SILVER at Key Support Level – Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:XAGUSD is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting from the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The price has now reached the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a key demand zone. This confluence of trendline support and horizontal demand increases the probability of a bullish reaction from this level.
If buyers maintain control at this level, we could see a rebound toward the $34.12 level, which aligns with the midline of the ascending channel. This level could serve as a short-term target within the current bullish market structure. However, failure to hold above this support zone could invalidate the bullish outlook and signal further downside.
Traders should monitor bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, increasing volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
XAGUSD01 trade ideas
XAGUSD - Hunting for Bullish Entries on Smaller TFThe Silver/USD 4-hour chart displays a significant retracement from recent highs around $3,420, with price currently rebounding near the $3,300 level. This correction has brought price to test both the ascending trendline and the horizontal support at $3,275 (marked by the red line), creating a potential buying opportunity. Given the overall uptrend structure and the recent bounce from this dual support zone, we need to prepare for finding buy setups on smaller timeframes. Traders should shift to lower timeframe charts (15-minute, 30-minute, or 1-hour) to identify precise entry signals. The price action suggests a potential retest of the upper blue reaction zone after completing the current zigzag correction, as indicated by the directional arrow on the chart. Monitoring these smaller timeframes will help capture optimal entry points with tighter stop-losses while maintaining the broader bullish bias shown on this 4-hour chart.
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SILVER: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SILVER pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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SILVERFactors Affecting Silver’s Trade Directional Bias Next Week
Fed Policy and Rate Cuts:
Market Expectations: Two Fed rate cuts in 2025 are priced in, but uncertainty over timing (e.g., June vs. earlier) may cause volatility.
Impact: Delayed cuts → USD↑, silver↓; Accelerated cuts → USD↓, silver↑.
Industrial Demand:
Supply-Demand Imbalance: A projected 149M oz deficit in 2025 due to high demand for solar, electronics, and EVs.
Supply Risks: Q1 production growth (+15.4% YoY) has eased short-term pressure, but long-term deficits support prices.
Safe-Haven Demand:
Geopolitical Risks: Trade wars (Trump’s April 2 tariffs) and Middle East tensions could boost silver as a hedge.
Gold’s Influence:
Gold-to-Silver Ratio: At 88:1, below historical peaks, suggesting silver may outperform gold if the ratio normalizes.
Conclusion
Bearish Bias Likely Next Week:
Resistance Test: Silver faces strong technical resistance at overbought territory, favoring profit-taking.
Fed Uncertainty: Delayed rate cuts or USD strength could pressure prices toward $32.50.
Upside Catalysts: A break above strong supply roof or geopolitical escalation (tariffs) may trigger a rally to a new all time high
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📌 Overview
This 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) presents a textbook Rising Wedge pattern, which is known as a bearish reversal signal. The price was in a strong uptrend but started showing signs of buyer exhaustion, leading to a breakdown from the wedge formation.
The chart clearly identifies:
✅ A Rising Wedge formation
✅ Resistance Level where price faced multiple rejections
✅ Breakdown Confirmation and shift in trend direction
✅ Projected Target & Stop Loss Zones
This setup suggests a strong potential for further downside movement in silver prices. Now, let’s break it down step by step like a professional trader.
🔹 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown
1️⃣ Rising Wedge Pattern – The Bearish Setup
The Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price action moves higher within two converging trendlines. The slope of the lower trendline is steeper than the upper trendline, meaning that buyers are getting weaker.
This pattern suggests that even though the price is rising, bullish momentum is fading.
Once the price breaks below the wedge, it confirms a bearish trend.
🔸 Characteristics of this Wedge:
📌 Multiple Higher Highs & Higher Lows – But with decreasing strength
📌 Narrowing Price Action – Indicates weaker buying power
📌 Breakdown Below Support Line – Confirms the bearish move
2️⃣ Resistance Level – Key Price Rejection Zone
The price tested the Resistance Level multiple times before breaking down. This area is where sellers overpowered buyers, preventing further upside movement.
The resistance zone was a liquidity area, meaning large institutional traders likely placed sell orders here.
The price attempted to push higher but failed, showing that demand was exhausted.
Once rejection happened, selling pressure increased, and the breakdown followed.
3️⃣ Breakdown Confirmation – Bearish Momentum Kicks In
After the wedge broke down, the price started moving in a structured downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that the breakdown was valid and that the trend has shifted.
🔹 Signs of Breakdown Strength:
✅ Strong Bearish Candles – Indicating aggressive selling
✅ No Immediate Recovery – Suggests sellers are in control
✅ Lower Highs Forming – Bearish trend structure confirmed
4️⃣ Risk Management – Stop Loss & Target Zones
A well-planned trade must include a Stop Loss and a Target to manage risk effectively.
📌 Stop Loss Placement (33.95)
Placing a Stop Loss just above the resistance level protects against false breakouts.
If the price goes back above 33.95, it would invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Profit Target (31.96)
The target is based on the measured move projection, meaning the expected price drop is equal to the height of the wedge at its widest point.
