XAGUSDG trade ideas
Final Phase of Circle Wave 3 XAG/USDFXOPEN:XAGUSD
We’re currently in the final stages of Circle Wave 3, which has developed through a series of 1–2–3 structures and internal ABC corrections.
Right now, we’re within the yellow count, moving from Wave 4 to Wave 5 – typically unfolding as an ABC structure.
🟡 Zooming In: Current Setup
✅ Wave A (of 4→5) is already complete – it formed as its own ABC
🔄 We’re currently transitioning from A → B
📈 A short-term move up is likely before a short entry targeting the final Wave C of 5
📏 Key Fibonacci Confluence Zone
I’ve marked the 71% extension level in green – it aligns perfectly with my broader Fibonacci target zone, where we could see the highest volume come in
My personal limit sell is at 37,700, inside this confluence zone
🛑 Stop-loss: 37,500 (below Wave 4)
🎯 Take-profit: Around 39,260, though this area could extend higher depending on momentum
💡 Trade Idea Summary
A clean, simple setup:
Look for upside push (Wave B)
Set limit short in the Fib zone (green area)
Watch for reversal into Wave C to complete Circle Wave 3
After that, I’ll be looking for mid- to long-term short setups 🔽
Silver Breakout: Retest & Launch? Two Entries, One Bullish BiasSilver’s uptrend is alive and kicking—with the daily breakout confirming bullish momentum. Price looks primed for a retest before a potential aggressive push toward new highs. We’re eyeing two entry scenarios: a conservative play with higher fill probability and a more aggressive setup with better structural protection but less chance of triggering. Both setups align with the same core thesis—momentum is strong, and this breakout could accelerate.
SILVER ( XAGUSD ): Still Bullish! Take The Buy Setups!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the XAGUSD (SILVER) for the week of July 21-25th.
Silver remains a Strong Buy rating. There is no technical reason to look for shorts. Only buys right now, until we see a bearish break of structure. Then sells can be considered.
That having been said, like Gold, there is a 4H +FVG that we are watching. If it holds, higher prices will ensue. If it fails, the lows become the draw on liquidity.
We'll soon see how it plays out.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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SILVER: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
SILVER
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry Point - 38.213
Stop Loss - 38.700
Take Profit - 37.395
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Bullish Daily Chore Strategy Entry on SilverFirst time I've spoken about this strategy here (as I don't personally trade it myself), but the "Daily Chore" is a very popular one amongst the traders I work with.
Essentially what we're looking for is for price action to be on the correct side of our 3 EMA's (8, 20 & 50), and for those EMA's to be running in the correct order.
If so, we are then looking for a pullback into the EMA's and for a pin bar rejection candles to give us a sign for entry.
This is a very difficult strategy to figure out as it requires a lot of testing and tweaks to optimize, but it also allows for a lot for freedom as it only requires a few minutes a day to check up on.
Please leave any questions or comments below and make sure to give me a follow so you don't miss my next shared trading idea.
Akil
SILVER Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 38.213 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 38.708
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 37.413
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 38.281 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Move ConfirmedIt appears that the local correction on 📈SILVER has completed, and the pair is shifting back to a bullish trend.
Today's US economic data caused the pair to break through a resistance level within a narrow consolidation range on the 4-hour chart.
The price is expected to rise to the 38.60 level.
Silver bullish above 3770The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3770 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3770 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4000 – initial resistance
4077 – psychological and structural level
4160 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3770 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3727 – minor support
3685 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 3770. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver Rebounds Toward $38 as Dollar EasesSilver rebounded toward $38 per ounce on Friday, recovering from a two-day decline as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields eased. The move reflected shifting sentiment on Fed policy and trade conditions after earlier losses sparked by inflation data that reduced hopes for near-term rate cuts.
U.S. stock futures edged higher following record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, driven by strong retail sales, lower jobless claims, and optimism in AI-related tech stocks after Taiwan Semiconductor’s positive forecast. On monetary policy, Fed officials remain divided: Mary Daly expects two rate cuts this year, while Adriana Kugler urges caution due to tariff-driven inflation. President Trump reinforced trade tensions by sending letters to over 20 partners setting new tariffs between 20% and 40%.
In corporate updates, United Airlines expects stronger earnings in the second half of 2025, and Chevron signaled higher future cash flow as production in its top U.S. oil field nears a plateau.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 37.20.
