26.03.25 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
OANDA:XAGUSD
FX:EURUSD
FX:NZDUSD
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
XAGUSD trade ideas
SILVER IS UNDERVALUED - A trade of a decade!Silver is undervalued! The pattern is over 50 years old and on a massive timeframe.
Silver and gold are always a good add to a strong portfolio. Currently it's in the progress of completing the handle of the cup and handle. 48$ will be a big resistance, but after that it will gap up over years to it's 1.618 as target. This wil take a give or take 10 years.
XAG/USD Trade Ideas: Navigating Key Resistance and Support ZonesSilver 's Next Move: Technical and Fundamental Insights for XAGUSD Traders 🚀📊
Technical Analysis 📊
The chart provided is a 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) with Fibonacci retracement levels applied. Here's a detailed technical breakdown:
Trend Analysis 📈:
The price has recently rebounded from a low near $32.90 and is now trading at $33.66.
The short-term trend appears bullish, as the price has made a higher low and is attempting to break higher.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels 🔢:
The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the recent swing high to swing low.
The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level ($33.35) and is now testing the 0% retracement level ($33.80), which acts as resistance.
The 61.8% retracement level ($33.24) and 78.6% retracement level ($33.09) are key support zones if the price pulls back.
Resistance and Support 🛑🛠️:
Resistance: The immediate resistance is at $33.80 (0% Fibonacci level). A break above this level could open the door to further upside, targeting $34.25 (50% Fibonacci extension).
Support: The first support is at $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level), followed by $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level).
Candlestick Patterns 🕯️:
The recent candles show indecision near the resistance level, indicating a potential pause or reversal.
If a strong bullish candle forms above $33.80, it would confirm a breakout.
Momentum 🚀:
The price is showing bullish momentum, but the resistance at $33.80 needs to be cleared for further upside.
Fundamental Analysis 🌍
Silver's Role as a Safe Haven 🛡️:
Silver often acts as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. If there are concerns about global economic stability or inflationary pressures, silver demand could increase.
US Dollar Impact 💵:
Silver is inversely correlated with the US Dollar. If the USD weakens due to dovish Federal Reserve policies or poor economic data, silver prices could rise.
Industrial Demand ⚙️:
Silver has significant industrial applications, particularly in electronics and renewable energy. Any positive developments in these sectors could support silver prices.
Upcoming Economic Events 📅:
The chart shows upcoming economic events (likely US-related). If these events lead to USD weakness or increased market uncertainty, silver could benefit.
Trade Idea 💡
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout 🚀
Entry: Buy above $33.80 (on a confirmed breakout).
Target: $34.25 (50% Fibonacci extension) and $34.50 (psychological level).
Stop Loss: Below $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level).
Scenario 2: Pullback and Rebound 🔄
Entry: Buy near $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level) or $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level) if the price pulls back.
Target: $33.80 (0% Fibonacci level) and $34.25.
Stop Loss: Below $33.00.
Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal 📉
Entry: Sell below $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level) if the price fails to hold support.
Target: $33.00 and $32.90.
Stop Loss: Above $33.50.
Conclusion ✅
The current setup favors a bullish bias 📈, but the resistance at $33.80 is critical. A breakout above this level could lead to significant upside, while a failure to break higher may result in a pullback to key support levels. Monitor price action closely around the Fibonacci levels and upcoming economic events for confirmation. ⚠️
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
XAG USD LONG Silver price after falling from the ascending channel last week took a straight dump in a closing descending channel and seemed to take support from the purple minor zone from which I took the long trade which is still running.
Also formed a double bottom and broke out the diagonal Trendline resistance indicating more bullish Signs.
Silver’s Bullish Breakout Raises Stakes for $34.24 RetestSilver delivered a monster bullish candle on Tuesday, completing a morning star pattern while smashing through wedge resistance that had capped gains earlier in the week. With RSI (14) setting higher lows and MACD on the verge of a bullish crossover, price and momentum signals suggest a growing risk of a retest of the March 18 high at $34.24.
