XAGUSD01 trade ideas
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Momentum Continues Silver (XAGUSD) has been showing strong resilience and upward momentum, reinforcing a generally bullish outlook for the near to medium term. Despite recent minor fluctuations, the underlying fundamentals and technical indicators suggest continued potential for price appreciation.
Technical Observations:
Consolidation & Breakout Potential: Silver has been consolidating, forming a base that could lead to a significant breakout.
Support Levels : Monthly Key support around the $28.00 - $29.00 zone has proven robust, suggesting strong buying interest on dips.
One-Month Chart Perspective: On a one-month chart, you would typically observe the broader trend and significant long-term support/resistance zones. Given the bullish outlook, the one-month chart would likely show a series of higher lows and potentially higher highs, indicating sustained upward momentum. Look for strong monthly closing candles above key psychological levels, which would reinforce the bullish sentiment and suggest continued strength into the next month. Any pullbacks on this timeframe would ideally find support at previous resistance levels, which then act as new support.
Key Price Targets and Predictions (as of late May/early June 2025):
Based on various analyst forecasts and market models, here are some notable price targets for silver:
Short-Term (Q2 2025): Expectation around $33.79 - $34.00 per troy ounce.
Mid-Term (Next 12 months / End of 2025):
Analysts generally forecast targets ranging from $36.00 to $40.00 per ounce.
Some more optimistic predictions reach towards $48.00 - $50.00 per ounce.
Longer-Term (2026-2030): Some projections see silver potentially reaching $75.00 - $80.00 per ounce.
Driving Factors:
Industrial Demand: The increasing adoption of green technologies (solar panels, EVs) continues to drive significant industrial demand for silver.
Safe-Haven Appeal: Ongoing global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions enhance silver's role as a safe-haven asset.
Supply Deficits: Persistent supply shortfalls in the silver market are expected to provide upward price pressure.
Monetary Policy: Potential interest rate cuts could make non-yielding assets like silver more attractive.
Strategy:
Maintain a bullish bias while closely monitoring key support and resistance levels. A decisive break above current resistance could confirm further upside.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
SILVER Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 10h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,324.9.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,432.4 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVERThe correlation between Silver and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is generally strongly negative. This means that when the DXY rises (the dollar strengthens), silver prices tend to fall, and when the dollar weakens, silver prices usually rise.
Reasons for the Negative Correlation:
Silver is priced in US dollars: A stronger dollar makes silver more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar makes silver cheaper internationally, boosting demand and prices.
Safe-haven and inflation hedge: Silver, like gold, is often sought during times of dollar weakness, inflation concerns, or geopolitical uncertainty.
Supporting Details from Recent Analysis:
Silver prices have a strong inverse relationship with the DXY,the Historical trends show silver outperforming during sustained dollar downtrends.
Silver’s smaller market size and greater volatility compared to gold mean silver can experience more pronounced price moves in response to dollar fluctuations.
Recent silver price rallies in 2025 have been supported by dollar weakness, safe-haven demand, and industrial use, with silver trading near $34.50 per ounce.
Summary Table
Factor Impact on Silver Price Explanation
DXY Strengthens Silver price tends to fall Silver becomes more expensive globally
DXY Weakens Silver price tends to rise Silver becomes cheaper internationally
Safe-haven Demand Supports silver during dollar weakness or uncertainty Investors seek precious metals as alternatives
Industrial Demand Supports silver price Silver’s use in electronics and renewable energy
Conclusion
Silver and the US Dollar Index exhibit a notable inverse correlation driven by silver’s dollar pricing and its role as a safe-haven and industrial metal. Monitoring key DXY technical levels can provide insights into potential silver price movements, with dollar weakness often heralding strong silver rallies.
#gold #silver
Silver got a healthy breakout and appears reasonably trend folloSilver got a healthy breakout and appears reasonably attractive as a buy following the signal.
1. After an extended consolidation, silver has broken out of its upper range to retest the previous swing high.
This breakout from its sideways range is technically significant, reinforced by a strong bullish candlestick that indicates robust upward momentum. Another $0.50 move would mark the highest level in over 12 years, which could attract a surge of speculative buying which may ignite the following surge.
2. Fundamentally, silver prices are rising in tandem with gold, as silver serves as an alternative investment in the precious metals group and acts as a reliable safe-haven asset, making this rally justifiable.
3. Especially in the current situation, where economic fragility, unresolved trade issues, and escalating geopolitical tensions are all pushing investors toward precious metals.
4. In addition, the unusually large amount of US debt maturing during this month has contributed to a weaker US dollar, which in turn provides further support for precious metal prices.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Silver (XAGUSD) Breaks Out – What’s the Paths Forward?Silver has experienced a significant breakout, decisively surpassing its previous high from October 2024. This signals the start of the next upward leg in its price trajectory. From the last notable low on April 7, 2025, the rally has been unfolding as an impulsive wave with an extended structure, often referred to as a “nest.” Beginning from the April 7, 2025 low, wave (1) reached its peak at 33.684. It was then followed by a corrective pullback in wave (2), which concluded at 31.635. From this point, silver resumed its upward momentum in wave (3). The metal displays an internal subdivision characteristic of another impulsive wave.
Breaking down the progression from wave (2) low, the initial wave 1 advanced to 33.69. A subsequent dip in wave 2 found support at 32.58, as illustrated in the accompanying 1-hour chart. The metal then continued its ascent, nesting higher once again. From the wave 2 low, the sub-wave ((i)) peaked at 33.56. A pullback in wave ((ii)) then followed which bottomed out at 32.67. Silver then resumed its upward trend in wave ((iii)). Wave (i) of ((iii)) concluded at 33.49 and wave (ii) of ((iii)) ended at 32.75.
Looking ahead, silver is expected to achieve two additional highs to complete wave (iii) before encountering a corrective pullback in wave (iv). Afterwards, the upward trajectory should resume. In the near term, as long as the pivotal low at 32.58 remains intact, any dips are likely to attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, setting the stage for further upside potential. This technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook for silver, with the current structure supporting continued gains in the near future.
SILVER – The Technicals Are Clear, The Fundamentals Are LoudEntry: $32.978
Current Price: $34.52
Target: Still in play, short-term and long-term upside remain
Technical Outlook:
Silver has maintained bullish structure after a clean breakout from the $32.9 zone.
- Higher lows continue
- Bullish momentum intact
- Watching $35 as next key psychological level
- Break & retest = next leg up
Short-term resistance at $35.20, if price holds above this zone, I expect continuation toward $38–40.
Long-Term Price Forecasts:
- Investing Heaven: $48–50 by 2025, up to $75 by 2027
- JPMorgan / Citi: $38–40
- Fixed supply vs. growing demand = long-term bullish imbalance
Why Silver Could Outperform (Fundamentals):
AI Boom → High silver usage in electronics
Green Energy → Critical in solar panels & EVs
Industrial Demand ⬆ while supply remains capped
This is more than a chart pattern, it’s a macro thesis with technical validation.
Trading Psychology Insight:
Most traders get shaken out before the move completes.
The real challenge isn’t spotting the setup, it’s holding through the noise.
Patience is a position.
Discipline is your edge.
I’m still holding not from hope, but from trust in my process.
Levels I’m Watching:
Break of $35 with volume = bullish confirmation
Failure to hold = possible retest near $33.8–34 zone
Long-term: Gradual climb with dips to accumulate
Agree? Disagree? Let’s talk in the comments.
If you want me to post the next phase of this trade with updates + psychology notes, drop a "Comment"
Silver(XAG) Long Set-UPTVC:SILVER MCX:SILVER1!
📈 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲:
𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐁𝐢𝐚𝐬 🚀
The technical setup points toward a potential breakout after a 13-year consolidation.
If silver breaks above ~$35 convincingly on a monthly close, the next key target would be $48–$50 (2011 highs).
⚠️ 𝐂𝐚𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧
This is a major resistance; failure to break above it may result in a pullback or consolidation.
A rejection here would keep silver in the range-bound regime, especially if the trendline support (~$30) breaks.
🧠 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐜 𝐕𝐢𝐞𝐰
Position traders/investors might look to accumulate on dips near the trendline or on a confirmed breakout retest.
𝐑𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐜𝐫𝐮𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞: set stops below the trendline or prior swing lows.
