falling Channel Pattern The price formed a channel pattern signaling a reversal. There was a breakout followed by 2 pullbacks and impulse
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
XAUEURG trade ideas
Gold vs. EUR Bullish Breakout Retest – Buying Opportunity!Chart Analysis & Trade Setup:
The XAU/EUR (Gold/Euro) 4H chart shows a strong uptrend, with price recently testing a critical support level after a significant bullish run. The market is currently forming a bullish breakout retest, presenting a potential buying opportunity.
Technical Breakdown:
📌 Key Support Zone: 2,765 - 2,770 EUR (Previous resistance turned support).
📈 Bullish Trend: Price is holding above the structure support, suggesting buyers are stepping in.
📊 Retest Confirmation: If price respects this level, a continuation towards 2,820 - 2,850 EUR is expected.
Trade Plan:
✅ Entry: Buy around 2,765 - 2,770 EUR if price confirms support.
🎯 Target 1: 2,811 EUR (Recent high).
🎯 Target 2: 2,850 EUR (Major resistance level).
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 2,723 EUR, as a break below this zone would invalidate the bullish setup.
XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2800 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2680 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB at 2.5%—U.S. yield advantage pressures gold, ECB easing weakens EUR—neutral.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, Eurozone 2.8%, Japan 2.5%—global inflation boosts gold’s hedge appeal—bullish.
Demand: Central banks (e.g., China, Russia) buy ~8M oz. in 2025; European ETF inflows up—bullish.
Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs, Russia-Ukraine tensions—safe-haven demand rises—bullish.
EUR Strength: ECB dovishness vs. Fed stability weakens EUR—bullish for XAU/EUR.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: PMI 50.4, jobless claims up—USD softens, gold gains—bullish.
Eurozone: PMI 46.2, growth stagnant—EUR weakens—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, risk-off favors gold—bullish.
Commodities: Oil $70.44 (U.S./OPEC)—stable, neutral.
Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—EUR weakens, gold rises—bullish.
╰┈➤Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~50,000 contracts (global futures, down from 60,000)—cautious bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in highs.
Open Interest: ~120,000 contracts—sustained global interest, mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 55% short (global X posts)—contrarian upside risk—bullish.
Institutional: Bullish long-term (e.g., $3,000 XAU/USD targets), short-term caution—neutral.
Corporate: Global miners hedge at 2,750-2,800 EUR—neutral.
Social Media Trends: Mixed—bearish to 2,650 EUR, some see buy zone—neutral.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs target 2,750-2,800, shorts aim for 2,650-2,600 (global consensus).
Retail: Shorts at 2,710-2,720—squeeze risk if price rises.
Institutional: Balanced, favoring inflation-driven gold gains.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day ~2,650, 200-day ~2,500—price above both, bullish.
RSI: 52 (daily)—neutral, flexible for moves.
Bollinger: 2,670-2,730—price near upper band, breakout potential.
Fibonacci: 61.8% from 2,800-2,400 at 2,686—support holds.
Volatility: 1-month IV 11%—±30 EUR daily range.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
EUR/USD: Below 1.0500—EUR weakness boosts XAU/EUR—bullish.
DXY: 106.00, softening—supports gold—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—aligned with XAU/EUR rise—bullish.
Equities: SPX500 5990, stable—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% vs. Eurozone 2.2%—yield gap weakens EUR—bullish.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Trump tariffs (Feb 23-25) and Russia-Ukraine talks—risk-off lifts gold—bullish.
Upcoming: U.S. PCE (Feb 28)—hot data could lift USD/EUR, pressuring XAU/EUR; soft data boosts gold—mixed.
Impact: Bullish short-term, PCE reaction pivotal.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2,686-2,650, resistance 2,750-2,800. Below 2,686 targets 2,600; above 2,750 aims for 2,850.
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 2,650 if PCE strengthens USD/EUR; up to 2,800 if risk-off persists.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 2,600-2,900, driven by tariffs/inflation.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2,850-2,900 by Q2 2025 if EUR weakens further (EUR/USD to 1.03), tariffs escalate, or PCE softens.
Bearish: 2,600-2,550 if PCE boosts USD/EUR (DXY to 107) or risk-on emerges.
Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 2,650, then bullish to 2,850 by mid-2025
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/EUR at 2,700.00 benefits from bullish drivers (global inflation, geopolitics, EUR weakness) but faces short-term risks from USD/EUR strength (PCE). COT and sentiment suggest consolidation, with quant signals favoring upside if support holds. Short-term dip to 2,650 possible, medium-term rise to 2,900 likely with risk-off momentum.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
XAU-EUR (Gold-Euro): Expecting Growth, Strong Uptrend with FurthCurrent Situation:
The price at 2,830 is showing steady growth, continuing the bullish trend. After breaking the 2,825 level, buyers dominate the market, supported by increasing volume and strong momentum.
Technical Analysis:
• Trend: Bullish
• Key Support: 2,829
• Key Resistance: 2,840
• Volatility: Moderate
• Volume: Increasing on buy-side
Fundamental Factors:
• Expectations of ECB monetary easing support gold’s rise against the euro.
• Global economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks drive demand for safe-haven assets.
• Capital outflows from the euro into gold reinforce the bullish trend.
What Do We Expect?
We expect further growth towards:
• First take-profit: 2,840
• Second take-profit: 2,850
• Third take-profit: 2,860
Conclusion:
Holding above 2,829 confirms the uptrend. A breakout above 2,840 could push the price towards 2,850 and beyond. If the price falls below 2,827, a correction to 2,815 – 2,780
test driveWhich trading is best for beginners?
