XAGUSD - market structure - clean setupXAGUSD - market structure - clean setup, use risk and trade managment , make your own decision
XAGUSD trade ideas
Silver Surfers & Profit Pirates!Dive into the XAG/USD Silver Market with our slick Coastal Trader Blueprint! We’re blending razor-sharp technicals with juicy fundamentals to surf both bullish and bearish waves. Ready to ride the silver tide and stack those pips? Let’s make waves! 🌊📈
🏄♂️ The Silver Surf Strategy
Entry Signals 🚦:
🐬 Bullish Ride: Catch a dip to the Coastal Support Zone at 34.200—your ticket to ride the bullish swell!
🦈 Bearish Drop: Spot a break below 31.300—dive in for the bearish plunge!
Pro Tip: Set price alerts to nab these levels! 🔔
Stop Loss (SL) 🛡️:
Bullish Trade: Anchor SL at 31.300 (4H swing low, Coastal Support Zone).
Bearish Trade: Fix SL at 33.700 (4H swing high).
Tweak SL based on risk, lot size, and order count. Stay safe—this is your lifeline! ⚓
Take Profit (TP) 🏝️:
Bullish Surfers: Aim for 36.500 or bail if the tide turns.
Bearish Surfers: Target 28.800 or slip out before the market flips.
Exit Trick: Watch RSI for overbought/oversold signals to dodge wipeouts! 🚨
🌍 Why XAG/USD?
Silver’s riding a bearish current 🐻 as of May 12, 2025, fueled by:
Fundamentals: USD strength from Fed hawkishness, US economic growth, and tariff talks.
Macroeconomics: US resilience outshines global slowdown.
COT Data (Latest Friday, May 9, 2025): Speculative net shorts on silver rise, favoring USD
Intermarket: Soaring US yields and equities lift USD, capping silver.
Quantitative: RSI (oversold hints) and Fibonacci (61.8% retracement) signal bearish bias.
📊 Sentiment Snapshot (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
Retail Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 40% 😄 (Betting on silver’s safe-haven spark)
🔴 Bearish: 47% 😣 (USD rally and yield spikes dominate)
⚪ Neutral: 13% 🤷♂️
Institutional Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 28% 💼 (Geopolitical hedges fuel demand)
🔴 Bearish: 62% ⚠️ (USD strength and high yields crush silver)
⚪ Neutral: 10% 🧐
⚡ Market Movers: News & Risk Control 📰
Volatility’s our wave, but surf smart:
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (FOMC, NFP).
Use trailing stops to lock profits and cap losses.
Stay alert—ride the news, don’t wipe out! 🌪️
💸 Real-Time Market Data (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
Forex (USD Pairs): USD Index (DXY) at 102.50, up 0.3% (source: Financial Juice).
Commodities CFD: Silver (XAG/USD) at 31.850, down 1.2% daily.
Metals: Gold (XAU/USD) at 2,650, down 0.8%; Copper at 4.20, flat.
Energies: WTI Crude Oil at 78.30, up 0.5%.
Crypto: BTC/USD at 62,400, down 0.4%.
Indices: S&P 500 at 5,820, up 0.2%; Nasdaq 100 at 20,100, flat.
🚀 Join the Coastal Trader Crew!
Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our Coastal Trader Blueprint and make this silver surf legendary! 🌟 Every boost powers our squad to conquer the markets. Let’s dominate XAG/USD together! 🤙
Stay locked on your charts, keep alerts active, and vibe high. See you in the profits, surfers! 🤑🎈
#CoastalTrader #XAGUSD #SilverSurf #TradingView #RideTheTide
Silver Shines Again! | XAGUSD Long Trade IdeaXAGUSD is showing bullish potential as price rebounded strongly from a key support zone, forming a higher low structure. On the 4H chart, price has broken above the descending trendline and is now trading above the 50 EMA – a classic bullish confirmation for trend continuation.
