
US Tech 100 Mini (Per 10) CFD forum

Psychological factor:
There’s been bullish aggression (positive CVD) but no follow-through yet. Price above VWAP on futures was buyer-dominated, but if we reopen and they’re not defending – that’s weakness. If buyers hesitate, sellers will smell blood.
Downside reality:
If this HL cracks, it’s a fast drop to 22,500 demand. No bids sitting below mean price could flush straight to 22,400–22,300, where stronger buyers will be waiting. 22300 especially expect a bounce from here.
Longs only if HL holds, VWAP holds on futures, and buyers prove they want it.
Shorts only if HL snaps, bids vanish and VWAP gets lost – target that vacuum below.
Final psychological edge:
Don’t get emotional with gaps or overnight moves. Gaps are just traps for impulsive traders. Read the real story when futures open. Structure + VWAP + liquidity tells you who’s in control – no gambling.
🌀 CPI + FOMC = Structural Trigger Week — Markets Calm, Not Committed
📆 Sunday, July 06, 2025 | ⏰ 19:00 London / 14:00 NY
📦 Market Context:
NDX - Flat,
SPX holds coil above 6,200 into major data week. VIX subdued. Yields grind.
GOLD stable. BTC tentative. CPI + FOMC Minutes will define directionality.
📉 Last Week Summary:
• ADP (JUN) → –33K vs 95K forecast → ❗️ Shock downside – private sector wobble
• NFP (JUN) → 147K vs 110K → 🔼 Headline beat, but soft internals (private: 74K)
• Avg Hourly Earnings YoY → 3.7% vs 3.9% → 🔽 Wage pressure easing
• ISM Services PMI → 50.8 vs 49.7 → 🔼 Services regain expansion territory
🔎 This Week’s Key Risk Events (EST):
• Tue → NFIB (06:00), Consumer Inflation Expectations (11:00), Credit + Used Car Prices
• Wed → 10Y Auction (13:00), FOMC Minutes (14:00)
• Thu → Jobless Claims (08:30), 30Y Auction (13:00)
• Fri → WASDE (12:00), Budget Statement (14:00)
📊 Tactical Reactions to Watch:
• SPX: 6,279 — 🟢 Holding above 6,200 coil zone
• NDX: 22,867 — ⚖️ Capped below 23K, yield watch
• Gold: 3,334 — 🟢 Stable above breakout zone
• BTC: 109K — ⚖️ No confirmed breakout above 110K
• DXY: 97.13 — 🔻 Bear flag bounce, fragile trend
• US10Y: 4.35% — ⚠️ Rising yields test tech and risk
• VIX: 17.50 — 🧭 Quiet, but CPI/FOMC could snap vol
🔍 Flow Notes:
• SPX: 🟢 Constructive bias holds above 6,200
• NDX: ⚖️ Flat – watching yields + CPI
• BTC: ⚖️ Compression — needs >110K for unlock
• Gold: 🟢 Strong macro structure — CPI/Fed sensitive
• USD: 🔻 Bearish bounce — vulnerable to CPI miss
📈 Trade Ideas for Reopen
• 🟢 Long Bias: SPX while >6,240 | Gold >3,300
• 🔴 Short Bias: DXY if Inflation Expectations miss
• ⚖️ Neutral: BTC — no clear trigger pre-CPI
Best Wishes and Success to All
🛡️ Take Profits, Not Chances.
💰 Manage Risk to Accumulate.
🎯 React with Clarity, Not Hope.
🌊 Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.
⚙️ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
🎯 Summary posts only. Full context via DM
⚠️ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
📉 Economic Calendar data reflects positioning as of July 06 (reported July 06)
📦 Reference Tag: EconomicCalendar060725
📆 Sunday, July 06, 2025 | ⏰ 19:00 London / 14:00 NY
📦 Market Context:
📉 Last Week Summary:
• ADP (JUN) → –33K vs 95K forecast → ❗️ Shock downside – private sector wobble
• NFP (JUN) → 147K vs 110K → 🔼 Headline beat, but soft internals (private: 74K)
• Avg Hourly Earnings YoY → 3.7% vs 3.9% → 🔽 Wage pressure easing
• ISM Services PMI → 50.8 vs 49.7 → 🔼 Services regain expansion territory
🔎 This Week’s Key Risk Events (EST):
• Tue → NFIB (06:00), Consumer Inflation Expectations (11:00), Credit + Used Car Prices
• Wed → 10Y Auction (13:00), FOMC Minutes (14:00)
• Thu → Jobless Claims (08:30), 30Y Auction (13:00)
• Fri → WASDE (12:00), Budget Statement (14:00)
📊 Tactical Reactions to Watch:
• SPX: 6,279 — 🟢 Holding above 6,200 coil zone
• NDX: 22,867 — ⚖️ Capped below 23K, yield watch
• Gold: 3,334 — 🟢 Stable above breakout zone
• BTC: 109K — ⚖️ No confirmed breakout above 110K
• DXY: 97.13 — 🔻 Bear flag bounce, fragile trend
• US10Y: 4.35% — ⚠️ Rising yields test tech and risk
• VIX: 17.50 — 🧭 Quiet, but CPI/FOMC could snap vol
🔍 Flow Notes:
• SPX: 🟢 Constructive bias holds above 6,200
• NDX: ⚖️ Flat – watching yields + CPI
• BTC: ⚖️ Compression — needs >110K for unlock
• Gold: 🟢 Strong macro structure — CPI/Fed sensitive
• USD: 🔻 Bearish bounce — vulnerable to CPI miss
📈 Trade Ideas for Reopen
• 🟢 Long Bias: SPX while >6,240 | Gold >3,300
• 🔴 Short Bias: DXY if Inflation Expectations miss
• ⚖️ Neutral: BTC — no clear trigger pre-CPI
Best Wishes and Success to All
🛡️ Take Profits, Not Chances.
💰 Manage Risk to Accumulate.
🎯 React with Clarity, Not Hope.
🌊 Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.
⚙️ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
🎯 Summary posts only. Full context via DM
⚠️ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
📉 Economic Calendar data reflects positioning as of July 06 (reported July 06)
📦 Reference Tag: EconomicCalendar060725
#NAS100 Zones ℹ️
Red Box = Sell Zone
Green Box = Buy Zone
NAS100
tradingview.com/x/2k1eRiVb
Red Box = Sell Zone
Green Box = Buy Zone
tradingview.com/x/2k1eRiVb
