WTIUSD Building a Base – Bullish Reversal Setup Above $58?# WTIUSD
**Instrument:** WTIUSD
**Current Price:** Around $60
**Bias:** Bullish (Reversal)
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**Analysis:**
WTI is showing signs of a potential **trend reversal** after forming a solid base near the $53.8 level, marked as the **invalidation zone**. Price has reclaimed the $58.3 support level and appears to be preparing for a bullish continuation, especially if it forms a higher low near this level.
A sustained move above $58.3 followed by bullish structure could open the door toward **$70.0** and possibly even **$75.0** in the medium term.
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**Key Levels:**
- **Support:** $58.292
- **Invalidation:** $53.828 (price closing below would negate the setup)
- **Bullish Targets:** $70.0 – $75.0
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**Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):**
Look for confirmation of support holding above $58.3 and potential bullish momentum for entries. Invalid if price breaks and closes below $53.8.
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> **Disclaimer:**
> This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Trading commodities involves significant risk. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
WTI trade ideas
USOIL UPDATEweek hit its largest since the week of March 7, 2025. The EIA crude oil inventory for the week stood at 3.454 million barrels, contrasting with the expected -1.078 million barrels and the previous figure of -2.032 million barrels.
On Wednesday, crude oil exhibited a high-range oscillatory pattern: it stabilized and rebounded near $62.7, then pulled back after reaching $63.6, maintaining volatility within a narrow upper range. Influenced by the large bullish candlestick on the daily chart, oil prices still carry an upward probability.
Overall, crude oil remains in a bullish consolidation phase. For trading strategies, a "buy low, sell high" approach is recommended, with resistance levels to watch at $63.6–64.5 and support levels at $62.7–61.2.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
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Real-Time Data (UTC+1, May 14, 2025) 📊
**WTI Oil (XTIUSD)**:
- **Price**: ~$63.80 (based on latest market data)
- **MA Breakout Level**: ~$64.00 (as per strategy)
- **Stop Loss Level**: ~$60.00 (3H swing low)
- **Target**: $70.00
- **Market Sentiment**: Bullish 🐂, driven by inventory draws and geopolitical factors (per recent analysis).
**Latest COT Data (Friday, May 9, 2025)**:
- **Commercial Hedgers**: Increased net long positions in WTI futures, signaling bullish bias.
- **Large Speculators**: Moderately net long, cautious due to overbought risks.
- **Data Source**: CFTC (official Commitment of Traders report).
**Key Fundamental Drivers**:
- **Inventory**: EIA reported a -2.5M barrel draw last week, supporting bullish momentum.
- **Geopolitical**: Middle East tensions continue to prop up oil prices.
- **Seasonal**: Summer demand expectations rising.
🔔 **Note**: Monitor upcoming EIA inventory data (Wednesday, May 14, 2025) for volatility.
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USOIL POTENTIAL SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL has been growing recently
And Oil seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 64.82$
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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WTI Crude Oil Testing Major Resistance – Will $64.260 Hold or CrPrice has surged sharply from the $55.931 🔽 support zone, climbing nearly 14% and is now approaching the key $64.260 🔼 resistance area. This level has held twice before, making it a significant short-term barrier.
Currently trading at $63.83, with
Support at: $60.000 🔽, $55.931 🔽
Resistance at: $64.260 🔼, $67.000 🔼, $71.101 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A clean breakout and retest above $64.260 could open the door toward $67.000 and even $71.101. Strong momentum favors buyers for now.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection at $64.260 may lead to a retracement back toward $60.000 or even $55.931 if sellers step in strongly.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
USOIL bullish projection, expecting price to rise after pullbaCKInstrument: CFDs on WTI Crude Oil
Timeframe: 2-hour (2h)
Current Price: Around 69.35 USD
Indicators:
Moving Averages: Two are visible (likely 50 and 200-period EMAs)
Fibonacci Levels: Retracement levels marked
Key Zones:
Resistance Zone (Red box): Around 63–65 USD
Support Zone: Around 61–62 USD
Price Action:
There was a significant downtrend, followed by a double bottom/reversal.
Price has broken above previous resistance and is now retesting the breakout zone.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around 63.10 USD
Target Zone: Around 69.11 USD
Stop Loss: Near 61.87 USD (based on the support zone/Fibonacci 0.5 level)
The green box suggests a bullish projection, expecting price to rise after a pullback and retest.
Interpretation:
This chart implies a bullish setup, where the trader expects:
A minor retracement to the highlighted red resistance-turned-support zone.
A continuation toward the target at 69.11 USD.
The risk-reward ratio is favorable if the entry occurs near the zone outlined.
USOIL prediction for Tue the 13th of MayApologies about not sharing predictions recently. For today, I can see the USOIL has reached a beautiful supply that has a FVG inside of it. My prediction is that the price might reverse for a short correction. If you are day-trading, that might be a good opportunity.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This idea reflects my personal analysis and bias. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research, apply risk management, and trade only when you have clear confirmation. Protect your capital first.
USCRUDEOIL - Potential BuyHi Traders, hope this will help your view of the market regarding CMCMARKETS:USCRUDEOIL
BIAS: BUY
Logical Analysis:
SELLER gave a big discount from 3rd of April (72.00) till 9th of April (56.00). It was fast and healthy.
BUYER agreed to buy at 60.00.
Business is on around that 60.00 level.
I am bias to buy because i believe the BUYER is in control and want to buy more and the SELLER is not giving a discount because the BUYER is keen to buy high.
Technical Analysis:
See Chart :)
Good Luck!