Silver has a habit of gravitating toward round figures, making any pullback toward $33.50 a potential buying opportunity where longs could be established above with a stop beneath for protection. Resistance may emerge near $34, though $34.24 appears a more meaningful initial target. A break above that could encourage bulls to chase a move toward the October high of $34.87.
If silver reverses back beneath former wedge resistance and holds there, the bullish bias would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
SILVER - Breaking GoodWhile gold cycles are a bit cconfusing, the silver cycle is crystal clear.
Silver printed an ICL last year December .The intermediate cycle's first daily cycle is behind us . The DCL was printed on 28th February.
Right now we are in the 2nd daily cycle . This is the daily cycle where silver can break 35$ and finish this intermediate cycle at 40-42$ during the following weeks.
Gold printed a strong rally in the past weeks, but the xauxag ratio is turning down and there is a good chance the lower part of the consolidation box will be tagged during the following weeks.
If you are in a gold long position probably it's time to switch to a silver long position...
If you don't have any precious metal position it's time to open a silver long position.
silver|foxforexSilver received support from the lower support of the ascending channel by making a double bottom. The target is 35,000 according to both Fibonacci and channel trend.
silver bullishThe silver chart I shared before is working very well. The flag formation has now been broken. The price will reach the 35 level again in the coming months.
Silver H1 | Falling to swing-low supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.85 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 32.54 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 33.56 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Silver (XAG/USD) Double Top Reversal – Bearish Trading SetupThe provided 1-hour chart for Silver (XAG/USD) presents a well-structured bearish trade setup, highlighting key price action patterns, technical indicators, and confluence factors that suggest a potential downside move. Let's analyze the chart step by step to understand the logic behind this bearish trade setup.
1. Market Structure & Trend Overview
Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a short-term uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline. However, the trend now shows signs of exhaustion, with a clear shift in market behavior. The price action reveals the formation of a double top at a strong resistance level, coupled with a Change of Character (CHOCH), which signals a possible reversal.
A break below the trendline suggests that the bullish momentum is losing strength, and sellers are beginning to dominate the market. The combination of these elements makes this setup a high-probability short trade opportunity.
2. Key Technical Levels & Zones
A. Resistance Zone ($33.96 - $34.20) – The Selling Pressure Area
The chart marks a clear resistance zone, where price has struggled to break higher.
Two price rejections from this level indicate that sellers are actively defending this region.
This zone serves as an ideal stop-loss area for short trades, as a breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
B. Double Top Formation – Reversal Pattern
The price tested the resistance zone twice and failed to establish new highs, forming a double top structure.
A double top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
The second top (Top 2) aligns with a downward trendline, further confirming that sellers are stepping in at lower levels.
C. Support Level ($32.60 - $32.80) – Initial Reaction Zone
This area has previously acted as a demand zone where buyers stepped in.
If the price breaks below this support, it would confirm further downside movement towards the final target.
D. Trendline Breakdown – Loss of Bullish Momentum
The dotted trendline represents the previous bullish trend, supporting price action for several days.
A break below this trendline suggests a structural shift in market dynamics, meaning buyers are losing control.
The failure to reclaim the trendline increases the probability of a deeper move downward.
E. Target Level ($32.11 - $32.20) – The Bearish Objective
The projected target is based on the double top’s measured move, which suggests a price drop to at least $32.11.
This level also coincides with previous historical price action, making it a strong confluence zone for profit-taking.
3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
📌 Entry Point:
Aggressive Entry: Short position around $33.40 - $33.50, near the second top where price rejected the trendline.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the support level at $32.80 before entering short.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement:
The stop-loss should be placed above the resistance zone at $33.96.
This level ensures that the trade is invalidated if the price breaks out higher.
📌 Take-Profit Target:
Primary Target: $32.60, which is the first support level where price may temporarily react.
Final Target: $32.11, aligning with the double top breakdown target and historical support.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio:
A minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio, meaning for every 1% risked, there is a potential 2%+ gain.
This makes the trade favorable in terms of risk management.
4. Confluence Factors Supporting the Bearish Outlook
✅ Double Top Formation – A classic bearish reversal pattern.