Macro tailwinds (inflation, rate cuts, weakening USD, geopolitical stress) will play a pivotal role in confirming this breakout technically and fundamentally
Silver Technical Structure (XAG/USD):📈 Silver (XAG/USD) – Trading Update
Date: June 6, 2025
Timeframe: Monthly / Multi-month Swing
Market Outlook: Bullish
Key Insights:
The Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) has rejected the upper boundary of its Balanced Price Range (102–108), indicating a potential long-term rotation in favor of silver.
A bearish GSR target of 32 is projected — echoing the 2008–2011 analog, where silver massively outperformed gold.
Current GSR: ~93
Target GSR: 32
→ This implies continued strength in silver relative to gold.
Silver Technical Structure (XAG/USD):
Current Price: ~$36.10
Short-Term Target: $59.00
→ Based on the Goldbach Dealing Range and previous 2011 highs ($50.10), this target assumes a breakout and overshoot scenario.
Momentum: Strong monthly bullish structure, with higher highs and strong closes.
Next Resistance Levels:
$38.50
$44.00
$50.00 (prior high)
$59.00 (short-term target)
Trade Strategy (Not Financial Advice):
Bias: Long Silver
Entry Zone: On retracements toward $34–$36
Stop: Below $30 (structure invalidation)
Target 1: $44
Target 2: $50
Target 3: $59 (full projection)
Macro Context:
With real yields under pressure and inflation stickiness still a concern, silver could benefit from both precious metals demand and industrial recovery.
If gold stabilizes or gradually climbs, silver's outperformance will likely widen the divergence implied by the GSR target.
Silver Rising on Weak Dollar, Soft NFP, and Gold StrengthSilver continues to push higher, driven by a combination of macro and technical tailwinds. The latest US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve may stay on hold or even tilt dovish. As a result, the Dollar extended its slide, providing a strong tailwind for precious metals.
Gold remains firm near record highs, and Silver is starting to catch up, gaining momentum both as a safe-haven asset and an industrial metal. The weaker Dollar environment boosts Silver’s appeal, while softer labor data raises hopes for looser financial conditions ahead.
Equity markets are also rising, reflecting a positive outlook on economic growth and demand. This supports the industrial side of silver, especially with rising consumption in solar, electronics, and EV-related industries.
Technically, silver is testing resistance near USD 37.50. A clean break above this level could open the path toward USD 39.00 and beyond. While RSI suggests short-term overbought conditions based on the daily chart, dips toward USD 35.00 – 36.00 would likely attract buyers.
The combination of soft US data, weaker Dollar, strong Gold performance, and firm equity markets points to sustained upside potential. Watch for follow-through above USD 37.50 to confirm the next bullish leg.
Silver - Short Term Buy IdeaM15 - Strong bullish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver at All Time High Looks Ripe for a Pullback! Hey Traders so today was taking a look at Silver Market. It just hit an all time high exciting times in these precious metals! Seems like Gold is normally the first train to leave the station but when silver catches up man can she move!
Anyway so now that there has been a break above resistance 34.63 the momentum might really get going so should you buy it now?
Absolutely not imo first rule of trading is Buy Low Sell High! 😁
I don't believe in chasing markets let it come to you!
So where is the best place to Buy?
Well if we look at the chart we can see a very strong 3 bar uptrend line in place since April. So the best way to trade the trend is buy when it pulls back to the trendline.
Simple Enough right and No Indicators Needed.
Well yes but actually we can even try to find a better entry point. See that huge rally candle on June 2?
If we can measure that candle with the Fibonacci tool then find the 50% retracement of that candle I think it's a great place to place a buy order.
X marks the spot at $33.84!
From what I have seen over the years is that when markets retrace 50% of candle like that there is a lot of buying pressure and support at that level so it may not stay there for long. Hopefully it hits that level and then continues the uptrend.
So place an entry order at that level $33.84 and you don't even have to watch the market🤔
Place a stop loss below support at around 32.49
If bearish be very careful because this is a strong bull market. Also Gold and Silver has a Seasonal Pattern to Rise in July and August.
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
SILVER Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 32.985 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 33.258
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAGUSD Weekly Technical Analysis Breakdown (MMC Style) + Target📈 Chart Summary:
The chart shows the price action of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe, capturing a significant shift in market sentiment. This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Maker Cycle) concept and a combination of Smart Money Concepts, Pennant Structure, and Volume Contraction patterns.
