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NFP Feb 25 - US30 NFP Trading Plan Feb 2025. Weaker NFP data with higher UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bullish) Higher NFP data with Lower UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bearish) Weaker NFP data with Neutral UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Choppy) NFP - Forecast 169K vs Previous 256K Unemployment Claims - Forecast 4.1% vs Previous 4.1% Here's the tricky Part. If data comes out as expected (NFP 169K - UEC 4.1%) thats Bullish, but a choppy market up & down until market finds a valid support/trend. Plan Of Action. Wait 5 - 15 min after data release. Identify the S&R zones. Wait for Break or Retest. Wait for confirmation (Candle close/Volume Break/Retest). Execute with Proper Risk Management. STICK TO PLAN OF ACTION!!! Support & Resistence Resistence - 44725 - 44750 Support - 44525 -44500 Technicals Monitor DXY for a weaker Dollar. Currently on the 4hr DXY chart we got a H&S Pattern with MA20 downside cross MA50 and RSI in sell area below 50. US30 we inverted H&S Pattern with MA20 trading close to MA50 for upside cross and RSI in Buy area above 50.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by THE_US30FX
Before Unemployment Claim Day trade - Potential scenarios US30 🛠️ Trade Execution Plan ✅ Step 1: Key Levels to Watch 📊 Resistance: 🔴 45,070 – 45,100 → Major breakout level 🟢 Target if bullish: 45,250+ 📊 Support: 🟡 44,550 → First downside target 🟢 44,266 → Stronger support level 🔴 43,753 → Deep pullback level (if sell-off happens) 📈 Bullish Scenario (Stronger-than-expected labor market) 🔹 What to look for: Unemployment claims come in lower than expected (good for economy). US30 breaks and holds above 45,100 (watch for a retest confirmation). Momentum increases on MACD & RSI stays above 50. 🔹 Trade Setup: ✅ Buy above 45,100 if price closes above this level on the 5m or 15m chart. 🎯 Targets: 🎯 First TP: 45,250 🎯 Second TP: 45,400 🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): Below 44,950 📉 Bearish Scenario (Weaker labor market, higher claims) 🔹 What to look for: Higher unemployment claims = weak labor market = market drops. US30 rejects 45,070 and fails to break 45,000. RSI turns downward, MACD shows red bars increasing. 🔹 Trade Setup: ✅ Sell below 44,900 if price fails to break above 45,000 and starts dropping. 🎯 Targets: 🎯 First TP: 44,550 🎯 Second TP: 44,266 🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): Above 45,050 ⏳ Best Trading Approach (Timing) 1️⃣ Right at 8:30 AM ET (Initial Spike) Price whipsaws up & down due to fast orders. ❌ Avoid immediate entry! Wait 5-10 minutes for direction. 2️⃣ 8:35 - 8:45 AM ET (Retest Confirmation) If price breaks a key level & retests, enter on confirmation. 3️⃣ 9:30 AM ET (Stock Market Open Reaction) Second big move might come at NYSE open. 🎯 Final Tips Don’t rush the trade. Let the market show direction before entering. Stick to stop-loss & take-profit levels. Use smaller lot size if volatility is extreme. If unsure, stay out! There will always be another trade. Do not risk more than 1% of your account. Follow for more cool ideas. -Nozuk
CAPITALCOM:US30
by Nozuk
1
US30 Technical Outlook: Bullish Momentum Holds Above 44410US30 Technical Analysis The price maintains bullish momentum as it has already stabilized above the pivot line at 44410. As long as it trades above 44410, the price is expected to push higher toward 44620 and 44760. However, if a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closes below 44410, a bearish move is likely, with potential targets at 44250 and 44075. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 44410 Resistance Levels: 44620, 44760, 44920 Support Levels: 44260, 44150, 44075 Trend Outlook: Bullish while above 44410 Bearish below 44410
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
3
US30USD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on Dow Jones (U.S. Jersey) with you. 🔍 The Setup: We are currently observing a psychological level at $45,000 on the Dow Jones chart. This level has been tested multiple times in the past, leading to rejections and price declines. However, this time, the price has closed very close to this level, hinting at a potential breakout. 📉 Expectation: Bullish Scenario: If the price closes above $45,000 in the daily timeframe, I expect an upward movement toward the next psychological level at $50,000. Bearish Scenario: If the price gets rejected at $45,000, I anticipate further price declines, targeting the $40,000 psychological level. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $45,000, $50,000 Support: $40,000 💬 What’s your take on Dow Jones this week? Share your thoughts in the comments below! Trade safe
OANDA:US30USD
by PouyanTradeFX
Dow Jones Trending Higher: Potential Move to 45,494CAPITALCOM:US30 is trading within a well-defined uptrend, supported by a rising trendline that signals strong bullish momentum. The price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the trend continuation narrative. I anticipate that if the index maintains its upward momentum, it could move toward the 45,494 level. This setup aligns with the broader bullish trend, supported by the sustained strength above the trendline and recent price action. Let me know your thoughts or if you see the setup differently!
