SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 6H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 30.534 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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XAGUSD01 trade ideas
XAGUSD: Channel Up has started new rally to 37.000Silver turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.696, MACD = 0.197, ADX = 24.838) as it has validated the start of the new bullish wave of the long term Channel Up. The price has been detached from the 1D MA50 and is approaching the December 12th high. The 1D RSI is expanding a rebound from a Double Bottom much like Silver's previous low on August 7th 2024. So far the Channel Up has had two bullish legs of 33.47% and 31.67% respectively. Assuming a slight rate of decline on each subsequent bullish wave, we anticipate the current to reach +29.15% and we are targeting a little under it (TP = 37.000).
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Bearish possibility Silver is trying to stabilize above 31.700 and retest 32.000 mark. However, price is struggling to continue up, after having found some bullish interest. As long as price is below 32.000, a bearish perception will be on the metal, targeting respective low barriers.
Alternatively, find buying interest and settling on top of 32.000, an upward insight will now be favourable.
Gold & Silver Go Ballistic: The Fed Collides with Trump!Well, well, well… look who’s breaking records like a rockstar smashing guitars. Gold just hit an all-time high, blasting past $2,795 per ounce like it’s got a rocket strapped to its back. 🚀💰 Meanwhile, silver? Oh, she’s not just tagging along—she’s on a mission, up 60 cents to $31.65 per ounce. 🎯⚡
But wait… this isn’t just your average bull run. There’s blood in the water, and the sharks are circling. 🦈💸
🔎 Behind the Scenes: The COMEX Panic
Turns out, Trump’s tariff threats have thrown institutional traders into full-blown “Oh Sh*t” mode. 🏃💨 They’re scrambling to move gold and silver into the U.S. before any new taxes hit, and it’s causing absolute chaos in the background. The COMEX is feeling the squeeze, and some traders? They can’t even source the metal to cover their bets—so they’re bailing out of positions before they get steamrolled. 🚨📉
And if you think silver is done partying, think again. An analyst at TD Commodities just threw gasoline on the fire, warning that the market is severely underpricing a potential EXPLOSION in silver prices. 🔥💥 With tariffs on Mexico & Canada looming, this thing could go vertical any second now. 📈🤯
💀 Meanwhile, in Trump Land…
The Orange Man himself is out here taking shots at the real villain (in his eyes)—the Federal Reserve. 🎯💀 In a classic Trumpian mic drop moment, he blamed the Fed for wrecking the economy with inflation:
👉 “If the Fed had spent less time on DEI, gender ideology, 'green' energy, and fake climate change, Inflation would never have been a problem.” - Trump, straight from Truth Social. 🔥🎤
Love him or hate him, one thing’s for sure—markets are feeling the heat. And if these tariffs go live, this gold & silver rally could turn into an absolute face-melter. 🏆🔥
📢 Stay locked in. This ride’s just getting started. 🚀💰
Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Surges to $31.7 on Fed Speculation and Supply Deficit
Silver jumped past $31.7 per ounce on Thursday, a six-week high, as Fed policy speculation boosted demand for non-yielding assets.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth straight annual supply deficit despite higher output from China, Canada, and Chile.
Investors also assessed industrial demand, particularly from Chinese solar panel manufacturers, a key driver of silver consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.00 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90 consequently. On the downside 30.90 will be the first support level. 29.80 and 29.30 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 30.83
1st Support: 30.488
1st Resistance: 31.62
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Silver/Gold Ratio AnalysisOften you will see the Gold/Silver ratio chart get more analysis. However, I like to look at this one as I find it easier to spot the bottoms.
Rarely has silver traded at this level to gold. At .01, it means that it would take 100oz of silver to trade for 1 oz of gold.
Historically, this ratio has traded higher. With gold pushing up towards all time highs, and silver often lagging gold, the silver trade is on.
Bullish momentum to extend?XAG/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.96
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 30.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 31.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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XAGMain Scenario
After liquidity is taken out above the previous day's high, I anticipate a short-term retracement of the asset to the Point of Interest (POI) around 30.04. This will be the key zone for opening a long position.
