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USOILOPEC+ decisions have a significant and multifaceted impact on oil prices in the near future: Short-Term Impact Supply Increases Lead to Price Drops: Recently, OPEC+ agreed to increase oil production by about 411,000 barrels per day in May 2025, with plans to accelerate output hikes further in June and beyond, potentially adding up to 2.2 million barrels per day by November. This surge in supply amid weakening global demand, especially due to escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, has already caused oil prices to plunge to multi-year lows Market Surplus Pressure: The increased production is expected to exacerbate an existing surplus, putting downward pressure on prices in the near term unless demand recovers. Medium to Long-Term Impact Market Stability Through Gradual Adjustments: OPEC+’s cautious, phased approach to increasing production aims to reduce volatility and stabilize the market over time. By managing supply carefully, OPEC+ attempts to balance between preventing sharp price drops and avoiding excessive shortages. Dependence on Global Demand Trajectory: The effectiveness of OPEC+’s strategy heavily depends on global demand, which faces headwinds from the energy transition toward renewables and climate policies like the Paris Accord. If demand declines faster than expected, OPEC+ may need to adjust production cuts or increases accordingly. Geopolitical and Strategic Considerations: OPEC+ decisions also have geopolitical implications, influencing relations between member states and global powers. For example, Saudi Arabia’s recent moves to discipline overproducing members like Iraq and Kazakhstan reflect internal dynamics that affect production policies. Additionally, OPEC+ output decisions are intertwined with U.S.-Saudi relations and broader energy security considerations. Market Reaction Dynamics Volatility Around Announcements: OPEC+ meetings typically trigger immediate price volatility, with oil prices moving 3-7% depending on the size of production adjustments and market expectations. Trading Algorithms and Futures Positioning: Automated trading and futures market positioning amplify price swings around OPEC+ announcements. Hedging and Seasonal Effects: Consumer industries adjust hedging strategies based on OPEC+ signals, and seasonal demand (e.g., summer driving season) also influences price sensitivity In essence: OPEC+’s near-future decisions to accelerate oil output hikes are currently driving prices lower by increasing supply amid fragile demand. However, their gradual and flexible approach aims to stabilize the market over time. The ultimate impact on prices will depend on how global demand evolves, geopolitical dynamics within OPEC+, and the broader energy transition.
FX:USOILShort
by Shavyfxhub
USOILCurrent USOIL Price Drop (May 2025) WTI crude oil (USOIL) has declined sharply in early May 2025, Key drivers include: OPEC+ Surprise Supply Increase: OPEC+ announced plans to raise output in June, reversing earlier production cuts and flooding the market with additional barrels. Tariff-Driven Demand Fears: U.S.-China trade tensions and retaliatory tariffs threaten global economic growth, reducing oil demand forecasts. Dollar Strength: The U.S. dollar (DXY) has rebounded due to delayed Fed rate cuts and safe-haven demand, pressuring dollar-denominated oil prices. EIA/Goldman Sachs Forecasts: The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) and Goldman Sachs revised 2025–2026 oil price forecasts downward, citing oversupply risks and weaker demand. Shifting Dollar-Oil Correlation Historically, oil and the dollar were inversely correlated (strong dollar = lower oil prices). However, this relationship is weakening due to: U.S. as a Net Oil Exporter: The U.S. is now the world’s largest crude producer. Higher oil prices improve the U.S. trade balance (vs. worsening it when the U.S. was a net importer). Petrodollar Dynamics: As the U.S. exports more oil, revenue from oil sales strengthens the dollar, creating a positive correlation in certain scenarios. Geopolitical and Policy Shocks: Tariffs, OPEC+ decisions, and Fed policy now dominate price action, overshadowing traditional correlations. Future Directional Bias Bearish Factors OPEC+ Supply Surge: Increased production (post-June 2025) could push prices toward $50–$55/barrel (Goldman Sachs base case). Recession Risks: Weak demand from China/Europe and U.S. tariff impacts may trigger a global slowdown, further depressing oil prices. Dollar Strength: Fed rate cuts delayed until July 2025 or later could sustain dollar strength, capping oil’s upside. Bullish Catalysts Supply Disruptions: Escalating Middle East tensions or OPEC+ policy reversals could tighten supply. Weaker Dollar: If the Fed signals rate cuts or tariffs ease, dollar weakness could lift oil prices. Outlook: USOIL faces downside risks in the near term due to oversupply and demand concern Exogenous Shocks: Exogenous shocks to the U.S. real interest rate can cause a modest and short-lived decline in the real price of oil. Although there is a higher opportunity cost of holding inventories, oil inventories may increase, reflecting the decline in global real activity associated with higher U.S. real interest rate
TVC:USOILShort
by Shavyfxhub