With bullish momentum building, a pullback to the breakout zone or the 50EMA could offer an attractive entry opportunity for long positions. Look for confirmation with bullish candlestick patterns or strong volume push.
🎯 Potential Target: Previous swing high / Pivot resistance
🛑 Stop Loss: Below recent higher low or 50EMA support zone
📚 Educational Note: In metals like silver, trendline breaks coupled with EMA alignment often provide high-probability setups. Always wait for confirmation to avoid fakeouts.
Silver USM2 Projections: 2032As we see USM2 Expand along this exponential line we can project around $33 trillion USDM2 around 2032. Silver, which is currently undervalued relative to many assets may fall again against M2, or rise. It seems to have hit resistance currently. Here I have outlined three scenarios:
Red: Silver falls against M2, but is nominally higher by 2032 at $43 an ounce.
Orange: Silver meets resistance again along this line at $72 an ounce.
Green: Silver reaches 2011 resistance at $294 an ounce.
Projecting the 1980 peak onto 2032 M2 supply gives $1746.
Of course we may see any range in between here, but buying at $33 and it being worth $43 in 2032 still outperforms 4% compounding on cash by about 10%.
4 hour Triangle patternThe price has formed a triangle pattern followed by a false breakout and now if the price makes a higher high, we might get a bullish impulse
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
SILVER XAGUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidation breakoutKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3332
Resistance Level 2: 3365
Resistance Level 3: 3409
Support Level 1: 3188
Support Level 2: 3138
Support Level 3: 3090
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver Sell Setup- look for sell
- enter only when entry setup given, incase it might go higher a bit
- if lucky, this move might go all the way down to 28.00 level then 26.00 level
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you have the strategy
"I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
SILVER XAGUSD
Silver Demand Trends in 2025
Global silver demand is forecast to remain broadly stable in 2025 at around 1.20 billion ounces, with industrial use hitting a new record high. This is driven by ongoing growth in green technologies (solar panels, EVs), electronics, and AI-related products.
Industrial demand is expected to surpass 700 million ounces for the first time, while demand for coins and bars is rebounding in Western markets after a sharp drop in 2024.
Despite stable demand, the silver market remains in a structural deficit for the fifth year, with a 2025 shortfall projected at 117.6 million ounces-though this deficit is narrowing due to increased mine supply, especially from Mexico and Poland.
Which Country is Stockpiling Silver?
China is aggressively stockpiling silver in 2025.
China is purchasing large quantities of unrefined silver concentrate directly from Latin American refiners and miners, securing supply before it reaches the global spot market.
This strategy is driven by surging domestic industrial demand (especially for solar panels) and declining Chinese mine output.
How the China–Taiwan Conflict Affects Silver
Geopolitical tensions between China and Taiwan-and broader US-China trade frictions-are major drivers of silver price volatility and demand in 2025:
Safe-haven demand: Investors are turning to silver (alongside gold) as a hedge against geopolitical risk, trade war escalation, and potential supply disruptions.
Industrial risk: Tariffs and potential conflict threaten global electronics and solar manufacturing supply chains, both of which are major consumers of silver.
Strategic stockpiling: China’s accumulation of silver is partly a defensive measure in case of sanctions, trade blockades, or conflict with Taiwan and the US, ensuring access to critical industrial inputs.
Market impact: These factors have led to sharp price swings, with silver rallying nearly 4% in a single day during recent trade war escalations. Physical shortages are emerging, and above-ground inventories are at multi-year lows.
Summary Table
China’s industrial growth & stockpiling Increases global demand, tightens supply
China–Taiwan–US tensions Boosts safe-haven and strategic demand
Trade war/tariffs Disrupts supply chains, adds volatility
Physical inventory depletion Supports higher prices, risk of shortages
In summary:
Silver demand in 2025 remains robust, especially for industrial uses. China is the leading country stockpiling silver, buying directly from Latin America to secure supply amid falling domestic output and rising demand. The China–Taiwan conflict and US-China trade tensions are key catalysts, fueling safe-haven buying, strategic accumulation, and price volatility. These dynamics are likely to keep silver in a structural deficit and support elevated prices throughout the year.
