Gold Poised to Shine - 18% Upside Projected by Completing Wave 5Gold is currently trading around 494.92 RMB per gram in China as of July 25, 2023. Based on the technical analysis on XAUCNY showing we are currently in wave 5, subwave 4 of an upward trend, the prediction is that by January 2025, the price for 1 ounce of gold will reach 16575 RMB.
Given that 1 ounce equals 28.3495 grams, a price of 16575 RMB per ounce implies that the price per gram of gold is expected to reach around 584 RMB by January 2025.
This represents an increase of approximately 18% from the current price of 494.92 RMB per gram. Going from subwave 4 to subwave 5 typically signals the final leg of an advancing trend before it completes the larger degree wave 5. If the analysis is correct, we can expect the 18% price increase to occur over the next 1.5 years as gold enters the terminal subwave 5.
The ongoing expansionary monetary policies by central banks globally serves as a key driver supporting higher gold prices. High inflation levels in many economies incentivizes investors to allocate more funds to gold as an inflation hedge. Geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict also increase safe-haven demand for gold.
While risks remain, such as potential interest rate hikes that strengthen the dollar, the overall backdrop still seems conducive for higher gold prices. From a technical perspective, the upside projection toward 584 RMB per gram over the next 1.5 years aligns with the view that subwave 5 will see accelerating upside momentum toward completing wave 5.
In summary, based on current technical analysis, the prediction is that gold will reach 584 RMB per gram by January 2025, an 18% increase from today's levels, as it completes the final wave 5 uptrend over the coming months. The macroeconomic and geopolitical environment also seem supportive of this view.
XAUCNH trade ideas
Eureka , What appear to be false signal is not false all timeLooking from Angle of three charts of gold on XAUUSD based on dollar , XAUCNH based on Chinese Rinminbi and Tokyo Gold Rolling spot , I can see the false signals is not actually false , its consistent harmony from other angle. There always one way to see things different , I will keep posting about this harmony instrument to forecast Gold on Dollar and Euro , Gold is Gold , Currencies make the noise in the graphs.
Gold Harmonic based on U$D is fake harmonyAfter deep study looks like this oscillations in XAUUSD is based on XAUCNH , the gold based on the Chinese Renminbi Currency Offshore , SaxoBank advisors stated same. There is another resistance as shown , this is the base graph for harmony , rest is DXY based for what Trump tweets , obviously trade war not in favor of DXY , they have been long awaiting and appeared to be crashing , the confluence is "Scary Long" something like 1400 and it happened before in history in short time , Now notice also Gold is not long term safe heaven , BTCUSD is , so hot capital is going on daily level to BTCUSD in case of day crises , but big crash will go back to gold (Since US treasury yields are also crashing). 2019-H2 is correction half,