XAGUSD[SILVER] : A Start Of Swing Sell, Comment Your Views?Silver is currently consolidating in the daily timeframe, with no clear indication of where the price may move forward. Looking at the volume of the last few days or week’s candles, we can confirm that a swing sell could be imminent in the market. Fundamentals and technical data support this view, as well as our own trading experience.
This analysis predicts the future price of the XAGUSD (SILVER) but does not guarantee that the price will move exactly as described.
However, we want to emphasise that this analysis should be used for educational purposes only and should not be considered as a secondary bias.
We would love to hear your thoughts on this idea.
Additionally, please remember to like, comment, and share the idea to encourage us to bring you more trading ideas!
Much love ❤️
Team Setupsfx_
XAGUSD trade ideas
SILVER: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 32.982 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 33.261 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bullish momentum to extend?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 33.07
1st Support: 32.64
1st Resistance: 34.48
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Silver Finds Its Footing—Are the Bulls Back? (Elliott Waves)Silver rebounded quite aggressively in April, following Trump’s decision to impose a 90-day tariff pause. At the time, there was still a lot of uncertainty, so many investors turned to metals as a safe haven—particularly during periods of trade tensions.
More importantly, we can see silver forming five waves up from the 28.34 low. In Elliott Wave terms, when we see a strong directional move that can be counted in five waves, it often represents the beginning of a new trend. That means the current pause is likely just a correction, and more upside should follow.
The 31.00–31.50 area is a very interesting support zone for silver—an area from which we could see a rebound, possibly after a completed A-B-C setback from the 33.70 region.
Silver Long-Term Outlook: Wyckoff, Fibonacci & Volunacci in PlayOn the monthly chart, Silver is showing a strong setup for long-term investors. We can clearly identify two adjacent Wyckoff accumulation patterns, signaling institutional accumulation phases.
Price action is following an ascending Fibonacci channel, reflecting a steady bullish structure. After breaking out of the second Wyckoff pattern, a Volunacci projection has formed—pointing toward a potential move to retest its historical high near $48.
This alignment of classic technical patterns with volume-based projection tools strengthens the long-term bullish case for Silver.
“Silver on the Edge – Is Wave 5 Loading?”📈 This daily analysis of Silver (XAGUSD) begins from the impulsive move starting in September 2022 at $17.535. Based on Elliott Wave Theory, the market appears to be entering the early stages of a potential Wave 5.
🔹 **Conservative Scenario:** Wave (2) within Wave 5 may be developing. As long as price holds above the 23.6%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone ($31.674 – $29.556), we expect Wave 3 of 5 to launch toward the $37.60 – $41.94 targets.
🔹 **Aggressive Scenario:** If the correction has already completed, Wave 3 of 5 might be underway. Any corrective pullback can be viewed as a continuation opportunity within the bullish trend.
🔻 **Invalidation Levels:**
▫️ First: $31.674
▫️ Second: $27.942
As long as price remains above these levels, the bullish count stays valid.
📌 The current wave structure remains aligned with the bullish channel, supporting further upside potential into Wave 5.
– Patterns whisper. I listen.
– Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
SILVER Will Go Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,314.0.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,380.1 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAG/USD PIVOT AREA WITH BULLISH BIASSilver has been consolidating with bullish preference around the pivot area between 32.90 and 33.69.
A break above the the pivot area will bring prices of 36.01 and3 38.31 in focus, with far bigger targets north targeting ATH on the longterm .
However , failure to break above could send prices to 30.58
SILVERSilver Price, Bond Yield, and DXY Correlation in the Economy
Key Correlations
Silver and DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse Relationship
Silver is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar (DXY↑) makes silver more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and pressuring prices lower. Conversely, a weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts silver’s affordability, increasing demand and prices.
Example: In early 2025, silver surged toward $32.60 as the DXY dropped to 99.50, highlighting this dynamic.
Silver and Bond Yields: Typically Inverse, But Context-Dependent
Higher bond yields (e.g., US 10-year Treasury) raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding silver, often pressuring prices downward.
Exception: During stagflation (high inflation + low growth) or geopolitical crises, silver and yields may rise together as investors seek inflation hedges.
Bond Yields and DXY: Positive Correlation
Rising US bond yields attract foreign capital, strengthening the dollar (DXY↑). This synergy often pressures silver prices via both channels.
Economic Applications
1. Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics
Fed Rate Hikes: Increase bond yields and often strengthen the dollar, creating dual headwinds for silver. However, if hikes fail to curb inflation, silver may rally as a hedge.
Quantitative Easing (QE): Expands money supply, weakening the dollar and supporting silver. For example, post-2008 QE drove silver to $50/oz by 2011.
2. Stagflation Scenarios
When inflation outpaces growth (e.g., 2024–2025), silver often outperforms despite rising yields. Investors prioritize its role as an inflation hedge over yield-driven opportunity costs.
3. Industrial Demand and Currency Volatility
Silver’s industrial use (e.g., solar panels, electronics) ties its price to economic growth. A weak dollar (DXY↓) can amplify demand from tech and green energy sectors, offsetting yield-driven declines.
4. Safe-Haven Flows
During geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade wars), silver and the dollar may both strengthen temporarily, disrupting their usual inverse correlation.
Strategic Implications
Factor Silver Price Impact Economic Signal
DXY ↑ + Yields ↑ Bearish Strong dollar, tight monetary policy
DXY ↓ + Yields ↓ Bullish Weak dollar, accommodative policy
DXY ↓ + Yields ↑ Mixed Stagflation or growth-inflation mix
Yield Peaks: Negatively divergent 10-year yields (~4.54% in May 2025) suggest impending declines, potentially boosting silver.
Debt-Driven Inflation: With U.S. debt-to-GDP exceeding 200%, monetary debasement fears support long-term silver demand despite short-term yield pressures.
Conclusion
The interplay between silver, bond yields, and the DXY provides critical insights into economic health and investor sentiment. While their correlations are often inverse, stagflation or systemic risks can override these trends, positioning silver as both a cyclical and structural hedge. Policymakers and traders monitor these relationships to navigate inflation, growth, and currency volatility.
#SILVER #DOLLAR #GOLD #FX #FOREX
SILVER RISKY LOCAL SHORT|
✅SILVER is going up now
But despite our mid-term
Bullish bias the price will
Soon hit a horizontal
Resistance level around 33.20$
From where a local bearish
Pullback will be expected
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver H4 | Potential bearish reversalSilver (XAG/USD) is trading close to an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 33.62 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 34.70 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 31.76 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Disclaimer
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Can You Snatch Silver’s Profits? XAG/USD Stealth Trade Plan🔥Silver Snatch Strategy: XAG/USD Stealth Trade Plan🔥
👋 Greetings, Profit Pirates & Chart Ninjas! 🕵️♂️💸
Welcome to the Silver Snatch Strategy—a sly, calculated approach to raiding the XAG/USD market with finesse. This plan fuses razor-sharp technicals with real-time fundamentals to swipe profits from silver’s wild swings.
Let’s move like shadows, strike fast, and vanish with the gains! 🌑📈
📜 The Silver Snatch Blueprint
Entry Triggers 🔑:
🔼 Bullish Ambush: Enter on a breakout above the 50-period EMA at ~$34.20, signaling a potential rally.
🔽 Bearish Strike: Dive in on a breakdown below the 200-period EMA at ~$31.50, riding the downward momentum.
💡 Pro Tip: Use price alerts to catch these levels without glued eyes! 🔔
Stop Loss (SL) 🛡️:
🟢 Bullish Trade: Set SL at $31.90 (recent daily low, cushioning against wicks).
🔴 Bearish Trade: Place SL at $33.80 (daily high, guarding against fakeouts).
📉 Stay Flexible: Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and market volatility. This is your safety net!
Take Profit (TP) 💰:
🚀 Bullish Raiders: Target $36.50 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) or exit on fading volume.
🕳️ Bearish Thieves: Aim for $28.80 (key support zone) or slip out if momentum stalls.
🚪 Escape Tactic: Watch RSI for overbought (>70) or oversold (<30) signals to dodge reversals.
🌐 Why Trade XAG/USD Now?
Silver’s price action is a treasure chest of opportunity, driven by:
💵 USD Strength: The US dollar is flexing due to hawkish Fed signals and robust US economic data (e.g., Q1 2025 GDP growth at 2.8% annualized). A stronger USD typically pressures silver prices.
