USOIL: Target Is Down! Short!
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 60.844 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
WTI trade ideas
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
### Factors Influencing Long Positions in Crude Oil
#### Seasonal Demand Growth
Summer typically sees a surge in crude oil demand as increased travel and industrial activities drive up consumption. For example, gasoline demand in the U.S. rises significantly during summer due to higher public travel, providing support for crude oil prices and creating opportunities for long positions.
#### Geopolitical Factors
Conflicts, political instability, or sanctions in major oil-producing regions can disrupt or reduce crude oil supply, pushing prices higher. Although Middle Eastern tensions have eased recently, news of a potential Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear facilities previously caused oil prices to jump 3%. Escalating geopolitical tensions would favor long positions in crude oil.
#### Inventory Levels
A decline in crude oil inventories signals tighter supply, which may drive price increases. When inventory data falls below expectations, market concerns about supply shortages intensify, pushing prices higher and creating opportunities for long positions.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL BUY@60.5~61
SL:59.5
TP:62~62.5
USOIL:First go short, then go long
USOIL: There are still signs of a pullback on an hourly basis after oil prices climbed to near 63 after OPEC+ said there would be no immediate changes to current production policies.
So the trading strategy :SELL@62.5-62.8 TP@61.6-61.3
After stepping back to the point can not break a wave of rebound, the target can look at 63 again
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USOIL:Long thinking, target 62.5
USOIL: Same idea, the front 61.3-61.5 has been given to the entry point, it is slowly rising, the upper target is still seen near 62.5.
So strategically, stay long and wait for the rally, TP@62.5
Tip: It is always right to sell when there is a profit, according to individual risk appetite.
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USOIL HEIST ALERT: Thief Entry Loaded – Target Locked!🚨 The Ultimate US OIL / WTI Heist Plan – Thief Trading Style 🎯💸
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We’re back with a slick WTI energy market heist based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥—powered by a mix of technical & fundamental strategies. The vault is wide open and the bullish loot awaits!
🗺️ Strategy Brief:
We’re aiming for a clean bullish getaway near the high-risk MA zone—where traps are set and bearish robbers lurk. Watch out for overbought zones, trend reversals, and consolidation ambushes.
📈 Entry Point:
“The vault is open! Enter the bullish heist at will.”
Look to place Buy Limit Orders around swing highs/lows or pullback levels on the 15m–30m timeframe.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Set your Thief SL around the recent swing low using the 3H timeframe (example: 60.300).
Adjust based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of entries.
🎯 Target: 65.200
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📊 Heist Justification (Fundamentals + Sentiment):
The WTI market is currently bullish, fueled by a mix of:
✅ Macro economics
✅ COT data
✅ Seasonal trends
✅ Intermarket signals
✅ Inventory & storage dynamics
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WTI OIL Rejection on 1D MA50 aims at $56.50.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 13-month Channel Down pattern and is currently under heavy pressure by multiple Resistance levels.
The immediate one is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has its most recent rejection last Wednesday (May 21) and as you can see, the price has failed to break above it, even though it's been trading directly below it.
As long as the 1D MA50 holds, we expect a test of the lower Support Zone at $56.50, similar to the September - December 2024 Support Zone, which was tested continuously after several 1D MA50 rejections.
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US CRUDE OIL PIVOT AREAUS OIL has formed a good base of support after the decent decline in the previous weeks.
The break of our intraday pivot area could keep the Bullish bias with targets of 63.67 and 64.57 in the near sight.
However failure to break above could bring prices down to 61.57 and 60.67
USOIL:Go short before you go long
USOIL:Crude oil trend in line with expectations to break 65, hourly level to see adjustment, trading can be done first short and then long. Here are my range trading ideas.
Trading Strategy:
SELL@65.4-65.5
TP:64.5-64.
BUY@64.5-64
TP: 65.3-65.5
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WTI Crude Oil INTRADAY Bullish breakout supported at 6380Trend Overview:
WTI Crude Oil remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 6380 (primary pivot), followed by 6320 and 6250
Resistance: 6650 (initial), then 6740 and 6830
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 6380 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 6650, 6740, and ultimately 6830.
Conversely, a daily close below 6380 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 6320 and 6250 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
WTI Crude Oil maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 6380 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 6650 area. A breakdown below 6380, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US OIL Bullish Move is coming?Hi Traders.
MTF Correctional Structure but it seems that this is
not a correction to go further down instead a correction to reverse.
We see a clear Inverse HnS Pattern
Breakout and correction is forming
Wait for the current correction to finish to confirm
this bullish setup
WTI on high time frame , price reach 60$?
"Hello friends, focusing on WTI, the price is currently in a bullish trend on the daily time frame. During the last NY session, the price swept liquidity in the $66 zone and faced a strong rejection. Considering both technical analysis and fundamental news, I believe the price is gearing up for a decline, with the initial target likely around $60."
If you need further clarification or have more details to discuss, feel free to share!
USOIL: Downward Movement in Primary-Secondary AlternationUSOIL's short-term trend is moving downward in a primary-secondary alternating pattern. After hitting $66.2, the moving average system diverges downward, indicating an objectively downward short-term trend. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator opens downward below the zero axis and coincides with bearish columns, suggesting abundant downward momentum. It is expected that the intraday crude oil trend will continue to fall and seek support below $64.5.
USOIL
sell@65-65.5
tp:64.5-64
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Will Oil Prices Face Downward Pressure After EIA's Forecast?Macro approach:
- The EIA’s latest short-term outlook projects weaker oil prices as rising global inventories weigh on the market. Sluggish demand growth and increased production are expected to push output above consumption, building stockpiles and adding pressure on prices.