Over the past weeks, XAGUSD has transitioned from accumulation and markup to distribution and markdown, suggesting that smart money has exited long positions and is now pushing price toward discount zones for future reaccumulation.
🔍 Detailed Breakdown:
🔹 1. Major Resistance Area – The Selling Origin
At the top of the chart, we see a major resistance zone near $35–$36, which acted as a structural ceiling for months. Each time price approached this area, sellers stepped in aggressively, rejecting price and creating long wicks.
This level represents institutional supply—where big players offload positions, often leaving a liquidity trail behind for later use.
🔹 2. Pennant Formation + Volume Contraction – Classic Distribution
From late April to mid-May, Silver formed a pennant structure, a well-known consolidation pattern. What's special here is the volume contraction—a subtle clue that buyers are drying up while sellers prepare for a large move.
This is a classic Wyckoff distribution behavior:
Buyers are lured in as price moves in a tight range.
Breakout traders enter early expecting a bullish continuation.
Institutions trap liquidity before dumping price into inefficiency.
The mini Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside acted as a false breakout, perfectly engineered to trap liquidity above the pennant.
🔹 3. Structural Breakdown – Momentum Shifts Bearish
Once the trap was complete, price reversed with strong momentum, breaking past key supports and violating internal structure. The label "Structural Analysis" marks the beginning of this break in market structure, confirming the change in character.
This shift aligns with Smart Money’s "Manipulation → Distribution → Expansion" logic.
We also note how price broke below the SR-interchange zone, where support became resistance—a powerful reversal confirmation.
🔹 4. Target + Next Reversal Zone – The Magnet
Currently, Silver is headed toward the $29–$28 zone, highlighted in red as the "Target + Next Reversal" area.
This level has high confluence:
Acts as a previous QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level).
Has unmitigated demand.
Matches with earlier lows where smart money likely accumulated positions.
Here, we can expect either a strong bounce or short-term consolidation before the next directional move.
📌 Confluence Zones:
Key Zone Significance
$35–$36 Major Resistance (Supply / Exit zone)
$33.5 Mini BOS & Liquidity Trap Area
$31.8 – $32.5 Structural Break Zone (Old Demand Broken)
$29 – $28 Target + Reversal (High Confluence Zone)
🧠 Smart Money Perspective:
This entire sequence is not random—it’s engineered.
Institutions:
Collected orders at the bottom.
Pushed price up to resistance.
Consolidated in a pennant to build liquidity.
Triggered a false breakout to trap late buyers.
Dumped aggressively, targeting previous lows for re-entry.
This is the Market Maker Cycle in action — and we’re in the Distribution to Markdown phase right now.
🎯 Trading Plan:
Short-Term Bias: Bearish until $29–$28 is reached.
Swing Traders: Look for signs of reversal in the $28–$29 zone (bullish engulfing, FVG fill, or demand reactivation).
Day Traders: Watch for pullbacks to the $32.5–$33 resistance zone to enter continuation shorts.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
This is a textbook example of how Smart Money manipulates structure, traps liquidity, and moves price in phases. Patterns like pennants, BOS, and SR flips, when combined with volume and context, give us clear directional bias.
If you're still chasing the breakout without understanding the setup behind it, you're trading against those who engineered the move. Understand the structure — or get trapped by it.
Silver is on set for another surge
After silver prices surged significantly on Monday, the market followed by a consolidation phase, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern. Typically, this pattern signals a continuation of the prevailing trend, but confirmation is required on a breakout—ideally sustaining above the previous high at 34.80.
If the price hold above 35.00, it would confirm a 12-year high, which could attract more speculative flow and drive prices even higher.
Should the breakout align with the prevailing uptrend, the projected target based on the flagpole's height is around 36.50—marking the next key target zone.
Fundamentally, the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) on Friday, June 6, could serve as a key catalyst. With broad market participation expected, the data has the potential to push silver prices to new highs.
Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe show no signs of resolution, which continues to support demand for safe-haven assets like precious metals. This provides further upward momentum for silver.
However, any signs of progress in geopolitical negotiations would pose a downside risk to this bullish outlook.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
XAGUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 33.61, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 34.71, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 32.60, a swing low support.
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