USOIL:Strategic Analysis on ThursdayThe Ministry of Energy of Kazakhstan stated that the country has no plans to cut oil production in May. The country has continuously exceeded production limits, creating tensions within OPEC+. The Ministry of Energy in Astana said that the largest oil-producing country in Central Asia will have an average daily production of crude oil and condensate of 277,000 tons in May, remaining the same as in April, while the average daily production in March was 260,000 tons. OPEC+ has agreed to significantly increase production for two consecutive months, surprising traders and pushing down oil prices. This move is largely driven by Saudi Arabia, the leader of OPEC, which hopes to punish member states such as Kazakhstan that have continuously exceeded production limits. Crude oil has shown a trend of stabilizing and rebounding at a low level today, stabilizing and rising around $57.7, and showing a volatile upward trend. The key today is whether the upward trend of crude oil can continue to break above the level of $60.6. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
TVC:USOILShort
by HilaryBloomer
USOIL:Strategic Analysis on ThursdayThe interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve is in line with market expectations. Regarding the trend of USOIL, the price of $57.5 serves as the watershed between the bullish and bearish trends, and whether this price level rises or falls will directly affect the subsequent market trend. At the same time, the conflict between India and Pakistan has recently escalated, with the most severe military confrontation in the past decade, and the civil war in Sudan is also intensifying. These geopolitical conflicts not only pose a serious threat to regional and global peace and stability but will also stimulate the commodity market. The potential threat of war to energy supply may also drive up the prices of energy sources such as crude oil. USOIL buy@57.5-58 tp:59-59.5 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
1
WTI Oil H4 | Heading into resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 60.44 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 63.80 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 56.05 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
1
WTI - Will Oil Return to the Uptrend?!WTI oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving within its medium-term descending channel. If the downward trend continues towards the zone, the next opportunity to buy oil at a good price will be presented to us. A break of the drawn downtrend line will also be another confirmation to enter the oil buying process. Goldman Sachs anticipates that the Federal Open Market Committee will maintain its pause on interest rate hikes. According to the bank’s asset management division, the continued strength of the labor market remains a crucial factor influencing the Federal Reserve’s decisions, prompting the central bank to adopt a cautious stance. In a recent note, Goldman Sachs stated: “The Federal Reserve is currently in a holding pattern, waiting for economic uncertainties to diminish.” Although recent employment data have exceeded expectations, the bank believes that initiating a rate-cutting cycle would require clear signs of labor market weakening—a development that could take several months to materialize. The note further stated: “Since the labor market has yet to exhibit any significant softening, the likelihood of another hold decision in the next meeting is high.” Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump, ahead of his upcoming trip to Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates, responded to a question about the potential renaming of the “Persian Gulf” to the “Arabian Gulf” in official U.S. documents. He stated that a decision would be made following his trip and a related discussion. Trump acknowledged the sensitivities surrounding the issue, saying he does not wish to offend anyone. He also referenced his prior executive order to rename the “Gulf of Mexico” as the “Gulf of America,” which he described as a necessary move. He concluded by noting that a final decision regarding the name of the Persian Gulf would be made after the scheduled discussions.Additionally, the RIA Novosti news agency reported on Thursday that Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin had officially begun talks at the Kremlin. Prior to the discussions, Putin expressed his intention to engage with President Xi on “a broad range of bilateral relations,” emphasizing that the Russia-China partnership is mutually beneficial. He also expressed his willingness to visit Beijing for a celebration marking China’s victory over Japan. According to the report, the two leaders are expected to issue joint statements and address the media following their talks. A correspondent from the TASS news agency reported that the agenda for the Xi-Putin discussions is likely to include bilateral cooperation in various sectors, such as energy, the conflict in Ukraine, and the development of the “Power of Siberia 2” gas pipeline project.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND
USOIL seems to be in a potential bullish reversalWTI crude oil futures rose slightly. Traders weighed factors such as the optimistic sentiment in Sino - US trade, the decline in US production, and the technical position, while also considering the persistent concerns about supply surplus. The recent decline in oil prices is largely due to the decision of OPEC + to accelerate production increase for the second consecutive month. It is reported that the number of drilling rigs is being reduced, which implies that the future shale oil production may decline, providing support for the bullish view on oil prices. This supply restriction, together with the signs of strong demand from Europe and China, helps to stabilize market sentiment. Crude oil showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. After reaching $60.2, it showed a callback trend. After two consecutive positive days on the daily chart, the oil price adjusted, which may indicate that crude oil will continue to maintain a wide - range oscillation. Overall, the reduction in crude oil inventory is expected to support the rebound of oil prices. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel. Trading Strategy: buy@57.4-58.4 TP:59.4-60.6