✅ Lower Highs Formation – Indicates increasing selling pressure.
✅ Trendline Breakdown – A significant loss of bullish momentum.
✅ Resistance Zone Rejection – Strong seller presence.
✅ CHOCH (Change of Character) – Confirms a shift in market sentiment.
5. Risk Management & Alternative Scenario
📌 What If Price Moves Against the Trade?
If the price breaks above $33.96, the bearish outlook becomes invalid, and a potential bullish continuation could follow. In this case:
Stop-loss is triggered, and the setup is considered invalid.
Traders should then wait for a new setup before re-entering the market.
📌 Market Conditions to Monitor:
Volatility: Ensure there is enough momentum in the market before entering.
Volume Confirmation: A break below support should have strong volume.
News Events: Watch out for fundamental catalysts, such as US Dollar strength, economic data, and geopolitical events, which could influence Silver’s price movement.
6. Final Thoughts & Summary
This chart setup provides a clear bearish trade opportunity based on technical analysis. The combination of double top formation, resistance rejection, trendline breakdown, and lower highs strongly supports the idea of further downside movement.
💡 Key Takeaways:
Bearish bias is valid as long as price stays below $33.96.
Target is set at $32.11, with an intermediate support at $32.60.
Risk-to-reward is favorable, making it an ideal short trade setup.
If the market follows this expected scenario, this trade has the potential to yield significant profit while maintaining disciplined risk management. However, always stay alert to market conditions and adjust strategies accordingly.
Tariff Fears Drive Silver to $33.10Silver rose above $33.10 per ounce on Tuesday, snapping a four-day losing streak. The market focused on U.S. diplomatic efforts in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and escalating violence in the Middle East after an Israeli airstrike on a Gaza hospital.
A weaker U.S. dollar also supported silver, with concerns growing that Trump’s proposed tariffs could slow economic growth, fueling speculation of further Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, investors assessed China’s outlook after Premier Li Qiang urged global cooperation to stabilize economic conditions.
If silver breaks above $33.75, the next resistance levels are $34.05 and $34.85. On the downside, support is at $33.10, with further levels at $32.50 and $32.15 if selling pressure increases.
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,314.3
Target Level: 3,276.5
Stop Loss: 3,339.5
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Potential bullish rise?The Silver (XAG/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 32.67
1st Support: 31.91
1st Resistance: 33.58
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Silver wants to increase more & moreI’m keeping an eye on silver, there’s a good chance it could climb back to the $40. In my opinion, silver usually trails gold by a step or two, but it tends to follow the same overall trend. On the 3-month chart, the RSI is around 66, which is a known resistance level. If it breaks through soon, we might see a strong upward move.
XAGUSD - longthis is a market structure trade . simple is better . never complicate to much! use risk managment !
XAGUSD - Market Structure - structure probabilityhi, this is a long postion trade, i trade simple and very clean concept, use risk managment and trade safe,
SILVERBehind every successful trade lies the 90% rule - a hidden truth known to seasoned traders. As we see the breakout and retest, it's time to look out for this powerful tool that can lead us to profitable trades. Keep it simple, use lists when needed, and don't miss out on this unspoken reality. #tradingtips #90percentrule
SILVER PROJECTION Here's my projection for Xag this week.
PS: price would do what it wants to do regardless
We cleared the high of the second week of the Month 34.067 and close bearish last week. Hence my anticipation that price is going to clear the los of the second week as well which is 31.789 taking that as my draw of Liquidity 🧲.
Shuffling down to H4, everything now depends on confirmation. Price may react from 33.302 and continue to the downside or price may decide to go and test that 33.597 zon before the sell continuation.
Watch out for these zone for trade opportunity.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
Buy Silver#xagusd
Silver has a chance to continue upward growth. The daily and weekly charts shows confirmation of further growth.
Trade on hourly chart.
The first target is 34.80 (the previous high).
Set the stop loss at 33.50.
Lucky trades to everyone!