Trade Parameters
Entry Point: 30.04
Position Size: 5% of the deposit
Stop-Loss: 29.59
Targets:
First Target: 30.43 — once reached, the trade will be moved to breakeven.
Second Target: 30.81 — 50% of the position will be closed here.
Final Target: 31.10 — this level is based on the imbalance zone.
Rationale
Liquidity Grab:
A false breakout above the previous day's high is expected, leading to a short-term correction.
Buyer Interest:
The 30.04 level represents a key demand zone where bullish momentum is likely to strengthen.
Imbalance Zone:
The 31.10 level is the ultimate target as it acts as an area of imbalance where larger participants are likely to take profits.
Position Management
Once the 30.43 level is reached, the trade will be moved to breakeven to minimize risks.
At 30.81, 50% of the position volume will be secured to lock in profits and reduce overall exposure.
SILVER | The longest timeframe cup & handle in history!SILVER has been forming a cup-and-handle pattern for the past 45 years. And even though SILVER has made some incredible moves during that time, its price has been blatantly manipulated by the LBMA (London Bullion Market Association), central banks around the world, and a completely fraudulent derivatives market that circulates fake paper silver at hundreds of times greater than the underlying asset. Prices have been artificially suppressed for decades to prop up the global fake fiat currency Ponzi scheme and tighten the grip of control over nearly every asset and human being—making these fake currencies appear legitimate when they are clearly instruments of debt and deception.
This artificial suppression of SILVER and many other commodities is coming to an end as the debt-and-death paradigm unravels before our very eyes.
The day is rapidly approaching when SILVER will enter true price discovery, and people will not believe the price points it will reach in the very near future. Silver is one of the most—if not the most—undervalued physical assets of all time.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
SHORT XAGUSD: Re-Enter Based on Larger Timeframe PerspectiveIt seems that I entered early on XAGUSD, and got stopped out. This time, I zoomed out to the daily chart and found a high volume node on the profile (yellow/blue rectangular channel), which I selected as an entry target. For reference, the bottom of the node is at $3.095.
I'm a bit surprised that price rose up so fast to meet it, but I'm glad I was up late and saw it happen.
This time, the Stop is above the volume node and above the nearest VWAP, which, along with the other line-work, offer more compelling resistance. The value of $31.272 is selected only to even out the R:R ratio.
The profit target is derived by the potential for a harmonic pattern to complete at the 2.227 extension of the ABC legs. Potential partial profit targets are marked along the way, including the 1.618 extension at +/- $30.47.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Powerful Bullish SignalSince mid-January, Silver has been consolidating within a broad horizontal range on the 4-hour chart.
Despite this, market sentiment remains bullish, with indications of an impending strong uptrend.
A breakout above the resistance line signals the completion of bullish accumulation, setting the stage for potential gains. The next resistance target is 31.50.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Strong Bullish Signal Silver has been consolidating significantly since mid-January, remaining within a large horizontal range on a 4-hour chart.
Despite this, the market sentiment is bullish for Silver, with signs pointing towards a strong bullish trend.
Breaking out of the resistance line within the range suggests a bullish accumulation is complete, paving the way for potential growth. The next target for resistance is at 31.50.
Silver Prices Flat, Fed and US Tariffs in FocusSilver remained steady at around $30.40 per ounce on Wednesday as traders awaited the Fed’s policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged despite pressure from President Trump to lower borrowing costs.
Investors also assessed potential US tariffs, with Trump planning levies on Canada and Mexico by Saturday, while tariffs on China remain under consideration. Meanwhile, overcapacity in China’s solar panel industry may dampen silver demand.
Key resistance is at 31.00, with further levels at 31.80 and 32.50. Support stands at 29.85, followed by 28.80 and 28.50.
Silver’s Next Big Move? Analyzing XAGUSD’s Critical Resistance!👀 👉 In this video, we take a deep dive into XAGUSD, breaking down its overall uptrend and the recent pullbacks from resistance. We’ll analyze critical support and resistance levels, market structure, and price action dynamics. As price approaches a key resistance zone, we explore potential buy setups if the uptrend regains momentum. Watch now for a full breakdown. This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.