Resistance:
VAH: 21,280
POC: 21,259.75
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Swing High: 21,291
Confirmed Gann Swing Low: 20,060
Retracement Levels:
1/2 = 20,675
1/3 = 20,537
2/3 = 20,812 → aligns with minor absorption
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bearish (confirmed by ADX > 20 + falling CVD and price)
b) Notable Patterns:
Distribution Zone forming at highs (flat top)
Descending Channel (Bear Flag) forming after topping — potential continuation lower
Rejection from POC + VAH convergence = strong signal for supply takeover
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (watch for reversal confirmation):
Entry Zone: 20,800 (channel bottom/absorption + Gann 2/3)
Targets:
T1: 21,000
T2: 21,190 (VAL retest)
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,600
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (confirmed trend setup):
Entry Zone: 21,250–21,280 (POC + VAH)
Target:
T1: 20,800
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,320
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of capital per trade to maintain long-term equity curve health
NASDAQ100 (US100) Testing Key Supply Zone – Big Move Loading?The NASDAQ100 (US100) is currently testing a major supply zone around 21,380 – 21,400, marked clearly by repeated price rejection and visible range resistance from LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand indicator.
After a strong bullish move from the 20,688.51 demand zone, price is consolidating just below resistance, forming what looks like a potential distribution range. If bulls fail to break this level cleanly, we could see a sharp drop toward the next key supports:
First target: 21,044.29 (Minor support / previous resistance)
Second target: 20,688.51 (Major demand zone, confirmed by volume)
Why this setup matters:
The supply zone has already rejected price multiple times – showing seller strength.
RSI is flattening out, showing momentum loss.
U.S. economic events are coming up (marked on the chart) – these could trigger volatility and confirm direction.
Trading Plan:
Watch for a clean rejection or breakout from the blue zone.
A confirmed rejection + bearish candle pattern = short entry with stops above the zone.
A breakout with volume = bullish continuation above 21,400.
Comment below:
Are you buying the breakout or selling the rejection?
Follow for more clean NASDAQ setups every week!
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NDQ100 Bulls in Control – Eyes on Major Resistance Ahead!Nasdaq 100 (NDQ100) Daily Analysis – May 14, 2025
The Nasdaq 100 has made an impressive recovery, surging from its April lows and now heading toward a key resistance zone.
Key Technical Insights:
Support Held Strong: Price rebounded perfectly from the 20,288 support zone (marked in blue), showing clear buyer interest at that level.
Clean Breakout Structure: The current rally is structured with higher highs and higher lows – a textbook bullish trend.
Next Target: All eyes are on the major resistance zone near 21,300, which previously triggered heavy sell-offs in February.
Volume + Momentum: Momentum is rising, and unless there's a sharp rejection near resistance, we might see a breakout continuation.
Trade Plan to Watch:
Bullish Bias: While price stays above 20,288, bulls are in control.
Bearish Setup? Watch for rejection candles or divergence near 21,300 to consider a short-term pullback.
What’s Your Take? Will NDQ100 blast through resistance or face another rejection like in Q1?
Let’s discuss it below! Drop your trade setups, like, and follow for more clean price action charts.
#ndq100 #nasdaq100 #indices #usmarket #priceaction #supportandresistance #breakouttrading #bullmarket #tradingview