The best type of trading for a beginner in the Indian stock market is day trading. Day trading involves you to continuously buy and sell a particular stock within one day, while trying to make profit. In day trading, you should be careful of the risks involved and trade with a small amount of margin.
Gold vs Euro (XAU/EUR): Preparing for a BreakoutAfter breaking out of the sideways channel, gold shows a strong upward trend. Currently, we observe consolidation near a key resistance level with the potential for either an upward breakout or a pullback.
Key levels:
• Buy Stop: 2769 EUR
• Sell Stop: 2731 EUR
Possible Scenarios:
1. Breakout Upwards: If the price consolidates above 2769 EUR, we may see a rise towards the 2785-2800 EUR range.
2. Pullback Downwards: If the price breaks below the 2731 EUR support, a drop towards 2700-2680 EUR is possible.
What to Consider:
• Trading Volume: An increase in volume during the breakout will confirm the direction.
• Fundamental Factors: Key economic news from the Eurozone may influence price movements.
My Approach:
I set pending orders for both scenarios and act only after confirming the breakout.
Bullish biasBased on the Weekly and monthly structure is currently bullish. I am anticipating sells leading to a potentially big buying opportunity for the beginning of next week or could be a few weeks of selling before the buy. Waiting for 1hr candle confirmation before entries at or near these levels.
XAUEUR - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Bearish setup for XAUEURPrice has yet to break above 2,670 and the resistance around 2,640 should be a good target for a short trade towards 2,620. Remember to use a stop loss! OANDA:XAUEUR
Bullish on XAUEUR XAUEUR has resisted on the price around 2,605 and due to the news it will be bullish throughout the week.
XAU/EUR "Gold vs Euro" Metal Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/EUR "Gold vs Euro" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 30min period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2630.000 (or) escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the XAU/EUR (Gold/Euro) pair is:Bullish
Reasons:
Increasing demand for gold: Gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset, and investors may seek to buy gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty, inflation, or market volatility.
Weakening euro: The euro has been weakening against other major currencies, which could make gold more attractive to European investors and drive up prices.
Low interest rates: The European Central Bank (ECB) has kept interest rates at a low level of 0.0%, which could lead to a decrease in the opportunity cost of holding gold and drive up prices.
Inflation concerns: Inflation concerns are rising, and gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, which could drive up demand and prices.
Geopolitical tensions: Geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, could lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
However, it's essential to consider the following risks:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth could reduce demand for gold and drive down prices.
Stronger euro: A stronger euro could make gold less attractive to European investors and drive down prices.
Interest rate hikes: Interest rate hikes by the ECB could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold and drive down prices.
Bullish Factors:
Increasing demand for gold, driven by its use as a safe-haven asset, inflation hedge, and store of value.
Low interest rates and negative real interest rates, which can increase demand for gold as a store of value.
A strong euro, which can make gold more attractive to European investors.
Potential for a decline in the euro, which could increase demand for gold as a hedge against currency risk.
Growing investment demand for gold, driven by its potential as a diversifier and a store of value.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish sentiment: 75%
Bearish sentiment: 25%
Neutral sentiment: 0%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Xau/Eur Long Term Uptrend on min 15Close your sell trade.. or take some profits...
We kicked butt... congrats
Xau/Euro Sell IdeaGold/Euro has reached a resistance area that has not held 3 times now since last November.
This is basically a Triple Top on the daily time frame.
This is resistance and now we expect a fall again here like it did the last 2 times price reached this point.
This idea is purely based off of the idea of resistance. There is not any signal to sell this pair right now on respectful time frames such as min 15 and so on...
So you need to wait for a sell signal first, then sell.
If you try to sell from the tip top and overleverage the trade, well... that never works as aud/usd, eur/usd, and nzd/usd proved to everyone today.
So be careful with this trade
Bearish continuation Gold Euro will likely transition from a bullish into a bearish trend as price action is developing in that trajectory. Price action failed to stabilise above 2600, and the bullish move was rejected upon reaching this mark. As of now, the yellow metal looks headed towards the downside.
The nearest support is were it might reignite bullish interest. Conversely, the long term bearish move may be confirmed if the price breaks the correction phase it is currently in and stabilising under 2470.
XAUEUR - Short SetupMy trade that I took yesterday, but had no time to show you all before.
My main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure.
We can notice the break of market structure (sign of weakness) on key liquidity level, so there is a higher probability to see price lower at least on opposite level (marked lower).
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles
Ascending triangleWe have a reversal pattern here as an ascending triangle, we have an inner pullback that has tested the resistance line multiple times, a breakout from here suggests a bullish impulse, will be looking for more confluences, such as an outer pullback for confirmation.
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
XAUEUR - Long SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level higher. Also price swept 1W key liquidity, so the probability for some bullish move higher.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some time of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure.
We can notice the break of market structure (sign of strength) on key liquidity level with GAP, so there is a higher probability to see price higher at least on opposite level (marked higher).
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Triangle patternthe price has formed a triangle pattern as a reversal pattern, we have seen a breakout, now a pullback, now we expect an impulse, time to go long
WE ONLY TRADE PULLACKS
Sell to buy tradeGold Euro is currently in a correction phase which may lead to a sell if the price remains under 2540. If price actions does sell, potential targets for an upward movement would be between 2443 and 2411
Conntinuation to the downsideGold Euro will likely continue to the downside after pulling back but with minimal gains. Also, price action is consolidating and will finish off the last wave of this correction and then continue down. This last sell-off may kick start the bullish move if the pair finds support above 2415.
Upward movementGold Euro may head upwards if the metal manages to find support between 2500 and 2470. If the price action does find support, the pair may target upward barriers. If it fails, it may retest further down at 2415.
