Falling towards the pullback support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 37.29
1st Support: 36.29
1st Resistance: 39.10
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XAGUSD01 trade ideas
Silver lining in Silver If you bought silver 13 years ago, you would probably break even minus the inflation costs that you have to bear. Now, if this trend continues, that is it stays above the 37.52 mark and remains bullish, then the next resistance it will revisit will be 43.49.
Do set aside 5-10% of your capital into Gold and/or Silver , this would be a good hedge in the coming months/years.
As usual, please DYODD
Silver Holds Gains After 14-Year HighSilver traded around $38.10 during Tuesday’s Asian session after hitting a 14-year high of $39.13 on Monday. Safe-haven demand remained firm following Trump’s threat of severe tariffs on Russia unless a peace deal is reached within 50 days. Further fueling uncertainty, NATO confirmed a new weapons package for Ukraine.
Meanwhile, Powell’s comments on inflation risks tied to tariffs raised doubts over near-term Fed rate cuts, weighing slightly on silver. Trump’s renewed criticism of the Fed Chair also reignited concerns over central bank independence. Tariff negotiations with the EU continue, though tensions persist, especially after the U.S. slapped a 17% duty on fresh tomato imports from Mexico.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 38.00.
SILVER: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 38.253 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 38.151 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER is about to Shine more?Previous trends suggest that whenever Gold give huge returns (considering its making new ATH continuously) after its approximately 1 year, Silver start to move to give huge returns. This up move continues for 8 months and for about 90% to 100 %
Initial stop loss of 5% and then keep trailing stop loss for next 5% till trailing SL is triggered.
Final call before take offLook at the monthly chart of Silver (CFDs in USD/OZ), the longterm trend is clearly bullish. After spending over a decade consolidating below the $30–35 zone, The breakout above this historical resistance is significant and shows strong momentum, especially with price holding well above the 10-month EMA. We’re currently testing the $37.31 level, and if that gets taken out cleanly, the next major target is the all-time high at $49.83 from 2011. The recent structure even resembles a cup-and-handle or ascending triangle pattern, adding more weight to the bullish case. Support zones are now layered at $35, $33.06, and $32.51—key levels that were previous resistances. If there's any dip back to those zones, it may offer a solid buy-on-dips opportunity. As long as Silver holds above $35 on the monthly chart, I stay bullish with eyes on a move toward the $49.83 zone.
XAGUSD Analysis : Squeeze + Curved Support Break + Bearish SetupThe XAGUSD 4-hour timeframe presents a structurally rich bullish setup, displaying signs of smart money accumulation and directional bias toward a potential breakout. Price action is currently compressing beneath a major horizontal resistance, supported dynamically by a Black Mind Curve, indicating progressive demand absorption by larger players.
This structure — characterized by rounded, ascending support and multiple rejections off a flat resistance — resembles a re-accumulation cup-like formation beneath a key supply level. These conditions often precede high-probability breakouts, driven by liquidity engineering and retail trap setups.
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
🟢 1. Black Mind Curve Support (Dynamic Demand Zone)
The curved trendline support represents an institutionally significant accumulation level, respected over multiple sessions. Note the price’s consistent reaction at this curved support, producing long lower wicks and bullish engulfing candles — both signs of liquidity grabs followed by strong buyer commitment.
This curve essentially acts as a visual footprint of algorithmic buying interest — creating a controlled, higher-low structure leading into the resistance wall.
🔵 2. Major Horizontal Resistance Zone (~37.20–37.40)
This level has served as a historical sell-side liquidity pool, having rejected multiple attempts to break higher over the past weeks. Each approach has been met with selling pressure, but the gradual compression of price against this zone hints at an impending breakout. Repeated testing of resistance with higher lows builds pressure — a classic ascending re-test model.
🟡 3. Break of Structure (BOS) Levels: Confirmation Zones
Minor BOS (~36.20): Confirmed. Indicates bullish intent and short-term trend shift.
Major BOS (~35.80): The ultimate invalidation level. If broken, the bullish thesis is compromised, and price may re-enter the lower consolidation zone.
A bullish BOS above 37.40 would mark a true breakout and open the door to 38.00+ levels.
🔴 4. Liquidity & Smart Money Behavior
The long wicks and deep retests into the Black Mind Curve suggest stop-loss hunts and liquidity inducement. Institutions often use such zones to trap breakout traders early, accumulate orders below swing lows, and then reverse the move. The price action around July 3–10 reflects this behavior clearly.
⚫ 5. Volume & Momentum Consideration
While not shown in the chart, volume confirmation is critical here. A breakout above resistance should ideally be supported by increased volume and momentum divergence on RSI/MACD. A failure to confirm could indicate a fakeout trap, which is not uncommon in commodity markets like Silver.