TVC:USOILLong
by HilaryBloomer
USOIL：Fluctuate upwardsThe trend of USOIL continues to rebound upwards and retests the level of $60 again. The moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, relying on the oil price, and the short-term objective trend direction is upwards. The overall rebound and upward movement follows the law of primary and secondary alternation and has good continuity. In terms of momentum, the fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator are above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is dominant, but the momentum strength is not strong. It is expected that the crude oil is more likely to continue to move in a volatile upward trend today. USOIL buy@59-59.5 tp:60.5-61 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
Oil - Short Term Sell Trade Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 17th I shared this idea "Oil - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short Term" I expected to see bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. You can read the full post using the link above. Price moved lower as per the plan here!!! Price respected the first Fibonacci resistance zone, created a false break of it and moved lower as expected!!! If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:WTIShort
by VladimirRibakov
USOIL Trading strategiesOn Tuesday, due to the increase in demand from Asia and Europe, the decline in U.S. production, and the further escalation of the situation in Israel, international oil prices soared. After today's opening, oil prices have remained volatile at a high level, demonstrating strong resilience. The key dividing line between bulls and bears is at the crucial price level of $58.4. As long as this price level is not effectively broken, it will be difficult for the bullish trend of oil prices to change. Currently, oil prices are still within the bullish channel. In terms of today's trading strategy, it is recommended to mainly place long orders on pullbacks, supplemented by a small number of short positions. Pay close attention to the resistance range of $60.8 - $61.6 above, and closely monitor the support area of $58.9 - $58.0 below. USOIL buy@58.80-59.30 tp:60.00-61.00
TVC:USOILLong
by BurgessMurray
WTI Crude INTRADAY key trading level at 6200The price sentiment for WTI Crude Oil remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action shows an oversold rally, which has stalled near a previous consolidation zone around 6200 — a key resistance level. Key Resistance Level: 6200 This level marks a previous intraday consolidation area and could act as a ceiling for the current rally. Bearish Scenario: If WTI fails to break above 6200, it may resume its decline toward: 5860 (near-term support) 5713 5550 (longer-term support) Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout and daily close above 6200 would shift momentum and open upside targets at: 6375 6533 6700 Conclusion: WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure unless it breaks and closes above 6200. Traders should monitor this level closely for signs of rejection or breakout. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
Today's Layout Strategy for Crude OilOn Tuesday, due to the increase in demand from Asia and Europe, the decline in U.S. production, and the further escalation of the situation in Israel, international oil prices soared. After today's opening, oil prices have remained volatile at a high level, demonstrating strong resilience. The key dividing line between bulls and bears is at the crucial price level of $58.4. As long as this price level is not effectively broken, it will be difficult for the bullish trend of oil prices to change. Currently, oil prices are still within the bullish channel. In terms of today's trading strategy, it is recommended to mainly place long orders on pullbacks, supplemented by a small number of short positions. Pay close attention to the resistance range of $60.8 - $61.6 above, and closely monitor the support area of $58.9 - $58.0 below. USOIL buy@58.80-59.30 tp:60.00-61.00 Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
TVC:USOILLong
by VolatilityWise
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 54.00.Friends, what do we see after the recent downward movement? Most likely we see a continuation of the downward movement in a combined correction. The hardest thing about compound corrections is to understand where the wave ends and begins. I believe that the price is now in the middle wave “C” and will continue the downward movement to the target of 53.991. Wave “B” is likely to reach the 60.00 area, but I do not recommend long positions. Work with pending limit orders. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
20
WTI on high time frame , price reach 53$? "Hello traders, focusing on WTI on high time frames, the price is approaching the $60.50 level, which holds significant importance. There is a high probability of price rejection at this level due to fundamental analysis. When the price reaches the $60.50 zone, it is advisable to observe candle formations, momentum, and other indicators. This could present a favorable opportunity for a short position targeting the $53 level." If you have any further questions or need additional assistance, feel free to let me know!
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by somayehbasiri
USOIL H4 I Bearish reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 60.44, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 57.63, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 62.67, a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
Bullish breakout?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 59.28 1st Support: 57.84 1st Resistance: 61.83 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
2