Bullish continuation?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
pivot: 37.29
1st Support: 36.29
1st Resistance: 39.10
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Silver (XAGUSD) – Watch for Bullish Reaction at Key Liquidity ZoDescription:
Silver is now approaching a key liquidity and structural support zone between 37.2805 and 36.8841 (marked by the bottom two blue lines on the chart). This area is likely to attract significant attention, with the potential for stop-losses of buyers below the prior structure to be triggered—a classic liquidity grab scenario.
Trading Idea:
Do NOT enter blindly at these levels.
Wait for price to dip into the 37.28–36.88 range, ideally triggering a liquidity sweep and a spike in volume.
Only consider a long entry after a clear bullish reaction in this zone—such as a strong reversal candle, a bullish engulfing, or a pronounced uptick in net volume.
For extra confirmation, look for a retest of the zone after the first reaction, to confirm that the level is holding as support.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss below the lower end of the entry zone (under 36.88) or the liquidity sweep low.
Target the next resistance levels: 37.88, 38.40, and 38.99–39.00.
Key Points:
The 37.28–36.88 area is a liquidity zone—expect increased volatility and potential for fake-outs.
Wait for confirmation and ideally a retest before considering entry.
Ignore the entry zone if price simply breaks through without a bullish reaction.
Summary:
Let price sweep liquidity and show its hand in the 37.28–36.88 zone. Only enter on clear bullish confirmation and a solid retest. Trade what you see, not what you hope for!
The AI Boom's Unsung HeroThe rise of artificial intelligence isn’t just shaking up tech companies it’s quietly transforming the global silver market in a big way. As major players like NVIDIA, Google and others ramp up their AI infrastructure silver is becoming more critical than ever. Why? Because silver, thanks to its unmatched electrical conductivity, plays a key role in powering the hardware behind AI.
Silver is the most conductive metal on Earth. That makes it perfect for high-performance computing something AI needs a lot of. It’s especially important in data centers and advanced semiconductors, where both electrical and thermal performance are mission-critical.
What’s really interesting is that AI servers tend to use two to three times more silver than traditional data center servers. That’s because AI workloads are more power-hungry, generate more heat and require more complex cooling and electrical systems. Simply put, more AI means more silver.
If there’s one company at the heart of this trend it’s NVIDIA. Analysts at Morgan Stanley expect NVIDIA to consume a staggering 77% of all silicon wafers used for AI accelerators in 2025 up from 51% in 2024. That adds up to around 535,000 300-mm wafers a year each of which contains silver in key components.
All of this AI growth is showing up in the numbers. Industrial silver demand hit an all-time high of 680.5 million ounces in 2024. The electronics industry alone uses around 250 million ounces per year and AI is now the fastest-growing part of that.
Despite all this demand, silver supply just isn’t keeping up. The market’s been in deficit for four straight years, with a total shortfall of 678 million ounces between 2021 and 2024. That’s roughly ten months of global mine output gone missing from the balance sheet.
It’s no surprise, then, that silver prices have been climbing fast. As of July 2025 silver’s up nearly 30% for the year. Looking further ahead I see room for silver to keep climbing:
In the short term (2025): $36–$42 per ounce seems realistic
By 2026: Potential for $50+ as more AI growth stays strong
AI isn’t just changing how we work, communicate, or compute—it’s literally reshaping the commodities that make this technology possible. Silver, once thought of mainly in the context of jewelry or coins, is now a backbone material for the AI revolution.
Silver Holds Ground on Fed Inflation WarningsSilver is hovering near $38 during Thursday’s Asian session as markets digest U.S.-EU trade developments and Fed inflation commentary.
President Trump said deals with the EU and India are within reach, softening immediate trade fears. Still, the potential August 1 tariffs and inflationary risks continue to support silver’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Fed officials Williams and Bostic noted that although tariff impacts are modest now, they expect rising inflationary pressure in the coming months.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 37.20.
Long-term bearish bat pattern on SilverLonger-term price action on the price of Spot Silver (XAG/USD) is on track to shake hands with a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) of a monthly bat pattern between US$46.79 and US$42.68. What this also tells Silver traders is that according to this pattern’s structure, there is scope for additional outperformance. As a result, I am closely monitoring monthly support from US$35.70 in the event of a pullback unfolding.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 37.832 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37.762..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️