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by DanieIM
1
Potential sell Daily - US30 As you can see, the pattern, this is a potential sell. The RSI is at 65 and it may go above 70, this will allow price to hit 45000, it is good. Weekly FIb represents at high. It may go down after this week on an easy, it all ads up with the trading war with China and it may help that Mexico and Canada are on puase of 30 days. only risk 0.5% or 1% of account. If it plays well, then this will be a good put for the end of this week and mids next week. Keep in mind scalping and day trading will be a good call as well if the daily and lower Time frames play the part. Follow for more ideas. Nozuk
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Nozuk
ANALYSIS OF THE CURRENT 5-YEAR BULL CYCLEWe would look at the 20 year cycle in the stock market, there are two individual 20-year cycles running together at a time. One cycle defines tops and the other identifies the major market lows. We would also look at the 20- year periodicity of repeating market fractals and the 5-year bull cycle that commences at the beginning of each 20-year cycle. In subsequent updates we will identify the 8 - 13 subdivision of the 20-year cycle. To make the chart clean we have only indicated the cycle that defines bottoms. Top cycles will be identified in the description and both cycles combined on one linear scale to see how they relate to the 5-year bull cycle. Our pivot point is taken at the 22nd August 1921 low. First Cycle duration: 22/08/1921 - 27/04/1942 = (7553 days /1079 weeks /248.2 months) = 20 years, 08 months, 05 days. Cycle 2: 27/04/1942 - 25/06/1962 = (7364 days / 1052 weeks / 242 months) = 20 years, 01 month, 29 days. Cycle 3: 25/06/1962 - 16/08/1982 = (7357 days / 1051 weeks / 241.7 months) = 20 years, 01 months, 22 days Cycle 4: 16/08/1982 - 07/10/2002 = (7352 days / 1051 weeks / 241.7 months) = 20 years, 01 month, 21 days Cycle 5: 07/10/2002 - 10/10/2022 = (7308 days / 1044 weeks / 240.1 months) = 20 years, 0 month, 03 days By observation, cycle 3 and 4 have the same duration 7357 days while cycle 2 is (+7 days) off 7357 days, i.e 1 candle on the weekly timeframe. Now, looking at the beginning points of each cycle, within the identified ellipses we see a striking fractal that has been consistent in all 5 cycles. Cycle 1 and 2 Cycle 3 and 4 Cycle 5 and 6 The 20-year cycle that defines tops are on : 27th May 1946 7th February 1966 24th August 1987 8th October 2007 XX - XX - 2027 Cycle 1 origin point is on 22/08/1921 but has a split focus at two points, one on the 1921 pivot and the other on the much popular May 1924 low. Representing both cycles (Bottoms and tops) This shows that between the two origin points is approximately a 5-year cycle This cycle is actually an astrocycle and varies according to the changing speed. By observation, Fractal 1 is very much identical to fractal 4 and fracal 2 very much identical to 5. A time span of 60 years averagely separate fractals 1 and 4 as well as 2 and 5. This leaves the 1962 - 1966 cycle, 60 years from 1962 puts the origin for the new identical fractal at the October 2022 low. The above justifies that if the cycle is not inverted then a point on the current price action should not be broken. Also it negates the numerous calls for a crash that has been chanted since the 2020 low and never materialized. HOWEVER, there is the 101-year cycle which alternate tops for bottoms and vice versa after its completion, and considering the pivot from 22/08/1921 the 101 years ended at the October 2022 low. Interesting... check back as we would go through the numerical expansions that shed more light on what to expect forward, price levels, and time resistances. Thanks for your time, all opinions are much appreciated, questions would be answered too. Good luck.
DJ:DJI
by Fairmont-Markets
2
Head and Shoulders pattern, price might go downAs we can see the price reached our Major key level and formed a H&S pattern, meaning we might experience sellers, but that's not enough confirmation to sell If price breaks below the Major low then we can take that as a confirmation that sellers are taking over the market and we can expect selling pressure and we can place our entries If it breaks above the MKL then we can expect buying pressure as this showed that the H&S pattern failed so buyers are taking over
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by StarleXtheTrader
DOW JONES Can the 1D MA50 save the day once more?Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a year long Channel Up and this week's pull-back has so far found Support just above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). As this chart shows, every 1D MA50 contact that was made after a Channel Up bottom (Higher Low), was a buy opportunity as the blue arc patterns highlight. The green arcs are the Channel bottoms and technically the strongest buy opportunities and in the past 10 months we've only had 3 of those. This is the 4th blue arc however, the medium-term buy opportunity. Regardless of colour, the 4H RSI pattern on each of those buy opportunities, has been the same. And the resulting rally has either hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension or made a +8.33% rise. This time the 1.5 Fib is a bit closer to the price, so that will be our medium-term Target at 46750. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
US30 market analysis US30 Analysis: • Bullish Momentum: The price is breaking through a fair value gap, indicating strong bullish intent as liquidity is being grabbed. • Support Zone: The current breakout likely retests lower demand zones before continuation. • Upside Potential: If price sustains above 44,500 and shows further volume confirmation, it could target higher resistance levels, potentially aiming for significant upside gains. • Recommendation: Look for bullish continuation patterns and monitor for pullbacks to support zones as optimal entry points for a big buy setup.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by US30EMPIRE
US30 / Pause for Mexico & Canada, But not yet for China!U.S. Pauses Tariffs on Mexico, Canada. China Levies Are Still Happening — for Now. US30 Technical Analysis The price has stabilized below the pivot line, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend toward 44,140 and 43,900. However, if a 4-hour candle closes above 44,410, the price may push higher, targeting 44,610 and 44,750. Key Levels Pivot Point: 44250 Resistance Levels: 44410, 44610, 44760 Support Levels: 44150, 43900, 43760 Trend Outlook: Bullish above 44410 Bearish While below 44410
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi