WTI Oil H1 | Bearish downtrend to extend further?WTI oil (USOIL) could rise towards a pullback resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 59.52 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 61.50 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 57.37 which is a swing-low support.
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WTI trade ideas
Trump Goes "The Peacemaker", as Crude Oil Turns Gradually LowerThe notion that crude oil prices might decrease due to an abatement of the Ukraine's war not seems to be counterintuitive, as the conflict has historically led to increased oil prices due to supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions.
There are several factors that could contribute to a decrease in oil prices if tensions were to ease.
Factors Contributing to Decreased Oil Prices:
Easing of Sanctions on Russia: If tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine were to ease, it might lead to a relaxation of sanctions on Russia, potentially allowing more Russian oil to enter the global market. This increase in supply could help reduce prices.
Market Perception of Reduced Conflict: The market might perceive a decrease in conflict as a sign of reduced risk to global oil supplies, leading to lower prices. This perception could be influenced by expectations of increased oil availability from Russia and other regions.
OPEC Production Increases: If OPEC decides to increase production, as it has recently done, this could add more oil to the market, further pressuring prices downward.
Global Economic Concerns: Economic slowdowns or concerns about global growth can reduce demand for oil, leading to lower prices. The Ukraine conflict has contributed to economic uncertainty, and its abatement might not necessarily increase demand if global economic concerns persist.
Fundamental considerations
Well, in early March 2025, oil prices fell due to a combination of factors, including tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine and OPEC's decision to gradually increase output. Brent crude fell to around $71.08 per barrel, and WTI to about $68.01 per barrel.
Impact of Sanctions: Despite sanctions not directly targeting Russian oil, they have affected its exports by limiting financing and causing some buyers to avoid Russian crude. Easing these sanctions could increase Russian oil exports, potentially lowering global prices.
Market Dynamics: The war in Ukraine initially caused oil prices to surge due to supply concerns. However, if the conflict were to abate, market dynamics could shift, leading to decreased prices as supply risks diminish and global economic factors come into play.
Post war challenge
Crude oil and gasoline prices today are moderately lower, but crude oil tends to breakthrough a long-term 3 - to - 4 years low.
Crude oil prices are under pressure as US tariff uncertainty weighs on the outlook for energy demand.
Also, ramped-up Russian oil exports boost global supplies and are negative for prices.
In addition, crude prices have some negative carryover from Wednesday when weekly EIA crude inventories rose more than expected to a 7-month high.
Conclusion
In summary, while the Ukrainian war has historically driven oil prices up due to supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions, an easing of tensions could lead to decreased prices through increased supply, reduced market risk, and global economic factors.
--
Best 'Peacemaking' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Crashes As Trade War EscalatesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Crashes As Trade War Escalates
WTI Crude oil is down over 10% and remains at risk of more losses.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Prices Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices extended downsides below the $65.00 support zone.
- A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $60.70 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to continue higher above $72.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $70.00.
There was a steady decline below the $65.60 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $62.20 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $59.20 zone. The recent swing low was formed near $59.21, and the price is now consolidating losses.
There was a minor move above the $60.00 level. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $60.70 level. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $60.70.
The next resistance is near the $62.20 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $71.97 swing high to the $59.21 low. The main resistance is near a trend line at $65.60.
The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $71.97 swing high to the $59.21 low is also near $65.60. A clear move above the $65.60 zone could send the price toward $68.70. The next key resistance is near $71.85. If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $72.20. Any more gains might send the price toward the $75.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $59.20 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near $58.00. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $55.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $52.00 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Rebounds in TandemMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Rebounds in Tandem
WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $60.00 and might extend gains.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices started a recovery wave above the $60.00 and $61.50 resistance levels.
- There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $63.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a recovery wave from $58.40 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.00 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The bulls pushed the price above the $61.50 and $62.00 resistance levels. The recent high was formed at $64.20 and the price started a downside correction. There was a minor move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59.87 swing low to the $64.18 high.
There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $63.00. The RSI is now below the 50 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the $62.0 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59.87 swing low to the $64.18 high.
The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $61.50 zone, below which the price could test the $59.90 level. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $58.40. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $56.20 support zone.
If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $64.20. The next major resistance is near the $65.00 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $68.50 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
COLLECTING CONFLUENCE across multiple timeframes is your job!!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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USOIL: Summary of Last Week'st and Analysis for Next WeekLast week, the crude oil market experienced (violent volatility amid the interplay of multiple factors, including concerns over supply glut, bleak demand prospects, and geopolitics. It fluctuated sharply in the game between "production increase expectations" and "geopolitical risks," but eventually closed higher supported by the escalation of sanctions on Iran and compensatory production cuts by OPEC+. The market saw significant volatility.👉👉👉
Next week, geopolitics will remain a core variable. It is recommended that investors pay close attention to the development of confrontations between the U.S. and Iran, as well as the policy trends of OPEC+. They should flexibly adjust their positions. In terms of operations, short-term trading should mainly focus on range-bound strategies, while in the medium to long term, vigilance is required against the continuous suppression of demand by a global economic recession.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 60.90-61.50
sl 59.50
tp 63.20-63.60
If my strategy is helpful to you, please give a thumbs-up for support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.
Great opportunity, crude oil is still rising!Crude oil rebounded sharply on Thursday, reaching above 64, and will continue to rise in the short term, but don't be greedy, the Shanghai Stock Exchange is limited!
Focus on the two important pressure levels around 64.5 and 66. If there is no breakthrough, you should choose the opportunity to short sell!
Oil’s Red-Hot Crash: the Iranian Trigger? 🛢️☕ #OilisMyCoffee | 📐 #TechnicalAnalysis
The most frustrating thing is when the market follows the script, but your account is in a drawdown 😭 Corrections are sneaky 🐍 Mid-week, I leaned toward the red scenario 🔴 (see last week’s chart), but the market suddenly shifted to black ⚫️.
Now the uncertainty: How and when will the diagonal end? I see at least 3 scenarios:
🔴 Red
⚫️ Black
🔵 Blue
Waiting for a resolution ⚡️ — so I closed positions ahead of the weekend. Iran negotiations in Rome on Saturday 🤝 With moderate progress, prices might dip slightly before surging upward ahead of a reversal next week.
What will trigger a crash? No clue 🤷 But S&P500 is also eyeing a downside after consolidation 📉 Possible triggers: U.S. market events or global financial shocks dragging oil down without geopolitics.
Weekly results:
➖ -10% on the master account
➖ Oil & gas portfolio yield dropped to 103%
🔥 Sharpest weekly drop in the account’s history
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Our analysis is food for thought 💡, not trading signals 🚫📊.
Trade with a cool head ❄️, a clear plan 📝, and your own analysis 👁️🗨️.
💬 Your predictions?
🔄 Drop your analysis below ➡️: How do you assess risks and opportunities? 🎯
USOIL Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 63.68
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 61.56
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Crude Oil AnalysisFenzoFx—Crude Oil started a bullish wave from $55.15, trading at around $62.20. Momentum slowed near $63.90 resistance.
The Stochastic Oscillator indicates short-term overpricing as Crude Oil remains below $63.90, keeping the bearish trend intact. Price may dip toward $58.90 support, with further pressure potentially driving it to $55.15.
If Crude Oil surpasses $63.90, the bearish outlook invalidates, targeting $65.10 resistance.
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WTI - BUY
Something to consider
A return to previous levels
Gap to be filled at $69.965 on MT4
Elliot Wave Projections
64.142
68.302
News
🛢️ Oil Situation Right Now
Oil prices are rising for the week.
Main reasons:
U.S. added fresh sanctions on Iran → tighter oil supply fears.
OPEC members are cutting production → reduces global supply.
⚡ Bottom Line:
Less oil available globally → prices up.
Sanctions + OPEC cuts = Bullish for oil short-term.
Lets See : )
.USOIL (M30) NEW ANALYSIS UPDATES
**USOIL M30 Trading Idea (April 16, 2025)**
**Setup Type:** Short (Sell) Setup
**Market Outlook:**
The price is currently trading around **61.76**. Based on the structure and expected movement, the chart indicates a potential bearish reversal after a short-term rally.
**Planned Strategy:**
- **Entry Point:** Around **62.28 - 62.47**
Price is expected to rise into this resistance zone. This area can be used to enter short positions.
- **Target Point:** Around **60.25 - 60.02**
This is the projected support zone where the price may find buying interest again, hence ideal for profit-taking.
**Trade Idea:**
Wait for the price to rise into the resistance zone (entry area). Look for rejection signals or bearish candlestick patterns (like a bearish engulfing, pin bar, or double top) to confirm the short entry. If confirmation appears, enter a **sell position** targeting the lower blue zone as the take-profit area.
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance Zone (Entry Area):** 62.28 – 62.47
- **Support Zone (Target Area):** 60.25 – 60.02
**Risk Management Tip:**
Place stop-loss just above 62.50 to protect against a breakout above resistance
WTI Crude oversold bounceback capped at 63,40WTI Crude Oil is showing bearish sentiment, in line with the current downtrend. Recent price action appears to be an oversold bounce back. A break below a key consolidation zone, could add pressure to the downside.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 6340 (former support, now resistance), 6413, 6530
Support: 5920, 5708, 5520
Bearish Outlook:
Price has broken below 6620, which was a key intraday consolidation level. If WTI sees a short-term bounce but fails to break above 6340, it could resume its downward move toward 5920, then 5700, and possibly 5520 over time.
Bullish Scenario:
If WTI breaks above 6340 and closes above it on the daily chart, the bearish setup would be invalidated. This could open the door for a short squeeze rally toward 6413, then 6530.
Conclusion:
The trend remains bearish below 6340. A rejection at this level would reinforce the downside bias. However, a confirmed break and daily close above 6340 would shift the outlook to bullish in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI Oil H4 | Approaching a multi-swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 62.71 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 65.90 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 57.01 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
OIL go UPWTI crude oil has recently shown signs of stabilizing after a period of volatility driven by geopolitical tensions and shifting demand expectations. While supply concerns and OPEC+ decisions continue to influence price movements, the broader macroeconomic indicators—such as signs of a soft landing in the U.S. economy and resilient global demand—are starting to create a more bullish environment.
In my view, WTI is likely to start strengthening from current levels. The technical setup suggests a potential reversal, with support holding and momentum indicators turning upward. If prices break above key resistance zones, we could see a sustained move higher.
Overall, I believe it's a good time to consider a long position on WTI.