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U-oyela Ongahluziwe Nenkunzi.Considering the current countries in conflict - FX:USOIL is in the middle of it. This will lead in a high demand but low supply of the commodity resulting in a soaring bullish move, fundamentally. Technically, the commodity has created a LL in the current year, tapping lows last touched since 2021 and has further recovered from last years close of 71.899. FX:USOIL reaching highs of $110.00 is therefore likely. ***The best way to take advantage of this commodity or any other is to cherry pick stocks that are sensitive to it e.g. JSE:SOL is sensitive to FX:USOIL .***
FX:USOILEducation
by Dlamini_SS
US oil Oil prices could rise due to high geopolitical uncertainties Prices Poised to Rise Amid Heightened Geopolitical Tensions Oil prices have remained steady in recent days, driven by the anticipation of potential diplomatic resolutions between Iran and Israel. However, with diplomacy now off the table and news emerging of a U.S. strike on Iran, the market is reacting swiftly. Given the current geopolitical climate, it’s normal to expect a surge in oil prices. However, traders should be aware that oil is highly volatile—it tends to spike rapidly but often struggles to maintain upward momentum. While a price increase is likely, as illustrated in the attached chart, the level of risk remains elevated. Please exercise caution when trading under these conditions. More details are provided in the chart. Thank you, and good luck!
TVC:USOILLong
by m4yaseen
Oil panic buying after Iran Strikes?President Donald Trump has confirmed that the U.S., in coordination with Israel, has conducted three strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. Will there be panic buying of WTI and Brent at the open? In response, Iran’s parliament has approved a proposal to close the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil shipping route. The final decision lies with Iran’s Supreme National Security Council and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. If a blockade is enforced, oil prices could rise sharply. ClearView Energy Partners estimates a short-term closure could add between $8 and $31 per barrel. JP Morgan has suggested that a full-scale conflict and complete shutdown could drive prices to $130.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
Oil prices could rise due to high geopolitical uncertaintiesOil prices could rise due to high geopolitical uncertainties The price of OIL has been waiting all these days with hopes for negotiations between Iran and Israel. Currently, diplomacy is dead, so for now, the market has to absorb the news that the US has attacked Iran. The price of oil is normal to rise and it is also very risky because it reacts quickly and does not keep the bullish momentum. The price may rise as I showed in the chart, but the risk remains high. Please be careful. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:USOILLong
by KlejdiCuni
8
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Technical Analysis & Important pattern to WatchHere’s my latest analysis on ⚠️USOIL price action. The price has recently finished a correction, followed by a brief consolidation in a horizontal range and an ascending triangle pattern A bullish breakout above the intraday resistance levels would suggest a likely end to the accumulation phase. The chances are high that the pair is returning back to a bullish trend, with a target of 77.00. Strong fundamentals back this bullish outlook.
FX:USOIL
by linofx1
7
US-Oil will further push upside After Testing TrendlineHello Traders In This Chart XTIUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today XTIUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XTIUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
TVC:USOILLong
by ForexMasters2000
Potential 3000+pips on XXXUSD PairsGBPUSD We anticipate a potential bullish move towards the 1.3540 region, from there, we'll be watching closely for sign of exhaustion to initiate a short position, targeting up to 300pips to the downside. A confirmed daily close below the 1.2270 level will serve as out trigger to hold the short position with confidence, EURUSD For this market, we remain cautiously bearish. A 4H timeframe close below the 1.3950 region will be our signal to begin more sells to the downside targets around 1.3400 and 1.12800 zones. Until that breakdown occurs, we'll remain on the side-lines to avoid premature entries. XAUUSD Gold will be traded with a high level of discipline- only high conviction trades will be taken here. We're currently waiting for a clear breAK and close below the 3291.90 level before initiating any shorts positions. Until then, we maintain a neutral stance and monitor price action closely around key levels. USOIL We're keeping an eye on possible entry opportunities, anticipating a potential rally towards the 116 region. Updates on the setup and validation criteria will follow as price action unfolds. Send a direct message if you are interested in more info about Capital Management. Patience is the Way! Ieios
TVC:USOIL