🕊️ Geopolitical Shifts: Easing US-China trade tensions reduce safe-haven demand for silver, tilting sentiment bearish.
🎲 Speculative Bets: Speculative net-short positions on silver are rising, with traders leaning against XAG/USD.
📊 Technical Edge: RSI (14-day) at 45 signals bearish momentum, while Fibonacci retracement levels highlight resistance at $34.50 and support at $31.00.
📈 Intermarket Dynamics: Rising US Treasury yields (10-year at 4.2%) and equity market optimism divert capital from non-yielding assets like silver.
📉 Silver’s recent dip to $31.60 (May 19, 2025) reflects these pressures, but a potential rebound looms if geopolitical risks flare up.
📊 Real-Time Sentiment Snapshot (May 19, 2025)
Retail Traders:
📈 Bullish: 38% 🌟 (Eyeing silver’s safe-haven appeal amid global uncertainty).
📉 Bearish: 48% ⚡ (Swayed by USD rally and trade deal optimism).
⚖️ Neutral: 14% 🧭 (Waiting for clearer signals).
Institutional Traders:
🏦 Bullish: 25% 🏦 (Hedging with silver for recession risks).
📉 Bearish: 65% 📉 (Favoring USD assets amid higher yields).
⚖️ Neutral: 10% ⚖️ (Monitoring Fed commentary).
💥 Why This Trade?
🔥 Volatility Goldmine: XAG/USD’s recent 3% daily ranges offer quick profit potential for agile traders.
📚 Data-Backed Setup: RSI, Fibonacci, and EMA alignments provide high-probability entry/exit points.
🌬️ Macro Tailwinds: USD strength and trade optimism create a clear bearish bias, with bullish setups as contingency plans.
🛡️ Risk Control: Tight SL and dynamic TP levels keep your capital safe while chasing 2:1 reward-to-risk ratios.
🗞️ News & Risk Management ⚠️
Silver is sensitive to sudden news spikes. Stay sharp:
⏰ Avoid Entries Pre-News: Skip trades 30 minutes before major releases (e.g., Fed speeches, US CPI data on May 20, 2025).
🔁 Trailing Stops: Lock in gains as price moves your way (e.g., trail SL by 50 pips on bullish trades).
🌪️ Volatility Play: Use smaller lot sizes during high-impact events to navigate choppy waters.
Join the Silver Snatch Squad!
👉 Click that Boost button to amplify this Silver Snatch Strategy and make it a TradingView legend! 🚀
Every like and share fuels our crew to drop more high-octane trade plans.
Let’s conquer XAG/USD together! 🤜🤛
Keep your charts locked, alerts primed, and trading spirit electric.
See you in the profit zone, ninjas!
Silver – Breaking Higher, But Harmonic Patterns Signal CautionFX_IDC:XAGUSD
Silver has broken above the $32.62 resistance, confirming bullish momentum and clearing the way for continued upside. However, traders should be aware of key harmonic resistance zones now coming into view.
A bearish alt-bat pattern is projected around $33.44, while a bearish crab pattern emerges near $34.22, aligning with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension zone. Both levels mark potential exhaustion points where price could face meaningful resistance and possibly reverse.
🧭 Key Zones to Monitor:
Broken Resistance: $32.62
Bearish Alt-Bat PRZ (113% Fib Ext.): $33.44
Bearish Crab PRZ (161.8% Fib Ext.): $34.22
📌 Upside is active, but heavy harmonic resistance ahead. Watch for reaction at $33.44 and $34.22.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
Silver Outlook: Consolidation Continues Amid Tech and Haven HypeDespite Nasdaq's recent 400-point pullback from the 21,446 high, silver has extended its one-month consolidation, with momentum and price action suggesting the calm before the breakout.
The intersection of haven demand and renewed interest in tech-sector investments—particularly around AI—could reestablish silver as a preferred alternative asset.
From a daily time frame perspective, Silver is consolidating both in price and momentum. A decisive close above the $33 level could pave the way toward $33.70, $34.30, and $35.
On the downside, a break below $31.60 could trigger losses toward $31, $30.30, and $29.50.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT