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USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you ### Factors Influencing Long Positions in Crude Oil #### Seasonal Demand Growth Summer typically sees a surge in crude oil demand as increased travel and industrial activities drive up consumption. For example, gasoline demand in the U.S. rises significantly during summer due to higher public travel, providing support for crude oil prices and creating opportunities for long positions. #### Geopolitical Factors Conflicts, political instability, or sanctions in major oil-producing regions can disrupt or reduce crude oil supply, pushing prices higher. Although Middle Eastern tensions have eased recently, news of a potential Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear facilities previously caused oil prices to jump 3%. Escalating geopolitical tensions would favor long positions in crude oil. #### Inventory Levels A decline in crude oil inventories signals tighter supply, which may drive price increases. When inventory data falls below expectations, market concerns about supply shortages intensify, pushing prices higher and creating opportunities for long positions. USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you USOIL BUY@60.5~61 SL:59.5 TP:62~62.5
TVC:USOILLong
by AndyHopkins
2
WTI OIL Rejection on 1D MA50 aims at $56.50.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 13-month Channel Down pattern and is currently under heavy pressure by multiple Resistance levels. The immediate one is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has its most recent rejection last Wednesday (May 21) and as you can see, the price has failed to break above it, even though it's been trading directly below it. As long as the 1D MA50 holds, we expect a test of the lower Support Zone at $56.50, similar to the September - December 2024 Support Zone, which was tested continuously after several 1D MA50 rejections. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTIShort
by TradingShot
Crude Oil (WTI) Technical Analysis – Bearish Harmonic Pattern 🛢️ Crude Oil (WTI) Technical Analysis – Bearish Harmonic Pattern Completion Pattern Overview: A Bearish Harmonic Pattern has been identified and completed. The final leg (point D) has touched the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the previous XA leg, which validates the pattern's structure. Key Observations: Price has reversed from the D point, suggesting potential downside continuation. Confirmation is observed with minor rejection wicks at the D zone. The harmonic pattern indicates trend exhaustion and a reversal probability. Price Action: The current market level is near $61.75. Price is expected to follow the projected zig-zag bearish path towards the target zone around $60, with further possible extension down to $58.90. Technical Conclusion: ✅ Harmonic pattern completed 🔻 Bearish sentiment initiated post-pattern 🎯 Target zone: $60–$58.90 Trading Insight: If price sustains below point D with weak bullish response, shorts will get initiated with tight stop-loss above D-point highs. Strong follow-through could bring a quick drop towards the projected support levels. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
FX:USOILShort
by shiva560060
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps youAlthough OPEC+ plans to significantly increase production in July and August, the actual implementation is uncertain. Some member states may struggle to meet production targets due to their own capacity, technical, or financial limitations, which could result in the actual supply increase being lower than expected. For example, in some small and medium oil-producing countries, aging equipment and backward mining technologies make it difficult to truly implement production increase plans even if they exist. The U.S. shale oil industry is facing the dual challenges of rising equipment costs and low oil prices, with many small and medium-sized drilling companies struggling to survive and even possibly shutting down some oil wells due to continuous losses. This means that U.S. shale oil production may not only fail to grow but could also decline, thereby reducing global crude oil supply and supporting oil prices. As the "heartland" of global crude oil supply, the Middle East has always been in a tense situation. The Iranian nuclear issue remains unresolved, relations between the U.S. and Iran are highly strained, and Israel is also eyeing Iran's nuclear facilities. Once a conflict breaks out, Iran's crude oil production and exports will be hindered, and oil transportation channels in the Middle East may also be affected, leading to a significant reduction in global crude oil supply and triggering a sharp rise in oil prices. This potential geopolitical risk could(at any time) become a catalyst for driving oil prices higher. USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you USOIL BUY@60.5~61 SL:59.5 TP:61.5~62
TVC:USOILLong
by AndyHopkins
WTI Crude Oil INTRADAY consolidation capped at 6360Trend: The sentiment remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent Movement: Price is currently in a sideways consolidation, suggesting indecision near short-term lows. Key Levels Resistance: 6360 – Key resistance and prior consolidation zone. Above that: 6440, then 6530 – Next upside targets if breakout occurs. Support: 6020 – Initial downside target. Below that: 5940, then 5820 – Deeper support levels if bearish momentum resumes. Trading Scenarios Bearish Continuation: A rally to 6360 followed by rejection could lead to a drop toward 6020, 5940, and 5820. Bullish Breakout: A daily close above 6360 would negate the bearish setup and open the path for a recovery toward 6440, then 6530. Conclusion WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure, but is currently range-bound. A rejection at 6360 would confirm downside continuation. A breakout above that level would shift bias to bullish, targeting higher resistance zones. Watch 6360 as the key pivot. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps youThe situation in the Middle East remains tense. Although progress has been made in the Iranian nuclear negotiations, the outcome of the negotiations is full of uncertainties. There are numerous contradictions between the United States and Iran, and Israel is also eyeing Iran's nuclear facilities. Once a conflict breaks out, Iran's crude oil production and exports will be hindered, and oil transportation channels in the Middle East may also be affected, leading to a significant reduction in global crude oil supply. As a result, oil prices will likely rise rapidly. Such potential geopolitical risks provide room for imagination for the rise in crude oil prices. USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you USOIL BUY@60.5~61 SL:59.5 TP:61.5~62
TVC:USOILLong
by AndyHopkins
USOIL MONTHLYUSOIL,oil is on a demand floor and will continue to upswing into 70-69 dollar zone ,am holding oil buy till 70$ per barrel at 70$ zon,e buyers will face supply roof ,a critical make or break zone ,if they break the structure ,oil will fly higher and if they respect the supply roof, we sell on the fundamentals of a broken SR/RS RULE..35$ zone will be watched in a bearish scenario. Relationship Between US Oil Prices (USOIL), Bond Yields, and Interest Rates 1. General Correlation Between Oil Prices and Bond Yields Over recent years, US crude oil prices and 10-year US Treasury bond yields have shown a strong positive correlation, often moving in tandem. When oil prices rise, it typically signals stronger economic activity and higher inflation expectations, which tend to push bond yields higher as investors demand greater compensation for inflation risk and growth prospects. Conversely, falling oil prices often correlate with lower bond yields due to expectations of weaker growth and reduced inflationary pressure. 2. Oil Prices Leading Bond Yield Movements Short-term trend changes in crude oil prices often lead changes in bond yields by a few weeks, meaning oil price movements can be a useful indicator for bond market trends. For example, a sustained rise in oil prices due to supply constraints or geopolitical tensions often precedes an increase in Treasury yields. 3. Recent Divergences and Market Dynamics Recently, the usual positive relationship between oil prices and bond yields has broken down temporarily, reflecting unusual market conditions such as US fiscal uncertainties and changing safe-haven dynamics. For instance, oil prices dropped due to expectations of increased production, while US bond yields increased following economic data releases, showing a temporary divergence. 4. Impact of Oil Prices on Interest Rates and Inflation Expectations Rising oil prices contribute to higher inflation expectations, which in turn can lead to higher nominal bond yields as investors seek compensation for inflation risk. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, may respond to sustained high oil prices and inflation by maintaining or raising interest rates, which also pushes bond yields higher. Conversely, falling oil prices can act as a disinflationary force, potentially easing pressure on interest rates and bond yields, though recent market behavior shows this effect can be muted by other factors. 5. Economic Implications Higher oil prices combined with rising bond yields and a strengthening dollar can act as a "tax" on the US economy, potentially slowing growth and increasing recession risks. The interplay of oil prices and bond yields is a key factor in assessing the economic outlook, inflation trajectory, and monetary policy stance. Summary Table Factor Relationship / Impact Oil Price ↑ Bond yields ↑ (due to inflation & growth expectations) Oil Price ↓ Bond yields ↓ (due to lower inflation & growth fears) Oil price trend leads bond yields Oil price changes precede bond yield changes by weeks Recent divergence Temporary breakdown due to fiscal concerns, policy uncertainty Inflation expectations Higher oil → higher inflation expectations → higher yields Economic growth impact Higher oil + yields = economic headwind (stagflation risk) Conclusion The relationship between US oil prices (USOIL) and bond yields is generally positive and significant, with oil price movements often leading bond yield trends. Rising oil prices tend to push bond yields and interest rates higher through increased inflation expectations and stronger economic activity signals. However, recent market conditions have caused some temporary divergences due to fiscal uncertainties and changing safe-haven demand. Monitoring oil prices is crucial for anticipating bond market movements and understanding the broader macroeconomic environment. #usoil #dollar #oil
FX:USOILShort
by Shavyfxhub
WTI Crude Oil Testing Make-or-Break Support ZoneWTI crude is grinding into a pivotal horizontal support near 6,020 after another sharp rejection near the 50-day SMA: Support at Risk: Price is pressing into the horizontal support zone formed by May’s lows (~6,020). A clean break below would shift momentum back decisively to the downside. Bearish Structure: Price remains well below both the 50- and 200-day SMAs, which are angled downward—consistent with a medium-term downtrend. Momentum Fading: MACD is negative and turning lower again, while RSI is stuck near 45 and showing no bullish divergence. Next Support: If support fails, next downside level is likely around the YTD low near 5,400. As it stands, bears remain in control unless bulls can defend this floor and drive a breakout back above the 50-day SMA. -MW
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you On the supply side, although OPEC+ has a production increase plan, there are differences in the implementation efforts among member states. Some countries may be unable to fully implement the production increase target due to their own interests or production capacity limitations. In the case of U.S. shale oil, the current oil price is hovering near $60, close to the shale oil extraction cost line. If oil prices continue to fall, the production enthusiasm of U.S. shale oil enterprises will be dampened, and some oil wells may even be shut down, leading to a reduction in supply, which in turn will support oil prices. On the demand side, the global economic recovery trend has gradually become clear. With the continuous implementation of economic stimulus policies by various countries, industrial production activities have increased, and the transportation industry has gradually recovered, leading to a steady growth trend in crude oil demand. In particular, emerging economies, with their fast economic growth rates and large demand gap for crude oil, have become an important force driving the growth of crude oil demand. Geopolitical factors remain a key variable affecting oil prices. The situation in the Middle East is tense, the progress of the Iranian nuclear negotiations is slow, and the contradictions between Israel and Iran continue to escalate. Once a conflict breaks out, it will seriously affect crude oil production and transportation in the Middle East, leading to a global crude oil supply shortage and a inevitable sharp rise in oil prices. USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you USOIL BUY@60.5~61 SL:59.5 TP:61.5~62
TVC:USOILLong
by AndyHopkins
WTI Consolidates and Holds Above 60Crude oil remains locked in a resilient sideways range, with strong support between $55 and $58, and a key resistance zone between $63 and $65. Momentum indicators are mixed: • Daily RSI remains neutral, allowing for both bullish and bearish scenarios. • Weekly RSI shows a clean bounce from 2020 extremes, suggesting underlying bullish potential. Scenarios to Watch Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above $63.80–$65 could pave the way for gains toward $66.90, $69.20, and $71. Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below $58 would expose downside risk toward $56.70 and $55. In the case of extreme market turbulence, further losses toward $49 remain possible—potentially setting up for a new long-term bullish positioning. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
OIL: Short Term Bullish Setup - Very RiskyOIL: Short Term Bullish Setup - Very Risky The trading setup we have for OIL carries a high risk as it has been moving against news reports on war or OPEC topics for days. However, OIL faced a strong support zone near 60, thus increasing the chances of further growth. Perhaps the situation in GAZA could keep the price above 60 and it could rise slowly as shown in the chart. The main target zones are near 62.6 and 63.8. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:USOILLong
by KlejdiCuni
3
Oil Prices Up as Trump Delays EU Tariffs (Temporary Relief?) The global oil market, a sensitive barometer of economic health and geopolitical stability, registered a slight uptick in prices following the news that the Trump administration would extend the deadline for imposing new tariffs on a range of European Union goods. This minor rally, however, comes against a backdrop of a broader downtrend that has characterized the oil markets since mid-January. The persistent downward pressure has been largely attributed to the chilling effect of existing and threatened tariffs, not just between the US and the EU, but on a global scale, which have cast a long shadow over the outlook for global energy demand. To understand the significance of this deadline extension and its nuanced impact on oil prices, it's crucial to first appreciate the environment in which it occurred. For several months, the dominant narrative surrounding oil has been one of demand-side anxiety. President Trump's "America First" trade policy, which has seen the imposition of sweeping tariffs on goods from various countries, most notably China, and the persistent threat of more to come against allies like the European Union, has injected a significant dose of uncertainty into the global economic system. Tariffs, at their core, are taxes on imported goods. Their imposition typically leads to a cascade of negative economic consequences. Businesses that rely on imported components face higher input costs, which can either be absorbed, thereby reducing profit margins, or passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices. Higher consumer prices can dampen spending, a key driver of economic growth. Furthermore, the uncertainty created by an unpredictable trade policy environment often leads businesses to postpone investment decisions and hiring, further stagnating economic activity. This economic slowdown, or even the fear of it, directly translates into weaker demand for oil. Manufacturing activity, a significant consumer of energy, tends to decline. Global shipping and freight, which rely heavily on bunker fuel and diesel, slow down as trade volumes shrink. Consumer demand for gasoline and jet fuel can also wane if economic hardship leads to reduced travel and leisure activities. The retaliatory measures often taken by targeted nations – imposing their own tariffs on US goods – only serve to exacerbate this negative feedback loop, creating a tit-for-tat escalation that further erodes business confidence and global trade flows. It is this overarching concern about a tariff-induced global economic slowdown that has been weighing heavily on oil prices since the middle of January. Market participants, from large institutional investors to commodity traders, have been pricing in the potential for significantly reduced oil consumption in the months and years ahead if these trade disputes were to escalate or become entrenched. Every new tariff announcement or threat has typically sent ripples of concern through the market, often pushing oil prices lower. Against this gloomy backdrop, the news of an extension to the tariff deadline on EU goods, while not a resolution, acts as a momentary pause button on further immediate escalation. It offers a temporary reprieve, a brief window where the worst-case scenario of new, damaging tariffs being instantly applied is averted. This is likely why oil prices "edged higher." The market's reaction can be interpreted in several ways. Firstly, it reflects a slight easing of immediate downside risk to the European economy. The EU is a massive economic bloc and a significant consumer of oil. The imposition of new US tariffs on key European goods, such as automobiles or luxury products, would undoubtedly have a detrimental impact on European industries, potentially tipping already fragile economies closer to recession. An extension of the deadline pushes this immediate threat further down the road, offering a sliver of hope that a negotiated solution might yet be found, or at least that the economic pain is deferred. This deferral, however slight, can lead to a marginal upward revision of short-term oil demand expectations from the region. Secondly, the extension can be seen as a signal, however faint, that dialogue and negotiation are still possible. In the fraught world of international trade diplomacy, any indication that parties are willing to continue talking rather than immediately resorting to punitive measures can be interpreted positively by markets. It reduces, fractionally, the "uncertainty premium" that has been built into asset prices, including oil. However, it is crucial to temper any optimism. The fact that oil only "edged higher" rather than surged indicates the market's deep-seated caution. An extension is not a cancellation. The underlying threat of tariffs remains very much on the table. The fundamental disagreements that led to the tariff threats in the first place have not been resolved. Therefore, while the immediate pressure point has been alleviated, the chronic condition of trade uncertainty persists. The oil market is acutely aware that this extension could simply be a tactical move, buying time for political reasons without altering the fundamental trajectory of trade policy. If, at the end of the extended period, no agreement is reached and tariffs are indeed imposed, the negative impact on oil demand expectations would likely resurface with renewed force. The market is therefore likely to adopt a "wait and see" approach, with traders hesitant to make significant bullish bets based solely on a deadline postponement. Furthermore, the US-EU trade dynamic is just one piece of a larger global puzzle. The ongoing trade tensions with China, for instance, continue to be a major drag on global growth projections and, by extension, oil demand. Progress, or lack thereof, on that front often has a more substantial impact on oil prices than developments in the US-EU relationship, given the sheer scale of US-China trade and China's role as the world's largest oil importer. The slight rise in oil prices also needs to be seen in the context of other market-moving factors. Supply-side dynamics, such as OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East, and fluctuations in US shale output, constantly interact with demand-side sentiment. A deadline extension on EU tariffs might provide a small boost, but it can be easily overshadowed by a surprise inventory build, an unexpected increase in OPEC production, or signs of weakening economic data from other major economies. In conclusion, the decision by the Trump administration to extend the tariff deadline on EU goods offered a moment of temporary relief to an oil market that has been under duress from trade war anxieties. This relief manifested as a marginal increase in oil prices, reflecting a slight reduction in immediate perceived risk to global economic activity and oil demand, particularly from Europe. However, this should not be mistaken for a fundamental shift in market sentiment or a resolution to the underlying trade disputes. The threat of tariffs remains, and the broader concerns about a global economic slowdown fueled by protectionist policies continue to loom large. The oil market's cautious reaction underscores the prevailing uncertainty, suggesting that while this extension provides a brief breathing space, the path ahead for oil prices will continue to be heavily influenced by the unpredictable currents of international trade policy.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy: Recent market signs indicate that oil prices may decline. From a supply perspective, some OPEC+ producers have relaxed production cuts, increasing crude oil supply in the market. Additionally, U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 2.4 million barrels last week, and output further rose, making the oversupply of crude oil more evident. On the demand side, under the influence of U.S. tariff policies, global economic growth has slowed, and market expectations for crude oil demand are relatively pessimistic. Although geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have eased, reducing the risk of supply disruptions, this has also caused oil prices to lose a strong supporting factor. USOIL Today's Trading Strategy: USOIL SELL@62.0~62.5 SL:63 TP:61~60
TVC:USOILShort
by AndyHopkins
USOIL:Long at 61.3-61.5 Last week's long target has been completed, the current decline is mainly due to concerns that global supply growth may exceed demand growth, from the technical trend, the objective trend of the middle line downward, short term long and short frequently alternate, pay attention to the support point of 60.3-60.5 within the day. Considering that it has been around this point of shock and not broken, short - term trading to do more. So the trading strategy :BUY@61.3-61.5 TP@62.5-62.7 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
USOIL:Go long first Crude oil short-term trend to maintain weak shock upward rhythm, K line closed long lower shadow line, there are signs of rebound. Short - term moving average system gradually long arrangement, relying on oil prices, short - term objective trend direction to upward. It is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will continue to extend upward, hitting around 62.8-63 Recommended Trading Strategies: 61-61.2 range to be long, short-term target to see 62, break through the target to see 62.8-63 ↓↓↓ The detailed strategy club will have tips, updated daily, come and get them →→→
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_