by Ieios
1
Crude Oil Market Trend Forecast for Next WeekThe oil price continued its upward trend this week, despite a brief correction on Friday. As of Friday's Asian session, Brent crude oil futures dropped by $1.57, or 2%, to $77.28 per barrel. However, the cumulative weekly gain reached 3.9%, marking three consecutive weekly increases. Geopolitical risks continued to fuel market sentiment. Oil prices surged nearly 3% on Thursday after Israel bombed Iranian nuclear targets, following Iran's missile strikes on Israel after its earlier missile attack on an Israeli hospital. The focus of the current crude oil market has shifted entirely from supply-demand fundamentals to geopolitical risks. Although Iran's crude oil exports have not been substantially disrupted, investors have started to price in the worst-case scenario. If the situation further deteriorates and affects shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz, global energy prices may face a new round of sharp volatility. In the short term, oil prices still exhibit upward potential, with the current trend maintaining an overall upward trajectory. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines overlap with bullish bars above the zero axis, signaling robust bullish momentum. This suggests that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in an upward rally. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: buy@72.0-72.5 TP:75.0-75.5
FX:USOILLong
by MyronWilson
OILThe proposed closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran's parliament is a significant development because the strait is a vital global energy artery, handling a substantial portion of the world's oil and gas. If closed, it would disrupt global energy supplies, potentially leading to a surge in oil prices and impacting international trade. While the plan is not yet finalized, the mere possibility of such action introduces significant geopolitical risk and could have far-reaching economic consequences.
TVC:USOIL
by Dbnite-wp2022
2
Crude Oil Market: Geopolitical Risk Premium Soars Sharply Crude Oil Market: Geopolitical Risk Premium Soars Sharply (1) Strait of Hormuz: Global Energy Artery in Crisis As the gateway for 20% of global crude oil transportation, every disturbance in the Strait of Hormuz grips market nerves. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has now deployed missile boats and mine-laying vessels at the strait's narrowest point (just 33 km). The UK Maritime Security Agency warns that Iran may adopt a "gradual blockade"—first causing shipping chaos through electronic jamming, then escalating to mine blockades. Historical experience shows that even partial blockades can drive tanker insurance premiums up by over 900% and increase transportation costs by 50-100%. Current ultra-large crude carrier (VLCC) freight rates have risen 22% from last month, with many shipping companies evaluating routes around the Cape of Good Hope, which would extend Asian crude oil arrival times by 15-20 days. (2) Supply Side: Production Increase Plans Meet Geopolitical Storm Although OPEC+ plans to continue increasing production by 411,000 bpd in July, market focus has fully shifted to Middle East supply disruption risks. Iran currently maintains exports of 1.1 million bpd, but if the conflict escalates, this figure could drop to zero within 48 hours. More crucially, alternative export channels for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and other countries (such as the East-West Pipeline) have a total capacity of only 3.5 million bpd, unable to fully compensate for the shortfall from the Strait of Hormuz blockade. U.S. shale oil also can't solve the urgent problem: although production just hit a record 9.33 million bpd, labor shortages and rising drilling costs have caused new well investments to fall by 12%, and analysts expect production growth to slow to below 3% in the second half of the year. (3) Demand Side: Risk Aversion Overshadows Real Weakness Despite U.S. gasoline demand hitting a five-year seasonal low and European imports falling 5.1% year-on-year, geopolitical risks have triggered panic buying. The near-month contract price of Shanghai crude oil futures jumped 12% this week, and the SC-WTI spread turned to a premium of $3.16/bbl for the first time, reflecting Asian market concerns about regional supply disruptions. More notably, Brent crude net long positions have increased to a ten-week high, with speculative funds wildly betting on geopolitical premiums. Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you USOIL buy@74~74.5 SL:72 TP:75.5~76.5
TVC:USOILLong
by David_Wilson1
$OIL - Strait of Hormuz closure = $120 a Barrel. MARKETSCOM:OIL - Strait of Hormuz closure = $120 a Barrel. 🛢️ ~20% of global oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz. (near Iran) → That’s over 17 million barrels per day (2023 data). If Strait of Hormuz get closed or war escalates in this area, I'm expecting MARKETSCOM:OIL to sky-rocket to $120 a barrel. Weekly Break-out + Hammer candle confirmed. ✅ What's your prediction? Will the war escalate and create global oil disruption?
