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Trade Idea : US30 Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis Summary: Daily Chart: • Trend: Strong bearish breakdown; significant drop below support. • MACD: Deeply negative, suggesting strong bearish momentum. • RSI: Oversold at 18.48, indicating exhaustion but not yet reversal. 15-Minute Chart: • Trend: Clear downtrend continuation. • MACD: Bearish crossover sustained. • RSI: Approaching oversold (29.81), but still trending down. 3-Minute Chart: • Trend: Momentum is slowing down but still bearish. • MACD: Negative, bearish crossover. • RSI: Around 33, indicating potential short-term bounce, but no bullish divergence. ⸻ Fundamental Insight: • The broader US30 index has reacted to strong macroeconomic headwinds (possibly higher-for-longer interest rates, weak earnings, or geopolitical tensions). • No signs of dovish reversal or major catalyst for a sharp recovery. ⸻ Trade Idea: SHORT POSITION Entry: 37070 (current price zone—ideal entry on slight retracement) Stop Loss (SL): 37320 (above minor resistance and recent local high) Take Profit (TP): 36350 (strong daily support area and psychological level) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): • Risk: ~270 points • Reward: ~700 points FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
DJI being squeezed into a long term bearish wedgeI know, I sound like a bear monger when the market looks very bullish and at best possible technical support. Nothing wrong with taking advantage of it, but shouldn't forget the bigger picture. The market valuation has been pushed up by easy money since GFC and valuation. The covid money printing made it worse. Bigger the bubble, bigger the burst With recession around the corner and many hedge funds are facing margin calls, the risks are highest from all metrics, market/GDP, Pe ratios, real income growth, jobs are all slowing down, Debt to GDP has only accelerated. Fringe Economist have been crying wolf since GFC and they are not wrong but when ? This year ? The market could rally one last leg up to finish in a ending diagonal (if you know wave theory)
TVC:DJI
by krisoz
US30 Outlook – 08/04/25The Dow Jones (US30) has shown a strong recovery from the recent low at 36,743, bouncing nearly 1,900 points after a steep selloff. Price is now consolidating just under the 38,800 level — a key short-term resistance zone. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: ✅ EMA crossover on the 1H suggests a shift in short-term momentum to the upside ❗️38,800–39,200 is the immediate resistance zone to clear 📉 Macro trend remains bearish unless bulls reclaim 40,000+ 🔻 Below 38,000, bears may regain control and retest 37,300 → 36,743 🧭 Bias: Neutral-Bearish in the macro view Bullish short-term if price holds above 38,400 and breaks 38,800 cleanly 📌 Levels to Watch: Support: 38,400 / 37,300 / 36,743 Resistance: 38,800 / 39,200 / 40,000 🧠 Summary: This bounce looks strong, but it's still a relief rally within a bearish structure. Bulls need a confirmed breakout above 39,200 to flip the narrative. Until then, treat rallies with caution and keep an eye on momentum shifts at resistance.
FX:US30Short
by h4rVey
Reversal or Continuation? US30 Tests Major SupportThe US30 is testing a pivotal multi-year trendline following an aggressive breakdown from its early 2025 highs. After months of consistent distribution near the 42,000–44,000 range, price capitulated with a steep selloff, driving the index down toward the 37,000 level. This area aligns closely with the long-term trendline dating back to late 2023 and marks the lower boundary of the broader structural expansion. The current reaction appears to be forming at a potential inflection point, as price hovers around the lower bounds of its macro range. The steep angle of descent suggests overextension, with momentum temporarily outpacing rational valuation zones. Meanwhile, a notable high-volume cluster from prior activity remains situated between 41,500 and 42,000 — an area likely to attract price in the event of a technical retracement. If buyers begin stepping in at this historically respected trendline, the market could stage a multi-week recovery, targeting this upper resistance zone. However, failure to stabilize here risks further downside, potentially exposing the market to deeper corrections toward 35,000 or lower. All eyes now turn to this structural juncture as price teeters between oversold conditions and critical support.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by johnconner966
Bear Market Inbound!What a week, two days of plunge and the Dow sits below where Tariff Trump won. World markets were ripe for this situation, waiting for the trigger... the trigger no doubt was Trump. The charts do not lie, the news does not matter as much as price action, the question now is where we bottom for a while and bounce...any rally is to be sold. Don't try and catch a falling knife, but be very careful shorting here at this point, expect a bottom this week. Expect further selling Monday to a degree, but we are at a bottom fishing level. Gold and especially silver were clobbered Thursday and Friday, we expected this earlier in the week and warned of toppy price action on our gold update. PM's are in a wave 4 down sideways move and next comes minor wave 5 up...long term holders have little to worry about...any pullback is a buying opportunity...$3000 gold is major support. Appreciate a thumbs up...God Bless you all and good trading!