📌 Strategic Trade Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Continuation Setup:
Trigger: Break and 4H candle close above 37.40 resistance
Retest Entry: Wait for price to retest broken resistance (now support) with bullish confirmation (engulfing, pin bar, etc.)
Targets:
TP1: 38.00 (psychological round number)
TP2: 38.60–38.90 (measured move target from structure base)
TP3: 39.50 (extension target)
Invalidation: Break below 36.00 with strong bearish volume
🔻 Bearish Rejection Scenario:
Trigger: Sharp rejection from resistance zone followed by breakdown below the Black Mind Curve and BOS levels
Confirmation: Close below 36.20 with high volume
Targets:
TP1: 35.80
TP2: 35.20 (curve base)
TP3: 34.80 (range bottom liquidity zone)
Invalidation: Return above 36.80 after rejection
📘 Market Context & Professional Insight:
This is a high-probability continuation pattern in a bullish macro context. With interest rates stabilizing and commodity demand remaining firm, silver often trails gold in performance but catches up with volatility. Traders must watch the behavior around the resistance level, as that’s where smart money will show their hand.
Institutional traders typically accumulate below resistance and engineer a breakout with controlled price action — and this chart is a textbook display of that setup. The Mind Curve structure mimics Wyckoffian schematics in the re-accumulation phase.
Timing is crucial — breakout traders should be patient and disciplined, avoiding premature entries before a valid confirmation of strength.
✅ Conclusion:
Silver (XAGUSD) is approaching a critical juncture. The chart structure suggests an imminent breakout above major resistance, supported by institutional behavior along the Black Mind Curve Support. However, traders must remain agile — watch for breakout confirmation or signs of a false move followed by distribution.
This chart embodies a calculated bullish bias, and offers a great risk-to-reward opportunity for both trend followers and breakout traders.
XAG/USD elliot wave countFXOPEN:XAGUSD
📊 Silver – Elliott Wave Analysis (Overview)
🔹 Macro Structure:
We’ve already completed the larger Wave 3 and are now transitioning into Wave 4.
🔹 Corrective Structure – Wave 4:
The A wave of the correction is already completed.
The B wave has also been completed.
We are now in the process of building the C wave, which will complete Wave 4.
🔹 Internal Structure of Wave C:
From the end of Wave B, we’ve already formed a (1) and (2) (in brackets).
Within this move, another smaller (1) and (2) have now unfolded, and we are currently on the way to the (3) of C.
🔹 Market Context:
Target zones and entry zones are already marked on the chart.
These zones can still be adjusted, depending on how price action develops in the coming days.
Skeptic | XAG/USD Analysis: Precision Triggers for Spot & FutureHey everyone, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Ready to ride XAG/USD’s next wave? Let’s dive into XAG/USD (Silver) to uncover long and short triggers that can deliver solid profits. Currently trading around $ 36.31 , we’re analyzing Daily and 4-hour timeframes to pinpoint high-probability setups. Here’s the no-nonsense breakdown to keep you sharp. 📊
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the Daily timeframe, we saw a strong primary uptrend sparked by a V-pattern breakout at $ 33.68317 , which drove a 10% rally, as flagged in my previous analyses—hope you caught it! We’re now in a consolidation box, potentially acting as accumulation or distribution. Today’s candle faced a strong rejection from the box ceiling. If it closes this way in 9 hours, the odds of breaking the box floor increase significantly.
Key Supports: If the floor breaks, watch $ 34.78648 and $ 34.41291 as strong reaction zones for potential bounces.
4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers)
On the 4-hour timeframe, let’s lock in long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above resistance at $ 37.29163 , confirmed by RSI entering overbought. Check my RSI guide for how I optimize setups with RSI.
Short Trigger: Break below support at $ 35.59660 , with volume confirmation. Additional confirmation: RSI entering oversold.
Confirmation Timing: Choose your confirmation timeframe based on your style—4-hour, 1-hour, or even 15-minute. I typically confirm triggers on 15-minute closes for precision, but if 1-hour momentum kicks in, I use 1-hour candle closes. Focus on candle body closes, not just shadows, to avoid fakeouts.
Pro Tip: Stick to 1%–2% risk per trade for capital protection.
Final Vibe Check
This XAG/USD breakdown arms you with precise triggers: long at $37.29163, short at $35.59660, with volume and RSI as your allies. The Daily consolidation signals a big move is brewing—stay patient for the ceiling or floor break. Want more cycle-based setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which Silver trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Silver. The price has pulled backHi traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, the price has broken out of the sideways range through the upper boundary at 37.31.
The price has pulled back close to levels where potential buy patterns could form — 37.54, 37.47, and 37.31.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
A temporary pause for silver!After its recent surge to reach the highest levels since September 2011, silver is showing short-to-medium-term negative signals on the 4-hour timeframe, before potentially resuming its upward trend on the daily chart.