- Traders are also monitoring the ongoing US-China trade talks in London. Sentiment remains cautiously optimistic after US Commerce Secretary Lutnick described the negotiations as progressing well.
- On the supply side, Saudi Aramco has reduced its Jul oil shipments to China by 1 million barrels compared to Jun, suggesting that the recent OPEC+ production hike may not translate into substantial new supply.
Technical approach:
- USOIL retested both the descending trendline and resistance near 64.50 before pulling back. The price remains above both EMAs, signaling that bullish momentum is still intact.
- A breakout above 64.50 and the descending trendline could open the door to 68.00–70.00.
- However, failure to clear this resistance may lead to a retreat toward the 60.00 support level.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Bullish momentum to extend?WTI/Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 63.32
1st Support: 61.18
1st Resistance: 65.80
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Crude Oil Surges StronglyAs market participants await positive outcomes from negotiations between a major Asian economy and the U.S., crude oil prices edge higher modestly. During Tuesday's Asian session, Brent crude oil futures rose by $0.12 to $67.16 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude oil gained $0.13 to $65.42, briefly hitting a new high since April 4th intraday. In the previous trading day, Brent surged to $67.19, the highest level since April 28th, primarily driven by market expectations of a potential deal between the U.S. and China.
Current oil prices stand at a crossroads of multiple factors. In the short term, the global trade landscape dictates the main thread of market sentiment. If a mitigation plan is reached, it will boost demand expectations. However, the resumption of Iranian exports and OPEC's production increase strategy may lead to a potential supply glut in the second half of the year, emerging as the primary risk suppressing oil prices.
Technically, the K-line has pierced below the moving average system, indicating a shift in the short-term objective upward trend. The formation of a large-bodied bearish candle in the subsequent session establishes the main rhythm, suggesting that oil prices may further decline to around $63.50 today before seeking new support.
Overall, today's trading strategy for crude oil is recommended to focus on rebound shorting as the primary approach and pullback long positions as a supplement. In the short term, monitor resistance at the $67.5-68.0 range, while support lies at the $65.0-64.5 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
The trend after the surge in crude oil prices
💡Message Strategy
Core economic data and event-driven
The US employment report boosted expectations of rate cuts. According to the US Department of Labor, the unemployment rate stabilized at 4.2% in May, and 139,000 new non-farm jobs were added (the previous value was revised down). Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group, pointed out: "The employment data is 'just right', neither too hot nor too cold, but it strengthens the possibility of the Fed's rate cut." The expectation of a rate cut is seen as a potential positive for the crude oil market, as loose policies may stimulate economic recovery and boost oil demand.
OPEC+ moderately increased production to balance market expectations. OPEC+ reached an agreement on Saturday to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, which is lower than Saudi Arabia's proposal, but in line with market expectations. HSBC analysts believe: "Summer oil demand will peak in July-August, matching the increase in OPEC+ supply, and the market supply and demand will tend to balance in the second and third quarters." The decision did not suppress oil prices, but instead eased concerns about oversupply.
📊Technical aspects
WTI crude oil: closed at $64.73 per barrel on Friday, up 2.21% on the day and 6.55% this week. It is about to reach our strategic target of 65.00. When everyone is looking at the decline of crude oil, our strategy is firmly on the rise, and the result is consistent with our direction.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) shows that the price is running in a short-term rising channel, with support at around $63, while the upper resistance is concentrated in the $64.50 area. In recent trading days, WTI has received support at the 60-day moving average and successfully broke through the 20-day moving average, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum is gradually increasing.
At the same time, the MACD indicator shows a golden cross signal, and the momentum column continues to expand, indicating that the price is expected to further test the $65 mark. If the resistance level can be effectively broken, the next target may be $67.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 63.50-64.00
USOIL:Wait 63.6-64 to go long
Affected by last week's data, crude oil directly broke through the short-term pressure 64, technical point of view of the daily track upward opening, 64.8 position basically can not hold, and once the break open the space for rise, the rise has just begun;
After breaking from the early continuous shock to a strong unilateral, the market will at least continue a wave of strength, pay attention to 63.6-64 range to do more, or the European market force to rise, the United States is also more, now is to see a strong break.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@63.6-64
TP: 65-65.2
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WTI Oil H1 | Falling toward a pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 63.76 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 62.70 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 65.44 which is a resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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WTICOUSD - BULLISH
Typical Wycoff
Break Re-Test
Slight Tap of FV Gap
Bullish Engulfing Candle
Usually signifies "In a Hurry".
Best Analysis i think was Perplexity Ai
Bullish Case for Oil
US Jobs Data: Stronger-than-expected US jobs numbers have pushed prices higher, with algos covering short bets
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions in Ukraine and Iran, plus Canadian wildfires, are supporting prices due to potential supply disruptions
OPEC+ Supply Increase Smaller Than Feared: OPEC+ is raising output, but by less than the market expected, which has helped limit downside pressure and even sparked price gains
Recent Price Action: Oil has rebounded to around $64–$65 (Brent) after several weeks of losses, suggesting some stabilization and potential for a technical bounce
Deep Ai
Probability of bullish continuation: 75/100
Technical s indicate a relatively high likelihood that the current bullish trend will continue toward the identified resistance zone above, provided no major fundamental shifts occur. However, caution remains due to potential pullbacks or consolidation near resistance levels.
This is the safest place to enter usually
Cost average in not stops they suck !
imho
Lets See : )
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