TVC:USOILLong
by CryptoBoj
USOIL WTIKey Offshore Oil and Gas Installations at Risk of Iranian Attack Based on recent escalations and Iran's retaliatory capabilities, the following offshore installations are most vulnerable: Strait of Hormuz Infrastructure Why at risk: A critical global chokepoint handling 21 million barrels of oil daily. Iran has repeatedly threatened closure if provoked. Potential targets: Tanker routes, underwater pipelines, and monitoring stations. Qatar’s North Field Gas Facilities Why at risk: Directly adjacent to Iran’s South Pars field (recently attacked by Israel). Shared reservoirs mean disruptions could cascade. Vulnerability: Iran could target Qatari platforms to amplify global gas shortages. Saudi/UAE Offshore Fields Key sites: Saudi Arabia’s Safaniya (world’s largest offshore oil field). UAE’s Upper Zakum oil field. Why at risk: Iran views Gulf states as Israeli allies; striking them would disrupt U.S.-aligned economies. Israeli Mediterranean Gas Rigs Leviathan and Tamar fields: Provide 90% of Israel’s electricity. Already targeted by Iranian proxies (e.g., Hezbollah rockets in 2023). Bahrain/Kuwait Offshore Facilities Strategic value: Proximity to Iran enables rapid drone/missile strikes. Past attacks (e.g., 2019 Aramco) demonstrate capability. Why These Targets? Retaliatory logic: Iran’s energy infrastructure (e.g., South Pars) was damaged by Israeli strikes. Targeting adversaries’ assets aligns with its "escalate to deter" strategy. Global leverage: Disrupting Hormuz or major fields could spike oil prices 30–50%, pressuring Western governments. Technical feasibility: Iran’s naval drones, cruise missiles, and mines can penetrate offshore defenses. Immediate Threats Target Risk Level Potential Impact Strait of Hormuz Critical Global oil prices surge; 20% of LNG shipments halted Qatar’s North Field High 10% of global LNG supply disrupted; Europe/Asia energy crisis Israeli Gas Rigs High Israel’s energy security crippled; regional conflict escalation Conclusion Iran’s most likely retaliation targets are offshore installations in the Strait of Hormuz, Qatar, and Israeli Mediterranean fields, leveraging proximity and asymmetric tactics. Such attacks would aim to inflict maximum economic damage while avoiding direct confrontation with the U.S. or NATO. Global energy markets face severe disruption if hostilities escalate further. A successful breakout above this descending trendline and resistance zone (near $74–$75) would confirm a bullish reversal, potentially opening the way for further upside toward $80 and $100 as next target. US crude inventories have declined recently, reducing oversupply fears and supporting prices. Global oil demand is forecast to grow by 720,000 barrels per day in 2025, while supply increases are more modest. OPEC+ decisions to maintain production cuts or limit increases have also contributed to price support. Summary Oil prices are testing and potentially breaking out of a long-term descending trendline formed since mid-2022. breakout will be long buy hope that we see 80$ per barrel. #usoil #oil
GBEBROKERS:USOILLong
by Shavyfxhub
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you I. Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis (1) Supply Side: Gas Stations Signal Shortages, but Refineries Keep Pumping More The supply dynamics present a paradox. OPEC+ is like a massive refinery deciding to continue increasing crude oil production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, marking the third consecutive month of output hikes. Strangely, however, U.S. gas stations (crude oil inventories) saw a sudden sharp drop in supplies last week—ending June 13, inventories fell by 11.473 million barrels, the largest decline since November last year. A closer look reveals that refineries produced more gasoline, with inventories jumping by over 5 million barrels, indicating robust oil refining but weak consumer demand for gasoline, suggesting a supply glut. Additionally, U.S. shale oil wells may be facing headwinds. Reports suggest that U.S. shale oil production might peak in the second quarter of this year and then gradually decline in the second half. This is analogous to farmers planting fewer crops when vegetable prices are low—oil wells reduce extraction when oil prices are deemed unprofitable. (2) Demand Side: Summer Arrives, but Where Are the Fuel-Hungry Cars? Logically, with summer in the Northern Hemisphere, more people driving for trips should mean a peak season for gasoline