As seen in the chart above, the price dropped quickly below the 38.37 level, forming a new low and shifting the 4-hour trend from bullish to bearish. The rebound to the 38.858 level appears to be a corrective move targeting the 38.1869 level.
The bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price rises again and forms a higher high on the 4-hour chart above the 39.119 level.
Silver Wave Analysis – 14 July 2025
- Silver reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 37.00
Silver recently reversed down from the resistance zone lying at the intersection of the resistance level 39.00, upper weekly Bollinger Band and the resistance trendline of the weekly up channel from 2023.
The downward reversal from resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star.
Given the strength of the nearby resistance zone and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Silver can be expected to fall to the next support level 37.00.
SILVER (#XAGUSD): Correction is Over?! #SILVER (#XAGUSD): Correction is Over?! 🪙
It looks like 📈Silver has finally completed a consolidation within
a wide horizontal parallel channel on a daily.
A new higher high formation today indicates coming growth.
I suggest looking for trend-following buy from Monday.
Let the market close above the underlined resistance to let it set a Higher Close
as well.
Look for buying after a pullback, aiming at 38.0 as the first goal.
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Daily time frame
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Silver breaks out to 14 year highsSilver has broken out again above the previous resistance zone at $37.00-$37.30 amid ongoing concerns surrounding tariffs
If we see corrective retests of this $37.00-$37.30 it can offer a good opportunity to get long and take advantage of Silvers bullish momentum.
Stops would need to be below $36.75 and targets can be set to around $40.00-$41.50
XAGUSD is BullishPrice was in a downtrend on 15 min time frame, however a matured bullish divergence hints that bulls are re-assuming control of price action. If previous lower high is broken with good volume then we can expect a bullish reversal as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
XAG/USD Eyes Upside Targets as Wave C MaturesXAG/USD is currently trading in a corrective phase where wave B appears to have completed, and wave C is currently forming. Based on the current price action, it doesn’t seem likely that this entire move will result in a full bullish recovery. The structure suggests that this could be sub-wave C of wave 4, potentially completing around the 26.79944 level. Going forward, if the 5th wave begins to unfold, potential targets could be in the range of 29.74182 to 30.57528.
SILVER Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 17h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,903.0.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 4,102.1.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Is it time for a correction for silver?
Hi my dears
It seems that silver, like gold, should spend a few months in a resting phase. Of course, this is a guess. There is a condition on the chart that, if it happens, we should probably see the conditions shown on the chart happen.
I would be happy to hear your opinion.
“Can This XAG/USD Setup Make You the Next Market Thief?”🏴☠️ Operation Silver Swipe — Thief Trading Heist Plan for XAG/USD
🚨 Target Locked: The Silver Vault 🧳🎯
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Market Hustlers & Chart Whisperers, 🕵️♂️💼📉💰
Step into the shadows with our stealth plan based on our signature Thief Trading Style—a mix of smart technicals and crafty fundamentals. Today, we’re eyeing XAG/USD (Silver) for a clean sweep. Here's how to gear up for the breakout job:
🎯 Entry Zone — “The Heist Is On!” 💥
📍Key Level: Break & Retest above 37.000 – that's your cue to act.
🔑Strategy:
Buy Stop Orders: Set above the breakout level
Buy Limit Orders: Use recent 15/30M swings for a sneaky pullback entry 🎯
🛑 Stop Loss — “Every Thief Has a Backup Plan” 🎭
Place your SL like a pro, not a panic button!
📌Recommended: Around 35.660 using the 4H nearest candle wick swing low place after the breakout entry.
⚠️Tip: Adjust based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of entries. You’re the mastermind, not a minion.
🎯 Target — “Escape Route” 🏃♂️💸
📌 First checkpoint: 38.800
📌 Or take your loot early if the heat rises! (Overbought zones, trend traps, or reversal zones)
💡 Scalper's Shortcut 💡
Go only long for safety. If you’ve got the cash stack, jump in fast. If you’re more of a sneaky swing trader, follow the roadmap and trail your SL to secure that bag 🧳📈
🔍 Market Status
Silver’s in a Neutral Phase – but signs point to an upward getaway 🚀
Fueling this momentum:
Macro & Fundamental trends
COT Positioning
Intermarket Clues
Sentimental Signals
🔗 Read the full breakdown check there 👉🔗🔗🌏🌎!
📢 Trading Alert — News Release Caution ⚠️
Don’t get caught mid-escape during news bombs! 💣
✅ Avoid fresh entries during high-impact events
✅ Use trailing SL to lock in your gains and cover your tracks
💖 Smash the Boost Button if you vibe with this plan 💥
Support the crew and help keep the charts hot and the loot flowing. Your boost powers up our next big heist 🚁🔥
📡 Stay tuned for more street-smart setups... we rob the charts, not the rules! 🐱👤💸📊💎