WTI Oil H4 | An overlap support at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 60.44 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 57.60 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 63.42 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Fridays BULL RUN CONTINUATION, Sunday EntryFridays entry at Break of POi(Point of interest) 59.892
Entry 2: Sunday Night 10pm
price retested previous high 61.084
Previous high, turned into new price Low
SetUp: Retest, Break + CLose of 1hr wick (61.281
Entry:
stops below hourly Low (60.970]
TP: 63.135 : filled @ 3am EST London Session Open
+174 pips banked
Crude oil trend todayInternational oil prices continued last week's upward trend. Brent crude oil futures rose 27 cents to $66.06 per barrel; WTI crude oil futures rose 28 cents to $63.5 per barrel. OPEC+ plans to accelerate the pace of production increase from May to June to meet market demand. However, according to market surveys, the production of the organization in April instead saw a slight decline. The expected production increase has, to a certain extent, curbed the room for oil prices to rise. The United States and Iran concluded nuclear negotiations in Oman and plan to continue consultations. If an agreement is reached, the return of Iranian crude oil supply will increase global supply pressure, which may push down oil prices. In addition, data shows that the number of active oil and gas drilling rigs in the United States last week dropped to the lowest level since January this year, reflecting that U.S. energy companies remain cautious about the future market. Crude oil showed a volatile upward trend, and the oil price broke through the previous high, reaching the expected price. The oil price has formed a three-wave structure. If the subsequent adjustment does not break through the channel, there is a high probability of a continuation of the bullish trend.
The increase in crude oil has approached the previous wide-range oscillation pressure level. Whether it can break through still requires some tug-of-war. In terms of operation, it is considered to lay out long positions on the pullback as the main strategy, with short selling at highs as a supplementary strategy. Pay attention to the resistance at the range of $63.5-64.5 per barrel, and the support at the range of $62.2-61.1 per barrel.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Crude oil gains could be limited. Here's whyAlong with other risk assets, crude oil has had a positive day, albeit a much quieter one compared to the major indices. It has been held back in part by the dollar also finding good support. So, I think a large part of the rally today in WTI is just a function of the market pricing in higher demand because of lower tariffs. Thus, it is the removal of a bearish factor driving prices higher, which could be factor for a while yet as market finds a new equilibrium. The underlying issue of an oversupplied market is what will ultimately determine oil prices. On that front, you have the OPEC ready to release more withheld supplies as it doesn’t want to lose more market share to non-OPEC producers. Thus, the upside linked to a brighter demand outlook should be capped. So, while I do think prices may rise a little further, I don’t think that we will see significantly higher prices with the current state of supply picture. I wouldn’t be surprised if $70 turns into resistance now on Brent, or if WTI holds this shaded yellow resistance range you can see on this chart around $65 area.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Crude oil trend todayThe US-China trade talks eased concerns about the global economy and energy demand, driving crude oil prices higher. The US added 188,000 barrels last week, the first increase in recent months. Tariff cuts improve the global economy, and there is a risk-seeking sentiment in the market. Crude oil fluctuates in a range, short on highs and long on lows. The upper resistance is 61.80-63.00. The lower support is 61.00-60.00.
USOIL GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 60.00$ and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Are bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
LONG🚀
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USOIL: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 60.99 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
WTI crude (USOUSD) short continuation .. the week of 12 MayWill price retest the support/resistance zone one more time? That is what I am hoping for. Note that we have been seeing consistently lower highs. Price then broke below the zone, did one retest already and seems to be trying to retest it once again. I am looking for price to enter the zone and then give me some bearish evidence.
Stop – above the zone
1st target can be at 57.00 with the possibility to take this down to 52.00
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Oil Price Decline Using the Shark Harmonic PatternBased on the Shark Harmonic pattern, there’s a potential for a decline in oil prices. Traders and analysts, stay alert for market shifts and adjust strategies accordingly.
The Shark harmonic pattern offers a structured approach to identifying potential price reversals in the oil market. By analyzing Fibonacci ratios and price movements, traders can assess the probability of a decline in oil prices and position themselves accordingly.
However, as with any technical tool, it is crucial to use the Shark pattern as part of a broader analysis framework to account for market complexities and external influences.
Oil Analysis: WTI Approaches the $60 Level AgainOver the past two trading sessions, oil has gained more than 4.5%, and is once again approaching the psychological barrier of $60 per barrel. This recent bullish movement persists despite OPEC+’s clear stance on increasing supply in June and the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) cautious outlook on global oil demand for the remainder of the year. As such, it appears that oil prices are currently benefiting from improving market sentiment, particularly as investors await the outcome of the upcoming U.S.–China trade negotiations.
Persistent Bearish Trend
Since mid-January, oil has maintained a steady downtrend, and so far, minor bullish retracements have not been strong enough to signal a meaningful reversal. Therefore, this downward technical formation remains the dominant structure to monitor in upcoming trading sessions.
RSI
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to hover around the 50 level, indicating a sustained balance between bullish and bearish momentum. As long as this equilibrium remains, a neutral bias could dominate short-term price movements.
ADX
The Average Directional Index (ADX) remains close to the 40 mark, though the line has recently begun to flatten. This could be interpreted as a sign of weakening trend strength in the short term, likely due to the price currently testing a significant resistance zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
$60 – Nearby resistance: A short-term psychological level. A break above this zone could reactivate a bullish bias and potentially lead to the formation of a new short-term uptrend.
$63 – Main resistance: Aligned with the 50-period moving average. Sustained price action above this level could challenge the prevailing long-term bearish structure.
$57 – Nearby support: A zone that matches recent multi-week lows. A drop below this level could reinforce bearish momentum and provide more room for the current downtrend to extend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
WTI Wave Analysis – 9 May 2025
- WTI reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 62.00
WTI crude oil recently reversed up from the strong support area between the support level 54.90 (which stopped wave 3 at the start of April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous impulse waves 5 and (3).
WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 62.00 (former minor support from the middle of April).