Silver (XAGUSD) Dip Anticipated to Spark Buyer ActivitySilver’s rally from its July 4, 2025, low has unfolded as an impulsive Elliott Wave structure, completing Wave (1) at $33.67. The metal is now in a corrective Wave (2) pullback. It is characterized by a double three Elliott Wave pattern, a common corrective formation in technical analysis. From the Wave (1) peak, Wave ((a)) declined to $32.63, followed by a recovery in Wave ((b)) to $33.53. The subsequent drop in Wave ((c)) reached $31.65, finalizing Wave W of the double three structure.
A corrective rally then formed Wave X, structured as a zigzag. Within Wave X, Wave ((a)) advanced to $32.70, Wave ((b)) pulled back to $31.91, and Wave ((c)) rose to $33.25, completing Wave X at a higher degree. Silver has since resumed its decline in Wave Y. From the Wave X high, Wave ((w)) fell to $32.20, and a minor recovery in Wave ((x)) hit $33.23. As long as Silver stays below the Wave (1) high of $33.67, further downside is expected, targeting $29.90–$31.18, based on the 100%–161.8% Fibonacci extension from the April 25, 2025, high. This range may attract buyers, potentially sparking a reversal. While the $33.67 pivot holds, rallies are likely to fail in 3, 7, or 11-swing patterns, leading to further declines. Traders should watch these levels for strategic entry points.
SILVER: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.131 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 31.954.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SilverXAGUSD
- Break of Structure
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves
- RSI - Divergence
- Consolidation Phase as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Order Block
Silver Market Steady — Eyes on the UpsideSilver is consolidating, holding above the 32 level. Dips are being bought actively, though there's no breakout higher yet — likely just a matter of time.
There were hopes for a deeper pullback to buy around 30.8–31, but the market didn’t offer the opportunity.
I'm holding a long position with a stop just below the 32.15 support level. I believe there's a solid chance for an upside acceleration and a breakout higher.
XAGUSD FOMC DAY.Hello people, just like my old analysis about PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSD , everything is going on fine, currently, XAGUSD is moving in a favorably way, and we now have another fresh opportunities to add to our position. See screenshot for more, if you want to understand the genesis of the analysis, pls do well to scroll through my profile, check about the old XAGUSD POST.
Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 32.74
1st Support: 32.25
1st Resistance: 33.38
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Trade idea: XAGUSD long (BUY LIMIT)1. Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend)
• Trend: Strong bullish structure, recent consolidation after breakout above $30.
• MACD: Histogram tapering but still positive — momentum cooling but bullish bias intact.
• RSI (48.70): Neutral zone, not overbought or oversold — room for upside continuation.
• Price Action: Holding near previous resistance-turned-support around $32.40.
15-Min Chart (Intraday Context)
• Trend: Pullback from recent highs, but signs of base forming near $32.40.
• MACD: Still bearish, but histogram is flattening — suggesting downside momentum weakening.
• RSI (42.98): Near oversold territory — early sign of bounce potential.
3-Min Chart (Entry Timing)
• MACD: Just flipped bullish (signal line crossover), bullish divergence spotted.
• RSI (61.34): Rebounding strongly — confirmation of short-term bullish momentum.
• Price Action: Higher lows forming; reclaiming the 20 EMA.
⸻
2. Fundamental Backdrop (as of May 2025):
• Dovish Fed stance and expectations of interest rate cuts continue to support metals.
• Global macro uncertainty (inflation, geopolitical tensions) keeps demand for silver intact.
• Industrial demand for silver remains strong due to green energy initiatives.
⸻
3. Trade Setup (Long Position):
Bias: LONG XAGUSD
• Entry: 32.43 (current price, confirming breakout on 3M chart)
• Stop Loss (SL): 31.90 (below recent intraday low and structure support)
• Take Profit (TP): 33.80 (previous swing high from April, daily resistance zone)
FUSIONMARKETS:XAGUSD
Don't FREAK out...ZOOM out!Inverse Head and Shoulder on
the daily time frame. Don't freak
out on all the doom and gloom
predictions for silver. People are
buying this baby up. Don't doubt
me. We look super bullish to test
38 dollars towards the end of May
or around middle of JUNE.
Good luck and...
********* HAPPY SILVER HUNTING ***********
Short Idea on Silver (XAGUSD)Based On :
- 1h Supply covered by weekly
- POIV divergence
- IQMS Extremes about to flip
Silver is Again in the Bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
3 Liquidity indicators.3 Liquidity indicators. The liquidity indicators really need to be used together; they all give you great insight into the changes happening under the surface of the price action.
1. Liquidity sentiment indicator. This indicator shows you the strength of liquidity during a move up or in a pull back. It’s not moderated so it shows a relative strength of liquidity over all time scales. This is the most important of the indicators for staying in a trade as you actually see how much of the strength of the liquidity had dissipated during a move in price, it’s great for all time scales.
2.Time layered Liquidity Indicator gives you an idea of how long a change in liquidity strength takes to play out. The thickest line showing the current liquidity on the surface(nearest time period), but if this has been preceded by very strong liquidity at the surface for an extended period of time the moving average of the different layers of the liquidity will give you a good idea of how long that move has to play out until the liquidity makes a neutral level from the recent strong surface liquidity.
3. Irregular liquidity is vital to trading futures in short time periods that bridge different time zones over the Globex Futures markets, and securities(ones only trade during lit hours) over longer periods that bridge more than one day. This is because the lit hours of NYSE have so much more liquidity than the other globex hours, and different days of the week or month also have different patterns of liquidity because of hedging. The irregular liquidity indicator moderates any time period with the last 15 either days or week periods depending on the setting you choose, and smooths them to a moving average of 8 time periods. The day moderation is for a 4 hour time period and less setting on your TradingView. The weekly setting is for smoothing when you have your time period set to days. The Irregular Liquidity indicator also has a line in its moderation scale that is set at neutral to give you a relative feel of how far above or below an average liquidity the current measurement is.
XAG/USD For Bearish as pull-backwait for pull-back near by entry point and then go short
general trend i up trend
current phase is pull-back
Silver under pressure
have fun :)
Correction Within the Trend — Silver Update📉 Silver — Correction in Wave (ii)
After a strong impulse from April 7 to 25, silver is now in a wave (ii) correction. These second waves are often sharp, but we’re entering a promising long zone between 30.7–31.7.
🔍 A potential reaction may come from the vWap, VAL, or the 0.38 Fib imbalance area.
🧭 This setup fits perfectly into my broader outlook on silver — read the full breakdown here:
👉
📈 The target for the third wave remains around $35+.
Silver (XAG/USD) Bullish Breakout Toward $34.40 Target Key Observations:
Support Zone (Around $32.00 - $32.50):
Price has respected this zone multiple times (green arrows indicate successful bullish reactions).
EMA 50 and 200 are aligned beneath current price, acting as dynamic support (bullish signal).
Resistance / Target 1 (~$33.40 area):
Price is approaching this area again, previously acting as a resistance.
Short-term traders might consider this a partial take-profit zone.
Target 2 (~$34.40 area):
If the resistance/Target 1 zone is broken and confirmed (as the black arrow suggests), the price could rally toward Target 2.
There's room for bullish continuation based on prior momentum and structure.
📈 Technical Outlook:
Trend: Bullish (higher lows, EMA crossover)
Bias: Bullish continuation if price breaks and retests the $33.40 zone.
Risk: Rejection at resistance could push price back toward the $32.00–$32.50 support.