demand. But reality shows U.S. gasoline demand has dropped to its lowest level for this period in five years, akin to an ice cream shop seeing fewer customers in summer. Europe’s situation is grimmer, with crude oil imports down 5.1% year on year, as they aggressively develop clean energy like wind and solar power, reducing dependence on oil. There’s also the U.S. dollar factor. Although the dollar weakened slightly last Friday (the U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.16%), it remains relatively strong overall. This is like shopping where the price tag stays the same, but your money buys less, making purchases feel costlier. As a result, other countries may cut back on U.S. dollar-denominated crude oil purchases. Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you USOIL sell@74.5~75 SL:76 TP:73.5~73
TVC:USOILShort
by David_Wilson1
WTI USOIL WEEKLY CHARTKey Offshore Oil and Gas Installations at Risk of Iranian Attack Based on recent escalations and Iran's retaliatory capabilities, the following offshore installations are most vulnerable: Strait of Hormuz Infrastructure Why at risk: A critical global chokepoint handling 21 million barrels of oil daily. Iran has repeatedly threatened closure if provoked. Potential targets: Tanker routes, underwater pipelines, and monitoring stations. Qatar’s North Field Gas Facilities Why at risk: Directly adjacent to Iran’s South Pars field (recently attacked by Israel). Shared reservoirs mean disruptions could cascade. Vulnerability: Iran could target Qatari platforms to amplify global gas shortages. Saudi/UAE Offshore Fields Key sites: Saudi Arabia’s Safaniya (world’s largest offshore oil field). UAE’s Upper Zakum oil field. Why at risk: Iran views Gulf states as Israeli allies; striking them would disrupt U.S.-aligned economies. Israeli Mediterranean Gas Rigs Leviathan and Tamar fields: Provide 90% of Israel’s electricity. Already targeted by Iranian proxies (e.g., Hezbollah rockets in 2023). Bahrain/Kuwait Offshore Facilities Strategic value: Proximity to Iran enables rapid drone/missile strikes. Past attacks (e.g., 2019 Aramco) demonstrate capability. Why These Targets? Retaliatory logic: Iran’s energy infrastructure (e.g., South Pars) was damaged by Israeli strikes. Targeting adversaries’ assets aligns with its "escalate to deter" strategy. Global leverage: Disrupting Hormuz or major fields could spike oil prices 30–50%, pressuring Western governments. Technical feasibility: Iran’s naval drones, cruise missiles, and mines can penetrate offshore defenses. Immediate Threats Target Risk Level Potential Impact Strait of Hormuz Critical Global oil prices surge; 20% of LNG shipments halted Qatar’s North Field High 10% of global LNG supply disrupted; Europe/Asia energy crisis Israeli Gas Rigs High Israel’s energy security crippled; regional conflict escalation Conclusion Iran’s most likely retaliation targets are offshore installations in the Strait of Hormuz, Qatar, and Israeli Mediterranean fields, leveraging proximity and asymmetric tactics. Such attacks would aim to inflict maximum economic damage while avoiding direct confrontation with the U.S. or NATO. Global energy markets face severe disruption if hostilities escalate further. A successful breakout above this descending trendline and resistance zone (near $74–$75) would confirm a bullish reversal, potentially opening the way for further upside toward $80 and $100 as next target. US crude inventories have declined recently, reducing oversupply fears and supporting prices. Global oil demand is forecast to grow by 720,000 barrels per day in 2025, while supply increases are more modest. OPEC+ decisions to maintain production cuts or limit increases have also contributed to price support. Summary Oil prices are testing and potentially breaking out of a long-term descending trendline formed since mid-2022. breakout will be long buy hope that we see 80$ per barrel. #usoil #oil
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by Shavyfxhub
Diversion def high_accuracy_signal(df): df = df .rolling(10).mean() df = df .rolling(50).mean() df = compute_rsi(df , 14) df = df .rolling(5).mean() df = ( (df > df ) & (df > 55) & (df < 70) & (df > 2 * df ) ) return df [ ] def compute_rsi(series, period=14): delta = series.diff() gain = delta.where(delta > 0, 0) loss = -delta.where(delta < 0, 0) avg_gain = gain.rolling(period).mean() avg_loss = loss.rolling(period).mean() rs = avg_gain / avg_loss rsi = 100 - (100 / (1 + rs)) return rsi
TVC:USOIL
by paragmehta14