BLACKBULL:US30
by Fractal777
Dow Jones Trend Analysis (Elliott Wave + AO + Volume)📊 Dow Jones Intermediate Trend Analysis (Elliott Wave + AO + Volume) 🌀 Elliott Wave Interpretation The chart reflects a clear Elliott Wave count from the post-COVID low: Wave I and Wave II are well-established. Wave III is now completed, accompanied by a peak in AO — which aligns with classical Elliott theory where AO typically peaks during the 3rd wave, showing strong momentum. Wave IV is currently unfolding. 📉 Wave IV Characteristics (Ongoing Phase) Wave IV is expected to be complex — commonly forming: Triangles (contracting or expanding), Flats, Double/triple threes. It is likely to consume time and generate sideways or choppy price action. Volumes, interestingly, are peaking again, which often occurs toward the end of Wave IV due to emotional volatility and retail panic activity. 🔮 Two Probable Scenarios for Wave IV Completion: Scenario 1 (Shallow Correction): Target Zone: ~37,400 This zone coincides with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels from Wave III. Would reflect a simple flat or sharp zigzag structure. Scenario 2 (Deeper Correction): Target Zone: ~34,100 Corresponds to the lower support band with possible spike to 32,988 (FINAL FIB Support). May occur if external macroeconomic or geopolitical triggers cause extended selling. 📈 Post Wave IV – Projection for Wave V Once Wave IV completes: Wave V is expected to resume the larger bullish cycle. Price target: New all-time highs, possibly towards the upper blue resistance trendline (~46,000+). Watch for bullish confirmation with AO flipping and price breaking above Wave IV consolidation highs. before completing 4th wave it always create complex patterns. we need to watch the patterns and it is getting completing before move to 5th wave. 🔍 AO (Awesome Oscillator) Insights AO peak confirms Wave III completion. Negative divergence between AO and price also supports Wave V capping out, indicating exhaustion of upward momentum. AO is now retracing — likely bottoming during the end of Wave IV. 🔊 Volume Behavior Volume peaked at the end of Wave III — a common occurrence. Now rising again near Wave IV completion – this suggests: Panic selling, Possible final shakeout before market stabilizes for Wave V. Monitor for volume drop-off during Wave V's beginning – a classic signature of reduced fear and return of trend stability. 🔒 Critical Support & Resistance Levels Level Description 37,400 Scenario 1 target / shallow correction 34,100 Scenario 2 deeper correction target 32,988 Final strong support (Fib extension) 46,000+ Potential Wave V high / upper trendline 📌 Conclusion The intermediate trend is corrective, within a larger bullish framework. Wave IV is currently playing out and might end soon. Watch key support zones (37,400 and 34,100) for potential reversal setups. Once confirmed, Wave V rally could offer significant upside opportunities. Remain cautious during this volatile consolidation and validate reversal signs before positioning. 📜 Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is based on technical chart interpretation (Elliott Wave Theory, volume, AO) and does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involves significant risk, including the risk of losing your capital. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BLACKBULL:US30
by shiva560060
US30 Trade Update – 04/04/2025🚨 US30 Trade Update – 04/04/2025 🚨 📉 US30 Sell-Off Intensifies! The Dow Jones has now broken below 41,000 and is approaching the critical support at 40,063. Bears are in full control, and if this level fails, we could see a test of 39,279 next. 🔍 Key Observations: ✅ Major rejection at 42,359 resistance ✅ Strong bearish momentum breaking 41,000 🔻 Next Major Support: 40,063 → 39,279 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔹 Short below 40,063 → Target 39,279 🔹 Look for bounce signs at 40,063 for potential reversal 🔹 Long only if price reclaims 40,600+ ⚠️ Watch for a reaction at 40,063—this level could determine the next major move.
FX:US30
by h4rVey
US30 Testing Major Demand Zone – Reversal Incoming?🔎 Market Overview: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) has dropped into a strong demand zone (41,200 - 41,350), which has historically acted as a major support area. Will buyers step in for a rebound, or will we see further decline? 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 41,932 | 42,605 🔹 Current Price: 41,234 🔹 Key Support Levels: 41,347 (demand zone) | 41,200 📉 Recent Price Action: 1️⃣ Strong Sell-Off into Demand Zone: After testing resistance at 41,932, US30 faced heavy selling pressure. Price has now entered a high-volume support area (41,200 - 41,350). 2️⃣ Potential Reversal Setup: If buyers hold this zone, we could see a bullish push back to 41,932 (first resistance). A breakout above 41,932 could open the door for a move to 42,600+. 3️⃣ Breakdown Scenario: If 41,200 breaks, expect further downside towards 40,800 - 40,500. This would confirm a bearish continuation pattern. 📊 Trade Plan: 📍 Bullish Setup: 🔹 Look for bullish confirmation in the 41,200 - 41,350 zone. 🔹 A strong bounce could provide an entry targeting 41,932 and 42,600. 📍 Bearish Setup: 🔹 If price fails to hold 41,200, a short opportunity exists targeting 40,800 - 40,500. 🔹 Wait for a clean break and retest of 41,200 before shorting. 🔥 Will US30 bounce back from this demand zone, or will we see further drops? Comment your thoughts below! 👇 📊 Like & Follow for more trade ideas! 🚀 #US30 #DOWJONES #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #DayTrading #Forex #SupplyAndDemand
FX:US30Long
by FrankFx14
Trade Idea : US30 Short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Analysis 1. Daily Chart: • Trend: The price has been in an uptrend but is showing signs of exhaustion. • MACD: Deep in negative territory (-311.308 & -377.356), confirming bearish momentum. • RSI: 44.24, indicating weak momentum and room for further downside. • Key Resistance: 42,890 • Key Support: 41,000 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Trend: The price has broken below a consolidation zone. • MACD: Bullish but fading, suggesting exhaustion of upward movement. • RSI: 48.21, showing indecision but no strong bullish strength. • Structure: Lower highs and lower lows forming, indicating a potential breakdown. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Price Action: Weak bounces and inability to sustain higher prices. • MACD: Negative and declining, confirming short-term bearish momentum. • RSI: 41.77, approaching oversold but not yet at extreme levels. Fundamental Analysis • Macro Risks: • Potential market correction after extended bullish trends. • Economic uncertainty and possible rate hike expectations could pressure equities. • US Market Conditions: • Upcoming data releases or Fed commentary could increase volatility and favor bearish moves. Trade Execution • Entry: 41,950 • Stop Loss (SL): 42,250 (300-point stop) • Take Profit (TP): 41,350 (600-point target) • Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl