Analysis and Layout of Crude Oil at the Opening of the MarketThe international crude oil market has experienced intense fluctuations. Both Brent crude oil and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil have recorded significant declines, dropping by 8.31% and 7.58% respectively. The expectations of OPEC+ production increase, the trade concerns triggered by Trump, and the market's risk aversion sentiment due to the global economic slowdown have become the key factors dominating the trend of oil prices.
The crude oil has corrected and broken below the support line, and there is a high probability that the bearish trend will enter a further acceleration stage. After the initial rise followed by a fall, the demarcation line between the bulls and the bears is around 59.4. If it comes under pressure again, it will indicate the continuation of the future trend. The moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, and it is suppressed by the 30-day moving average. Objectively, the short-term trend direction remains downward. Next week, consider taking short positions around 59.4 and expect further decline.
WTICOUSD trade ideas
Oil to soon hit below $50.0Please ignore that Asia BOX. Besides that oil is coming further down. but trying to fine tune my entry and exit setup. For me this would be a nice good grade setup cuz of L mapping. I think its got more downside to fall. Hope its not too greedy to set that huge of TP but you never know with commodities and expectations run outside of the reality as bigger the TF more inaccurate you shall be.
Crude Oil Macro Setup Structural Bottoming cascadeWTI Crude Oil has completed a prolonged complex correction from its historical high of $146.68, forming a structurally mature accumulation base between the $33.06–$42.80 demand zone. This zone aligns with multi-year support and marks the potential terminal point of a corrective macro structure positioning the asset for a major impulsive phase within either Wave 3 or Wave 5 of the broader cycle.
Recent price behavior near $33.06 reflects a critical inflection, signaling strong institutional absorption and suggesting exhaustion of the long-term bearish momentum. The projected bullish scenario envisions a reversal targeting $114.63 as the primary technical pivot, corresponding with significant resistance and the neckline of the long-term structural setup. A confirmed breakout above this level would unlock higher targets toward $129.23 and potentially a full retracement to the $146.68 high, contingent on macroeconomic alignment.
Fundamentally, this scenario is underpinned by key catalysts including OPEC+ production adjustments, U.S. inventory dynamics, geopolitical instability across major oil-exporting nations, and global macro data such as GDP trends, inflation prints, and energy demand forecasts. These elements are poised to fuel volatility but also support a sustained recovery phase, provided demand fundamentals remain intact.
Analysis of the Market Trend for Next WeekThe price of crude oil futures declined on Friday, falling by approximately 1% during the session, giving back the gains brought about by a brief technical rebound. Bearish demand signals continued to dominate traders' sentiment. The price of crude oil is likely to drop by more than 7% this week, which reflects the growing concerns in the market about the weakening of global demand. Traders remain cautious ahead of the crucial OPEC+ meeting scheduled for May 5th. It is expected that some member states will push for an acceleration of production increases before June. There are reports that Saudi Arabia has hinted that it has no intention of supporting oil prices through a new round of production cuts, which has further intensified the downward pressure on oil prices.
In terms of demand, the market remains skeptical about potential trade negotiations. The Ministry of Commerce of China stated that it is evaluating the proposal put forward by the United States to resume tariff negotiations. Analysts said that the trade environment remains unstable and fraught with uncertainties.
Crude oil showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. At the same time, the oil price correction broke below the support line, and the bearish trend of oil prices is expected to enter a further acceleration stage. After the rise first and then the fall, the demarcation line between the bulls and bears of oil prices is around $59.3. If it is under pressure again, it will indicate the continuation of the future trend.
USOIL What Next? BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USOIL and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 58.35 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 60.83
Safe Stop Loss - 57.06
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 58.463 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 59.265 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 64.59
Target Level: 60.50
Stop Loss: 67.30
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Summary of the Crude Oil Market This WeekThis week, the crude oil market witnessed a significant decline. Brent crude oil dropped by a cumulative 8.3%, and WTI crude oil fell by 7.5%. Both recorded their largest single-week declines since the end of March.👉👉👉
OPEC+ convened a production meeting ahead of schedule and planned to discuss the production increase plan for June. The market bets that the probability of a production increase is as high as 70%. Previously, OPEC+ unexpectedly announced in April that it would increase daily production by 411,000 barrels starting from May, which is three times the original planned increase. This move aimed to punish member states that had overproduced oil. If production is further increased in June, it will further intensify the supply pressure on the market.
Although the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East region have intensified, such as the postponement of the fourth round of nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran, which has, to a certain extent, provided support for oil prices, judging from the overall market situation this week, this supporting effect has failed to offset the impact of increased supply and decreased demand.
Overall, this week, under the intertwined influence of factors such as increased supply, uncertain demand prospects, and changes in the geopolitical situation, the crude oil market showed a significant downward trend. The market's expectations for crude oil prices are rather pessimistic, and it is expected that crude oil prices will still face certain downward pressure in the coming period. However, if OPEC+ changes its production increase plan, or if there is an unexpected improvement in the global economy, crude oil prices may rebound.
The decisive day of major data (USOIL)
Yesterday, it was pointed out in the analysis circle: The support of 58 needs to be tested. Sure enough, buying at low levels continued to expand profits. The current price is 59.6. From the pressure analysis, the market is still affected by data that oversupply, and institutions will not reduce production in a short time. Therefore, oil prices will fall further,
The oil price broke through 59. Due to supply reasons, the market still has a downward range. 60-61 is a good choice to sell in succession.
tp58-57
Crude oil is entering the seasonal growth windowCrude oil had tested the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart. Being a momentum instrument, it has a chance of testing the area below the previous intermediate-term low (testing 52-55k area), after which the price may turn back to $60: the fair price according to the STEO forecast from eia.gov
As WTI oil is entering the seasonal window of growth, so we can assume the mean-reversion scenario to dominate in the near future, especially considering the improving market sentiment.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
WTI TRADE UPDATEhi all
Based on the current situation for WTI, with the stop loss hit from the previous trade idea, Plan A now relies on a breakout of the trendline and the support turning into resistance as confirmation for taking a long position.
However, if rejection occurs at the trendline or at the support-turned-resistance level, there's a possibility that the price will decline again, given that a breakout has already happened on the daily timeframe. Therefore, closely monitoring price movements around these key levels is crucial before making any trading decisions.
Ensure strong confirmation before acting, and keep an eye on shifts in market structure. Feel free to share any new updates, and best of luck with your strategy!
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
WTI Oil H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 60.49 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 62.30 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 56.68 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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WTI is due for a pullbackWTI has been falling for the entire week now. A hammer has formed on the hourly candle just right above a support. We expect pullbacks. TPs are as followed and SL is located at the support below.
Please do not risk more than 1% per trade。
If you like the idea, please help like the post and comment down your thoughts below! I would love to hear your thoughts!
Trend is Your friend Took 2 years to understand the above . I kept thinking I knew when the reversals happen and lost over 200k in the process. Still love to trade and one day it will come back even that I know 2 things will make your successful in this game
1 # most important RISK MANAGEMENT
2 # Trend is your friend stick to higer timeframes stop the 1 and 5min charts
3 # Fibonacci is king
4 # trendines and S/R Matter wait for retest
5 # chart patterns is a must for reversal wait for W OR M then Fibonacci it
Anyhow you get told all these things as a newbie but takes time to get it through your thick skull not saying I have mastered it .
Lastly to all newbies stay away from NATGAS she will either make you or most likely destroy. Forget indicators !
Anyhow else love to trade like me
What do silver and oil have in common? Price.Since 1861, silver and crude oil charts have trended together rather well.
So, if you think there is a "cartel" which manipulates the silver, there must also be manipulating crude oil.
Or, the more logical explanation is that capital flows are carving out these price charts.
USOIL – Buyers Might Be Waking UpFrom last week, USOIL dropped aggressively from the 65.27 resistance zone and hit our 57.00 support target — a level we’ve been watching closely.
Now here’s where it gets interesting…
Current Observation:
The 57.00 support seems to be holding strong.
We’re starting to see signs that sellers might be losing momentum around this zone.
Price has reacted with a bounce, and if it sustains above 57.00, we could see the buyers step back in.
What I'm Watching:
– A confirmed hold above 57.00 could offer a buy opportunity, targeting to see a break above 59.5 first, then possibly 61.8 – 62.0.
– However, if 57.00 breaks, I’ll be shifting bias back to the downside, watching 55.10 next.
Key Levels:
– Support: 57.00 → 55.10
– Resistance: 59.5 → 62.0 → 65.27
At this point, it's all about how price reacts around 57.00 and 59.50.
A bounce and strong close above? I’ll be looking to go long.
Failure to hold? The sell pressure might continue.
Let’s see how this plays out. Trade safe.
USOIL CAUTION! BREAK - TEST - GO!This is my new updated chart of Oil.
Trump's "Drill baby Drill" interfering with the free market is the absolute worst thing he could do. His ridiculous tariffs will put us in an economic depression!
Oil prices are driven by demand! As I have mentioned here on TV so many times before! Increasing supply while heading into a recession is the dumbest thing possible! You never want to consume your own oil when you can consume others first! Simultaneously, F your own nation's oil company's profit margins and gov tax revenue!
This is why we shouldn't put toddlers as POTUS!
Anyway!!! This is a break test go! setup!
If you haven't seen it before, here is an example I recently posted with AAPL.
Click Boost, follow, subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help them navigate these crazy markets too. ))
USOIL trading alerts. Pressure and support.Oil also fell according to instructions. I just forgot to remind you. Sorry, but the profit is quite good. Sell short from 58.7. Then the lowest reached 56.34
But today in the New York market, USOIL rose again above 58. From a fundamental perspective. The market will continue to fall under pressure. But from the trend, we need to pay attention to the support of 58. If it does not fall today, it is likely to continue to fall based on Friday's trend. The pressure level near 59 needs to be paid attention to. In terms of operation, it is still mainly selling at high levels.
Always remind trading risks. So don't ignore this. If you don't know how to trade. Remember to wait and see. Don't trade blindly or gamble.
Many investor friends know that I have led some investors to create good profits for several consecutive days. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message and try it. Maybe your profit will double.