If the price reaches 31.96, traders can lock in profits.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)
The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a high-probability trade.
5️⃣ Expected Price Movement – Bearish Outlook
From here, we can expect the following price movement:
📉 Scenario 1: Continuation of Downtrend (High Probability)
The price will likely form lower highs and lower lows on its way to 31.96.
Each small rally should be met with selling pressure.
📈 Scenario 2: False Breakdown (Low Probability but Possible)
If the price moves back above 33.95, the wedge breakdown will be invalid.
This could lead to a bullish reversal instead.
6️⃣ Final Thoughts – How to Trade This Setup?
This Rising Wedge Breakdown provides an excellent short-selling opportunity. Here’s how a professional trader would approach it:
✅ 🔹 Entry Strategy:
Short after a retest of the broken wedge support
Confirmation of lower highs ensures trend continuation
✅ 🔹 Risk Management:
Place Stop Loss above 33.95
Take profits around 31.96
✅ 🔹 Confirmation Signals to Watch:
Lower highs forming after breakdown
Increased selling volume on bearish candles
Price respecting the downtrend structure
🔔 Conclusion – Bearish Bias Confirmed
🔻 Trend Shift: The breakdown signals a potential trend reversal in silver.
🔻 Bearish Targets: The price is expected to fall toward 31.96 in the coming sessions.
🔻 High-Probability Trade: Strong technical reasons support a bearish outlook.
🚨 Watch for further confirmations and manage risk effectively! 📊💰
SILVER $70.00My silver 5 year / 1 Week Chart!
Silver will rise to the resistance line at $35
If it breaks it resistance line at $35
The next resistance trendline is around $37.50
If it breaks the resistance trendline around $37.50
It could blast around $70.00 lol
I am making monthly videos on YouTube
I called this move 2 months ago!
I forgot to upload my idea on tradingview :(
Tradingview blocked my last silver idea 6 days ago for putting my youtube links! lol
Silver The Week Ahead 24th March '25Silver bullish & overbought, the key trading level is at 3194
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Silver Wave Analysis – 21 March 2025
- Silver reversed from resistance level 34.00
- Likely to fall to support level 32.00
Silver recently reversed down from the key resistance level 34.00 (which stopped the previous intermediate impose wave (3) at the end of October) standing close to the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 34.00 stopped the previous impulse wave 3 of the higher order impulse wave (5) from the end of 2024.
Given the strength of the resistance level 34.00 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, USDCHF can be expected to fall to the next support level 32.00.
SILVER Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER went down and
Retested a horizontal
Support of 32.60$ from
Where we are seeing a
Bullish rebound so as we
Are bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Sell!
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XAG/USD (Silver) – 1H Technical Analysis & Trade SetupThis analysis presents a high-probability bullish trade setup based on key price action principles, market structure, and technical indicators. The chart illustrates a potential reversal from a support zone, a descending channel breakout, and an overall shift in trend dynamics.
1. Market Structure & Key Price Levels
Before placing any trade, it's essential to analyze the bigger picture, including support and resistance levels, trend structure, and liquidity zones. Let's break down the key areas:
A. Resistance Area (Supply Zone) – $34.20 to $34.60
This horizontal resistance zone has historically acted as a selling pressure area where price faced rejection.
It represents a profit-taking zone for bulls and a possible reversal point for bears.
If price successfully breaks and closes above this resistance, it could signal further upside potential.
B. Support Level (Demand Zone) – $32.90 to $33.10
The price has consistently bounced from this region, indicating strong buying interest.
This level has acted as a demand zone, where institutions or large traders are likely accumulating positions.
A strong bullish reaction from this zone strengthens the reversal scenario.
C. Change of Character (CHoCH) – Key Structural Shift
A Change of Character (CHoCH) is marked on the chart, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend.
This is one of the most reliable signals when transitioning from a downtrend to an uptrend.
2. Chart Pattern & Price Action Analysis
A. Descending Channel Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
The market has been forming a descending channel, which is a corrective pattern rather than a continuation pattern.
This structure consists of lower highs and lower lows, indicating short-term selling pressure.
However, when such a pattern forms near strong support, it often precedes a breakout and trend reversal.
A confirmed break above the channel's upper trendline will serve as a bullish breakout signal.
B. Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt Consideration
Many retail traders place stop-loss orders below the support zone, making it an area of liquidity accumulation.
The market may attempt to sweep these stops before moving up, which aligns with institutional trading behavior.
If price momentarily dips below the support and then quickly reverses with strong bullish momentum, it confirms a stop hunt and a possible reversal setup.
3. Trading Strategy & Setup
To maximize profits while managing risk, we need a well-structured entry, target, and stop-loss strategy.
📌 Entry Strategy
Aggressive Entry:
Enter a buy position within the support zone ($33.00 - $33.10) if bullish price action (e.g., bullish engulfing candle) confirms buying pressure.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a clear breakout from the descending channel’s upper trendline, then buy on a retest.