XAG/USD SILVER TRENDLINE BREAK outThis image shows a trade setup for XAGUSD (Silver) with key levels, entry, stop loss, and targets. Here's a quick breakdown and analysis:
Trade Details
Entry: 33.1840
Stop Loss: 33.7000
Target 1: 31.9075 (~1.27 RR)
Target 2: 31.0000 (~3.68 RR)
Analysis
Trend Line Breakout suggests bearish momentum.
Key Support Zone:
32.50: A break below this could accelerate downward.
31.9075: Possible interim support before hitting 31.0000.
Additional Considerations
Using Fibonacci retracements or moving averages for confluence could strengthen this setup.
Given the Risk-Reward Ratio, Target 2 presents a stronger swing trade opportunity.
Recommendation
If bearish momentum continues and 32.50 breaks, this setup has solid potential.
Ensure you monitor key resistance levels to avoid premature reversal risks.
Would you like a technical indicator suggestion or algo strategy for this setup?
XAG/USD...silver trendline break out...MY XAGUSD (Silver) sell trade setup looks like this:
Entry: 33.1840
Stop Loss: 33.7000
Target 1: 31.9075
Target 2: 31.0000
Trade Analysis:
Trend Line Breakout: Indicates potential bearish momentum.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Target 1 (31.9075): ~1.27 RR
Target 2 (31.0000): ~3.68 RR (solid swing trade target)
Key Levels:
If price breaks below 32.50, it could accelerate downward.
31.9075 could act as interim support before testing 31.00.
If sellers maintain control, this trade has a good downside potential. Are you using any additional confluences, like Fibonacci retracements or moving averages, to confirm the move?
SILVER Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 33.211.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 31.952 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📊 Overview of the Chart
This 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) provides a classic example of a Rising Wedge Breakdown, a bearish reversal pattern. The price initially followed a strong uptrend, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, but failed to sustain momentum at the key resistance zone (~$34.00 - $34.50). This led to a breakout to the downside, which has now confirmed a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
This analysis will break down each key level, the technical indicators supporting this trade setup, and how traders can approach it effectively.
🛠️ Breakdown of the Chart Components
1️⃣ Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern Identified)
The price action created a Rising Wedge, which is a bearish pattern characterized by an uptrend where the higher highs and higher lows start converging into a narrowing range.
This shows that while buyers were pushing prices higher, their strength was gradually fading.
The breakdown of this structure signaled a loss of bullish momentum, leading to a shift in trend.
2️⃣ Resistance Level & Sell Zone Identified
The resistance level at $34.00 - $34.50 has acted as a supply zone where sellers stepped in, preventing further upside.
A bearish rejection at this zone confirms that sellers are still dominant.
3️⃣ Retest of the Broken Support (Key Confirmation)
After the breakout from the wedge, the price made a retest of the broken trendline, a classic move before further downside.
Retesting this area confirms that it is now acting as resistance rather than support, further strengthening the bearish case.
4️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Structure
The dashed trendline was previously supportive, but now that the price has broken below it, it has turned into a resistance level.
This shift in market structure is a strong bearish signal.
5️⃣ Key Support Levels & Target Projection
The next major support level is at $32.00, a level where price previously found demand.
The ultimate target price is around $31.18, which aligns with historical support and Fibonacci retracement levels.
📉 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup?
✅ Entry Point (Short/Sell Setup)
A good shorting opportunity arises if the price retests the resistance at $33.50 - $34.00 and shows bearish confirmation (like a rejection candlestick or a bearish engulfing pattern).
📍 Stop Loss (SL) Placement
SL should be above $34.20 to avoid getting stopped out by potential fakeouts.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels
TP1: $32.00 (First support level)
TP2: $31.18 (Final bearish target)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio
Entry at $33.50 - $34.00 with SL at $34.20 and TP at $31.18 provides an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (~1:4).
📌 Market Sentiment & Conclusion
🔴 Bearish signals are dominant, suggesting further downside potential.
📉 A strong bearish move is expected if the price fails to reclaim $34.00.
🎯 Targeting $31.18 in the upcoming sessions.
📢 Final Advice: Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. A successful retest and rejection at $33.50 - $34.00 will be a high-probability short setup. 🚀
🔥 Follow price action and risk management principles for a successful trade! 🔥