This reduces the risk of a fakeout and provides higher confirmation.
🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit Zones)
First Target (TP1) – $34.26
This is a key resistance level where price previously reversed.
Partial profit-taking is recommended here to secure gains.
Second Target (TP2) – $34.60
If momentum continues, price could reach this extended target.
Strong breakout volume would support this move.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL) Placement
Stop-loss should be set below the support zone ($32.45).
This ensures adequate risk management and avoids premature stop-outs.
If price breaks below this level with strong selling volume, the bullish setup is invalidated.
4. Risk Management & Trade Considerations
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
The trade setup offers an RRR of at least 1:3, making it a high-probability trade.
📌 Possible Fakeouts & Confirmation Signals:
If price breaks above the descending channel but fails to hold above support, it's a sign of a fake breakout.
Watch for strong bullish volume and clear break of previous lower highs before entering long.
📌 Fundamental Factors:
Keep an eye on economic reports, Federal Reserve speeches, and USD strength, as they heavily influence Silver prices.
5. Conclusion – High-Probability Bullish Setup
Descending channel breakout, strong support level, and CHoCH indicate a potential bullish reversal.
If buyers successfully defend the support zone, price is likely to target $34.26 – $34.60.
Risk management is crucial – waiting for confirmation reduces chances of a failed trade.
🚀 Watch for bullish confirmation before entering!
Why is Gold hitting record highs while Silver lags behind?Silver 21-Mar-2025:
Many investors are wondering why Gold continues to reach new highs, while Silver remains below its 2011 all-time high of around $49.50.
It’s important to understand that Silver is not perceived as a safe-haven asset to the same extent as Gold. During times of uncertainty, capital tends to flow more aggressively into Gold as a hedge. While Silver may benefit from this momentum, its heavy use in industrial production makes a sharp rally less favorable for manufacturers—much like we see in oil markets.
As of now, Silver is trading around $33.
From a technical perspective, some traders are observing the following levels:
* A potential short-term move above $35 may open the way for a retest of the $37 area.
* Support was previously seen near $32.5.
* A sustained move below $32.5 might lead to a deeper correction, possibly toward the $30.8 support zone.
* If the $30 psychological level fails to hold, further downside toward $29 cannot be ruled out.
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Silver Steadies Near $33.20 After PullbackSilver hovered near $33.20 on Friday morning after two consecutive sessions of decline. The recent upward momentum, initially fueled by China’s stimulus measures, has temporarily stalled. Nevertheless, the potential for further gains remains intact amid persistent uncertainty surrounding former President Trump’s tariff policies and escalating geopolitical risks. In addition, the Federal Reserve’s soft approach to interest rates, even if temporary, continues to support interest in non-yielding assets like silver.
If silver breaks above $33.75, the next resistance levels are $34.05 and $34.85. On the downside, support is at $33.10, with further levels at $32.50 and $32.15 if selling pressure increases.
Silver Approaching Critical 32.95 Support LevelSilver has broken below the 33.50 support and is retreating quickly. The main support lies around the 32.95 area, where both the uptrend line and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level converge. This zone could potentially offer a buying opportunity, provided the support holds.
However, if Silver breaks below 32.95 and retests it from underneath, it could also present a selling opportunity. In both scenarios, a high risk/reward trade setup with well-placed stops may form.
Caution is advised, as Silver is known for sudden price spikes, especially around key support and resistance levels.
WILL SILVER DIP BELOW 32.6 BEFORE ITS RALLY TO TEST RECENT HIGH?Silver Price Movement...
N.B!
- XAGUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#silver
#xagusd
Elliott Wave View: Silver (XAGUSD) Pullback Remains SupportedShort Term Elliott Wave view in Silver (XAGUSD) suggests rally from 2.28.2025 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse. Up from 2.28.2025 low, wave ((i)) ended at 32.76 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 31.79 as a zigzag structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 32.08 and wave (b) ended at 32.66. Wave (c) lower ended at 31.79 which completed wave ((ii)). Up from there, wave ((iii)) higher unfolded as a 5 waves impulse in lesser degree.
Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 33.31 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 32.92. Wave (iii) higher ended at 34.08 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 33.41. The final leg wave (v) ended at 34.23 which completed wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Pullback in wave ((iv)) is proposed complete with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Down from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended at 33.43 and wave (b) ended at 33.94. Wave (c) lower ended at 33.07 which completed wave ((iv)). Near term, as far as pivot at 31.79 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
SILVER LONG SIGNAL|
✅SILVER has retested a key
Support level of 33.39$
After a bearish correction
While trading in an uptrend
So we can enter a long trade
With the Take Profit of 33.89$
And the Stop Loss of 33.08$
LONG🚀
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SILVER (#XAGUSD): Bearish Reversal ConfirmedSilver formed a classic head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart.
Following the release of US fundamentals today, the price quickly dropped significant and broke below the pattern's neckline.
The price currently retesting the broken neckline, suggesting a potential continuation of the bearish reversal.
The next support levels to watch for are at 33.05.